Non-volcanic Tremor Research Articles

Seismic attenuation and stress on the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: are we critical yet?

The Parkfield transitional segment of the San Andreas Fault (SAF) is characterized by the production of frequent quasi-periodical M6 events that break the very same asperity. The last Parkfield mainshock occurred on 28 September 2004, 38 years after the 1966 earthquake, and after the segment showed a ∼22 years average recurrence time. The main reason for the much longer interevent period between the last two earthquakes is thought to be the reduction of the Coulomb stress from the M6.5 Coalinga earthquake of 2 May 1983, and the M6 Nuñez events of June 11th and 22 July 1983. Plausibly, the transitional segment of the SAF at Parkfield is now in the late part of its seismic cycle and current observations may all be relative to a state of stress close to criticality. However, the behavior of the attenuation parameter in the last few years seems substantially different from the one that characterized the years prior to the 2004 mainshock. A few questions arise: (i) Does a detectable preparation phase for the Parkfield mainshocks exist, and is it the same for all events? (ii) How dynamically/kinematically similar are the quasi-periodic occurrences of the Parkfield mainshocks? (iii) Are some dynamic/kinematic characteristics of the next mainshock predictable from the analysis of current data? (e.g., do we expect the epicenter of the next failure to be co-located to that of 2004?) (iv) Should we expect the duration of the current interseismic period to be close to the 22-year “undisturbed” average value? We respond to the questions listed above by analyzing the non-geometric attenuation of direct S-waves along the transitional segment of the SAF at Parkfield, in the close vicinity of the fault plane, between January 2001 and November 2023. Of particular interest is the preparatory behavior of the attenuation parameter as the 2004 mainshock approached, on both sides of the SAF. We also show that the non-volcanic tremor activity modulates the seismic attenuation in the area, and possibly the seismicity along the Parkfield fault segment, including the occurrence of the mainshocks.

Variable seismic responsiveness to stress perturbations along the shallow section of subduction zones: The role of different slip modes and implications for the stability of fault segments

Assessing the stability state of fault interfaces is a task of primary interest not only for seismic hazards, but also for understanding how the earthquake machine works. Nowadays it is well known that a relationship exists between slow and fast earthquakes; moreover, it is more and more evident that such a connection is quite diffuse all over the Earth. In this paper, we perform a spatial and temporal analysis of both geodetic and seismic—non-volcanic tremors, low-frequency events (LFEs), and regular earthquakes—time series. We focus on the relationship between the clustering of properties of the different kinds of seismicity and their response to stress perturbations. Earth tides and large earthquakes are used as a source of additional stress. Seismic activity hosted in the Cascadia subduction zone, Manawatu region in New Zealand, and Japan during the last two decades is considered. Our analysis suggests that tremors become more and more sensitive to Earth-tide perturbations as the fault interface is seismically locked. Therefore, tremors and regular events show a similar response to tidal stress perturbations. This feature is also accompanied by relatively lower spatial and temporal coefficients of variation. A series of recordings by several GNSS stations along the Hikurangi Trench, North Island, New Zealand, and along the Nankai coasts in Japan is taken into account for studying how large thrust-faulting earthquakes affect silent events and geodetic signals and vice versa. In the last section, a simple model for grasping a glimpse of the local stability condition of the Earth’s crust and for explaining previous observations is provided.

SCENTAR: A High-Density Nodal Array to Study the Structure and Seismogenic Behavior of the Southern Cascadia Forearc

Abstract Tectonic and seismogenic variations in subduction forearcs can be linked through various processes associated with subduction. Along the Cascadia forearc, significant variations between different geologic expressions of subduction appear to correlate, such as episodic tremor-and-slip (ETS) recurrence interval, intraslab seismicity, slab dip, uplift and exhumation rates, and topography, which allows for the systematic study of the plausible controlling mechanisms behind these variations. Even though the southern Cascadia forearc has the broadest topographic expression and shortest ETS recurrence intervals along the margin, it has been relatively underinstrumented with modern seismic equipment. Therefore, better seismic images are needed before robust comparisons with other portions of the forearc can be made. In March 2020, we deployed the Southern Cascadia Earthquake and Tectonics Array throughout the southern Cascadia forearc. This array consisted of 60 continuously recording three-component nodal seismometers with an average station spacing of ∼15 km, and stations recorded ∼38 days of data on average. We will analyze this newly collected nodal dataset to better image the structural characteristics and constrain the seismogenic behavior of the southern Cascadia forearc. The main goals of this project are to (1) constrain the precise location of the plate interface through seismic imaging and the analysis of seismicity, (2) characterize the lower crustal architecture of the overriding forearc crust to understand the role that this plays in enabling the high nonvolcanic tremor density and short episodic slow-slip recurrence intervals in the region, and (3) attempt to decouple the contributions of subduction versus San Andreas–related deformation to uplift along this particularly elevated portion of the Cascadia forearc. The results of this project will shed light on the controlling mechanisms behind heterogeneous ETS behavior and variable forearc surficial responses to subduction in Cascadia, with implications for other analogous subduction margins.

The sensitivity of the intraplate Kachchh Rift Basin, NW India to the direction of incoming seismic waves of teleseismic earthquakes

SUMMARY The dynamic stresses generated during the passage of surface waves perturb most major plate boundaries and active volcanic/geothermal regions. The present investigation aims to understand and find evidence for dynamic triggering in the intraplate Kachchh Rift Basin, northwestern India. We analysed the local earthquake catalogues and waveforms of 36 teleseismic earthquakes with Mw ≥ 7.5, which occurred between 2007 and 2017 and generated peak dynamic stresses of at least 1 kPa. The study manually examines the waveforms 24 hr before and after the teleseismic P wave and detects missing earthquakes by applying the matched filter technique. Notably, the analysis reveals that 6 out of 36 earthquakes (17 per cent of the analysed earthquakes) are responsible for triggering non-volcanic tremors or microearthquakes during the passage of surface waves and later. Although the triggering potential in the region seems insensitive to the amplitude of dynamic stresses imparted by the teleseismic surface waves, the direction of the incoming waves appears critical. The surface waves of events whose backazimuths are parallel to the strike of the active faults are capable of triggering. The triggered earthquakes lie along the Kachchh Mainland Fault, North Wagad Fault and South Wagad Fault, in the vicinity of the epicentre of the 2001 January 26, Mw 7.7 Bhuj earthquake. The largest triggered event of magnitude 3.2 occurred ∼7 hr after the 2009 October 7, Mw 7.7 Vanuatu event.

A strength inversion origin for non-volcanic tremor

Non-volcanic tremor is a particularly enigmatic form of seismic activity. In its most studied subduction zone setting, tremor typically occurs within the plate interface at or near the shallow and deep edges of the interseismically locked zone. Detailed seismic observations have shown that tremor is composed of repeating small low-frequency earthquakes, often accompanied by very-low-frequency earthquakes, all involving shear failure and slip. However, low-frequency earthquakes and very-low-frequency earthquakes within each cluster show nearly constant source durations for all observed magnitudes, which implies characteristic tremor sub-event sources of near-constant size. Here we integrate geological observations and geomechanical lab measurements on heterogeneous rock assemblages representative of the shallow tremor region offshore the Middle America Trench with numerical simulations to demonstrate that these tremor events are consistent with the seismic failure of relatively weaker blocks within a stronger matrix. In these subducting rocks, hydrothermalism has led to a strength-inversion from a weak matrix with relatively stronger blocks to a stronger matrix with embedded relatively weaker blocks. Tremor naturally occurs as the now-weaker blocks fail seismically while their surrounding matrix has not yet reached a state of general seismic failure.

Along‐Dip Segmentation of the Slip Behavior and Rheology of the Copiapó Ridge Subducted in North‐Central Chile

AbstractWe studied the along‐dip influence of the Copiapó ridge subduction in the Atacama region, North‐Central Chile by building a new seismicity catalog, including similar events and non‐volcanic tremors (NVTs). We also obtained a 3‐D tomographic model for P and S‐waves velocity (and the implied Vp/Vs ratio). We identify along‐dip segmentation involving four distinct segments: a locked seismogenic zone hosting ordinary seismicity and clusters of similar events; a transition zone with NVTs and low seismicity; an aseismic zone with slow‐slip events; and a deep zone with abundant intraslab seismicity. The velocity models show differences among these zones, with low velocity anomalies of Vp and Vs coinciding with aseismic slip zones, indicating the possible presence of fluids. Due to the spatial distribution along‐strike and along‐dip of the aseismic zones, we propose that these differences in seismogenic behavior are generated by subduction of the heterogeneous seamounts associated with the Copiapó ridge.

Co-seismic and post-seismic deformation for the 1995 Colima–Jalisco and 2003 Tecomán thrust earthquakes, Mexico subduction zone, from modelling of GPS data

SUMMARYWe invert ∼25 yr of campaign and continuous Global Positioning System daily positions at 62 sites in southwestern Mexico to estimate co-seismic and post-seismic afterslip solutions for the 1995 Mw = 8.0 Colima–Jalisco and the 2003 Mw = 7.5 Tecomán earthquakes, and the long-term velocity of each GPS site. Estimates of the viscoelastic effects of both earthquakes from a 3-D model with an elastic crust and subducting slab, and linear Maxwell viscoelastic mantle are used to correct the GPS position time-series prior to our time-dependent inversions. The preferred model, which optimizes the fit to data from several years of rapid post-seismic deformation after the larger 1995 earthquake, has a mantle Maxwell time of 15 yr (viscosity of 2 × 1019 Pa s), although upper-mantle viscosities as low as 5 × 1018 Pa s cannot be excluded. Our geodetic slip solutions for both earthquakes agree well with previous estimates derived from seismic data or via static co-seismic offset modelling. The afterslip solutions for both earthquakes suggest that most afterslip coincided with the rupture areas or occurred farther downdip and had cumulative moments similar to or larger than the co-seismic moments. Afterslip thus appears to relieve significant stress along the Rivera plate subduction interface, including the area of the interface between a region of deep non-volcanic tremor and the shallower seismogenic zone. We compare the locations of the seismogenic zone, afterslip and tremor in our study area to those of the neighbouring Guerrero and Oaxaca segments of the Mexico subduction zone. Our newly derived interseismic GPS site velocities, the first for western Mexico that are corrected for the co-seismic and post-seismic effects of the 1995 and 2003 earthquakes, are essential for future estimates of the interseismic subduction interface locking and hence the associated seismic hazard.

Role of warm subduction in the seismological properties of the forearc mantle: An example from southwest Japan.

A warm slab thermal structure plays an important role in controlling seismic properties of the slab and mantle wedge. Among warm subduction zones, most notably in southwest Japan, the spatial distribution of large S-wave delay times and deep nonvolcanic tremors in the forearc mantle indicate the presence of a serpentinite layer along the slab interface. However, the conditions under which such a layer is generated remains unclear. Using numerical models, we here show that a serpentinite layer begins to develop by the slab-derived fluids below the deeper end of the slab-mantle decoupling interface and grows toward the corner of the mantle wedge along the interface under warm subduction conditions only, explaining the large S-wave delay times in the forearc mantle. The serpentinite layer then allows continuous free-fluid flow toward the corner of the mantle wedge, presenting possible mechanisms for the deep nonvolcanic tremors in the forearc mantle.

Subcretionary tectonics: Linking variability in the expression of subduction along the Cascadia forearc

A number of seismic and other geophysical phenomena exhibit significant lateral heterogeneity along the strike of the Cascadia forearc. Both the overriding and downgoing plate have been invoked to play the dominant role in controlling along-strike correlations between seismogenic behavior, potential field measurements, morphological/tectonic characteristics, and seismic structure; however, significant feedbacks likely exist between the two. In this study, we apply a 3D velocity correction to receiver function data and interpret the resulting discontinuity model alongside a recently published shear-wave velocity model to understand the possible causative relationships between correlative along-strike variations. Our discontinuity model indicates that the forearc crust thickens as it approaches the mantle wedge corner before progressively thinning toward the magmatic arc, likely due to the basal accretion of material from the downgoing plate to the overriding plate. In the northern and southern portions of the forearc, this “subcreted” material is characterized by thick (∼10 km) anomalously low shear-wave velocity zones. The thickness, high internal reflectivity, and low Bouguer gravity signatures associated with the low velocity zones likely indicate that this subcreted material is composed of dominantly (meta)sedimentary material that has been emplaced through successive subcretion events over geologic timescales. Furthermore, the anomalously low velocities and spatial correlation with high non-volcanic tremor (NVT) density and short slow slip recurrence intervals indicate that these regions are fluid-rich. While first-order variations in the fluids that control NVT and slow slip likely result from differences in the permeability of the downgoing slab as inferred from its stress state and the distribution of intraslab seismicity, these subcreted packages likely represent thick, vertically-impermeable regions in the lower crust that further accentuate this correlation. Variability in the amount of subcretion explains patterns of exhumation and uplift along the Cascadia margin and the resulting forearc topography over geologic timescales, and is likely controlled by some combination plate interface geometry/rheology and overriding plate architecture.

Slab dehydration in warm subduction zones at depths of episodic slip and tremor

Non-volcanic tremor (NVT) and episodic slow slip events (SSEs) have been observed below the seismogenic zone of relatively warm subduction zones for the past 20 years. Geophysical and geologic observations show that this portion of the subduction interface is fluid-rich, and many models for these slip behaviors necessitate high pore fluid pressures. However, whether these fluids are sourced from local dehydration reactions in particular lithologies, or require up-dip transport from greater depths is not known. We present thermodynamic models of the petrologic evolution of four lithologies typical of the plate interface (average MORB, seafloor altered MORB, hydrated depleted MORB mantle, and metapelite) along predicted plate boundary pressure–temperature (P-T) paths at several warm subduction segments where NVT and SSEs are observed at depths between 25-65 km. The models suggest that 1-2 wt% H2O is released at the depths of NVT/SSEs in Jalisco-Colima, Guerrero, Cascadia, and Shikoku due to punctuated dehydration reactions within MORB, primarily through chlorite and/or lawsonite breakdown. These reactions produce sufficient in-situ fluid across a narrow P-T range to cause high pore fluid pressures at NVT/SSE depths. Dehydration of hydrated peridotite is minimal at these depths for most margins, and metapelite releases H2O (<1.5 wt%) gradually over a wide depth range compared to MORB. We posit that punctuated dehydration of oceanic crust provides the dominant source of fluids at the base of the seismogenic zone in these warm subduction zones, and up-dip migration of fluids from deeper in the subduction zone is not required.

Slip Distributions of Short‐Term Slow Slip Events in Shikoku, Southwest Japan, From 2001 to 2019 Based on Tilt Change Measurements

AbstractIn the southwest Japan subduction zone, short‐term slow slip events (SSEs) accompanying nonvolcanic tremor (ETS: episodic tremor and slip) occur repeatedly with recurrence intervals of several months. It is important to know the detailed slip areas of the SSEs because short‐term SSEs occur at the downdip extension of a megathrust earthquake rupture zone, and hence, the SSEs play a key role in the stress buildup processes of the megathrust earthquakes. Although most of the previous studies model a SSE fault motion with uniform slip on a rectangular fault, this may lead to a bias in estimating the slip area. In this study we estimate a spatial slip distribution for each of the short‐term SSEs from tilt offset measurements. In total, the slip distributions of 61 SSEs in Shikoku from January 2001 to March 2019 are obtained. The ETS zone in Shikoku is divided into three segments in terms of slip history of the SSEs. Before 2011, the slip areas of most of the SSEs are limited in any one of the three segments. After 2012, however, the number of SSEs having a slip area that extends to multiple segments increases. The slip histories at each position in the ETS zone suggest that the short‐term SSE activity is affected by the occurrence of nearby long‐term SSEs. The average slip rate over 18 years suggests that an estimated slip deficit in the ETS zone in western Shikoku could be released by long‐term SSEs, or coseismic slip or afterslip of the megathrust earthquakes.

Laboratory simulations of fluid-induced seismicity, hydraulic fracture, and fluid flow

Fluid-induced seismicity has been observed and recorded for decades. Seismic energy necessarily requires a source, which is frequently related to rock fracture either in compression or tension. In both cases, such fracture may be promoted by crustal fluids. In this paper, we review some of the advances in the field of fluid-induced seismicity, with a particular focus on the use and application of new and innovative laboratory methods to better understand the complex, coupled, processes in shallow sub-surface energy extraction applications. We discuss the current state-of-the-art with specific reference to Thermal-Hydraulic-Coupling in volcanotectonic environments, which has a long history of fluid-driven seismic events linked to deep fluid movement. This ranges from local earthquakes to fluid-driven resonance, known as volcanic tremor. More recently so-called non-volcanic tremor has been identified in a range of scenarios where motion at an interface is primarily driven by fluids rather than significant stress release. Finally, we review rock fracture in the tensile regime which occurs naturally and in the engineered environment for developing fractures for the purpose of resource extraction, such as hydraulic fracturing in unconventional hydrocarbon industry or developing Hot-Dry-Rock geothermal reservoirs.

Mantle fluids associated with crustal-scale faulting in a continental subduction setting, Taiwan

We report noble gas signatures of groundwater, hot springs, and bedrock samples from a major fault system that separates regional-scale blocks of accreted, continental materials in southern Taiwan. Despite the continental setting, the isotopic signatures argue for the presence of mantle derived fluids, suggesting that the active fault system is deep-seated. This is consistent with deep, non-volcanic tremors identified in the same area. We speculate that the mantle fluids are escaping along a crustal-scale fault marked by clusters of non-volcanic tremors directly beneath the southern Central Range. The evidence of these tremors and electrical conductivity anomalies along the strike of the fault recognized previously correlated up dip with the surface trace of a major active fault support the hypothesis.

Shallow Nonvolcanic Tremor Activity and Potential Repeating Earthquakes in the Chile Triple Junction: Seismic Evidence of the Subduction of the Active Nazca–Antarctic Spreading Center

ABSTRACT In southern Chile, at ∼46.2°S and ∼75.2°W, the active spreading center between the Nazca and Antarctic plates is colliding with the South American plate, forming the Chile triple junction (CTJ). For 1 yr, from March 2009 to February 2010, five ocean‐bottom seismometers (OBSs) were deployed over the CTJ. We used a portion of the OBS data to study the seismic signatures of the subduction of the active Nazca–Antarctic spreading center. Using the envelope technique, we detected long episodes of shallow nonvolcanic tremor (NVT) activity. To improve the identified location of the NVT activity, we cross‐correlated the vertical and horizontal components of all located NVTs. In different months, we measured the local maximum of the lag‐time correlation near 2 s, which is associated with the lag between the S and P waves (S−Ptime). Furthermore, we observed that in the days with intense tremor activity, the maxima corresponding to S−Ptime emerged in windows without observable NVTs. We suggest that days with intense tremor activity correspond to an almost continuous slow slip, which may accelerate and decelerates nearly randomly, with spatial and temporal heterogeneity. In addition, we detected some potential repeating earthquakes with an S−Ptime near 2 s, as well as NVTs. The detected NVT activity and potential repeating earthquakes suggest the existence of a shallow region close to the CTJ that is able to generate brittle (earthquakes) and brittle–ductile (potential repeating earthquakes and NVTs) ruptures.

The frequency-size scaling of non-volcanic tremors beneath the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Possible implications for seismic energy release

We analyse the frequency-size-distribution of non-volcanic tremors observed along the Parkfield section of the San Andreas Fault. We suggest that these non-volcanic tremors follow a power-law scaling typical of scale-invariant, stick slip tectonic earthquakes, but with an unusually high scaling exponent of more than 2.0 and a systematic depth-dependency. While each individual non-volcanic tremor releases only a minuscule amount of energy and slip, this is more than compensated by their sheer numbers. Consequently, the integrated contribution of this largely ‘invisible’ seismicity (non-volcanic tremors and nano-earthquakes) is non-negligible and could potentially account in selected patches along the San Andreas fault for up to 100% of the plate motion.

Fluid Controls on the Heterogeneous Seismic Characteristics of the Cascadia Margin

AbstractThe dehydration of oceanic slabs during subduction is mainly thermally controlled and is often expressed as intermediate‐depth seismicity. In warm subduction zones, shallow dehydration can also lead to the buildup of pore‐fluid pressure near the plate interface, resulting in nonvolcanic tremor. Along the Cascadia margin, tremor density and intermediate‐depth seismicity correlate but vary significantly from south to north despite little variation in the thermal structure of the Juan de Fuca Plate. Along the northern and southern Cascadia margin, intermediate‐depth seismicity likely corresponds to increased fluid flux, while increased tremor density may result from fluid infiltration into thick underthrust metasediments characterized by very slow shear wave velocities (&lt;3.2 km/s). In central Cascadia, low intermediate‐depth seismicity and tremor density may indicate a lower fluid flux, and shear wave velocities indicate that the Siletzia terrane extends to the plate interface. These results indicate that the presence of thick underthrust sediments is associated with increased tremor occurrence.

Identifying the Recurrence Patterns of Nonvolcanic Tremors Using a 2‐D Hidden Markov Model With Extra Zeros

AbstractNonvolcanic tremor activity has been observed in many places worldwide. In some regions, their activity was observed to accompany slow slip events. Before examining whether and how nonvolcanic tremor activity is related to slow slip, it is essential to understand quantitatively the spatiotemporal migration patterns of nonvolcanic tremors. We developed a 2‐D hidden Markov model to automatically analyze and forecast the spatiotemporal behavior of tremor activity in the regions Kii and Shikoku, southwest Japan. This new automated procedure classifies the tremor source regions into distinct segments in 2‐D space and infers a clear hierarchical structure of tremor activity, where each region consists of several subsystems and each subsystem contains several segments. The segments can be quantitatively categorized into three different types according to their occurrence patterns: episodic, weak concentration, and background, extending earlier knowledge gained from handpicked tremor swarms. The Kii region can be categorized into four different subsystems, with two often linked to each other. The Shikoku region can be divided into six subsystems, with two in central Shikoku linked to each other. Moreover, a significant increase in the proportion of tremor occurrence was detected in a segment in southwest Shikoku before the 2003 and 2010 long‐term slow slip events in the Bungo channel. This highlights the possible correlation between nonvolcanic tremor and slow slip events. The model can be used to analyze tremor data from other regions.

Does subduction of mass transport deposits (MTDs) control seismic behavior of shallow–level megathrusts at convergent margins?

We present a critical appraisal of the role of subducted, medium (10–1000 km2) to giant (≥1000 km2) and heterogeneous, mud-rich mass transport deposits (MTDs) in seismic behavior and mechanisms of shallow earthquakes along subduction plate interfaces (or subduction channels) at convergent margins. Our observations from exhumed ancient subduction complexes around the world show that incorporation of mud-rich MTDs with a “chaotic” internal fabric (i.e., sedimentary mélanges or olistostromes) into subduction zones strongly modifies the structural architecture of a subduction plate interface and the physical properties of subducted material. The size and distribution of subducted MTDs with respect to the thickness of a subduction plate interface are critical factors influencing seismic behavior at convergent margins. Heterogeneous fabric and compositions of subducted MTDs may diminish the effectiveness of seismic ruptures considerably through the redistribution of overpressured fluids and accumulated strain. This phenomenon possibly favors the slow end-member of the spectrum of fault slip behavior (e.g., Slow Slip Events, Very Low Frequency Earthquakes, Non-Volcanic Tremors, creeping) compared to regular earthquakes, particularly in the shallow parts (T < 250 °C) of a subduction plate interface.

Episodic Tremor and Slip Explained by Fluid‐Enhanced Microfracturing and Sealing

AbstractEpisodic tremor and slow‐slip events at the deep extension of plate boundary faults illuminate seismic to aseismic processes around the brittle‐ductile transition. These events occur in volumes characterized by overpressurized fluids and by near failure shear stress conditions. We present a new modeling approach based on a ductile grain size‐sensitive rheology with microfracturing and sealing, which provides a mechanical and field‐based explanation of such phenomena. We also model pore fluid pressure variation as a function of changes in porosity/permeability and strain rate‐dependent fluid pumping. The fluid‐enhanced dynamic evolution of microstructures defines cycles of ductile strain localization and implies increase in pore fluid pressure. We propose that slow‐slip events are ductile processes related to transient strain localization, while nonvolcanic tremor corresponds to fracturing of the whole rock at the peak of pore fluid pressure. Our model shows that the availability of fluids and the efficiency of fluid pumping control the occurrence and the P‐T conditions of episodic tremor and slip.

Constraints on Friction, Dilatancy, Diffusivity, and Effective Stress From Low‐Frequency Earthquake Rates on the Deep San Andreas Fault

AbstractFamilies of recurring low‐frequency earthquakes (LFEs) within nonvolcanic tremor on the San Andreas Fault in central California are sensitive to tidal stresses. LFEs occur at all levels of the tides, are strongly correlated and in phase with the ~200 Pa shear stresses, and weakly and not systematically correlated with the ~2 kPa tidal normal stresses. We assume that LFEs are small sources that repeatedly fail during shear within a much larger scale, aseismically slipping fault zone and consider two different models of the fault slip: (1) modulation of the fault slip rate by the tidal stresses or (2) episodic slip, triggered by the tides. LFEs are strongly clustered with duration much shorter than the semidiurnal tide; they cannot be significantly modulated on that time scale. The recurrence times of clusters, however, are many times longer than the semidiurnal, leading to an appearance of tidal triggering. In this context we examine the predictions of laboratory‐observed triggered frictional (dilatant) fault slip. The undrained end‐member model produces no sensitivity to the tidal normal stress, and slip onsets are in phase with the tidal shear stress. The tidal correlation constrains the diffusivity to be less than ~1 × 10−6/s and the product of the friction and dilatancy coefficients to be at most 5 × 10−7, orders of magnitude smaller than observed at room temperature. In the absence of dilatancy the effective normal stress at failure would be about ~55 kPa. For this model the observations require intrinsic weakness, low dilatancy, and lithostatic pore fluid.