Han Y, Smithheart JW, Smyth RL, Aziz TN, Obenour CR. 2019. Assessing vertical diffusion and cyanobacteria bloom potential in a shallow eutrophic reservoir. Lake Reserv Manage. 36:169–185.Harmful blooms of cyanobacteria are an increasing threat to many lakes and reservoirs. While vertical mixing has been shown to be an important control on cyanobacteria dominance in some lakes, the relevance of mixing in relatively shallow turbid systems remains unclear. To explore mixing and its impact on cyanobacteria bloom potential, we leveraged data from a multiyear field campaign of a central North Carolina reservoir where artificial circulators were installed to (1) implement a parsimonious one-dimensional (1D) turbulent diffusion model with an artificial circulation term, (2) introduce a novel multi-objective calibration approach considering both water column temperature and stability, and (3) explore how mixing affects cyanobacteria bloom potential through changes in cyanobacteria light exposure relative to other algal taxa. Our multi-objective calibration approach is shown to realistically simulate both water temperature (R2 = 0.99) and water column stability (R2 = 0.62) throughout the year. Analysis of artificial mixing demonstrates the relative insignificance of the circulator deployment in our study area and suggests that at least eight times the implemented circulation rate would be required to substantially reduce the ability of buoyant cyanobacteria to outcompete other algal taxa for light. Overall, this study demonstrates an efficient and systematic approach for characterizing vertical mixing in lakes and reservoirs, which can be used to assess the viability of artificial circulation prior to deployment.
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