Net Source Of CO2 Research Articles

Seasonal patterns of CO2 exchange in a tropical intensively managed pasture in Southeastern Brazil

Tropical pastures are one of the main land uses in Brazil, forming the backbone of the country's beef and milk production chain. Adopting sustainable management practices that increase the productivity of pastoral livestock systems is essential to mitigate environmental impacts and ensure food security. However, eddy covariance studies that contribute to understanding the influence of grazing management strategies on the ability of intensively grazed tropical pastures to absorb carbon remain scarce. Therefore, our main objective was to investigate the dynamics of CO2 and water vapor exchange and biomass production in a tropical C4 grass (Pennisetum purpureum Schum. cv. Cameroon) pasture under intermittent stocking management strategies from March 2021 to June 2023. We found that the pasture acted as a net source of CO2 to the atmosphere in both years studied. The annual NEE was 34 ± 14 g CO2-C m−2 yr−1 in 2021–2022 and 21 ± 12 g CO2-C m−2 yr−1 in 2022–2023. Reco, influenced by rising air and soil temperatures, increased rainfall, and higher incoming solar radiation levels, especially during spring and summer, played a crucial role in this result. The pasture absorbed more CO2, showed higher evapotranspiration, and produced more leaves in the rainy periods when the pasture structure was kept close to the previously established management targets. CO2 losses to the atmosphere prevailed in the dry periods and in wet periods where the pasture structure was far from the optimal limits for elephant grass.

Tidal influence on carbon dioxide and methane fluxes from tree stems and soils in mangrove forests

Abstract. Mangroves are critical blue carbon ecosystems. Measurements of methane (CH4) emissions from mangrove tree stems have the potential to reduce uncertainty in the capacity of carbon sequestration. This study is the first to simultaneously measure CH4 fluxes from both stems and soils throughout tidal cycles. We quantified carbon dioxide (CO2) and CH4 fluxes from mangrove tree stems of Avicennia marina and Kandelia obovata, which have distinct root structures, during tidal cycles. Tree stems of both species served as net CO2 and CH4 sources. Compared to fluxes in the soils, the mangrove tree stems exhibited remarkably lower CH4 fluxes but no difference in CO2 fluxes. The stems of A. marina exhibited an increasing trend in CO2 flux from low to high tides. However, CH4 fluxes showed high temporal variability, with the stems of A. marina functioning as a CH4 sink before tidal inundation and becoming a source after ebbing. In contrast, the stems of K. obovata showed no consistent pattern in the CO2 or CH4 fluxes. Based on our findings, the stem CH4 fluxes in A. marina may vary by up to 1200 % when considering tidal influence, compared to when tidal influence is ignored. Therefore, sampling only during low tides might underestimate stem CO2 and CH4 fluxes on a diurnal scale. This study highlights the necessity of considering tidal influence and species when quantifying greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes from mangrove tree stems. Further study is needed to explore the underlying mechanisms driving the observed flux variations and improve the understanding of GHG dynamics in mangrove ecosystems.

Interannual and seasonal variability of the air–sea CO2 exchange at Utö in the coastal region of the Baltic Sea

Abstract. Oceans alleviate the accumulation of atmospheric CO2 by absorbing approximately a quarter of all anthropogenic emissions. In the deep oceans, carbon uptake is dominated by aquatic phase chemistry, whereas in biologically active coastal seas the marine ecosystem and biogeochemistry play an important role in the carbon uptake. Coastal seas are hotspots of organic and inorganic matter transport between the land and the oceans, and thus they are important for the marine carbon cycling. In this study, we investigate the net air–sea CO2 exchange at the Utö Atmospheric and Marine Research Station, located at the southern edge of the Archipelago Sea within the Baltic Sea, using the data collected during 2017–2021. The air–sea fluxes of CO2 were measured using the eddy covariance technique, supported by the flux parameterization based on the pCO2 and wind speed measurements. During the spring–summer months (April–August), the sea was gaining carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, with the highest monthly sink fluxes typically occurring in May, being −0.26 µmol m−2 s−1 on average. The sea was releasing the CO2 to the atmosphere in September–March, and the highest source fluxes were typically observed in September, being 0.42 µmol m−2 s−1 on average. On an annual basis, the study region was found to be a net source of atmospheric CO2, and on average, the annual net exchange was 27.1 gC m−1 yr−1, which is comparable to the exchange observed in the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea. The annual net air–sea CO2 exchanges varied between 18.2 (2018) and 39.1 gC m−1 yr−1 (2017). During the coldest year, 2017, the spring–summer sink fluxes remained low compared to the other years, as a result of relatively high seawater pCO2 in summer, which never fell below 220 µatm during that year. The spring–summer phytoplankton blooms of 2017 were weak, possibly due to the cloudy summer and deeply mixed surface layer, which restrained the photosynthetic fixation of dissolved inorganic carbon in the surface waters. The algal blooms in spring–summer 2018 and the consequent pCO2 drawdown were strong, fueled by high pre-spring nutrient concentrations. The systematic positive annual CO2 balances suggest that our coastal study site is affected by carbon flows originating from elsewhere, possibly as organic carbon, which is remineralized and released to the atmosphere as CO2. This coastal source of CO2 fueled by the organic matter originating probably from land ecosystems stresses the importance of understanding the carbon cycling in the land–sea continuum.

Potential nutrient, carbon and fisheries impacts of large-scale seaweed and shellfish aquaculture in Europe evaluated using operational oceanographic model outputs

Large-scale seaweed and shellfish aquaculture are increasingly being considered by policymakers as a source of food, animal feed and bioproducts for Europe. These aquacultures are generally thought to be low impact or even beneficial for marine ecosystems as they are ‘extractive’ – i.e., growing passively on foodstuff already available in seawater, and with potential habitat provision, fisheries, climate mitigation and eutrophication mitigation benefits. At some scale however, over-extraction of nutrients or chlorophyll could potentially have a negative effect on natural systems. Understanding the likely impacts of aquaculture production at scale is important to identify when safe limits are being approached. Taking seaweed aquaculture as the primary focus, this work uses operational oceanographic model outputs to drive prognostic growth models to predict the likely optimal distribution of seaweed farms across European waters to meet different production scenarios. A novel nutrient transport scheme is then used to model the interacting ‘footprints’ of nutrient drawdown from aquaculture facilities to demonstrate the likely spatial impact of large-scale aquaculture. Evaluation of both seaweed and shellfish contributions to CO2 balance under large scale production, and the potential impact on fisheries are also considered. The study finds that the impact of intensive seaweed aquaculture on nutrient availability could be significant where many farms are placed close together; but at the regional/basin scale even the highest level of production considered does not significantly impact total nutrient budgets. Seaweed aquaculture has the potential to extract large amounts of carbon dioxide, but the impact on carbon budgets depends on the end-use of the extracted seaweed. Shellfish aquaculture is a net source of CO2 due to the impact of calcification of shells on the carbonate system (i.e., alkalinity removal). However, gram-for-gram the CO2 impact of shellfish production is likely to be less than the impact of land-based meat production. Whilst operational oceanographic models are useful for taking a ‘broad brush’ approach to likely placement and impacts of aquaculture, reliable yield predictions for individual locations across European waters would require models integrating more physical and biogeochemical factors (wave environment, local currents, riverine inputs) at a finer scale than currently achievable.

Distribution and control mechanism of pCO2 and water-air CO2 efflux in the Pearl River Estuary.

Estuaries are generally considered to be important sources of atmospheric CO2. However, the differences between estuaries, and inadequate observations of partial pressure of CO2 in estuarine water (pCO2water) hamper global estuarine CO2 budgeting. In this study, the longitudinal distribution of CO2 in the waters of Modaomen (MSE) and Lingdingyang (LSE), two sub-estuaries of the Pearl River Estuary (PRE), and its influencing mechanism are studied. The change in the distribution of pCO2water along the distance from the upstream estuary to the ocean between LSE and MSE was significantly different. pCO2water at the LSE ranges from 238 to 7267 µatm, whereas the MSE ranges from 406 to 3078 µatm. Stronger microbial respiration and relatively long water retention times were the main influences that led to higher pCO2water at LSE than at MSE. Seasonally, the increase of soil CO2 into the water in the upstream basin caused by precipitation is the potential influencing factor that the water pCO2water in the flood season is higher than in the dry season. PRE was a net source of atmospheric CO2 with an average annual water-air flux of 41.2 ± 33.3mmolm-2day-1. Our results suggest that the differences in longitudinal gradients of pCO2water between estuaries in the same region and the effects of different gas transport velocity models on CO2 emission estimates need to be considered in estuarine CO2 emission budgeting.

Increase in gross primary production of boreal forests balanced out by increase in ecosystem respiration

Changes in the net carbon sink of boreal forests constitute a major source of uncertainty in the future global carbon budget and, hence, climate change projections. The annual net ecosystem exchange of carbon dioxide (CO2) controlling the terrestrial carbon stock results from the small difference between respiratory CO2 release and the photosynthetic CO2 uptake by vegetation. The boreal forest, and the boreal biome in general, is regarded as a persistent and even increasing net carbon sink. However, decreases in photosynthetic CO2 uptake and/or concurrent increases in respiratory CO2 release under a changing climate may turn boreal forests from a net sink to a net source of CO2. Here, we assessed the interannual variability of the boreal forest net CO2 sink-source strength and its two component fluxes from 1981 to 2018. Our remote sensing approach - trained by net CO2 flux observations at eddy covariance sites across the circumpolar boreal forests - employs satellite-derived retrievals of snowmelt timing, landscape freeze-thaw status, and yearly maximum estimates of the normalized difference vegetation index as a proxy for peak vegetation productivity. Our results suggest that for the period 2000–2018, the mean annual evergreen boreal forest CO2 photosynthetic uptake (gross primary productivity) was 2.8±0.2 Pg C y−1 (1.6±0.1 Pg C y−1 for Eurasia and 1.2±0.1 Pg C y−1 for North America). In contrast to earlier studies results obtained here do not indicate a clear increasing trend in the circumpolar evergreen boreal forest CO2 sink. The increase in photosynthetic CO2 uptake is compensated by increasing respiratory releases with both component fluxes showing considerable interannual variabilities.

Hydrology controls sulfuric acid-mediated weathering in an orogenic regime of southwestern Taiwan

Chemical weathering is a pivotal geochemical process that shapes the carbon cycling and climates in the critical zone. Among its critical drivers, river discharge holds a particular significance, especially in the orogenic landscapes. Here, we examined the impact of discharge on mineral weathering in southwestern (SW) Taiwan by analyzing river water chemistry across a wide discharge range. Current observations indicated that carbonate contributes significantly to total weathering (50–80 %), with sulfuric acid accounting for one-half to two-thirds of carbonate weathering. A statistically strong correlation between river discharge and sulfuric acid-mediated carbonate weathering was highlighted, while the silicate weathering remained constant. This relationship suggests an increased influx of fresh minerals, such as pyrite, into the weathering regime as water flow increases. Our model identifies a critical discharge threshold of 4.6 m3 s−1, determining whether mineral weathering acts as a net source or sink of CO2. Consequently, mineral weathering in SW Taiwan acts as a net CO2 sink during dry periods but turns into a net source during wet periods. Through analyzing a decade of daily discharge data, we found mineral weathering in SW Taiwan is a net CO2 source, with a 2.6-fold increase in annual mean discharge causing a 3.8-fold increase in net CO2 flux. This pattern is likely to be applicable to other similar minerals containing mountain-building regions, highlighting the significant role of hydrology in determining weathering sources and their potential impact on the carbon cycle balance.

Unexpected contributions by carbonates and organic matter in a silicate-dominated tropical catchment: An isotope approach

The understanding of global carbon has rarely extended to small-scale tropical river basins. To address these uncertainties, this study aims to investigate the importance of rock weathering and organic matter turnover in the carbon cycle in a terrain dominated by crystalline silicate rocks. The geochemical composition of the dissolved and particulate carbon phases (DIC, DOC and POC) and their stable carbon isotopes were studied in the Deduru Oya River in Sri Lanka. Dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) was the most dominant carbon phase and its contribution to the total carbon pool varied between 67 and 89 %. Furthermore, the δ13CDIC values in the river varied between −1.1 and −16.5 ‰. The lithological characteristics and molar ratios between Ca2+, Mg2+ and HCO3− indicated rock weathering mainly by CO2 and carbonic acid. The δ13CDIC values for groundwater input were −15.9 ‰, while for carbonate weathering, mainly due to fertiliser input, they reached a value of −12.7 ‰. This input was fed into an isotope mass balance to determine the relative contributions. However, the isotope mass balance was only plausible after correcting for the effects on δ13CDIC caused by degassing and photosynthesis. Our study demonstrated that carbonate weathering and organic matter turnover are essential components of the river carbon cycle even in a silicate dominated catchment. They can represent up to 60 % of the DIC pool. Combined with the higher organic matter turnover and high pCO2 in the river water, it can be suggested that the Deduru Oya River acts as a net source of CO2 in the atmosphere. Our study shows that CO2 degassing and in-stream photosynthesis in tropical river systems need to be considered along with chemical weathering to account for carbon transport and turnover in tropical rivers.

CO2 fluxes of vegetation in the Greenbelt of Ontario and increased net ecosystem emissions associated with its removal

The fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO2) to and from vegetation can be significant on a regional scale. It is therefore important to understand the biogenic fluxes of CO2 in order to quantify local carbon budgets. The Greenbelt of Ontario is a protected region of cropland and natural vegetation surrounding the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) in Ontario, Canada. Recently, changes were proposed to the Greenbelt, including the removal of 2,995 ha (7,400 acres) of protected land to be replaced with housing. In this study, we estimate the biogenic CO2 fluxes of the entire Greenbelt as well as the areas that were proposed for removal by using a modified version of the Solar-induced fluorescence for Modeling Urban biogenic Fluxes vegetation model. We find that, on average, the entire Greenbelt has a net sequestration of 9.9 ± 6.4 TgCO2 each year, where the uncertainty represents half of the interannual variability plus error from the individual years, for the years 2018–2020. The net amount of CO2 absorbed by the Greenbelt is roughly equivalent to a fifth of the annual human-made emissions reported for the entire GTHA. The areas proposed for removal are found to have a net sequestration of 0.0061–0.031 TgCO2 annually. During construction, these lands will remain barren, and the soil will continue to emit CO2, thus changing the area from a net sink to a net source of CO2. For a 3- to 5-year construction period, this soil efflux would result in net ecosystem emissions of 0.314 ± 0.078 TgCO2, in addition to the net sequestration lost by removing the original vegetation (−0.077 ± 0.035 TgCO2). This results in a net difference in biogenic CO2 fluxes of 0.390 ± 0.083 TgCO2, which is equivalent to the average CO2 emissions of roughly 85,000 gasoline passenger vehicles over the course of a year. In addition to biogenic fluxes, there will be CO2 emissions associated with the construction of the proposed single-family housing developments as well as larger per capita emissions associated with low-density housing compared to creating higher density housing using less land.

Dry and wet periods determine stem and soil greenhouse gas fluxes in a northern drained peatland forest

Greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes from peatland soils are relatively well studied, whereas tree stem fluxes have received far less attention. Simultaneous year-long measurements of soil and tree stem GHG fluxes in northern peatland forests are scarce, as previous studies have primarily focused on the growing season. We determined the seasonal dynamics of tree stem and soil CH4, N2O and CO2 fluxes in a hemiboreal drained peatland forest. Gas samples for flux calculations were manually collected from chambers at different heights on Downy Birch (Betula pubescens) and Norway Spruce (Picea abies) trees (November 2020–December 2021) and analysed using gas chromatography. Environmental parameters were measured simultaneously with fluxes and xylem sap flow was recorded during the growing season. Birch stems played a greater role in the annual GHG dynamics than spruce stems. Birch stems were net annual CH4, N2O and CO2 sources, while spruce stems constituted a CH4 and CO2 source but a N2O sink. Soil was a net CO2 and N2O source, but a sink of CH4. Temporal dynamics of stem CH4 and N2O fluxes were driven by isolated emissions' peaks that contributed significantly to net annual fluxes. Stem CO2 efflux followed a seasonal trend coinciding with tree growth phenology. Stem CH4 dynamics were significantly affected by the changes between wetter and drier periods, while N2O was more influenced by short-term changes in soil hydrologic conditions. We showed that CH4 emitted from tree stems during the wetter period can offset nearly half of the soil sink capacity. We presented for the first time the relationship between tree stem GHG fluxes and sap flow in a peatland forest. The net CH4 flux was likely an aggregate of soil-derived and stem-produced CH4. A dominating soil source was more evident for stem N2O fluxes.

Meta-analysis shows the impacts of ecological restoration on greenhouse gas emissions

International initiatives set ambitious targets for ecological restoration, which is considered a promising greenhouse gas mitigation strategy. Here, we conduct a meta-analysis to quantify the impacts of ecological restoration on greenhouse gas emissions using a dataset compiled from 253 articles. Our findings reveal that forest and grassland restoration increase CH4 uptake by 90.0% and 30.8%, respectively, mainly due to changes in soil properties. Conversely, wetland restoration increases CH4 emissions by 544.4%, primarily attributable to elevated water table depth. Forest and grassland restoration have no significant effect on N2O emissions, while wetland restoration reduces N2O emissions by 68.6%. Wetland restoration enhances net CO2 uptake, and the transition from net CO2 sources to net sinks takes approximately 4 years following restoration. The net ecosystem CO2 exchange of the restored forests decreases with restoration age, and the transition from net CO2 sources to net sinks takes about 3-5 years for afforestation and reforestation sites, and 6-13 years for clear-cutting and post-fire sites. Overall, forest, grassland and wetland restoration decrease the global warming potentials by 327.7%, 157.7% and 62.0% compared with their paired control ecosystems, respectively. Our findings suggest that afforestation, reforestation, rewetting drained wetlands, and restoring degraded grasslands through grazing exclusion, reducing grazing intensity, or converting croplands to grasslands can effectively mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.

A carbonate system time series in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. Two years of high-frequency in-situ observations and remote sensing

The rate of ocean uptake of anthropogenic CO2 has declined over the past decade, so a critical question for science and policy is whether the ocean will continue to act as a sink. Large areas of the ocean remain without observations for carbonate system variables, and oceanic CO2 observations have declined since 2017. The Mediterranean Sea is one such an area, especially its eastern part, where there is a paucity of carbonate system data, with large areas not sampled or only sampled by ship-based discrete measurements as opposed to high frequency, sensor-equipped time-series fixed stations. The aim of this study was to analyze a multi-year time-series of high-frequency (hourly) partial pressure CO2 (pCO2) and pH measurements in the Eastern Mediterranean, along with low-frequency (monthly) measurements of total dissolved inorganic carbon and total alkalinity. The pCO2 time-series was the first obtained in the Eastern Mediterranean. The study was conducted at a fixed platform of the POSEIDON system (Heraklion Coastal Buoy) located near Crete Island. Temperature was the dominant factor controlling the temporal variability of pCO2 and pH, while the remaining non-thermal variability appeared to be related to evaporation, water mixing, and biological remineralization-production. The air-sea CO2 fluxes indicated a transition from a winter-spring sink period to a summer-autumn source period. The annual air-sea CO2 flux was too low (-0.16 ± 0.02 mol m-2 yr-1) and variable to conclusively characterize the area as a net source or sink of CO2, highlighting the need for additional high frequency observation sites. Algorithms were developed using temperature, chlorophyll and salinity data to estimate pCO2 and total alkalinity, in an effort to provide tools for estimates in poorly observed areas/periods from remotely sensed products. The applicability of the algorithms was tested using Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT) data from the Eastern Mediterranean Sea (1999 to 2020) which showed that the algorithm pCO2 estimates were generally within ±20 μatm of the pCO2 values reported by SOCAT. Finally, the integration and analysis of the data provided directions on how to optimize the observing strategy, by readapting sensor location and using estimation algorithms with remote sensing data.

Long‐term changes in the daytime growing season carbon dioxide exchange following increased temperature and snow cover in arctic tundra

AbstractIncreasing temperatures and winter precipitation can influence the carbon (C) exchange rates in arctic ecosystems. Feedbacks can be both positive and negative, but the net effects are unclear and expected to vary strongly across the Arctic. There is a lack of understanding of the combined effects of increased summer warming and winter precipitation on the C balance in these ecosystems. Here we assess the short‐term (1–3 years) and long‐term (5–8 years) effects of increased snow depth (snow fences) (on average + 70 cm) and warming (open top chambers; 1–3°C increase) and the combination in a factorial design on all key components of the daytime carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes in a wide‐spread heath tundra ecosystem in West Greenland. The warming treatment increased ecosystem respiration (ER) on a short‐ and long‐term basis, while gross ecosystem photosynthesis (GEP) was only increased in the long term. Despite the difference in the timing of responses of ER and GEP to the warming treatment, the net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of CO2 was unaffected in the short term and in the long term. Although the structural equation model (SEM) indicates a direct relationship between seasonal accumulated snow depth and ER and GEP, there were no significant effects of the snow addition treatment on ER or GEP measured over the summer period. The combination of warming and snow addition turned the plots into net daytime CO2 sources during the growing season. Interestingly, despite no significant changes in air temperature during the snow‐free time during the experiment, control plots as well as warming plots revealed significantly higher ER and GEP in the long term compared to the short term. This was in line with the satellite‐derived time‐integrated normalized difference vegetation index of the study area, suggesting that more factors than air temperature are drivers for changes in arctic tundra ecosystems.

Influence of Land Uses on Soil Carbon Mineralization in Selected Agro-ecological Units of South Kerala, India

Soil is a major reservoir of terrestrial carbon and it plays an important role in the global carbon cycle. The soil organic carbon (SOC) is the fundamental factor for sustainable agriculture because of the ability in maintaining the soil fertility which is critical to soil productivity. Soil carbon pool has gained paramount importance in the recent decades owing to the alarming issues of climate change and global warming. Land use change was found to have a larger net effect on SOC storage than projected climate change. Depending on the land use management practices, soils can be a net sink or source for CO2. In this regard the present study was carried out to assess the impact of different land uses on carbon storage and mineralization in soils of selected agro-ecological units of south Kerala.The agro-ecological units (AEUs) of south Kerala namely, southern coastal plain (AEU 1), Onattukara sandy plain (AEU 3), southern laterites (AEU 8), south central laterites (AEU 9) and southern and central foothills (AEU 12) were selected. In each AEU, different agricultural land use categories as described by IPCC for the carbon inventory such as, garden land (coconut), wet land (rice), fallow (uncultivated) and plantation (rubber) were also selected for the study. The potential for carbon mineralization in soil was assessed by evaluating factors such as Total organic carbon, mineralizable carbon, particulate organic carbon, global warming potential, carbon distribution, and turnover. The total organic carbon and particulate organic carbon were higher in rubber land use and AEU 12. The mineralizable C content in soil varied from 1.40 to 3.45, 1.18 to 3.41, 1.04 to 3.04, 1.23 to 3.35 and 1.01 to 3.02 mg g⁻¹ in AEU 1, 3, 8, 9 and 12 respectively. The highest value was observed from AEU 1 and rice land use. Similar trend was obtained for global warming potential of soils based on CO2 evolution which varied from 31.82 to 78.41, 26.89 to 79.02, 22.89 to 69.02, 28.03 to 76.06 and 22.96 to 68.64 in AEU 1, 3, 8, 9 and 12 respectively. The C proportion and turnover rates were in the range of 0.25 to 0.77 and 0.04 to 0.17 respectively. The C proportion was the highest in AEU 12 and rubber land use whereas the C turnover was the highest in AEU 1 and rice land use.

Long-term summer warming reduces post-fire carbon dioxide losses in an arctic heath tundra

The frequency and extent of wildfires in the Arctic has been increasing due to climate change. However, there is a lack of understanding about long-term impacts of climate warming on post-fire carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange in arctic tundra ecosystems. To investigate this, we conducted an experimental low-intensity fire in combination with summer warming (using open top chambers) in a dry heath tundra ecosystem in West Greenland. We report here on the impact four and five years after the fire. We also examined immediate effects of soil heating to three temperature levels (35, 55 and 80 °C), as a simulation of heat transfer during a typical tundra fire. Fire increased soil organic phosphorus concentrations up to at least four years after the burning. The burned areas remained a net CO2 source five years after the fire, mainly due to the lower aboveground vegetation biomass and reduced gross ecosystem production (GEP). However, with four to five years of summer warming, the GEP, ecosystem respiration and soil respiration significantly increased, and burned areas turned into a net CO2 sink. Ex-situ soil heating to the temperature of 55 °C, reaching the heat load comparable with in-situ burning, had minor effects on soil GHG fluxes. This suggests that soil GHG activities are not immediately affected by heat transfer and associated soil temperature increases during a typical low-intensity wildfire in arctic dry tundra. Overall, our results reveal that in a future warmer climate, vegetation is likely to recover more quickly from fires, resulting in a reduction in post-fire CO2 losses.

Buchan-type metamorphic decarbonation during the upward expansion of the South Tibetan Detachment System: A new carbon source in the Himalaya

The role of collisional belts in the global carbon budget remains controversial. Collisional orogens have traditionally been considered a net carbon sink, but recent studies have highlighted significant CO2 fluxes. The present contribution combines comprehensive field mapping with detailed petrography, pressure-temperature determination, geochemistry, and geochronology along three transects of the South Tibetan Detachment System (STDS) in the Mount Everest and Nyalam regions of the central Himalaya. The results outline a previously unrecognized carbon source in the orogen: Buchan-type metamorphic decarbonation of carbonate-bearing lithologies in the hanging wall of the STDS driven by juxtaposition against underlying migmatite. Specifically, calc-silicates and calc-schists within the STDS underwent Buchan-type metamorphic overprinting at P-T conditions of 630–400 °C and 5–3 kbar (36–48 °C/km). Monazite and titanite U(-Th)-Pb petrochronology indicate that metamorphism occurred between ca. 23 and 19 Ma, contemporaneous with early deformation along the STDS. Movement along the STDS continued to at least 17–16 Ma, causing deformation and resetting of titanite U-Pb systematics in some calc-silicates. Detrital zircon geochronology shows that the calc-silicates and calc-schists in the STDS have an affinity to the Tethyan Himalayan Sequence and were incorporated into the shear zone and metamorphosed during its upward expansion. Based on decarbonation reactions, protolith restoration, and decarbonation efficiency studies, the metamorphic CO2 degassing from the metamorphism of carbonate-rich rocks is estimated to be ∼0.6 Mt. C/yr. Recognition of the upward expansion of the STDS and associated metamorphic decarbonation provided new information key to both understanding the development of orogen-scale low-angle normal-sense faulting in the Himalaya and whether the orogen was a net CO2 source or sink during middle Miocene time.

RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections

AbstractProjections of future carbon sinks and stocks are important because they show how the world's ecosystems will respond to elevated CO2 and changes in climate. Moreover, they are crucial to inform policy decisions around emissions reductions to stay within the global warming levels identified by the Paris Agreement. However, Earth System Models from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) show substantial spread in future projections—especially of the terrestrial carbon cycle, leading to a large uncertainty in our knowledge of any remaining carbon budget (RCB). Here we evaluate the global terrestrial carbon cycle projections on a region‐by‐region basis and compare the global models with regional assessments made by the REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes, Phase 2 activity. Results show that for each region, the CMIP6 multi‐model mean is generally consistent with the regional assessment, but substantial cross‐model spread exists. Nonetheless, all models perform well in some regions and no region is without some well performing models. This gives confidence that the CMIP6 models can be used to look at future changes in carbon stocks on a regional basis with appropriate model assessment and benchmarking. We find that most regions of the world remain cumulative net sources of CO2 between now and 2100 when considering the balance of fossil‐fuels and natural sinks, even under aggressive mitigation scenarios. This paper identifies strengths and weaknesses for each model in terms of its performance over a particular region including how process representation might impact those results and sets the agenda for applying stricter constraints at regional scales to reduce the uncertainty in global projections.

Influence of typology and management practices on water pCO[formula omitted] and atmospheric CO2 fluxes over two temperate shelf–estuary–marsh water continuums

Within the coastal zone, salt marshes often behave as atmospheric CO2 sinks, allowing for blue carbon (C) sequestration associated with intense autotrophic metabolism. However, C dynamics over salt marshes are complex since various biogeochemical processes and fluxes occur at different terrestrial–aquatic–atmospheric exchange interfaces and spatiotemporal scales. This study focuses on seasonal, tidal and diurnal variations of water pCO2, estimated water–air CO2 fluxes and controlling factors along two temperate shelf–estuary–marsh continuums. The latter include typical coastal systems with artificial salt marshes that have contrasting water management practices and primary producer types. Our high-frequency biogeochemical measurements (seasonal 24-hour cycles) highlighted a strong control of ecosystem typology on inorganic C dynamics with lower water pCO2 values in the artificial salt marshes, due to stronger biological activity and longer water residence times, than in the tidal estuary. In the marine-dominated estuary, water pCO2 variations (267 - 569 ppmv) were strongly controlled by tidal effects and phytoplankton activity particularly in spring/summer. On the contrary, the greatest amplitudes in water pCO2 were recorded in the artificial salt marshes (6 - 721 ppmv) due to intense macrophyte activity. In the rewilded marsh, eutrophication favoured spring/summer fast-growing macroalgae produced, in turn, strong fall atmospheric CO2 outgassing from degraded algae waters and thus a net annual source of CO2 to the atmosphere (17.5 g C m−2 yr−1). Conversely, specific management practices at the working marsh for salt-farming activity favoured rather slow-growing macrophytes (i.e. seagrasses) which greatly contribute to the yearly observed atmospheric CO2 sink (-97.7 g C m−2 yr−1). In this work, we suggest that salt marsh management can be used to control the contribution of primary producers to marsh C budget as atmospheric CO2 (sink and/or source).

Interannual and seasonal variability and future forecasting of pCO2(water) using the ARIMA model and CO2 fluxes in a tropical estuary.

The seasonal and interannual variation in the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in water [pCO2(water)] and air-water CO2 exchange in the Mahanadi estuary situated on the east coast of India was studied between March 2013 and March 2021. The principal aim of the study was to analyze the spatiotemporal variability and future trend of pCO2 and air-water CO2 fluxes along with the related carbonate chemistry parameters like water temperature, pH, salinity, nutrients, and totalalkalinity, over 9 years. The seasonal CO2 flux over nine years was also calculated using five worldwide accepted equations. The seasonal map of pCO2(water) followed a general trend of being high in monsoon (2628 ± 3484 μatm) associated with high river inflow and low during pre-monsoon (445.6 ± 270.0 μatm). High pCO2 in water compared to the atmosphere (average 407.6-409.4 μatm) was observed in the estuary throughout the sampling period. The CO2 efflux computed using different gas transfer velocity formulas was also consistent with pCO2 water acquiring the peak during monsoon in the Mahanadi estuary (6033 ± 9478 μmol m-2 h-1) and trough during pre-monsoon (21.66± 187.2 μmol m-2 h-1). The estuary acted as a net source of CO2 throughout the study period, with significant seasonality in the flux magnitudes. However, CO2 sequestration via photosynthesis by phytoplankton resulted in lower emission rates toward the atmosphere in summer. This study uses the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to forecast pCO2(water) for the future. Using measured and predicted values, our work demonstrated that pCO2(water) has an upward trend in the Mahanadi estuary. Our results demonstrate that long-term observations from estuaries should be prioritized to upscale the global carbon budget.

Interannual variability of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) fluxes in a rewetted temperate bog

Peatland rewetting, a management effort to restore water levels in previously drained peatlands, is important for re-establishing the role of these peatlands as carbon (C) sinks. Since rewetted peatlands have a highly variable response to interannual variations in climatic conditions and functional changes, long term studies of C fluxes in these ecosystems are needed. Here, we evaluated the impact of climate variability and functional change on the interannual variability of CO2 and CH4 fluxes at Burns Bog, a rewetted temperate bog on the Pacific Coast in Canada, based on five years of eddy covariance measurements. We found that the site alternated between being an annual-scale net CO2 sink or source, ranging from -32.6 ± 21.5 (±95% CI) to 11.9 ± 15.1 g CO2C m-2 yr-1, respectively, while consistently being a CH4 source, ranging from 11.6 ± 0.7 to 18.0 ± 1.6 g CH4C m-2 yr-1. Over the five-year period, mean annual CH4 emissions (13.7 ± 2.5 g CH4C m-2 yr-1; ±SD across years) entirely offset the CO2 sink (-12.3 ± 20.4 g CO2C m-2 yr-1), resulting in the site being near-carbon neutral over this period (1.3 ± 23.9 g C m-2 yr-1). This finding indicates that excluding CH4 fluxes from the net C balance results in an overestimation of the net C uptake at this site. Annual CO2 emissions from the bog were greatest in the year with a dry and warm summer, emphasizing the importance of temperature and water table depth at the bog. Regardless of the greenhouse gas (GHG) metrics (i.e., global warming potential or sustained global warming potential) used in calculating the annual CO2-eq balance, the site consistently had a positive GHG balance across the study period. Despite mainly acting as a GHG source, the rewetted site will likely have a cooling effect on the climate system over long timescales compared to drained bogs that are large CO2 sources.