Negative Climate Change Research Articles

Asymmetric impact of climate change on banking system stability in selected sub-Saharan economies

This study is an empirical examination of the asymmetric impact of climate change on banking system stability in selected sub-Saharan economies. The study leverages a quantitative research approach through a panel non-linear ARDL framework and data from 29 selected economies, which spans 1996-2017. Findings from the study reveal that in the long term, partial sums of temperature have an insignificant relationship with banking system stability. Further, partial sums of precipitation are negatively related to banking system stability in the long term. The finding indicates that both positive and negative precipitation do harm banking system stability in the selected sub-Saharan economies. Moreover, we find that partial sums of greenhouse gas emissions had an insignificant relationship with banking system stability. In addition, we conclude that greenhouse gases (positive and negative) do not impair banking system stability in selected sub-Saharan economies in the long term. We surmise from the findings that both positive and negative climate change indexes are harmful to banking system stability. On the short-term asymmetric impact, we discover that partial sums of temperature, precipitation, and climate change index do not harm banking system stability. However, negative greenhouse gas emissions are pernicious to the banking system’s stability in the short term. Conversely, positive greenhouse gas levels were statistically insignificant. The study recommends that central banks and monetary authorities in Sub-Saharan Africa design green banking policies to push the climate change agenda in the banking sector.

ADVANTAGES AND FEATURES OF USING DIGITAL TWIN TECHNOLOGY FOR STATIONARY GAS ENGINES

At the moment, there is no mass alternative to power plants based on an internal combustion engine. Such power plants are fully mastered in production, they are mobile, not bulky, and do not depend on weather conditions (wind, current, etc.), as required by wind and hydroelectric power plants. The variety and availability of fuels is also a very big advantage in favour of internal combustion engines. On the other hand, engines are a source of heat, noise and chemical pollution, and by running on fossil fuels, they contribute to negative climate change on the planet, so the issue of improving the fuel, economic and environmental efficiency of vehicle engines is relevant. With the rapid development of information technology, it is now possible to create a perfect control system for stationary engines using digital twin technology, which in the future could take over the entire task of controlling the unit with minimal human intervention, eliminating the effect of the human factor and thereby increasing the life and efficiency of the unit. The goal is to use the forecasting system to assess the actual technical condition of the engine and, based on this data, set the optimal maintenance intervals, as well as prevent accidents that entail expensive repairs or even complete replacement of the unit. Such a system would be relevant for large, expensive stationary machines involved in any technological processes where the unit's downtime entails financial losses associated with the cessation of a particular production process. Representatives of this type of power plant are gas engines - drives for booster or downhole gas compressors, gas generators operating on landfill gas or biogas.

Estimating the benefits of floodplain restoration to juvenile Chinook salmon in the upper San Francisco Estuary, United States, under future climate scenarios

Many river systems within the Central Valley of California have been disconnected from their floodplains, hypothesized to be partially responsible for declining Chinook salmon populations (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). The primary floodplain of the system, Yolo By‐Pass (known regionally as “Yolo Bypass”), offered an opportunity to examine whether improved connectivity between the floodplain and river could limit negative climate change effects on salmon populations. Specifically, the top of the floodplain (Fremont Weir) is being modified to provide Sacramento River Chinook salmon better access to floodplain rearing habitat. We estimated restoration effects on the Yolo By‐Pass flood regime now and under future climate scenarios using flow rating curves. Additionally, we used temperature and flow‐specific effects on Chinook salmon population dynamics within the Yolo By‐Pass and Sacramento River complex to describe how the restoration project and climate change may interact to affect juvenile Chinook salmon biomass production. Our results indicate that the Fremont Weir restoration project will extend the frequency, timing, and duration of Yolo By‐Pass flooding. Our production model indicates that the modification will result in greater salmon entrainment rates into the Yolo By‐Pass, where salmon growth rates, survival rates, and biomass production were higher when compared to the Sacramento River main stem. The project appears to benefit all regional runs of Chinook salmon, which should help support life history diversity. Our results suggest that the weir modification should benefit native fish from the Central Valley that use floodplain habitat and that these benefits may be resilient to challenges created by a changing climate.

The Efficiency of Financing Environmental Protection Measures in the Context of Ukraine’s Future Membership in the EU

In recent decades, humanity has had a significant negative impact on the environment. This problem can be solved only by establishing a rational environmental management policy and ensuring an effective financial policy in the context of balancing emissions and expenditures on environmental protection measures. The purpose of this article is to analyze the efficiency of financing environmental protection measures by determining the dependence of pollutant emissions on environmental protection expenditures in Ukraine and the European Union. The following methods were used for the study: analysis, synthesis, generalization, comparison, specification, and statistical and graphical methods. The statistical information was systematized on the basis of open data from the Open Budget web portal, the State Statistics Service, and Eurostat. This study identified the dynamics of revenues from environmental taxes in Ukraine; taxes on air emissions prevail. Most of the expenditures are made from the state budget. According to the functional classification, environmental expenditures are mainly aimed at preventing and eliminating environmental pollution. The dynamics of capital investments in environmental protection were also studied. To assess the effectiveness of the state policy in the field of environmental protection, we analyzed the dependence of pollutant emissions in Ukraine, Poland, and Romania on the amount of environmental expenditures and investments in this area and revenues from environmental tax. In Ukraine, the amount of pollutants released into the atmosphere depends mostly on investments in this area; in Poland—on revenues from environmental taxes; and in Romania—on expenditures on environmental protection. It has been established that the obtained models are adequate and can be used to build future forecasts of pollutant emissions. Directions for the development of financial and environmental policy are proposed. Post-war restoration of the environmental situation should be carried out on the basis of sustainable development, focusing on the European Green Deal A triple-task approach should be implemented, including environmental restoration, the minimization of negative climate change and balanced use of resources, and the expansion of powers of the relevant ministry with a focus on the strategic goals of the state policy. It is necessary to develop methodological recommendations according to international standards to assess the real state of the environment.

Ranking genotype, environment, management effects on the optimum nitrogen rate for maize: A cropping system modeling analysis

AbstractRanking the contribution of genotype, environment, and management (G × E × M) on maize's economic optimum nitrogen fertilizer rate (EONR) variability could improve understanding and predictability of EONR. We performed a simulation experiment using the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator model with the objectives to (1) rank the effects of 24 individual G × E × M factors on the magnitude and interannual variability of the EONR across the US Midwest and (2) investigate the impact of G × M factors on the EONR variability under present and future climate scenarios. Results indicate that genetics (27%), management (31%), and environmental conditions (41%) each influence the EONR variability. Within these broad categories, the top three individual factors impacting the EONR were interannual weather variability, crop radiation use efficiency, and the soil inorganic N carryover from the previous year. The G × E × M factors influenced the yield response to N fertilizer in different ways. Soil‐related factors (e.g., organic matter and residual nitrate) influenced grain yields at the low N rates, while management factors (e.g., planting date and density) influenced yield at all N rates. Combining increases in plant density and changes in genetics synergistically increased the EONR by 15% from baseline. Future climate scenarios without adaptation decreased the EONR and yield loss, but crop adaptation was buffered against the negative climate change impacts. We concluded that 59% of the annual EONR variability is manageable (due to genetics and management) and that G × M factors could buffer climate change's negative effects on crop production. Present results can inform experimental research on N fertilizer and N rate decisions.

The Dynamic Impact of Renewable Energy Consumption on Economic Growth in Zimbabwe: An ARDL Approach

Motivated by the study country’s active involvement in the reduction of global greenhouse gas emissions and the positive strides it has made domestically in increasing renewable energy in its energy mix, on the one hand, and the need to find out whether renewable energy consumption can also assist in reviving the economy, on the other hand, this study empirically examines the dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth in Zimbabwe. Using annual time-series data from 1990 to 2019, and the autoregressive distributed lag approach, the results of the study show that in Zimbabwe, renewable energy consumption has apositive impact on economic growth, both in the short and long run. Increasing the usage of renewable energy increases the growth of the economy in the country of study. These results imply that Zimbabwe can achieve two goals using one strategy – increasing renewable energy consumption to decrease the negative impact climate change and greenhouse gas emission have on the environment and the economy, and increasing economic growth. Policy makers in Zimbabwe are, therefore, recommended to supportincreased use of renewable energy over alternative energy sources, as this would have positive implications on the economy, both in the short and long term.

A framework to link climate change, food security, and migration: unpacking the agricultural pathway

Researchers have long hypothesized linkages between climate change, food security, and migration in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). One such hypothesis is the “agricultural pathway,” which postulates that negative climate change impacts on food production harm livelihoods, which triggers rural out-migration, internally or abroad. Migration is thus an adaptation to cope with the impacts of climate change and bolster livelihoods. Recent evidence suggests that the agriculture pathway is a plausible mechanism to explain climate-related migration. But direct causal connections from climate impacts on food production to livelihood loss to rural out-migration have yet to be fully established. To guide future research on the climate-food-migration nexus, we present a conceptual framework that outlines the components and linkages underpinning the agricultural pathway in LMICs. We build on established environmental-migration conceptual frameworks that have informed empirical research and deepened our understanding of complex human-environmental systems. First, we provide an overview of the conceptual framework and its connection to the agricultural pathway hypothesis in the climate mobility literature. We then outline the primary components and linkages of the conceptual framework as they pertain to LMIC contexts, highlighting current research gaps and challenges relating to the agricultural pathway. Last, we discuss possible future research directions for the climate-food-migration nexus. By highlighting the complex, multiscale, interconnected linkages that underpin the agricultural pathway, our framework unpacks the multiple causal connections that currently lie hidden in the agricultural pathway hypothesis.

Short-term impact of climate change on labor market in China: Quantitative spatial analysis based on an oligopsony model

Assessing the impact of climate change on the economy is an important issue for designing climate policy. By constructing an oligopsony model to depict the incompleteness of the labor market and using the quantitative spatial model analysis method, we quantitatively estimated the short-term impact of climate change on the labor market in China. Then, to control climate change, the optimal climate change governance intensities (CCGI) of multi-governments satisfying CD preferences and Stackelberg game are designed and solved. The results show that climate change leads to a decrease in wages and labor supply in labor market equilibrium and a loss of market aggregate income and labor scale. Climate change has led to a shift in labor from the agricultural and dirty sectors to the clean sector. The regional labor distribution is also being “disrupted” due to climate change. Moreover, declining migration costs and increased subsidies help to reduce the negative impacts of climate change. The optimal CCGI of the central government is higher than that of the provincial government. The optimal CCGI is higher in the eastern provinces than in the central and western regions. Implementing CCGI would mitigate the negative climate change shocks to the labor market in China and increase welfare. The conclusions of this paper provide strong support for preventing climate change risks and actively participating in global climate change governance.

Effects of Conservation Tillage Method, Phosphorus Level, and Variety on Soil Organic Carbon and Cowpea Performance at Minna in Nigeria’s Southern Guinea Savanna

The study was carried out at the Teaching and Research Farm of the Federal University of Technology Minna, Gidan Kwano Campus in Latitude 9° 41' N, Longitude 6° 31' E, and Altitude 258.5 m above sea level. This study was conducted across 2 seasons within the cropping season of 2017 to determine the effects of tillage method, phosphorus level, and cowpea variety on soil organic carbon and cowpea performance in Minna. The experiment was therefore a 3x3x3 factorial arrangement in a split-plot design with tillage methods (zero, reduced, and manual ridging) and cowpea varieties (IT93K-452-1, IT99K-573-1-1, and IT90K-277-2) forming the main plot while phosphorus levels (0 P kg ha-1, 30 P kg ha-1, and 60 P kg ha-1) formed the sub-plot with 3 replicates. Results obtained revealed that soil organic carbon was not significantly affected by tillage method and phosphorus level alone, regardless of the planting season. Cowpea variety alone significantly affected organic carbon only in the late planting season. Zero tillage, 60 kg P ha-1, and IT93K-452-1 produced the highest soil organic carbon content, respectively. In the early season, N fixed was highest (0.98 g plant-1) when cowpea was fertilized with 60 Kg P ha-1 under zero tillage. The closest to this value (0.92 g plant-1) was recorded in the late season when 60 kg P ha-1 was supplied to cowpea under manual tillage. Regardless of the planting season and varietal difference, cowpea recorded the highest N fixed when fertilized with 60 kg P ha-1. Across varieties, cowpea fixed more N under zero tillage than the other tillage methods, especially in the early season. In the late season, only IT90K-277-2 fixed N (0.49 g plant-1) under zero tillage that was statistically not different from the highest N fixed due to manual tillage of soil under the cultivation of IT93K-452-1 and IT99K-573-1-1 (0.62 g plant-1, respectively). In the early season, IT99K-573-1-1 cultivated under zero tillage produced the highest grain yield (404.11 kg ha-1). Fodder yield followed a different trend compared to grain yield. In the early planting season, cowpea fertilized with 60 kg P ha-1 produced the highest fodder yield, while in the late season, the application of 30 kg P ha-1 produced the highest fodder yield. Regardless of the planting season, grain yield was highest when IT99K-573-1-1 was fertilized with 60 kg P ha-1. Averagely, soil organic carbon content, N fixed, and grain yield values were highest during the late planting than the early planting season. The reverse was, however, the case for fodder yield, seedling emergence, root length, root, and shoot biomass, respectively. For the best performance in cowpea production, farmers are encouraged to plant IT99K-573-1-1 on zero-tilled soil with phosphorus application at the rate of 60 kg ha-1. IT90K-277-2, which is the most genetically stable variety across seasons, will be most ideal in controlling negative climate change and should therefore be considered for further investigations.

BARRIERS TO SUSTAINABLE GREEN BUILDING PRACTICE IN NIGERIA

Green building approaches are becoming increasingly essential in the construction business. Green building entails designing buildings and employing methods that are ecologically responsible and efficient with resources throughout the life cycle of the building. It is viewed as a substitute to reducing or eliminating the negative environmental and climate change impacts of construction activities. Despite its benefits, green building uptake is hampered by a number of impediments. The study was conducted in the states of Abuja and Lagos, focusing on professionals, freelancers, and clients. The collected data was analyzed using SPSS 25.0, and the study's findings revealed that lack of understanding of Green Building Technologies was ranked first among the obstacles to green building acceptance with a RII of 0.79, followed by a lack of institutions to develop policies and set guidelines with a RII of 0.77, ambiguity with green equipment and materials with a RII of 0.76, lack of interest and interaction among project team members with 0.76, and lack of interest as well as communication among project team members with RII of 0.76.However, there are various hurdles to the implementation of ecologically conscious building in Nigeria. Long design and approval procedures for new technologies, a shortage of sustainable materials and goods, a proclivity to stick with present practices, a lack of building norms and regulations, and a lack of awareness about green products and powerful building systems are all examples. To guarantee a smooth transition to green building, industry players should investigate and apply sustainable solutions, particularly throughout...

Climate Proofing Cities by Navigating Nature-Based Solutions in a Multi-Scale, Social–Ecological Urban Planning Context: A Case Study of Flood Protection in the City of Gothenburg, Sweden

Due to unsustainable land management and climate change, floods have become more frequent and severe over the past few decades and the problem is exacerbated in urban environments. In the context of climate-proofing cities, the importance of nature-based solutions (NBSs), obtaining relevant outcomes in the form of ecosystem services, has been highlighted. Although the role of ecosystem services in building resilience against negative climate change effects is widely recognized and there is an identified need to better integrate ecosystem services into urban planning and design, this has proven difficult to operationalize. A critical limitation is that modeling is a time-consuming and costly exercise. The purpose is to roughly estimate the ecosystem service of water run-off mitigation through simplified, cost-effective, and user-friendly modelling at three nested biophysical scales, under four climate change scenarios. Using the Swedish city of Gothenburg as an example, we propose an approach for navigating NBS-oriented flooding adaptation strategies, by quantifying the ecosystem service of water run-off mitigation at three nested biophysical scales, under four climate change scenarios, hence, proposing an approach for how to navigate nature-based solutions in a multi-scale, social–ecological urban planning context against present and future flooding events. Our findings validate the effectiveness of employing an ecosystem service approach to better comprehend the significant climate change issue of flooding through user-friendly and cost-efficient modeling.

Factors Influencing the Double-Up Adoption of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies among Smallholder Maize Farmers in Malawi

Maize remains the staple grain in Malawi; hence, the cropping system of most smallholder farmers is dominated by the crop, often mono-cropped for food security. Consequently, Malawi’s agriculture sector is made vulnerable to the adverse impacts of climate change. For instance, crop failure results in food insecurity and the low income of farm households. In response, there are coping mechanisms, which can be adopted by farmers to mitigate these negative climate change effects, namely maize–legume diversification, organic manure use, and the practice of agroforestry. Therefore, the underlying objective of this study was to assess the factors influencing smallholder maize farmers’ decision to engage in the double-up adoption of climate change adaptation strategies in Malawi. Both descriptive statistics and the logistic regression model were employed to statistically analyze these factors, and the results of the analysis revealed that landholding size, inorganic fertilizer use, access to credit, seed access, adherence to extension services, and input coupon access were significant in influencing dual adoption. Furthermore, this study recommends policies, which underscore land access and safeguard the land rights of smallholder maize farmers, and also private sector engagement in complementing government efforts in ensuring increased access to seeds. Additionally, improving farmers’ adherence to agricultural extension services is recommended. Thus, addressing the constraints of small-scale farmers observed in this study will act as an incentive for farmers to consider dual adoption, which is perceived to be a feasible method to combat climate change effects.

Composting Agricultural Waste in the Mačva District as a Means of Reducing Negative Climate Change Effects

Composting Agricultural Waste in the Mačva District as a Means of Reducing Negative Climate Change Effects

SUSTAINABILITY REPORTING STANDARDIZATION AS A PREREQUISITE FOR GREEN POST-WAR RECONSTRUCTION OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR

The article is devoted to the study of standardization of sustainable development reporting in the context of granting Ukraine the status of a candidate for membership in the European Union and crisis phenomena related to Russian military aggression against Ukraine. It has been established that the implementation of Directives, Regulations, EU standards in the field of non-financial reporting determines the need for the formation of domestic legislation based on the principles of green transition and digital transformation. It was justified that the Report on Sustainable Development (Environmental, Social, Governance) and Investments (ESGI Report) should become one of the tools for attracting investments, loans, and insurance products in the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine's agricultural sector, taking into account global efforts aimed at preventing negative climate change and global warming.

Quantitative Assessment of Factors Influencing the Spatiotemporal Variation in Carbon Dioxide Fluxes Simulated by Multi-Source Remote Sensing Data in Tropical Vegetation

Vegetation plays a vital role in the global carbon cycle, a function of particular significance in regulating carbon dioxide fluxes within tropical ecosystems. Therefore, it is crucial to enhance the precision of carbon dioxide flux estimates for tropical vegetation and to explore the determinants influencing carbon sequestration. In this study, Landsat series images and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument satellite data were used to invert vegetation biophysical parameters, thereby improving the timeliness and resolution of state variables from the boreal ecosystem productivity simulator (BEPS). The BEPS model at a 30 m resolution was developed to accurately capture tropical vegetation carbon dioxide fluxes across Hainan Island (HN) over the preceding two decades. The impacts of climate variations and anthropogenic activities on the carbon dioxide fluxes of tropical vegetation were further quantified using quantile regression models and a land-use transfer matrix. Results indicate significant increases in both net primary productivity (NPP) and net ecosystem productivity (NEP) in HN during the period 2000–2020, by 5.81 and 4.29 g C/m2 year, respectively. Spatial trends in vegetation carbon dioxide fluxes exhibited a consistent decline from inland regions to coastal zones. Anthropogenic activities were the dominant factor in the reduced stability of coastal NPP, while the post-2005 vegetation restoration promoted the southward expansion of high NPP (>1200 g C/m2) in the central part of HN. NPP in this tropical island was more sensitive to temperature than to precipitation, with a 1 °C temperature increase resulting in 4.1 g C/m2 reduction in dry-season NPP compared to wet-season NPP. Upgrades of cropland quality and grassland restoration have improved NPP yields, and land use transfers have resulted in a 0.301 Tg C net increase in NPP. This study provides new insight into the improvement of the carbon dioxide flux model at a finer scale for tropical vegetation and highlights ecological construction as an adaptation strategy to enhance the carbon sinks of tropical vegetation under negative climate change conditions.

From car-oriented to car-reduced planning practices: The complex patterns of actors’ mobility-related beliefs in developing a new neighborhood

The dominance of automobility is fundamentally embedded in urban planning. Its negative consequences, e.g., air pollution, congestion, and climate change, are known and perceptible. However, a fundamental change from car-oriented to car-reduced planning is far from mainstream. We assume that the required transition strongly relates to the diverging beliefs of the actors involved. To investigate how the beliefs of organized actors influence the transition from car-oriented to car-reduced planning, this study concerns the case of developing a new, car-reduced neighborhood in a German city. We used qualitative analysis of expert interviews to derive four intertwining belief-driven patterns of transition governance we consider influential steps for the transition from car-oriented to car-reduced planning. These are: (i) belief setting, (ii) belief translation, (iii) belief persistence, and (iv) belief change. Indeed, the car-reduced belief of certain actors leads to new planning practices. These, in turn, cause a belief change in formerly opposing actors.

A review of significance of allelopathy in anticipating negative climate change effects

A review of significance of allelopathy in anticipating negative climate change effects

EFFECT OF UV RADIATION ON WHEAT PRODUCTIVITY UNDER WATER DEFICIT IRRIGATION

Water Scarcity and increasing ultraviolet radiation, especially UV-B and C bands, are direct affects of both negative climate change phenomenon and environmental pollution. Both functioned individually or synergically resulting stress in plants. Deficit irrigation and biophysical applications can be implemented to optimize the use of available water resources and increase productivity per unit area to achieve self-sufficiency of strategic crops. Pretreatedsoft wheat seeds cv. Gmeza 11 by three UV- bands UV-BS (A, B and C) with approximately dose (2.9×103mJ cm-2 ± 50), were grown till maturity on pot experiment under the winter spring of 2022/2023 season. Their response was evaluated in terms of biomass components, harvest and seed indexes, and some spike parameters, under three water deficit WD percentage 100, 85, 70% (W1,W2 and W3) of ETC, using split plot design. Moreover, some financial, technical and economic indicators for the efficiency of irrigation water were computed. Results affirmed that, all parameters had a stimulatory significant effect (P ≤ 0.05) with current studied treatments. They affected positively following UV-C, B, and A, as well as, 70, 85 and 100%. This effect may be caused individually or as a result of the interaction between them. Meanwhile, the irrigation water productivity IWP has an opposite proportion with WD, and direct proportion with UV- BS. Thehighest values of parameters were recorded with fully irrigation, 100% & UV-A treatment, except for IWP and irrigation water return IWR. In contrast, the lowest values were recorded at 70% &UV-C treatment, except for IWP. The results concluded that, the deficit percentage might not be increased more than 15% and UV wavelength might not be less than315nm. While the profit rate reached 61.04% at UV-A&W1 treatment. The economic indicators, e.g., IWR and crop requirement, have a negative correlation with both UV-BS and WD.

Sustainable home gardens in Western Kenya: A qualitative study for co-designing nutrition-sensitive interventions

Populations living in rural sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) increasingly face negative climate change impacts on their nutrition and health status. For smallholder farming families, home gardens can serve as an adaptation strategy, by offsetting climate change-related harvest losses and diversifying households' diets. The present study aimed to identify perceptions and experiences among rural caregivers of children under five years and local stakeholders working in the fields of agriculture or nutrition with regard to home gardening in Siaya County, Kenya. Thirty in-depth interviews with caregivers of young children and 26 interviews with local stakeholders were conducted, using a semi-structured interview guide. The data were analysed employing inductive content analysis. Caregivers and local stakeholders perceived home gardens as beneficial for the households’ nutrition, finances, and women empowerment. However, they also pointed to five major challenges in the process of establishing and maintaining home gardens: 1) water scarcity, 2) limited financial capital, 3) demanding physical labour, 4) limited land availability/control, and 5) lack of knowledge and technical support. For the design of sustainable home gardens, we identified four components as essential at the implementation stage: 1) locally available material and resources, 2) strong community collaboration and co-design, 3) comprehensive capacity building, 4) and lasting local partnerships. In conclusion, the establishment and sustained management of home gardens in Siaya County require a holistic, participatory and multi-actor approach. This will facilitate the provision of essential inputs and activities to ensure a sense of ownership and responsibility.

A RICARDIAN ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON JAPAN’s AGRICULTURE: ACCOUNTING FOR SOLAR RADIATION

This study evaluates the effects of climate change on the net revenue of farmers in Japan. We adopted the Ricardian model, which implicitly accounts for farmers’ full adaptation. The main findings of this study are as follows. First, the Ricardian regression shows that changes in temperature significantly impact farmers’ net revenue. In contrast, changes in precipitation have limited effects on farmers’ net revenue. The results of future predictions showed that the effects of climate change are positive across the country, with varying degrees between north and south. These results are more optimistic than those in the existing literature, which frequently reveal negative climate change impacts in southern Japan. However, it should be noted that this model assumes full adaptation and does not consider the transition costs of farmers, and understanding the actual adaptive measures is an important remaining issue.