Introduction Apixaban and rivaroxaban are the most commonly used direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for atrial fibrillation (AF) and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Both have been compared to warfarin in landmark clinical trials. However, there are limited comparative efficacy data between these drugs in a real-world setting. We sought to assess patient characteristics and outcomes of apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin in a non-trial based study cohort. Methods Retrospective registry-based cohort of adults starting apixaban, rivaroxaban, or warfarin therapy or switching between these anticoagulants for the indications of VTE and/or non-valvular AF. Through the Michigan Anticoagulation Quality Improvement Initiative (MAQI 2) collaborative of six anticoagulation clinics, warfarin treated patients were followed from January 2009 to June 2023. Four of these clinics contributed DOAC patient data from June 2011 to June 2023. Patients treated with other anticoagulants, with valvular AF, or with less than 3 months of follow-up were excluded. Propensity matched cohorts (apixaban versus warfarin [1:1], rivaroxaban versus warfarin [1:3], and apixaban versus rivaroxaban [1:1]) of patients were analyzed based on DOAC use at study enrollment, using 1:1-3:1 matching ratios. Patients were matched based on demographics, social history, comorbidities, medications, bleeding/thrombotic history, indication for anticoagulation, and follow-up. The primary outcome was any new bleeding event. Secondary outcomes included new episodes of thrombosis, bleeding event type (major, fatal, life threatening, central nervous system, and non-major bleeding), emergency room (ER) visits, hospitalizations, and death. Random chart audits were done to confirm the accuracy of the abstracted data. Event rates were compared using Poisson regression. Results Of 13,435 patients on OAC who met the study inclusion criteria (3,536 on apixaban, 1,395 on rivaroxaban, and 8,504 on warfarin), the average age was 66.7 years (standard deviation [SD] 14.9 years), 51.1% identified as male, most (58.0%) were on anticoagulation for AF, and the average follow-up was 28.2 months (SD 30.7 months). After propensity matching, 3,527 patients on apixaban were compared to 3,527 patients on warfarin. Any bleeding was similar between groups, but major bleeding was higher with warfarin (3.4 versus 4.7 events/100 patient years, p<0.001). Thrombotic event rates were higher with apixaban (2.6 versus 2.1 events/100 patient years, p=0.026), including the thrombotic subtype of other thrombosis (1.0 versus 0.5 events/100 patient years, p<0.001). Rates of ER visits and hospitalizations for bleeding were higher with warfarin. Mortality was higher with warfarin (3.7 versus 4.4 deaths/100 patient years, p=0.027). After propensity matching, 1,395 patients on rivaroxaban were compared to 4,185 patients on warfarin. Any bleeding and major bleeding were higher with rivaroxaban (37.9 versus 24.9 events/100 patient years, p<0.001; 4.7 versus 3.6 events/100 patient years, p=0.041 respectively). Thrombotic event rates were similar, aside from a higher rate of the thrombotic subtype of other thrombosis with rivaroxaban (1.0 versus 0.3 events/100 patient years, p=0.002). ER visits, hospitalizations, and mortality were similar between rivaroxaban and warfarin. After propensity matching, 1,395 patients on apixaban were compared to 1,395 patients on rivaroxaban. Any bleeding and major bleeding were higher with rivaroxaban (37.9 versus 25.7 events/100 patient years, p<0.001; 4.7 versus 2.6 events/100 patient years, p<0.001). Thrombotic event rates were similar. ER visits occurred more frequently on rivaroxaban (12.8 versus 10.1 events/100 patient years, p=0.003) as did patient mortality (3.5 versus 2.6 deaths/100 patient years, p=0.047). Conclusions For patients on oral anticoagulation for AF and/or VTE we observed that bleeding was highest with rivaroxaban, followed by warfarin, and then apixaban. Rates of thrombosis were higher with apixaban compared to warfarin, seemingly largely driven by “other” thrombotic events. Thrombotic event rates were otherwise similar between apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin. We observed apixaban to be associated with lower mortality than rivaroxaban and warfarin. While these findings should be confirmed with randomized studies, they may have implications for anticoagulant selection.
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