A full collisional-radiative (CR) neutral beam injection model based on Gaussian pencil (Gausscil) beams and a diffusive CR neutral halo model are presented. The halo is a neutral cloud around the neutral beam forming due to multiple charge exchange (CX) reactions. Both models do not rely on Monte-Carlo techniques and are thereby orders of magnitude faster than commonly used models. To model the neutral halo a system of coupled diffusion equations is solved numerically, enforcing mixed boundary conditions. From the equilibrium hydrogen neutral densities in the second excited energy state (n = 3), the Balmer-α emission intensity is calculated and the full spectrum is predicted, including effects as Doppler shifts and broadening due to the complex neutral beam geometry and the motional Stark effect (MSE) from the magnetic field. All forward models are implemented in the Minerva [1] Bayesian analysis framework to enable detailed multivariant inference from Balmer-α spectroscopy data. The modeled neutral beam and halo densities are successfully verified against calculations with a validated Monte-Carlo code for the W7-X beam and plasma geometry, especially proving the validity of the halo diffusion ansatz. A comparison of the predicted emission spectra with the experimental data proves the accuracy of the implemented model. All important parameters defining the neutral beams are inferred and compared to available reference values.