New-onset Atrial Fibrillation Research Articles

Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using plasma proteomics profiling.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia among patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), increasing symptom burden and stroke risk. We aimed to construct a plasma proteomics-based model to predict new-onset AF in patients with HCM and determine dysregulated signalling pathways. In this prospective, multi-centre cohort study, we conducted plasma proteomics profiling of 4986 proteins at enrolment. We developed a proteomics-based machine learning model to predict new-onset AF using samples from one institution (training set) and tested its predictive ability using independent samples from another institution (test set). We performed a survival analysis to compare the risk of new-onset AF among high- and low-risk groups in the test set. We performed pathway analysis of proteins significantly (univariable P < 0.05) associated with new-onset AF using a false discovery rate (FDR) threshold of 0.001. The study included 284 patients with HCM (training set: 193, test set: 91). Thirty-seven (13%) patients developed AF during median follow-up of 3.2 years [25-75 percentile: 1.8-5.2]. Using the proteomics-based prediction model developed in the training set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.78-0.99) in the test set. In the test set, patients categorized as high risk had a higher rate of developing new-onset AF (log-rank P = 0.002). The Ras-MAPK pathway was dysregulated in patients who developed incident AF during follow-up (FDR < 1.0 × 10-6). This is the first study to demonstrate the ability of plasma proteomics to predict new-onset AF in HCM and identify dysregulated signalling pathways.

Comparative Effectiveness of Devices for Interventional Patent Foramen Ovale Closure: Insights from a 23-Year Monocentric Analysis.

Background/Objectives: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a congenital heart defect affecting up to 25% of the population, associated with an increased risk of cryptogenic stroke. Percutaneous PFO closure is a minimally invasive procedure aimed at reducing stroke risk by eliminating the right-to-left shunt. Methods: This monocentric, retrospective study analyzed 716 patients who underwent PFO closure between January 2000 and February 2023. Data collected included demographics, indications for closure, procedural details, and outcomes. Key endpoints were complications at the puncture site, pericardial effusion, recurrent stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), thrombi on the device, new-onset atrial fibrillation, and death. Results: The cohort had a mean age of 50.6 ± 12.6 years, with 60.8% female. Four devices were used: Occlutech PFO occluder (n = 106), Amplatzer PFO occluder (n = 227), Gore septal occluder (n = 296), and Cardia PFO-Star (n = 87). The initial procedural success rate was 98.9%, with no significant differences between devices. Complication rates were low across all devices. Residual shunt incidence decreased from 17.9% in 1 month to 3.4% in 12 months. Device-specific complications included late-onset pericardial effusion (p = 0.01), erosions (Cardia PFO-Star), and device thrombus formation (Gore septal occluder). Conclusions: PFO closure is a safe and effective method for preventing recurrent strokes, with high success rates and varying specific complication profiles, depending on the device. Further long-term studies are needed to evaluate newer devices and optimize patient outcomes.

Characterization of Post Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Atrial Fibrillation Patterns: Rationale and Design of an Investigator-Initiated Observational Study

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery is associated with increased rates of adverse events (including mortality and stroke). Its incidence after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is considered to be approximately 30 % and it is thought to be a transient condition. However, studies investigating POAF after CABG fail to provide appropriate data on incidence and arrhythmia patterns due to the use of intermittent rhythm detection strategies. These methods have a low sensitivity as compared to continuous monitoring. Subsequently, studies utilizing these techniques most likely do not identify all patients with arrhythmia and do not adequately demonstrate the long-term incidence of arrhythmia, which in turn may affect its association with adverse events. The CABG-AF study (German Clinical Trials Register Nr.: DRKS00018887) tests the hypothesis that the incidence of AF in the first 12 months after CABG is significantly underestimated. CABG-AF is an investigator-initiated multicenter, prospective, observational study in which 196 patients with no history of arrhythmia undergoing first-time CABG, receive an insertable cardiac monitor for continuous postoperative rhythm monitoring. The primary endpoint of the study is any episode of AF within the first 12 months after surgery. Secondary endpoints include AF burden, AF density and the ratio of silent to symptomatic AF episodes. Endpoints will be investigated by automatic and patient-initiated data transfers from the implanted device, by telephone interview of patients and by follow-up forms sent to patients by mail. The patients will be followed for a planned follow-up of 3 years. In conclusion, the CABG-AF study will provide information on the true incidence of AF after CABG as well as on the temporal patterns of the arrhythmia.

Trends in Transcatheter Versus Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement Outcomes in Patients With Low-Surgical Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials.

Limited data exist on long-term outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). This meta-analysis aims to elucidate outcome trends following TAVR versus SAVR in patients with severe aortic stenosis and low-surgical risk. A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library databases from inception until May 2024, to identify studies comparing TAVR versus SAVR in patients with low-surgical risk (Society of Thoracic Surgeons predicted risk of mortality score <4%). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular mortality, stroke, disabling stroke, rehospitalization, myocardial infarction, aortic valve reintervention, permanent pacemaker implantation, and new-onset atrial fibrillation. Binary random-effects models were used to compare the risk of each outcome across various follow-up intervals and the risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration's Risk of Bias-2 tool. The meta-analysis included 6 randomized trials including 4682 patients. TAVR was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality than SAVR in the 30-day (hazard ratio [HR: 0.45] [95% CI: 0.26-0.77], I2: 0%) and 30-day to 1-year (HR: 0.55 [95% CI: 0.37-0.81], I2: 16%) follow-ups. However, the risk of all-cause mortality was similar during >1-year follow-ups. TAVR was associated with a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular mortality, disabling stroke, rehospitalization, new-onset atrial fibrillation, and a higher risk of permanent pacemaker implantation compared with SAVR during the 30-day follow-up. TAVR was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality within the first year of post-procedural follow-up compared with SAVR. However, the risk of all-cause mortality was similar in >1-year follow-ups.

A pooled analysis of the incidence and mortality risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with COVID-19.

There exist serious cardiovascular complications subsequent to SARS-Cov2 infection (COVID-19); however, the association between COVID-19 and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains to be elucidated. We aimed to assess the prevalence of AF among COVID-19 patients and its associated risk of death. The present systematic review was performed in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines. The protocol was registered with CRD42022306523. A comprehensive literature search was performed across PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases to identify studies reporting on the prevalence of pre-existing or new-onset fibrillation (AF), and/or the associated clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19 from January 2020 to December 2023. The random-effect model was used to estimate the prevalence of AF and its related mortality. A total of 80 studies, including 39,062,868 COVID-19 patients, were identified in the present investigation. The prevalence rates of pre-existing AF or new-onset AF were 10.5% (95% CI [9.3-11.7%]) or 10.3% (95% CI [6.2-14.5%]), respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed a two fold higher incidence of AF in older patients (≥65 years) compared to younger patients (<65 years) (14.4% vs. 6.4%). The highest rate of AF was observed in Europeans (10.7%, 95% CI [10.2-11.2%]), followed by Northern Americans (10.0%, 95% CI [8.2-11.7%]), while Asians demonstrated a lower prevalence (2.7%, 95% CI [2.2-3.3%]). Notably, severe COVID-19 patients displayed a significantly elevated prevalence of AF at 14.l% (95% CI [13.3-14.9%]), which was approximately 2.5-fold higher than that in non-severe patients (5.2%, 95% CI [4.8-5.5%]). Both pre-existing (HR: 1.83, 95% CI [1.49-2.17]) and new-onset AF (HR: 3.47, 95% CI [2.26-5.33]) were associated with an increased mortality risk among COVID-19 patients. Furthermore, the effect on mortality risk was more significant in Asians (HR: 5.33, 95% CI [1.62-9.04]), compared to Europeans (HR: 1.68, 95% CI [1.24-2.13]) and North Americans (HR: 2.01, 95% CI [1.18-2.83]). This study comprehensively investigated the association between AF and COVID-19 in a real-world setting. Notably, a high prevalence of AF was observed among older individuals, severe COVID-19 patients, and in Europe and Northern America. Moreover, co-existing AF was found to be associated with an increased risk for mortality. Further investigations are warranted to improve the management and outcomes of COVID-19 patients with AF.

Del Nido versus conventional blood cardioplegia in patients with combined aortic root surgery: A retrospective study.

This study aimed to compare the safety and efficacy of Del Nido cardioplegia (DNC) and conventional blood cardioplegia (CBC) in combined aortic surgery. This retrospective study involved elective patients who underwent combined aortic root surgery between September 2017 and July 2023. Patients were divided into two groups: the DNC and the CBC group. The primary outcome was high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I and creatine kinase-MB levels at the 0, 1, 2, and three postoperative days. The secondary outcomes contained postoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, return to spontaneous rhythm after aortic de-clamping, postoperative myocardial infarction, new-onset atrial fibrillation, postoperative mechanical circulatory support, mechanical ventilation duration, intensive care unit stay, postoperative hospital stay, and the reduction of left ventricle end-diastolic diameter at 3months after surgery. 223 patients were included and divided into the CBC (n = 111) and the DNC group (n = 112). There was no statistical difference in patients' demographics and preoperative parameters between the two groups. No in-hospital mortality. The total cardioplegia volume [35.25 (30.30,43.65) ml/kg versus 21.43 (18.42,25.62) ml/kg, p < 0.001] and infusion times [2 (2,3) times versus 1 (1,2) times, p < 0.001] were less and the incidence of return to spontaneous rhythm after de-clamping was higher in the DNC group [59.5% versus 83%, p < 0.001]. Postoperative high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I and creatine kinase-MB levels were comparable between the two groups. DNC is related to a shorter duration of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit stay, and hospital stay than CBC. The rate of return to spontaneous rhythm after aortic de-clamping seemed to decrease with the prolongation of aortic cross-clamping (ACC) duration, and there was no difference between the two groups when the time exceeded 120min. The safety and efficacy of using DNC were comparable to CBC in combined aortic surgery. The rate of return to spontaneous rhythm after aortic de-clamping seemed to decrease with the prolongation of ACC time. Further studies may be needed to fully elucidate the advantages of DNC in postoperative recovery and its long-term effects on patient outcomes.

The management of new-onset atrial fibrillation in critical illness: an update on current therapeutic options.

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is the most prevalent arrhythmia among critically ill patients, correlating with heightened morbidity and mortality rates. Current evidence for managing NOAF in this patient population is limited. Numerous meta-analyses have been conducted to assess the efficacy of atrial fibrillation treatments in acute settings, including rate or rhythm control strategies, anticoagulation, and intensive care interventions. The employment of β-blockers for rate control appears to confer greater benefits in critically ill patients. However, the advantage of anticoagulation remains ambiguous because of bleeding risks, which is partly attributed to the scarcity of evidence in the complex context of critical illness. Approximately one-third of patients with transient atrial fibrillation face recurrence within a year. Therefore, vigilant posthospitalization follow-up and monitoring should be considered for high-risk patients to detect atrial fibrillation recurrence. Long-term anticoagulation strategies should be tailored to individual patient profiles, weighing the risks of thromboembolism. Factors predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence include age, the burden of atrial fibrillation, and atrial size. There are significant knowledge gaps concerning NOAF in critically ill patients, highlighting the need for further research, particularly randomized clinical trials.

Amlexanox reduces new-onset atrial fibrillation risk in sepsis by downregulating S100A12: a Mendelian randomization study.

Sepsis is characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates, alongside limited therapeutic efficacy. Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common arrhythmia, has been closely linked to sepsis in prior research. However, the specific mechanisms through which sepsis leads to new-onset AF remain poorly understood. This study focuses on identifying critical genes that are dysregulated in the development of new-onset AF within the context of sepsis, with the goal of uncovering new potential targets for its diagnosis and prevention. Our study began by applying Mendelian Randomization (MR) to assess the causal link between sepsis and AF. We then sourced sepsis and AF datasets from the Gene expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Using Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA), we pinpointed key modules and genes associated with both sepsis and AF conditions. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed. The Transcriptional Regulatory Relationships Unravelled by Sentence-based Text-mining (TRRUST) database helped build the transcription factor (TF) interaction network. Key genes were scrutinized through Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA) to delve into their roles in new-onset AF's pathophysiology during sepsis. We employed the CIBERSORT algorithm to evaluate immune infiltration and the association between key genes and immune cells. The Connectivity Map (CMap) database facilitated the prediction of potential small molecule compounds targeting key genes. To culminate, an acute sepsis mouse model was developed to validate the implicated mechanisms of key genes involved in new-onset AF during sepsis, and to assess the prophylactic effectiveness of identified drug candidates. MR revealed potential independent risk factors for new-onset AF in sepsis. S100A12 was identified as a core interaction gene with elevated levels in sepsis and AF, underscoring its diagnostic and predictive significance. S100A12, along with associated genes, was mainly linked to immune and inflammatory response signaling pathways, correlating with immune cell levels. Targeting S100A12 identifies five potential small molecule therapeutics: amlexanox, balsalazide, methandriol, olopatadine, and tiboloe. In animal studies, acute sepsis increased S100A12 expression in serum and atrial tissues, correlating positively with inflammatory markers (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α) and negatively with heart rate, indicating a predisposition to AF. Early amlexanox administration can reduced S100A12 expression, dampened inflammation, and lessened new-onset AF risk in sepsis. This study demonstrates that sepsis may independently increase the risk of new-onset AF. We identified S100A12 as a key gene influencing the new-onset AF in sepsis through immune regulation, presenting considerable diagnostic and predictive value. Notably, amlexanox, by targeting S100A12 emerges as the most clinical relevant intervention for managing new-onset AF in sepsis patients.

Cerebrovascular Events in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: A Review.

Cerebrovascular events (CVEs) are a dreaded complication of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). They are associated with significant mortality, morbidity, and reduced quality of life and impose a significant burden to health care systems. Although the rates of clinical stroke have reduced since the advent of TAVR, it remains an important complication, particularly as TAVR is increasingly utilized. CVE may occur at the time of the TAVR, as a direct consequence of the procedure, or may occur later, related to thrombosis of the prosthetic valve, atrial fibrillation, and other comorbidities. Imaging of the brain has revealed a high prevalence of subclinical cerebral infarcts (68%-98%) associated with the TAVR procedure. Although their clinical significance has not been fully established, clinically evident CVE ranges between 3% and 5% in patients considered at high operative risk to between 1% and 3% in low operative risk patients. Periprocedural CVEs are largely the result of embolization of the thrombus and tissue derived from the valve, vasculature, or myocardium. Cerebral embolic protection devices have been studied in multiple trials, with some evidence supporting a reduction in new cerebral lesion volume, number, and potentially disabling strokes. However, thus far, there is no robust evidence that they reduce the overall stroke rate. The number and severity of comorbidities, in particular, new-onset atrial fibrillation, are associated with CVEs. Valve thrombosis diagnosed using computed tomography as areas of hypoattenuated leaflet thickening has been identified in 10% to 15% of patients. This is a dynamic process associated with an increase in CVEs, but that resolves with anticoagulation or sometimes without it. Routine use of anticoagulation compared with a single antiplatelet agent is associated with an increased risk of bleeding, without any additional alleviation in risk of thromboembolism. Future studies to improve risk stratification could facilitate the tailoring of preventive therapies to patients at high risk of CVE, who stand to gain the most benefit.

6728 Bilateral Adrenal Hemorrhage: Cause Or Consequence?

Abstract Disclosure: M.N. Rayan: None. R. Horner: None. A. Valenciaga: None. L.E. Ryan: None. Introduction: Before the advent of the CT scan, bilateral adrenal hemorrhage was primarily discovered post-mortem in patients who had succumbed to sepsis, burns, or anticoagulant therapy. Today, non-traumatic hemorrhage is recognized as an infrequent, yet potentially lethal diagnosis causing clinical deterioration in acutely ill patients. Clinical Case: Our patient is a 64-year-old-male with a medical history of Myelodysplastic Syndrome initially presented to an external ED with abdominal pain. CT abdomen revealed hepatomegaly, splenomegaly, and new bilateral adrenal masses—absent in an MRI conducted a year earlier. He was treated conservatively and subsequently discharged. Two weeks later, he returned to the hospital with severe right sided flank pain. His hemoglobin and platelet counts dropped from 11.5 g/dL and 309 K/uL during the previous ED visit to 7.7 g/dL and 80 K/uL, respectively. Additionally, his PT/INR, PTT, fibrinogen, and D-Dimer levels were elevated. A repeat CT scan indicated a significant enlargement of the right adrenal mass, raising suspicion of adrenal hemorrhage. He was appropriately transfused, and a BM biopsy was performed to evaluate for acute transformation of underlying MDS. Cortisol levels were monitored daily for adrenal insufficiency. A complicated hospital course ensued marked by worsening anemia, thrombocytopenia, and coagulopathy, accompanied by high fevers and new-onset atrial fibrillation. Mixing studies showed absence of a factor inhibitor ruling out acquired forms of Hemophilia. Infectious workup including fungal and viral serologies returned negative. A PET scan revealed several small hypermetabolic hypodense liver lesions, and hypermetabolic activity diffusely in the spleen, and adrenal glands leading to suspicion of metastasis. Results of the BM biopsy returned revealing hypercellularity, with aggregates of hemosiderin-laden macrophages replacing the bone marrow space with associated necrosis. Worsening abdominal pain with hematochezia prompted an endoscopy, confirming a diagnosis of metastatic melanoma. Concurrently, seizure activity and altered mentation led to a head CT, revealing new metastatic lesions that confirmed the rapid progression of the disease. Subsequently, the patient was transitioned to comfort care and passed away. Clinical Lesson: It is crucial to review the various causes of adrenal hemorrhage, understand the challenges associated with interpreting adrenal imaging, emphasize the need to monitor adrenal function, and consider the occasional necessity for tissue sampling. In this clinical scenario, metastases with hemorrhage were the most likely etiology. The causes of adrenal hemorrhage are not always apparent; in this presentation, the consequence of the underlying disease state ultimately led to the initial presenting symptom of abdominal pain. Presentation: 6/2/2024

Sex- and age-specific differences in the use of antiarrhythmic therapies among atrial fibrillation patients: a nationwide cohort study.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients frequently require active rhythm control therapy to maintain sinus rhythm and reduce symptom burden. Our study assessed whether antiarrhythmic therapies (AATs) are used disproportionately between men and women after new-onset AF. The nationwide Finnish anticoagulation in AF registry-based linkage study covers all patients with new-onset AF in Finland during 2007-2018. Study outcomes included initiation of AATs in the form of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs), cardioversion, or catheter ablation. The study population constituted of 229 565 patients (50% females). Women were older than men (76.6 ± 11.8 vs. 68.9 ± 13.4 years) and had higher prevalence of hypertension or hyperthyroidism, but lower prevalence of vascular disease, diabetes, renal disease, and cardiomyopathies than men. Overall, 17.6% of women and 25.1% of men were treated with any AAT. Women were treated with AADs more often than men in all age groups [adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (aSHR) 1.223, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.187-1.261]. Cardioversions were also performed less often on women than on men aged <65 years (aSHR 0.722, 95% CI 0.695-0.749), more often in patients ≥ 75 years (aSHR 1.166, 95% CI 1.108-1.227), while no difference between the sexes existed in patients aged 65-74 years. Ablations were performed less often in women aged <65 years (aSHR 0.908, 95% CI 0.826-0.998) and ≥75 years (aSHR 0.521, 95% CI 0.354-0.766), whereas there was no difference in patients aged 65-74 years. Women used more AAD than men in all age groups but underwent fewer cardioversion and ablation procedures when aged <65 years.

Incidence of aortic valve reintervention in patients with aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation versus surgical aortic valve replacement: a systematic review and updated meta-analysis of randomized studies.

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) are established interventions for alleviating symptoms and enhancing survival in individuals with severe aortic stenosis (AS). However, the long-term outcomes and incidence of reintervention associated with TAVI and SAVR remain uncertain. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the incidence of reintervention in TAVI versus SAVR. PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled with a random-effects model. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Nine RCTs were included, with 5144 (50.9%) patients randomized to TAVI. Compared with SAVR, TAVI increased reinterventions (RR 1.89; 95% CI 1.29-2.76; p < 0.01) and the need for pacemakers (RR 1.91; 95% CI 1.49-2.45; p < 0.01). In addition, TAVI significantly reduced the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (RR 0.43; 95% CI 0.32- 0.59; p < 0.01). There were no significant differences in all-cause mortality (RR 1.04; 95% CI 0.92-1.16; p = 0.55), cardiovascular mortality (RR 1.04; 95% CI 0.94-1.17; p = 0.44), stroke (RR 0.97; 95% CI 0.80-1.17; p = 0.76), endocarditis (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.70-1.33; p = 0.82), and myocardial infarction (RR 1.06; 95% CI 0.79-1.41; p = 0.72) between groups. In patients with severe AS, TAVI significantly increased the incidence of reinterventions and the need for pacemakers as compared with SAVR.

Research progress on the mechanism of NLRP3 inflammasome in new-onset fibrillation in sepsis

Patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis have a high mortality rate and poor prognosis. At present, the pathogenesis of new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis has not been fully elucidated. Studies have shown that both sepsis and atrial fibrillation are closely related to NOD-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3). NLRP3 inflammasome can not only induce the activation of caspase-1 and the subsequent release of cellular pro-inflammatory factors, but also participate in the occurrence and development of sepsis and promote the occurrence and development of atrial fibrillation. It is concluded that the NLRP3 inflammasome may play an important role in the occurrence and development of new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis. This paper summarized the current research progress on the structure and function of the NLRP3 inflammasome, its role in sepsis, its mechanism in promoting atrial fibrillation, the relationship between the NLRP3 inflammasome and new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis, the feasibility of studying new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis, and potential therapeutic targets for new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis. This review aims to provide a theoretical basis for future research on the mechanisms by which the NLRP3 inflammasome promotes new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis and possible therapeutic targets.

Long-term Risk of Stroke After New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Sepsis Survivors: A 2-Year Follow-Up Study.

Background: Cardiovascular complications such as new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) are common in sepsis and are known to increase the risk of in-hospital mortality and stroke. However, only a handful of studies have evaluated the long-term risk of stroke after NOAF in sepsis survivors. As part of our efforts to address this issue, we conducted the first-ever follow-up study in a developing country evaluating the long-term risk of stroke for sepsis survivors following NOAF. Methods: This retrospective study evaluated all adult patients admitted at the Aga Khan University Hospital between July 2019 and December 2019 with the diagnosis of sepsis. Data was collected from medical records of the included patients. Outcome measures included in-hospital mortality and ischemic stroke within 2 years. Results: Seven hundred thirty patients were included in the study; 415 (57%) were males and 315 (43%) females; mean age was 59.4 ± 18 years. 59 (8%) patients developed NOAF. The risk of stroke within 2 years in sepsis survivors was 3.5%. Six out of 30 (20%) patients in the atrial fibrillation (AF) group developed stroke, whereas 11 out of 448 (2%) patients in the non-AF group developed stroke. NOAF was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke within 2 years (OR = 6.6; 95% CI, 2.3-12.8; P = <.001). Conclusion: We conclude that AF occurred frequently in sepsis patients and was also associated with a 6-fold increase in the risk of ischemic stroke within 2 years. Reliable interventions for identifying high-risk patients for ischemic stroke are still poorly characterized, and this study may serve as a basis for more extensive multicenter studies to identify patients at high risk for ischemic stroke in the aftermath of septic AF and develop precise interventions for preventing it.

Remnant cholesterol and new-onset atrial fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BackgroundThe relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to comprehensively explore the association between RC characteristics and new-onset AF. MethodsData from 5 follow-up visits of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study were analyzed. RC were multidimensionally evaluated in 4 characteristics: baseline level, variability, cumulative exposure, and trajectory. Baseline RC was obtained from the initial visit (V1), and new-onset AF was monitored in V2 to V5 (cohort 1, n = 14,450). RC variability, cumulative RC, and RC trajectory were calculated by RC values gathered from V1 to V3, and new-onset AF was monitored in V4 and V5 (cohort 2, n = 11,012). Participants were divided into 4 groups based on quartiles or trajectories. Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to investigate the relationship between RC characteristics and AF. ResultsFollowing median follow-up of 22.39 years in cohort 1 and 16.71 years in cohort 2, a total of 1993 AF events in cohort 1 and 1571 in cohort 2 were identified. Participants with the highest quartile exhibited an elevated risk of new-onset AF, with the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of 1.16 (P = .039) for baseline RC and 1.30 (P < .001) for RC variability. Although the highest quartile of cumulative RC (P = .241) and the high-increasing trajectory (P = .210) did not demonstrate a statistically significant association with AF occurrence, they indicate a trend toward heightened risk. ConclusionOur findings reveal that higher levels of RC, particularly at baseline and in variability, are associated with an increased risk of AF.

Machine learning-based prediction of new onset of atrial fibrillation after mitral valve surgery

Abstract Background New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (nPOAF) is a common complication after cardiac surgery (30–50%), being associated with unfavorable long-term outcomes. Using the Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Adult Cardiac Database, we used machine learning (ML) to predict nPOAF and related 30-day outcomes following mitral valve (MV) surgery. A total of 27,856 MV operations were performed at 910 centers between 7/1/2017 and 6/30/2020 on patients without AF or a prior permanent pacemaker. The primary endpoint was nPOAF postoperatively. ML techniques utilized included penalized logistic regression, gradient boosting, decision trees, and random forests. Results The overall incidence of nPOAF was 35.4% and that of new pacemaker insertion was 5.6%. Patients who developed nPOAF were older (67 ± 10 vs 60 ± 13 years), had more mitral valve stenosis (14.1% vs 11.7%), and hypertension (72.1% vs 63.3%). They underwent more mitral valve replacement (39.1% vs 32.7%) and coronary artery bypass grafting (23.9% vs 16%). For predicting nPOAF, ML methods offer sensitivity, specificity and precision superior to logistic regression. The accuracy rate was identical with penalized and non-penalized logistic regression (0.672). Conclusions Predicting nPOAF and its short-term sequelae following MV surgery remains highly challenging. Machine learning methods offer a moderate degree of improvement in predicting nPOAF even in large national-level studies, in the absence of multi-modal data, such as real-time wearables data, electrocardiograms, heart rhythm monitoring, or cardiac imaging.

TCT-129 Short- and Long-Term Outcomes Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

TCT-129 Short- and Long-Term Outcomes Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Prognostic Value of Pulmonary Artery Systolic Pressure in Severe Rheumatic Mitral Stenosis.

Current guidelines recommend intervention for asymptomatic rheumatic mitral stenosis (MS) with mitral valve area ≤1.5 cm2 based on indicators including pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) >50 mm Hg and new-onset atrial fibrillation; however, evidence supporting this is lacking. This single-center retrospective study included patients with rheumatic MS between 2006 and 2022. Pulmonary hypertension was evaluated by using echocardiography to estimate PASP. Primary outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including all-cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure, and arterial thromboembolic events for up to 5 years. Overall, 287 patients with severe rheumatic MS were enrolled (mean age, 62.5±11.3 years; 74.6% women). During a median follow-up of 2.52 years, MACE occurred in 99 patients. There were no differences in echocardiographic parameters, such as the mean mitral valve pressure gradient, mitral valve area, and proportion of mitral valve area <1.0 cm2, between patients who developed primary outcomes and those who did not. Survival analysis showed a worse prognosis in patients with estimated PASP (ePASP) >50 mm Hg than in those with ePASP ≤50 mm Hg (log-rank P<0.001); however, atrial fibrillation was not a significant prognostic indicator. As a continuous variable, ePASP (mm Hg) was a significant predictor of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.027 [95% CI, 1.011-1.042]; P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed an optimal ePASP threshold of >45 mm Hg, which was an independent predictor of MACE in patients with severe rheumatic MS (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.127 [95% CI, 1.424-3.177]; P<0.001). Competing risk analysis considering mitral valve intervention as a competing risk showed similar results. Our study demonstrated the prognostic significance of ePASP, rather than atrial fibrillation, in relation to MACE among patients with severe rheumatic MS. Additionally, we proposed a lower ePASP threshold (>45 mm Hg) as a predictor of an unfavorable prognosis.

Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with ESKD: A Multicenter, Retrospective, Observational Cohort Study

Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with ESKD: A Multicenter, Retrospective, Observational Cohort Study

Stair climbing and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: Effect modulated by sex, genetic predisposition, and cardiorespiratory fitness

Background and aimsStair climbing, a straightforward and impactful form of physical activity, has shown potential in reducing risks of cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, its association with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains largely unexplored. Methods and results451,089 participants (mean age 56.5 years) without cardiovascular disease (year 2006–2010) were included from the UK Biobank study. Stair climbing data was collected through touchscreen questionnaire. AF cases were identified using ICD-10 code: I48 and were followed until February 1, 2022. Models adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Over a median follow-up of 12.6 years, 23,660 (5.2 %) participants experienced new-onset AF. In multivariable-adjusted models, climbing 10–50, 60–100, 110–150, and ≥160 steps of stairs per day were associated with significant reductions in the risk of AF, compared to not climbing any stairs. The risk reduction appeared more pronounced in women than in men (P for interaction = 0.09). When compared to participants who climbed no stairs, the HRs for those who climbed 110–150 steps of stairs per day were 0.69 (95 % CI: 0.58–0.82) among those with low cardiorespiratory fitness, 0.71 (95 % CI: 0.57–0.88) among those with intermediate cardiorespiratory fitness, and 0.83 (95 % CI: 0.64–1.07) among those with high cardiorespiratory fitness. ConclusionsClimbing stairs was associated with a reduction in AF risks. Significant interaction between cardiorespiratory fitness and stair climbing associated with incident AF was observed. Findings suggest that promoting regular stair climbing could be a potential target for preventing AF onset.