Papillary thyroid cancer is quite rare, representing nearly 1% of all human solid cancers. However, in recent years it has attracted the attention of medical societies and the media after evidence has been provided that it is the human solid cancer showing the largest worldwide rise in incidence over the previous 10–20 years. The increase is mainly due to small ( 1 cm) papillary thyroid cancers, usually referred to as papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs), and the reason for the increase is attributed to the fortuitous discovery of subclinical thyroid nodules as a consequence of the widespread use of neck ultrasound. If this is indeed the case, it is likely that we are facing an “epidemic” of thyroid tumors that in the past would have gone undiagnosed and never have become clinically apparent. PTMCs are found in otherwise normal thyroid glands or in multinodular goiters, sometimes associated with lymph node metastases at presentation and locoregional recurrences during follow-up. Distant metastases are extremely rare but have been reported. Cancer-related deaths are unusual. Although mainly based on retrospective studies, current guidelines (1) or expert consensus (2) do not recommend aggressive treatment of PTMC, do not advocate the need for completion thyroidectomy whenever discovered fortuitously at final histology, do not advocate postsurgical radioactive thyroid ablation, and limit the follow-up to periodic neck ultrasound and measurement of serum thyroglobulin. However, from time to time a new article reports on the potential aggressiveness of PTMC and suggests treatment strategies similar to those of larger, more worrisome papillary thyroid carcinomas. This is the case with the original paper in the present issue of the JCEM by Malandrino et al (3). The authors have compared the epidemiological features of PTMC studied over a 5-year period in the Sicilian Registry for Thyroid Cancer (SRRTC) in Italy and in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry in the United States. What they found is that the age-standardized incidence rate of thyroid cancer in general, and of PTMC in particular, was higher in Sicily (PTMC, 5.8 per 100 000 inhabitants; 52.7% of all thyroid cancers) than in the United States (2.9 per 100 000; 32.5% of all thyroid cancers). Ethnicity or environmental factors (in the SRRTC there is the confounding factor of the Catania Province, which is a volcanic areawith thehighest age-standardized incidence rate of thyroid cancer) may be suggested for this difference, although the most likely explanation may be an overdiagnosis of micronodules in Sicily and an underdiagnosis in the United States. Italy is a country of moderate iodine deficiency, and thyroid screening in the era of ultrasound is particularly implemented in the entire country and in Sicily, where several teams of tertiary level endocrinologists are operating. In both registries, more than 35% of patients with PTMC exhibited 2 or more risk factors for recurrence (42.7% in the SEER and 37.8% in the SRRTC). In the opinion of Malandrino et al (3), these patients may require surgery and follow-up similar to larger carcinomas. What are these risk factors? They are pathological features (tumor size, lymph nodes, extrathyroidal extension, and multifocality) plus young age, which surprisingly was more frequently associated with other negative risk factors. The authors have no follow-up data in their series; thus the definition of risk factors for recurrence is extrapolated from other series, mainly the series by Yu et al (4), based on an analysis of the same SEER during 1988–2007 and a French series by Buffet et al (5). The series of Yu et al (4), however, does not take recurrence into account but con-
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