Northern Temperate Zone Research Articles

Simulated warming reduced greenhouse gas emissions by lowering soil moisture in a Pinus tabulaeformis forest of the temperate zone

The forest soil carbon represents the largest carbon pool in the terrestrial ecosystem. To clarify the effect of climate warming on the soil carbon pool of a Pinus tabulaeformis plantation in the northern temperate zone, an Open-Top Chamber was used to study the effects of warming on soil temperature and moisture, soil enzyme activity, soil active organic carbon, and greenhouse gas emissions in different soil layers. The results showed that (1) warming increased the temperature and decreased the moisture content of the atmosphere and soil. Atmospheric temperature increased by 0.9°C on average, and atmospheric moisture decreased by 0.05%. (2) Warming had no significant effect on soil active organic carbon or enzyme activity, but had a significant effect on the active organic carbon content and enzyme activity in individual soil layers in individual months. (3) Warming reduced soil CO2 emissions from the control treatment, from 996.35 to 781.57 g·m−2. The soil of the P. tabulaeformis forest in Daqing Mountain is a sink of atmospheric CH4. Therefore, after the short-term warming treatment, the soil moisture was reduced; greenhouse gas emissions were significantly reduced, and the warming formed a negative feedback with soil greenhouse gas flux.

Determinants of carbon sequestration in thinned forests

Given global climate change and the projected increases in the greenhouse effect, enhancing the carbon storage capacity of forest ecosystems is especially critical. To fully realize the potential carbon sequestration, it is imperative to understand the drivers affecting carbon storage in forest ecosystems, particularly with disturbances that disrupt existing balance. In this study, we explored the effects of stem-only harvest at various thinning intensities on forest structure and carbon density in middle-aged natural secondary forests, located in the northern temperate zone. Carbon density included aboveground carbon density (ACD), soil organic carbon stocks (SOCD), and total carbon density (TCD), which was the sum of ACD and SOCD. We employed the random forest analysis method to identify significant variables influencing changes in carbon density. Structural equation modelling (SEM) was then used to determine the drivers of changes in forest carbon density. The results showed that moderate thinning (20 %–35 % trees removed), is an effective management practice for increasing the TCD in forests. Although heavy thinning (35.1 %–59.9 % trees removed) accelerated individual growth, it did not fully offset the carbon removed due to thinning. It is noteworthy that light thinning (0–19.9 % trees removed) not only reduced the species richness but also caused a significant number of tree deaths. Large live trees were an important direct determining factor of ACD, but not the only one. In addition, thinning indirectly influenced ACD by reducing canopy density and deformed tree density. The increase in dead tree density had an adverse impact on SOCD, and this phenomenon increased with the passage of recovery time. Conversely, greater thinning intensity enhanced SOCD. Moreover, TCD was directly influenced by tree height, large live trees, and stand density. Furthermore, thinning altered the conifer ratio, thereby influencing tree growth and indirectly controlling the TCD. We believe that this knowledge will be highly beneficial for successful forest management and enhancing the carbon sequestration capacity of forest ecosystems.

Concerning structure-functional features of the leaf apparatus of some stone crops varieties belonging to <i>Prunus</i> (Rosaceae Juss.) genus

For the Rosaceae family (Rosaceae Juss.), which is part of the group of families with the highest species abundance, one of the largest genera is the Prunus genus, which, according to the Catalog of Life, includes 395 species, 16 subspecies, 55 variations. Various sources for this genus indicate from 250 to 400 species of trees and shrubs widely distributed in the northern temperate zone, subtropical and tropical regions, from forests to deserts, in altitude ranges from sea level to alpine zones. In the Samara Oblast, among 67 species of woody Rosaceae, there are 30 native and 36 introduced species (adventitious and wild). The genus is most widespread in the temperate zone of the Northern Hemisphere, is widely represented in North America, Europe and Northern Asia, and includes a number of cultivated species of global economic importance. The active involvement of interspecific hybridization between representatives of the Prunus genus is considered by experts as a determining factor in the evolutionary development of its species diversity, which manifested itself in the appearance of a number of hybridogenic species that were able to overcome successfully the effects of abiotic stressors in the process of expanding ranges, the formation of cultigenic species of stone crops and their varietal diversity. In recent decades, the characteristics of leaves have gained special place in the research programs of plant ecologists as significant indicators of various aspects of growth, reproduction and functions of the plant organism, water use, nutrients, adaptation to environmental changes, including projected climatic changes. Leaf indicators are the most accessible for study throughout almost the entire growing season, they can be evaluated quickly enough, without involving expensive equipment, the screening procedure for leaf apparatus indicators is well standardized. The combined efforts of researchers led to the creation of large and complete databases of leaf apparatus features for various plant species. For the leaves of 15 varieties of stone crops (cherry Olechka, Chernookaya, Kalinka, Nyusha, Pervinka; apricot Samara, Yantar Povolzhya; Russian plum Dolgozhdannaya, Konservnaya, Velikansha, Naryadnaya, Kompotnaya, Lunnaya; domestic plum Dachnaya, Doch Eurasii) quantitative indicators determined for samples selected in July 2020, 2021 and 2022 are analyzed. In order to visualize the possible features of the leaf apparatus in groups of varieties of various fruit crops, the construction of dot diagrams with a limited area of location for each group of points was used. This technique made it possible to identify both the presence of separate groups of points corresponding to one indicator of the leaves of individual stone fruits, and the overlap of the corresponding ranges of other indicators of values. Probably, this picture is a reflection of a certain ecological and physiological heterogeneity in groups of stone fruit varieties, which are cultigenic hybrids of complex origin.

Stand diversity increases pine resistance and resilience to compound disturbance

BackgroundDrought, fire, and insects are increasing mortality of pine species throughout the northern temperate zone as climate change progresses. Tree survival may be enhanced by forest diversity, with growth rates often higher in mixed stands, but whether tree defenses are likewise aided remains in question. We tested how forest diversity-productivity patterns relate to growth and defense over three centuries of climate change, competition, wildfire, and bark beetle attack. We used detailed census data from a fully mapped 25.6-ha forest dynamics plot in California, USA to conduct a spatially explicit, dendroecological assessment of large-diameter Pinus lambertiana survival following fire reintroduction. Our structural equation models investigated direct and indirect pathways by which growth, defense, and forest composition together mediated pine resistance and resilience.ResultsIn the historical era of frequent, mixed-severity fire (pre-1900), trees that were ultimately resistant or susceptible to the post-fire bark beetle epidemic all showed similar growth and defenses, as measured by axial resin duct traits. During the era of fire exclusion (1901–2012), however, susceptible trees had slower growth. Following fire re-entry in 2013, both growth and defense declined precipitously for susceptible trees, resulting in fatal bark beetle attack. Spatial analysis showed that monodominant crowding by shade-tolerant competitors contributed to the long-term stress that prevented susceptible trees from recuperating defenses quickly following fire re-entry. For beetle-resistant trees, however, we found positive feedbacks between diversity, growth, and survival: trees in species-rich communities had higher growth rates pre-fire, which promoted a rapid recuperation of defenses following fire that helped trees resist bark beetle attack. Overall, this associational resistance outweighed associational susceptibility (+8.6% vs. −6.4% change in individual tree survival odds), suggesting a relaxation effect that ultimately allowed 58% of large pines to survive.ConclusionsThough climate change threatens forest biodiversity, biodiversity is key to forest climate adaptation in return. Our findings demonstrate centennial-scale feedbacks by which forest diversity increases pine resistance and resilience to climate-amplified disturbances. The spatially explicit, dendroecological framework provides new insights into diversity-productivity theory, while also informing climate-adaptive forest management by identifying thresholds of tree density and richness that maximize large pine survival.

Lichen biocrusts contribute to soil microbial biomass carbon in the northern temperate zone: A meta‐analysis

AbstractBiological soil crusts (biocrusts) have crucial ecological functions in dryland ecosystems, yet understanding the variations in soil microbial biomass within biocrusts across diverse ecosystems, climates and soil conditions remains limited. This knowledge gap constrains our understanding of how microbial communities within biocrusts regulate terrestrial carbon and nitrogen cycling. Hence, we conducted a meta‐analysis using 255 paired observations from 42 study sites across the northern temperate ecosystem. The analysis revealed that biocrusts harbour significantly higher soil microbial biomass carbon and nitrogen (SMBC and SMBN, respectively) levels than bare (non‐biocrust) soil across all habitat types. Notably, deeper soil layers (5–10 and >10 cm) accumulated less SMBC and SMBN than biocrust and biocrust–5‐cm soil, revealing that biocrusts influence shallow soil environments. Ecosystem type, soil texture, depth and season emerged as key factors influencing the distribution of SMBC within biocrusts. Of particular interest, lichen biocrusts accumulated the most SMBC compared with other biocrust types. Furthermore, the difference in SMBC between biocrust and non‐biocrust soils was more pronounced in oligotrophic habitats (e.g., desert, grassland, sand and sandy loam soils) than in eutrophic habitats (e.g., forest and loam soils). Random forest analysis confirmed that soil variables affected SMBC accumulation in biocrusts more than climatic factors. Soil organic carbon (SOC), as the primary source of SMBC, could be the most important determinant. Moreover, the disparity between non‐biocrust SMBC and biocrust SMBC increased with increasing mean annual temperature (MAT) or decreasing altitude. These insights underscore the substantial contribution of lichen biocrusts to SMBC and emphasize the need to incorporate this knowledge into regional models for predicting the effects of climate change on soil carbon budgets within biocrust microbiomes in temperate ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere.

The genus Oxytropis DC: application, phytochemistry, pharmacology, and toxicity.

Oxytropis DC is a perennial plant of Fabaceae family, which is widely distributed in the northern temperate zone. It is known as "locoweed" because of its toxic component swainsonine. However, it is widely used in Tibetan medicine and Mongolian medicine, mainly for the treatment of heat-clearing and detoxifying, pain-relieving, anti-inflammatory, hemostasis, and other diseases. To provide a basis for the further development and utilization of Oxytropis DC, the pieces of literature about the application, phytochemistry, pharmacological action, and toxicity of Oxytropis DC were reviewed and analyzed. A total of 373 chemical constituents were found from Oxytropis DC, including flavonoids, alkaloids, steroids, terpenoids, and others. Pharmacological actions mainly include antitumor, antioxidation, anti-inflammatory, analgesic, antibacterial, antifibrosis, and other pharmacological actions, among them, the antitumor effect is particularly prominent. At present, studies on its pharmacological effects are mainly concentrated on the extracts, some flavonoids, and alkaloids. In the follow-up studies, research on the pharmacological activities of the other chemical constituents in Oxytropis should be strengthened. It has the potential to pave the way for research and development of novel Oxytropis medicines.

Regeneration patterns of native and introduced oak species in Sweden: Investigating the roles of latitude, age, and environmental gradients

Oak species worldwide face substantial challenges in natural recruitment, significantly affecting biodiversity and ecosystem services. Oaks are a keystone species in northern temperate zones, influencing ecosystem dynamics. This study analysed oak regeneration patterns from 29 oak stands (Quercus spp.) across southern Sweden up to the species’ northern range limit. The study focused on two native species, Q. robur and Q. petraea, and one introduced species, Q. rubra, used in Swedish forestry. We aimed to evaluate whether and how oak regeneration was i) associated with latitude, ii) influenced by ground moisture and nitrogen levels, and iii) correlated with stand age, as well as to iv) compare regeneration rates among the species. Contrary to the hypothesis that oak regeneration should decline towards the range margin, our results did not indicate any latitudinal association. This finding raises the possibility of a future northward range expansion for oaks. We also observed that oak regeneration was positively correlated with stand age, while increasing nitrogen and ground moisture levels were inversely related to regeneration. The positive age-dependent effect on recruitment also indicates that species recruitment dynamics within forests may be modified via age-dependent effects within the tree community, with implications for forestry and conservation management. Notably, the natural regeneration of the introduced Q. rubra indicates its successful adaptation to Swedish climate and forests. This study represents Sweden’s first large-scale analysis of oak regeneration across multiple oak species. Future research should prioritise longitudinal monitoring, particularly at the northern range limits, and further investigate the expansion of the potentially invasive Q. rubra.

Low Temperature Tolerance of Peach Flower Buds and Shoot Tissues Is Differentially Influenced by Freezing and High Temperature Exposure

In northern temperate zones, peach trees are vulnerable to cold temperature injury in the fall, particularly as climate change prolongs warm weather in the fall and potentially delays the onset of cold acclimation. Four experiments evaluated how cold acclimation of flower buds and shoot phloem, cambium, and xylem is affected by exposure to varying temperatures in the fall. One-year-old peach shoots from trees grown in Maine, USA, were collected from October through November, exposed to 1, 3, or 6 days of low, high, and freezing temperatures, and subjected to stepwise controlled freezing to about −30 °C. Injury was visually quantified as oxidative browning of flower buds and shoot tissues. High temperature exposure, even of a single day, decreased cold tolerance of flower buds and shoot tissues until late November, when high temperatures only minimally decreased cold hardiness. In mid-November, increasing the duration of high temperature exposure from 1 to 3 days decreased cambium and phloem hardiness, but hardiness in flower buds was not further decreased by the longer duration of 3 days. By late November, hardiness in flower buds, cambium, and phloem was less responsive to high temperature, and was increased by prior exposure to 6 days of freezing. After high temperature, xylem lost hardiness to a small degree in mid-October and late November, but in mid-November this occurred in only one experiment. In this study, deacclimation during high temperature in the fall was greater in cambium and phloem than in flower buds and at times greater than in xylem.

Mycorrhizal symbioses in the Andean paramo.

The Andean paramo, hereafter "paramo", is a Neotropical high-mountain region between the treeline and permanent snowline (3500-4800m) and is considered the world's coolest biodiversity hotspot. Because of paramo's high humidity, solar radiation and temperature variation, mycorrhizal symbiosis is expected to be essential for plants. Existing theory suggests that replacement of arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) by ectomycorrhizal (ECM) and then ericoid mycorrhizal plants (ERM) can be expected with increasing elevation. Previous findings also suggest that non-(NM) and facultatively mycorrhizal (FM) species predominate over obligatory mycorrhizal (OM) species at high elevations. However, these expectations have never been tested outside of the northern temperate zone. We addressed the distribution and environmental drivers of plant mycorrhizal types (AM, ECM and ERM) and statuses (NM, FM and OM) along the paramo's elevational gradient. We used vegetation plots from the VegParamo database, climatic and edaphic data from online repositories, and up-to-date observation information about plant mycorrhizal traits at species and genus level, the latter being proposed as hypotheses. AM plants were dominant along the entire gradient, and ERM plants were most abundant at the lowest elevations (2500-3000m). The share of FM plants increased and that of OM plants decreased with elevation, while NM plants increased above 4000m. Temperature and soil pH were positively related to the abundance of AM plants and negatively to ERM plants. Our results reveal patterns that contrast with those observed in temperate northern-hemisphere ecosystems.

Parallel evolution, atavism, and extensive introgression explain the radiation of Epimedium sect. Diphyllon (Berberidaceae) in southern East Asia.

East Asia is the richest region of plant biodiversity in the northern temperate zone, and its radiation provides key insights for understanding rapid speciation, including evolutionary patterns and processes. However, it is challenging to investigate the recent evolutionary radiation among plants because of the lack of genetic divergence, phenotypic convergence, and interspecific gene flow. Epimedium sect. Diphyllon is a rarely studied plant lineage endemic to East Asia, especially highly diversified in its southern part. In this study, we report a robust phylogenomic analysis based on genotyping-by-sequencing data of this lineage. The results revealed a clear biogeographic pattern for Epimedium sect. Diphyllon with recognition into two major clades corresponding to the Sino-Himalayan and Sino-Japanese subkingdoms of East Asian Flora and rapid diversification of the extant species dated to the Pleistocene. Evolutionary radiation of Epimedium sect. Diphyllon is characterized by recent and predominant parallel evolution and atavism between the two subkingdom regions, with extensive reticulating hybridization within each region during the course of diversification in southern East Asia. A parallel-atavism-introgression hypothesis is referred to in explaining the radiation of plant diversity in southern East Asia, which represents a potential model for the rapid diversification of plants under global climate cooling in the late Tertiary. Our study advances our understanding of the evolutionary processes of plant radiation in East Asia as well as in other biodiversity hotspot regions.

Apomixis occurs frequently along the entire American Cordillera

Abstract Apomictic plants mostly occur at higher latitudes and higher elevations, where they tend to occupy deglaciated areas. By analysing samples of the alpine floras of different latitudinal zones of the Americas (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador, USA), we investigated whether the proportion of gametophytic apomixis is comparable between the temperate alpine zones of the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere and whether the proportion of apomictic species increases from the alpine tropics towards the temperate alpine zone. The reproductive systems of 196 species and 275 individuals were determined by a flow-cytometric seed screening of 999 seeds. Phylogenetic logistic regression was used to evaluate differences in the proportion of apomictic species in samples of regional alpine floras. The apomictic embryo:endosperm ratio was determined for 33 species (two pseudogamous species and 31 species with autonomous apomixis) belonging to 28 genera of 13 families. The probability of a species being apomictic did not significantly differ between the regions. The highest probability of a species being apomictic was estimated for the northern temperate zone (29.6%), followed by the tropical zone (12.5%), and the southern temperate zone (11.9%). Our results show that asexual plant reproduction by apomixis is not restricted to the alpine zone of the Northern Hemisphere and its representation in alpine floras of the Southern Hemisphere, including the alpine tropics, has been substantially underestimated.

Potential Distribution of Bryophyte, Entodon challengeri (Entodontaceae), under Climate Warming in China

Entodon challengeri (Paris) Cardot has important environmental monitoring and medical value. It is critical we inspect the influence of climate warming on its spatiotemporal distribution pattern. Based on actual geographical distribution records and environmental datasets, a MaxEnt model coupled with ArcGIS was executed to display the potential suitable habitats of E. challengeri in China under future climate warming scenarios. We showed the following. (i) The simulation accuracy of the MaxEnt model was excellent, with an AUC value of 0.918. (ii) Annual precipitation and precipitation during the wettest month were the critical factors that restricted the distribution range of E. challengeri. (iii) Current suitable habitats were concentrated in the northern temperate zone in eastern China. (iv) Under climate warming scenarios, on the spatial scale, the distributional pattern presented a shrinkage in the south and expansion in the north, which was more obvious in the RCP8.5 than in the RCP2.6 scenario. On the time scale, shrinkage of the potential distributional range was greater in the 2070s than in the 2050s. (v) The distributional centroids shifted to the northeast. In general, future climate warming will have a great negative effect on the suitability of habitats of E. challengeri.

Late Paleocene to early Oligocene fire ecology of the south Mongolian highland

Changes in fire ecology during warm and cold periods in the geological past are important because of their effects on terrestrial ecosystems and the global carbon cycle. We examined the charcoal concentrations of the Erden Obo section in Inner Mongolia to reconstruct the evolution of wildfire and their relationship to the regional vegetation from the Late Paleocene through Early Oligocene. Our data show that fire frequency were relatively high from the end of the Paleocene to the beginning of the Eocene, in accord with other paleofire records worldwide. However, low fire frequency occurred during the Early Eocene Climate Optimum (EECO), coincident with the change in the regional vegetation from shrubland to forest due to the strengthening of the regional rainfall, and we suggest that the humid climate may have been responsible for this decrease. High frequency fire occurred after the Middle Eocene, near-synchronously with the transition of the regional vegetation from forest to steppe. The high-frequency fire was most likely triggered by regional drought during the aridification process after the Middle Eocene. We propose that these temporal changes in the fire ecology were consistent within the northern temperate zone from the Late Paleocene through Early Oligocene, and we suggest that studies of global wildfires need to be evaluated within the context of paleovegetation zones and ecosystem evolution.

Phylogenetic analysis and temporal diversification of the tribe Alsineae (Caryophyllaceae) with the description of three new genera, Hesperostellaria, Reniostellaria and Torreyostellaria.

Alsineae are one of the most taxonomically difficult tribes in Caryophyllaceae and consist of over 500 species distributed in the northern temperate zone. Recent phylogenetic results have improved our understanding on the evolutionary relationships among Alsineae members. Nevertheless, there are still some unresolved taxonomic and phylogenetic problems at the generic level, and the evolutionary history of major clades within the tribe was unexplored to date. In this study, we carried out phylogenetic analyses and divergence time estimation of Alsineae using the nuclear ribosomal internal transcribed spacer (nrITS) and four plastid regions (matK, rbcL, rps16, trnL-F). The present analyses yielded a robustly supported phylogenetic hypothesis of the tribe. Our results showed that the monophyletic Alsineae are strongly supported to be the sister of Arenarieae, and the inter-generic relationships within Alsineae were mostly resolved with strong support. Both molecular phylogenetic and morphological evidence supported the Asian species Stellaria bistylata and the two North American species Pseudostellaria jamesiana and Stellaria americana all should be recognized as new monotypic genera respectively, and three new genera Reniostellaria, Torreyostellaria, and Hesperostellaria were thereby proposed here. Additionally, molecular and morphological evidence also supported the proposal of the new combination Schizotechium delavayi. Nineteen genera were accepted within Alsineae and a key to these genera was provided. Molecular dating analysis suggested that Alsineae splitted from its sister tribe at ca. 50.2 million-years ago (Ma) during the early Eocene and began to diverge at ca. 37.9 Ma during the late Eocene, and divergent events within Alsineae occurred mainly since the late Oligocene. Results from the present study provide insights into the historical assembly of herbaceous flora in northern temperate regions.

Wetland nitrogen removal from agricultural runoff in a changing climate

Wetlands in agricultural areas mitigate eutrophication by intercepting nutrient transports from land to sea. The role of wetlands for nutrient removal may become even more important in the future because of the expected increase in agricultural runoff due to climate change. Because denitrification is temperature dependent, wetland nitrogen (N) removal usually peaks during the warm summer. However, climate change scenarios for the northern temperate zone predict decreased summer and increased winter flows. Future wetlands may therefore shift towards lower hydraulic loading rate and N load during summer. We hypothesised that low summer N loads would decrease annual wetland N removal and tested this by examining 1.5–3 years of continuous N removal data from created agricultural wetlands in two regions in southern Sweden (East and West) during different periods. West wetlands showed relatively stable hydraulic loads throughout the year, whereas East wetlands had pronounced no-flow periods during summer. We compared East and West wetlands and tested the effects of several variables (e.g., N concentration, N load, hydraulic load, depth, vegetation cover, hydraulic shape) on annual absolute and relative N removal. We found no difference in annual N removal between East and West wetlands, even though summer N loads were lower in East than in West wetlands. A possible explanation is that stagnant water conditions in East wetlands suppressed decomposition of organic matter during summer, making more organic matter available for denitrification during winter. Absolute N removal in all wetlands was best explained by N load and hydraulic shape, whereas relative N removal was best explained by emergent vegetation cover and hydraulic shape. This study highlights the importance of design and location of agricultural wetlands for high N removal, and we conclude that wetlands in a future climate may remove N from agricultural runoff as efficiently as today.

The giant diploid faba genome unlocks variation in a global protein crop

Increasing the proportion of locally produced plant protein in currently meat-rich diets could substantially reduce greenhouse gas emissions and loss of biodiversity1. However, plant protein production is hampered by the lack of a cool-season legume equivalent to soybean in agronomic value2. Faba bean (Vicia faba L.) has a high yield potential and is well suited for cultivation in temperate regions, but genomic resources are scarce. Here, we report a high-quality chromosome-scale assembly of the faba bean genome and show that it has expanded to a massive 13 Gb in size through an imbalance between the rates of amplification and elimination of retrotransposons and satellite repeats. Genes and recombination events are evenly dispersed across chromosomes and the gene space is remarkably compact considering the genome size, although with substantial copy number variation driven by tandem duplication. Demonstrating practical application of the genome sequence, we develop a targeted genotyping assay and use high-resolution genome-wide association analysis to dissect the genetic basis of seed size and hilum colour. The resources presented constitute a genomics-based breeding platform for faba bean, enabling breeders and geneticists to accelerate the improvement of sustainable protein production across the Mediterranean, subtropical and northern temperate agroecological zones.

Ignition and burning of selected tree species from tropical and northern temperate zones

Wood is a combustible material. Not all types of wood, however, react to ignition and burning the same way. This can vary significantly depending on the type of wood, because the physical structure (morphology), density, as well as chemical composition of the wood can significantly affect its fire behavior. In this study, eight different types of tree species, four from the northern temperate zone and four from the tropical zone, were studied to determine their fire behavior. The results show different behaviors in all the species studied. It was found that although there is some correlation between density and positive fire behavior, these factors are not always determining.

Analysis of Global Warming and its Influencing Factors

In recent years, the earth is burning, whether global warming and its influencing factors, based on time series and gray prediction model, put forward the hypothesis and conclusion, provide the data of various factors, to evaluate the past temperature level, to predict the future global temperature level and its trend and analyze the influencing factors. For problem 1, first, based on the analysis of the global average air temperature data from March 2012-February 2022 and March 2022-October 2022, it is unscientific that the global temperature rise in March 2022 led to a larger rise than in the past 10 years. Second, the ARIMA model and the gray prediction model are used to describe the past global temperature levels and predict the future global temperature levels, respectively. The ARIMA model and the grey prediction model show that the global average annual temperature change has been stable in the past, while the prediction that the average temperature of 20.00°C in 2050 or 2100 is inaccurate. The grey prediction model shows that the global temperature levels will continue to rise in the future, and shows that the average temperature in 2,289 observations is expected to reach 20.00°C. According to the forecast, the global average temperature will not, as long as natural resources are properly used, reach 20.00°C. For problem 2, We first divide the Earth into the southern and northern hemisphere, and second into tropical and southern temperate and northern temperate zones. The linear relationship between global average temperature and the two conditions is discussed separately. According to the results, it significantly shows a strong correlation between the global average temperature and time. If unchecked, the global average temperature will grow over time. Second, using the principal component analysis method shows that may affect the global average temperature in the Middle East energy consumption, global hydropower consumption, world oil consumption, global niobium minerals, the world gas proven reserves, global crude oil production, global cadmium production, and to the results are tested, concluded that the principal component analysis method to influence the main indicators of the global average temperature method is more accurate. Therefore, the suggestions for global temperature change are made: to strive to reduce methane emissions; to further strengthen the strategic deployment and practical actions for energy revolution and low-carbon development, while increasing the intensity of energy low-carbon transformation. For problem 3, We propose the feasibility of this model evaluation and prediction results on slowing down or curbing global warming trends. One is direct emissions reduction, with countries signing contracts to force their carbon emissions and unite against global warming. Reduce heat emissions should be put on everyone's daily living habits, with a limited use of daily necessities, to achieve limited production, limited processing, so as to curb industrial flooding, reduce heat emissions. Second, the indirect emission reduction. With the development of industry, carbon dioxide emissions are constantly increasing, leading to a series of problems such as global warming and sea level rise. Afforestation can absorb the carbon dioxide contained in the atmosphere and reduce the greenhouse gas content in the atmosphere. Therefore, we must realize the importance of afforestation, take appropriate measures to improve the effect of afforestation, and better alleviate global warming.

Shifts in soil phosphorus fractions during seasonal transitions in a riparian floodplain wetland

Losses of phosphorus from soil to surface waters in agricultural areas have been linked to substantial declines in water quality. Riparian wetlands can potentially intercept phosphorus mobilized from upland soils before it reaches connecting waterways, but the capacity of wetlands to buffer against downstream losses of P is poorly understood, especially in northern temperate zones. In these regions, the spring freshet releases large volumes of water from snowmelt and soil pore water during the time when microbial productivity, which transfers available P into biomass, is low. In addition, losses of P in runoff may be exacerbated by freeze-thaw cycling (FTC) in soil during late winter and early spring through the physical degradation of organic matter. We investigated P dynamics from late fall through spring thaw and into summer to assess P transfers between inorganic, organic and microbial biomass pools, as functions of season and distance from a river. The site is located on the Grand River in southern Ontario, which discharges to Lake Erie, and consists of riparian wetland and wooded areas. Reactive P (Olsen P) and microbial biomass P (PMBIO) increased with distance from the river and varied more over time in the wetland soil compared to the adjacent wooded area, reflecting higher variability in vegetation, topography and hydrology. The positive correlation between microbial biomass P and microbes linked to ammonification supports the release of N and P through mineralization pathways as spring progresses, with microbial biomass decreasing in June as plant growth increases. There was evidence for leaching of Fe and Al, and lower concentrations of total P, in the transect proximate to the river. Seasonal flooding during spring thaw contributed to a pulse of dissolved reactive P, but temperature monitoring showed that the wetland soil did not experience freeze-thaw cycling. Investigation of FTC using wetland soil in mesocosms indicated that multiple FTC (>3) were necessary to increase the pool of reactive soil P, with the highest amount of soil reactive P observed after six FTC, when dissolved reactive P also tended to increase.

Source Area of the Immigrant Population of Beet Webworm (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) in Northern Xinjiang, China.

The beet webworm, Loxostege sticticalis (Linnaeus) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae), is a destructive pest inhabiting the northern temperate zone. In Xinjiang, China, this species has only occasionally infested certain areas, but has been causing severe damage since 2005. Early studies showed that most of the outbreak populations in northern Xinjiang are immigrant populations. However, the specific source area is still unknown. In this study, we determined the source area of the immigrant population of L. sticticalis in northern Xinjiang from 2010 to 2013 using daily monitoring data of L. sticticalis adults; we explained the causation of why an overwintering area of L. sticticalis could build up in Central Asia. Results showed that the direct source area of L. sticticalis in northern Xinjiang was eastern Kazakhstan, and the initial source area could be traced further to Altai Krai, Russia. Both regions were located at the foothills of the westernmost portion of Altai Mountains. The thermal conditions in these regions could not support L. sticticalis development for two generations before 1990. Hence, a few cocoons could be formed in the autumn. Influenced by global warming, L. sticticalis in these regions could complete two whole generations most years after 2001. The increased generation number, combined with sufficient precipitation, and mountainous terrain in the westernmost portion of Altai Mountains have created an overwintering area for L. sticticalis.