Northerly Winds Research Articles

O3 sensitivity and vertical distribution of summertime HCHO, NO2, and SO2 in Shihezi, China

Shihezi City has experienced severe ozone pollution. The vertical observation of ozone precursors (NO2 and HCHO) and SO2 in this area was conducted by multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy in summer, 2023. During this experiment, ozone was measured at an average concentration of 94.89 ± 37.46 μg/m3, and it mainly increased when the northerly wind dominated, accompanied by the increasing of its precursors. In addition, SO2 had a relatively high concentration and elevated with the rising ozone concentration, remarkably different from other cities in China. The average vertical distribution of HCHO in the ozone pollution period was a Gaussian type, with the peak value at about 0.2 km. In contrast, the vertical distribution of NO2 and SO2 decreased exponentially with the rise of vertical height, and their concentrations dropped rapidly within 0–1 km. The RFN range of the transitional regime in Shihezi City was [1.26, 2.80]. Given that ozone pollution mostly occurred when RFN was 1–2, the chemical production of near-surface ozone in Shihezi City was controlled by a transition regime. The RFN vertical pattern was Gaussian type and reached a maximal value at 400–600 m. RFN increased at the middle altitude (0.4–1.2 km), and the ozone formation was controlled by the transitional regime. RFN decreased above 1.2 km, and the photochemical ozone formation was mainly controlled by a VOCs-limited regime. This study provides an improved understanding of O3 precursors vertical distribution and O3 formation sensitivity in Shihezi City.

Seasonal Reversal of ENSO Impacts on SST in the East China Sea–Kuroshio Region

Abstract Sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the East China Sea–Kuroshio (EK) region has important implications for the surrounding weather, climate, and marine ecology. The year-to-year variations of the EK SST are expectedly linked to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the predominant predictability source of seasonal-to-interannual climate variability. Surprisingly, no significant SST signal is observed in the EK region when focusing on the ENSO autumn–winter season with the persistent and pronounced SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific. We find that a remarkable seasonal reversal appears in the ENSO–EK SST connection, shifting from a negative relationship in autumn [Aug(0)–Oct(0)] to a positive relationship in winter [Dec(0)–Feb(1)]. This reversal is mainly attributed to the seasonally varying ENSO-associated western North Pacific (WNP) atmospheric circulation patterns. During ENSO autumns, the anomalous WNP anticyclone is confined south of 20°N, which is accompanied with cyclonic circulation anomalies in the EK region. The associated anomalous northerly wind tends to enhance the background northerly wind, thereby facilitating the local SST cooling mainly via the wind–evaporation–SST effect. In the subsequent winter, the ENSO-related WNP anticyclonic anomalies intensify and extend toward the EK region. Consequently, the weakened background northerly wind induced by southerly wind anomalies leads to the increase of downward latent and sensible heat flux in the EK region, fostering the local SST warming. The observed seasonal reversal of ENSO impacts can be evidenced by the tropical Pacific pacemaker experiments, emphasizing the importance of seasonally modulated ENSO teleconnection and holding implications for the local SST climate prediction.

Storm surge changes around the UK under a weakened Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Climate model projections of future North Atlantic storm track changes under global warming are very uncertain, with models showing a variety of responses. Atmospheric storms force storm surges which are a major contributor to coastal flooding hazard in the UK, and so it is important to know how this process might be influenced by climate change—not only what future is probable, but what is possible? As a contribution to answering that question, we drive a simplified model of the north-west European coastal shelf waters with atmospheric forcing taken from climate simulations with HadGEM3-GC3-MM (1/4 degree ocean, approx. 60 km atmosphere in mid-latitudes) which exhibit a substantial weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The first is a ‘hosing’ simulation in which a rapid shut-down of the AMOC is induced by modelling the addition of freshwater to the North Atlantic. The second is the HadGEM3 GC3.05 perturbed parameter ensemble simulation under Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) which was used to inform the UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18). This model has a high climate sensitivity and exhibits substantial weakening of the AMOC. We find substantial simulated increases at some sites: up to about 25% increase in the expected annual maximum meteorological component of the storm surge. In both the hosing simulation and the ensemble simulation, the greatest projected increases are seen at some west coast sites, consistent with strengthening of the strongest westerly winds. On the south-east coast, projected changes are smaller in the hosing simulation and generally negative in the ensemble simulation. The ensemble simulation shows a decrease in the strongest northerly winds as well as the growth in the westerlies. Overall, these low-likelihood increases over the 21st century associated with storminess are smaller than the likely contribution from mean sea-level rise over the same period, but, importantly, larger than the so-called “high-end” changes associated with storminess that were reported in UKCP18.

Triple dip La-Nina, unorthodox circulation and unusual spin in air quality of India

The recent La-Nina phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon unusually lasted for third consecutive year, has disturbed global weather and linked to Indian monsoon. However, our understanding on the linkages of such changes to regional air quality is poor. We hereby provide a mechanism that beyond just influencing the meteorology, the interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere during the retreating phase of the La-Niña produced secondary results that significantly influenced the normal distribution of air quality over India through disturbed large-scale wind patterns. The winter of 2022–23 that coincided with retreating phase of the unprecedented triple dip La-Niña, was marred by a mysterious trend in air quality in different climatological regions of India, not observed in recent decades. The unusually worst air quality over South-Western India, whereas relatively cleaner air over the highly polluted North India, where levels of most toxic pollutant (PM2.5) deviating up to about ±30 % from earlier years. The dominance of higher northerly wind in the transport level forces influx and relatively slower winds near the surface, trapping pollutants in peninsular India, thereby notably increasing PM2.5 concentration. In contrast, too feeble western disturbances, and unique wind patterns with the absence of rain and clouds and faster ventilation led to a significant improvement in air quality in the North. The observed findings are validated by the chemical-transport model when forced with the climatology of the previous year. The novelty of present research is that it provides an association of air quality with climate change. We demonstrate that the modulated large-scale wind patterns linked to climatic changes may have far-reaching consequences even at a local scale leading to unusual changes in the distribution of air pollutants, suggesting ever-stringent emission control actions.

Destratifying and Restratifying Instabilities During Down‐Front Wind Events: A Case Study in the Irminger Sea

AbstractObservations indicate that symmetric instability is active in the East Greenland Current during strong northerly wind events. Theoretical considerations suggest that mesoscale baroclinic instability may also be enhanced during these events. An ensemble of idealized numerical ocean models forced with northerly winds shows that the short time‐scale response (from 10 days to 3 weeks) to the increased baroclinicity of the flow is the excitation of symmetric instability, which sets the potential vorticity of the flow to zero. The high latitude of the current means that the zero potential vorticity state has low stratification, and symmetric instability destratifies the water column. On longer time scales (greater than 4 weeks), baroclinic instability is excited and the associated slumping of isopycnals restratifies the water column. Eddy‐resolving models that fail to resolve the submesoscale should consider using submesoscale parameterizations to prevent the formation of overly stratified frontal systems following down‐front wind events. The mixed layer in the current deepens at a rate proportional to the square root of the time‐integrated wind stress. Peak water mass transformation rates vary linearly with the time‐integrated wind stress. Mixing rates saturate at high wind stresses during wind events of a fixed duration which means increasing the peak wind stress in an event leads to no extra mixing. Using ERA5 reanalysis data we estimate that between 0.9 Sv and 1.0 Sv of East Greenland Coastal Current Waters are produced by mixing with lighter surface waters during wintertime due to down‐front wind events. Similar amounts of East Greenland‐Irminger Current water are produced.

Evaluation of the first year of Pandora NO2 measurements over Beijing and application to satellite validation

Abstract. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a highly photochemically reactive gas, has a lifetime of only a few hours, and at high concentrations is harmful to human beings. Therefore, it is important to monitor NO2 with high-precision, time-resolved instruments. To this end, a Pandora spectrometer has been installed on the roof of the laboratory building of the Aerospace Information Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in the Olympic Park, Beijing, China. The concentrations of trace gases (including NO2, HCHO, O3) measured with Pandora are made available through the open-access Pandora database (https://data.pandonia-global-network.org/Beijing-RADI/Pandora171s1/, last access: 11 July 2023). In this paper, an overview is presented of the Pandora total and tropospheric NO2 vertical column densities (VCDs) and surface concentrations collected during the first year of operation, i.e., from August 2021 to July 2022. The data show that NO2 concentrations were high in the winter and low in the summer, with a diurnal cycle where the concentrations reached a minimum during the daytime. The concentrations were significantly lower during the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, showing the effectiveness of the emission control measures during that period. The Pandora observations show that during northerly winds, clean air is transported to Beijing with low NO2 concentrations, whereas during southerly winds, pollution from surrounding areas is transported to Beijing and NO2 concentrations are high. The contribution of tropospheric NO2 to the total NO2 VCD varies significantly on daily to seasonal timescales; i.e., monthly averages vary between 50 % and 60 % in the winter and between 60 % and 70 % in the spring and autumn. A comparison of Pandora-measured surface concentrations with collocated in situ measurements using a Thermo Scientific 42i-TL analyzer shows that the Pandora data are low and that the relationship between Pandora-derived surface concentrations and in situ measurements is different for low and high NO2 concentrations. Explanations for these differences are offered in terms of measurement techniques and physical (transport) phenomena. The use of Pandora total and tropospheric NO2 VCDs for validation of collocated TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) data, resampled to 100 m × 100 m, shows that although on average the TROPOMI VCDs are slightly lower, they are well within the expected error for TROPOMI of 0.5 Pmolec.cm-2 + (0.2 to 0.5) ⋅ VCDtrop (1 Pmolec.cm-2 = 1 × 1015 molec cm−2). The location of the Pandora instrument within a sub-orbital TROPOMI pixel of 3.5 km × 5.5 km may result in an error in the TROPOMI-derived tropospheric NO2 VCD between 0.223 and 0.282 Pmolec.cm-2, i.e., between 1.7 % and 2 %. In addition, the data also show that the Pandora observations at the Beijing-RADI site are representative of an area with a radius of 10 km.

Tornadoes in Southeast South America: Mesoscale to Planetary-Scale Environments

Abstract A multiscale analysis of the environment supporting tornadoes in southeast South America (SESA) was conducted based on a self-constructed database of 74 reports. Composites of environmental and convective parameters from ERA5 were generated relative to tornado events. The distribution of the reported tornadoes maximizes over the Argentine plains, while events are rare close to the Andes and south of Sierras de Córdoba. Events are relatively common in all seasons except in winter. Proximity environment evolution shows enhanced instability, deep-layer vertical wind shear, storm-relative helicity, reduced convective inhibition, and a lowered lifting condensation level before or during the development of tornadic storms in SESA. No consistent signal in low-level wind shear is seen during tornado occurrence. However, a curved hodograph with counterclockwise rotation is present. The Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) is also maximized prior to tornadogenesis, most strongly associated with enhanced CAPE. Differences in the convective environment between tornadoes in SESA and the U.S. Great Plains are discussed. On the synoptic scale, tornado events are associated with a strong anomalous trough crossing the southern Andes that triggers lee cyclogenesis, subsequently enhancing the South American low-level jet (SALLJ) that increases moisture advection to support deep convection. This synoptic trough also enhances vertical shear that, along with enhanced instability, sustains organized convection capable of producing tornadic storms. At planetary scales, the tornadic environment is modulated by Rossby wave trains that appear to be forced by convection near northern Australia. Madden–Julian oscillation phase 3 preferentially occurs 1–2 weeks ahead of tornado occurrence. Significance Statement The main goal of this study is to describe what atmospheric conditions (from local to global scales) are present prior to and during tornadic storms impacting southeast South America (SESA). Increasing potential for deep convection, wind shear, and potential for rotating updrafts, as well as reducing convective inhibition and cloud-base height, are predominant a few hours before and during the events in connection to low-level northerly winds enhancing moisture transport to the region. Remote convective activity near northern Australia appears to influence large-scale atmospheric circulation that subsequently triggers convective storms supporting tornadogenesis 1–2 weeks later in SESA. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for atmospheric processes occurring at different scales to understand and predict tornado occurrences.

An Extreme Marine Heatwave Event in the Yellow Sea during Winter 2019/20: Causes and Consequences

Increasing evidence has shown that marine heatwaves (MHWs) have destructive impacts on marine ecosystems, and understanding the causes of these events is beneficial for mitigating the associated adverse effects on the provision of ecosystem services. During the 2019/20 boreal winter, a long-lasting extreme MHW event was recorded (over 90 days) in the Yellow Sea (YS). Observations and numerical experiments revealed that the unprecedented winter MHW event was initiated and sustained by a significant decrease in ocean heat loss in the YS, which may be associated with the pronounced weakening of the Siberian high system induced by an extreme positive Arctic Oscillation (AO) event. A weakened northerly wind is the essential prerequisite, while the extreme AO event is only a trigger for the winter MHW in the YS. It was also found that the extreme winter MHW event is likely to substantially affect the seasonal evolution of the vertical thermal structure, which may have a great impact on the whole ecosystem in the YS. This study provides new insights for the prediction of winter MHWs in the YS, as well as their effects on marine ecosystems in a changing climate.

Anomalous high ozone in the Pearl River Delta, China in 2019: A cause attribution analysis

Surface ozone (O3) pollution in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), especially persistent O3 pollution episodes lasting three days or longer (OPE3), showed an anomalous peak during the autumn of 2019 (bulge-2019). Our research reveals a robust connection between the occurrence of OPE3 events and days with low cloud cover. Specifically, low-cloud days comprised 55% of the total number of OPE3 events in the PRD during the autumn season spanning from 2015 to 2021. Notably, as much as 74% of the bulge-2019 is related to low-cloud days. However, establishing a direct causal link remains challenging. In autumn 2019, an anomalous cyclonic center developed over the Philippine Sea, with anomalous northerly winds on its northwestern flank, leading to anomalous downdraft over South China. This pattern was characterized by stagnant, low relative humidity, intensified solar radiation, and low cloud cover conditions that were conducive to the photochemical formation and accumulation of O3. Further analysis of the relationship between low-cloud days and El Niño–Southern Oscillation shows that eastern Pacific El Niño events are associated with fewer low-cloud days in the PRD in autumn, whereas central Pacific (CP) El Niño events result in more low-cloud days. In addition, the anomalous cyclonic center over the Philippine Sea serves as the crucial atmospheric circulation system connecting CP El Niño and high O3 level over southern China. Therefore, we propose that the increased downdraft of PRD brought by northward tropical cyclones (TCs) during more low-cloud days in 2019 is highly likely the primary cause of the occurrence of the bulge-2019.

Dispersal and grain size characteristics of the May 14, 2018 Shinmoedake eruption deposit, Kirishima Volcano, Japan, based on post-eruption field survey and meteorological datasets

This study describes the dispersal and grain size characteristics of the May 14, 2018 Shinmoedake eruption deposits of Kirishima Volcano in southern Kyushu, southwestern Japan. We discuss the eruption sequence, including the temporal variations in the behavior of the plume, by combining field and meteorological datasets. Following a magmatic activity in 2011 characterized by a substantial change in the eruption style (from subplinian eruptions to lava effusion) and subsequent vulcanian explosions, the Shinmoedake crater experienced intermittent eruptions in 2018. The May 14, 2018 eruption began at 14:44 with a vulcanian eruption, with the eruption plume rising 4500 m above the crater rim. Thereafter, it transitioned to an ash eruption; the plume height decreased gradually until the eruption ceased at 16:10. The tephra fall deposits were distributed more than 27 km to the southeast of the source crater; the mass of the tephra fall deposit was approximately 2.1 × 107 kg, calculated based on an isomass map. The deposit incidence differed between the east and west sides of the major dispersal axis. The deposits found east of the main dispersal axis were primarily composed of coarse to medium sand-sized particles with no fine fraction (fine sand to silt in size). In contrast, the deposits west of the axis were finer-grained than those east of the axis. We analyzed photographs of the eruption plume, along with the regional meteorological data and the dispersal and grain-size characteristics of the deposits, and reached the following conclusion: during the May 14, 2018 eruption, the wind directions above the Shinmoedake crater fluctuated across altitudes. The westerly winds dispersed the eruption plume that rose to a higher altitude, containing coarser tephra associated with the initial vulcanian eruption, further to the east rather than along the main axis. In contrast, a lower-altitude ash eruption plume that was rich in fine materials was dispersed westward rather than along the main axis, which was influenced by northerly winds. The findings of this study can support the analysis of similar volcanic events.Graphical

Mechanisms Controlling the 4D Distribution of Rainfall and Latent Heating Over the Rainiest Region on Earth

AbstractGlobal Precipitation Measurement satellite and ERA5 reanalysis data are used to study the 4D (latitude, longitude, altitude, time) distribution of rainfall intensity and latent heating fields over the rainiest region on Earth, located over western Colombia and the far eastern equatorial Pacific. The annual and interannual variability and the location of both variables' maxima are identified, and their spatiotemporal correlations are quantified. Static analyses of the winds show that the colder Choco low‐level jet (LLJ) and the warmer Caribbean‐Panama jet form a tropical frontal system. Dynamic analyses of 3D streamlines reveal that the Choco LLJ is at the core of a quasi‐permanent mini‐Hadley cell over the Pacific, with sinking motion between 6°S‐Equator and rising motion at 5°N–8°N, comprised between 1,000 and 700 hPa. Such vortex dynamics enhances the convergence of the northerly winds and the Panama jet, and exacerbates deep convection in association with the orographic lifting over the Colombian Andes. The large‐scale branches of that flow illuminate the shape and dynamics of the Walker cell over tropical South America. Correlation analyses illustrate the connections between rainfall and 3D winds as moisture transport mechanisms. Correlation and singular value decomposition analyses suggest that oceanic (continental) evaporation is associated with rainfall during the drier (wetter) season, and the importance of high‐levels temperatures and vertical integrals of diverse thermal and energy variables on rainfall bolster the view that the condensational heating is strongly coupled with the moisture transport flow and the convective ascent required to explain such extraordinary amounts of rainfall.

Quantification of the extremely intensified East Korea Warm Current in the summer of 2021: offshore and coastal variabilities

In this study, we investigate the record-breaking intensification and abrupt weakening of the East Korea Warm Current (EKWC) in the summer of 2021. We analyzed the ocean data assimilation products resolving this event to examine the association between the abrupt changes in the EKWC and various oceanic/atmospheric factors. The results indicate that during the summer of 2021, the EKWC extended northward beyond its climatology, reaching up to 40°N with the maximum speed of 1.16 m s-1 on August 1. In mid-August, the EKWC underwent a rapid weakening, returning to its climatological level. We could attribute the temporal variability in the anomalous EKWC in 2021 to the distinct temporal variability in the dynamic height anomalies between coastal and offshore regions. The offshore variability in the dynamic height anomaly, which is related to warm eddy variability, led to an anomalously increased EKWC velocity (up to 0.59 m s-1) during the EKWC peak velocity period in 2021. However, anomalous coastal downwelling induced by a weak northerly wind anomaly decelerated the EKWC by -0.06 m s-1 in the same period. In mid-August, a typhoon-related northerly wind induced a sudden rise in the coastal dynamic height anomaly, resulting in a rapid weakening of the EKWC. Our findings suggest that changes in geostrophic current related to warm eddies and typhoons have substantially contributed to the temporal variability in the EKWC, improving our understanding of the temporal variability in the western boundary currents.

An observational study on the microclimate and soil thermal regimes under solar photovoltaic arrays

The high demand for low-carbon energy sources to mitigate climate change has prompted a rapid increase in ground-mounted solar parks. The implementation of photovoltaic (PV) significantly impacted the local climate and ecosystem, which are both poorly understood. To investigate the effects of a typical solar park on the Gobi ecological system, local microclimate and soil thermal regimes were measured year-round under and between PV arrays, at an applied solar park sited in Xinjiang, China. Our results demonstrated their seasonal and diurnal changes. Under solar PV arrays, the mean annual net radiation and wind speed decreased by 92.68 % and 50.53 % respectively. In contrast, PV panels caused an increase of the rear sides air by 10.12 % with 0.87 °C. South-facing PV panels reduced wind speed with the prevailing northerly wind below. In addition, the relative humidity rapidly decreased when snow covered the ground, but slightly increased from April to September. We found the soil under PV panels was cooler and tended to be a sink of energy during spring and summer whereas was more often a source during autumn and winter compared with the soil between PV panels. Observed data developed the understanding of the energy processes of solar parks in Gobi ecosystems and provided evidence to support the sustainable management of the solar park.

What caused the unseasonal extreme dust storm in Uzbekistan during November 2021?

An unseasonal dust storm hit large parts of Central Asia on 4–5 November 2021, setting records for the column aerosol burden and fine particulate concentration in Tashkent, Uzbekistan. The dust event originated from an agropastoral region in southern Kazakhstan, where the soil erodibility was enhanced by a prolonged agricultural drought resulting from La Niña-related precipitation deficit and persistent high atmospheric evaporative demand. The dust outbreak was triggered by sustained postfrontal northerly winds during an extreme cold air outbreak. The cold air and dust outbreaks were preceded by a chain of processes consisting of recurrent synoptic-scale transient Rossby wave packets over the North Pacific and North Atlantic, upper-level wave breaking and blocking over Greenland, followed by high-latitude blocking over Northern Europe and West Siberia, and the equatorward shift of a tropopause polar vortex and cold pool into southern Kazakhstan. Our study suggests that the historic dust storm in Uzbekistan was a compound weather event driven by cold extreme, high winds, and drought precondition.

Characteristics and mechanisms of the severe compound cold-wet event in southern China during February 2022

A severe compound cold-wet event occurred in southern China (hereafter referred to as CWESC ) in February 2022, leading to enormous socioeconomic losses. In this study, we proposed a new index to denote the severity of the compound cold-wet event. Based on the multivariate survival method, the CWESC in February 2022 is identified as the severest event during the past six decades. Our results indicate that the CWESC in 2022 is jointly regulated by the La Niña-like SST condition in the tropical Pacific and the warm SST anomalies in the North Atlantic, and a teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere during winter (hereafter referred to as TNHW) plays the key role. The TNHW pattern originates from the tropical Pacific, and it splits into two routes over the North Atlantic. The northern branch of TNHW propagates via the Arctic and Siberia, causing intensified near-surface northerly wind and partially inducing an anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific (WNP). The southern branch of TNHW propagates via the Mediterranean and western Asia, inducing a deepened India–Burma trough and partially inducing the anomalous anticyclone over WNP. The intensified near-surface northerly wind causes enhanced cold advection over southern China, while the deepened India–Burma trough and the anomalous anticyclone over WNP cause increased southerly warm and moist air flow towards southern China, resulting in the CWESC in 2022. Moreover, four groups of numerical experiments forced by tropical Pacific, North Pacific, and North Atlantic SST anomalies are conducted based on the Community Atmosphere Model version 5. The results confirm the important roles of the La Niña-like condition and the warm SST anomalies in the North Atlantic in causing the CWESC in 2022.

Sea-land breezes in the Guangdong- Hong Kong- Macau Greater Bay Area coastal zone from 2013 to 2022

Sea-land breezes (SLBs11SLB, sea-land breeze; GBA, Greater Bay Area) are mesoscale circulation phenomena that significantly affect weather and air quality in coastal regions. The Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA), one of the most densely populated and economically developed regions in China, experiences frequent SLB intrusion. In this study, we examined the SLB features in the GBA from 2013 to 2022 based on observations, focusing particularly on the influence of synoptic conditions on SLB behaviour and their interplay. The annual average daily sea and land wind speeds ranged from 2.8 to 3.2 m/s and 1.9 to 2.2 m/s, and from 1.8 to 2.2 m/s and 1.6 to 1.9 m/s in the eastern and western GBA, respectively. The start time of sea (land) winds first appeared at 0000 (1100) UTC and finally occurred at 0900 (2000) UTC. Climatologically, SLBs were observed more frequently when southerly synoptic winds prevailed in the GBA. SLBs were stronger under synoptic northerly winds, but weaker when synoptic southerly winds prevailed. The diurnal evolution amplitude of SLB strength was much more significant under the control of synoptic northerly winds. In addition, SLBs modified synoptic winds, leading to the distortion of the observed diurnal wind patterns. A southerly increment in synoptic winds was observed from noon to early night on SLB days, whereas a northerly increment was observed from midnight to morning. Northerly synoptic winds weakened or even transformed into southerly winds in the afternoon, whereas southerly synoptic winds were found to decrease or even turn northerly at night. Our study provides an integrated understanding of SLBs in the GBA, especially regarding the behaviour of SLBs under various synoptic conditions and their modification on synoptic winds that reshape the observed wind patterns. These results provide useful information for weather simulations in coastal areas.

Increasing Fire Weather Potential Over Northeast China Linked to Declining Bering Sea Ice

AbstractNortheast China (NEC) is one of the most severely impacted regions by fire and biomass burning in the country. Notably, fires in this area have exhibited an increasing trend over the past decade, contrasting with the extensive pollution reduction observed in other parts of China. In this study, we combine observational data analysis and climate model simulations to demonstrate that the escalation of spring fire activities in NEC is likely induced by a decline in Bering Sea ice concentration during preceding months. This Arctic‐driven teleconnection contributes to increased temperatures and decreased precipitation in NEC through reduced vertical wind shear, anomalously northerly wind transport, and the formation of a high‐pressure center with descending airflow. These changes are conducive to fire ignition and expansion. Furthermore, this linkage may be amplified in future warmer scenarios. This mechanism holds significant implications for predicting decadal fire activity and furthering our understanding of global environmental projections.

A Surface Radiation Balance Dataset from Siple Dome in West Antarctica for Atmospheric and Climate Model Evaluation

Abstract A field campaign at Siple Dome in West Antarctica during the austral summer 2019/20 offers an opportunity to evaluate climate model performance, particularly cloud microphysical simulation. Over Antarctic ice sheets and ice shelves, clouds are a major regulator of the surface energy balance, and in the warm season their presence occasionally induces surface melt that can gradually weaken an ice shelf structure. This dataset from Siple Dome, obtained using transportable and solar-powered equipment, includes surface energy balance measurements, meteorology, and cloud remote sensing. To demonstrate how these data can be used to evaluate model performance, comparisons are made with meteorological reanalysis known to give generally good performance over Antarctica (ERA5). Surface albedo measurements show expected variability with observed cloud amount, and can be used to evaluate a model’s snowpack parameterization. One case study discussed involves a squall with northerly winds, during which ERA5 fails to produce cloud cover throughout one of the days. A second case study illustrates how shortwave spectroradiometer measurements that encompass the 1.6-μm atmospheric window reveal cloud phase transitions associated with cloud life cycle. Here, continuously precipitating mixed-phase clouds become mainly liquid water clouds from local morning through the afternoon, not reproduced by ERA5. We challenge researchers to run their various regional or global models in a manner that has the large-scale meteorology follow the conditions of this field campaign, compare cloud and radiation simulations with this Siple Dome dataset, and potentially investigate why cloud microphysical simulations or other model components might produce discrepancies with these observations. significance statement Antarctica is a critical region for understanding climate change and sea level rise, as the great ice sheets and the ice shelves are subject to increasing risk as global climate warms. Climate models have difficulties over Antarctica, particularly with simulation of cloud properties that regulate snow surface melting or refreezing. Atmospheric and climate-related field work has significant challenges in the Antarctic, due to the small number of research stations that can support state-of-the-art equipment. Here we present new data from a suite of transportable and solar-powered instruments that can be deployed to remote Antarctic sites, including regions where ice shelves are most at risk, and we demonstrate how key components of climate model simulations can be evaluated against these data.

Sediment exchange between southern yellow sea and Yangtze river Estuary in response to storm events

The pattern of sediment exchange between the Yangtze River Estuary and the southern Yellow Sea constitutes a crucial yet contentious line of scientific inquiry. This conundrum hampers our comprehensive understanding to predict the future morphological evolution of the radial sand ridges and Jiangsu tidal flats. This study investigates various processes, including tides, wind and waves, to identify the dominant factor controlling sediment exchange between the southern Yellow Sea and the Yangtze River Estuary under storm conditions, using a validated numerical model. Our results show that tide is the dominant force controlling hydrodynamics and sediment transport between the two systems. Tidally induced residual currents and sediment fluxes exhibit a consistent northwesterly trajectory, from the Yangtze River Estuary to the southern Yellow Sea. Conversely, the contributions of wind and wave-induced currents under normal wind conditions (Beaufort Scale 3, 3.4 m s−1) adjust net sediment flux by less than 10 and 46–68%, respectively. In particular, the influence of wind and waves on sediment transport varies significantly with wind direction. While southerly or southeasterly winds amplify the tide-induced northwestward sediment transport, northerly or northeasterly winds curtail it. Under strong winter storm conditions, however, the perturbation caused by northerly winds and waves supersedes the influence of tides in controlling sediment transport, leading to a net residual current and sediment flux oriented southeastwards.

Hydrography of Northern Thermaikos Gulf based on an integrated observational-modeling approach

The Northern Thermaikos Gulf is a semi-enclosed coastal region of the Aegean Sea, characterized by anthropogenic and natural stresses such as intense industrial and agricultural activities, urban outflows, and several river discharges facing severe pollution events. The main motivation of this study is to investigate the prevailing oceanographic conditions of Northern Thermaikos Gulf, which are associated with the quality of the semi-enclosed basin's water masses. The hydrography and the hydrodynamic circulation patterns are revisited, based on the findings of a multi-platform observational study, conducted during a recent annual cycle, from June 2021 until May 2022. The observational findings are supported by a three-dimensional high-resolution hydrodynamic model (Deltf3D-Thermaikos) with updated freshwater input from all important land sources. The physical connectivity between the sub-basins of Thermaikos, the renewal of its northern coastal areas and the seawater quality are strongly related to the variability of wind-induced circulation. Northerly and southerly winds affect the spreading of the nutrient-rich riverine waters, discharged at the west coast of the gulf. The prevailing northerly winds contribute to the southward removal of the polluted sea surface and riverine waters, enhancing the cyclonic circulation around the gulf, allowing the inflow of clearer Aegean Sea Waters along the eastern coasts of the gulf. Northerlies also promote a connectivity pathway between the environmentally stressed Thessaloniki Bay (urban seafront) and the commonly less polluted southeastern coasts of the central basin. Southerlies mainly confine riverine waters in the western and northern coastal regions, weaken the renewal ability of the enclosed basins, and impose the formation of anticyclonic, mesoscale, circulation eddies in the outer and central areas.