National Vital Statistics System Research Articles

Trends in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Mortality Rates in the US and Projections Through 2040

ImportanceThe burden of liver cancer varies worldwide. An upward trend in both hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence and mortality in the past 2 decades has been observed.ObjectiveTo assess observed HCC-related age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in the US for 2006 to 2022 and provide ASMR projections through 2040.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cross-sectional study used data from the National Vital Statistics System, which is accessible through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research website. Data on deaths attributed to HCC (from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2022) were obtained for adults 25 years or older and were stratified by liver disease etiology, age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Etiologies included alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe main outcomes were (1) observed ASMRs of HCC per 100 000 persons using Joinpoint regression (National Cancer Institute) to assess trends during 2006 to 2022 and (2) ASMRs projected for 2023 to 2040 using Prophet and AutoARIMA modeling.ResultsThis study included 188 280 HCC-related deaths from 2006 to 2022. Most deaths occurred among males (77.4%). The annual percentage change was 4.1% (95% CI, 2.2% to 7.7%) for 2006 to 2009 and decreased to 1.8% (95% CI, 0.7% to 2.0%) for 2009 to 2022, with an overall observed ASMR of 5.03 per 100 000 persons in 2022 and a projected ASMR of 6.39 per 100 000 persons by 2040, with consistent trends for both sexes. By etiology, ASMRs decreased for HCV- and HBV-related mortality but increased for ALD- and MASLD-related mortality. In 2022, MASLD surpassed HBV as the third-leading cause of HCC-related death and was projected to overtake HCV in 2032 as the second-leading cause; ALD was projected to be the leading cause of HCC-related death in 2026. In 2022, the ASMR was higher among individuals aged 65 years or older compared with those aged 25 to 64 years (18.37 vs 1.79 per 100 000 persons). The American Indian or Alaska Native population had the largest increase in projected ASMR by 2040 (14.71 per 100 000 persons) compared with the Asian population (3.03 per 100 000 persons).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cross-sectional study, ASMRs for ALD- and MASLD-related HCC death increased rapidly from 2006 to 2022; ALD-related HCC was projected to be the leading cause by 2026, with MASLD as the second-leading cause by 2032. These findings may serve as a reference for public health decision-making and timely identification of groups at high risk of HCC death.

Abstract 4148077: Heart Failure Mortality Between 1990 and 2020 by US State and Racial and Ethnic Group

Introduction: Heart failure (HF) mortality rates in the US appear to have increased in the past decade. It is unknown how these have changed in recent years by racial and ethnic groups within states. Research Question: To understand disparities in HF mortality patterns between 1990 and 2020 Aim: To estimate the change in HF mortality rates between 1990 and 2020 for Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White males and females in each US state Methods: We used multiple cause of death records from the National Vital Statistics System and population data from the National Center for Health Statistics to estimate HF mortality from 1990 to 2020 by state, age group, sex, and racial and ethnic group. A binomial model was fit to the data using RegMod, a Bayesian extension of a generalized linear model which incorporated priors from a hierarchy and modeled year as a spline. Results: In 2020, we estimated 566230 (95% UI 566160 to 569740) deaths due to HF. Between 1990 and 2010, HF rates declined in general for all racial and ethnic groups across the US, but not consistently for all states (Figure). From 2010 to 2020, this trend reversed, with age-standardized mortality from HF increasing over this time period, but again this change was not consistent across states. Among the Hispanic population, mortality increased for all states except for Maine, with the largest change for both sexes in Oklahoma. For the non-Hispanic, Black group, mortality increased among all states, with the largest change for both sexes in Oklahoma and South Dakota. Among the non-Hispanic, White populations, mortality decreased for both sexes in District of Columbia, while the largest increases were in Oklahoma. Conclusion: Heart failure mortality increased in the past decade, with striking increases in specific locations by race and ethnic group. Identifying etiologies and drivers of increased HF deaths, including the role of new therapies for subsets of systolic function, could help target novel therapies to subpopulations at highest risk. Differences in trends by state and race and ethnicity groups provides important information for clinicians and policymakers interested in reducing mortality rates.

Differences in Time of Birth between Spontaneous and Operative Vaginal Births.

Previous studies have identified an association between obstetric interventions and the time of day in which they are performed; however, they do not account for granular variations in the temporality of delivery interventions, which is influenced by both health care providers and resource availability. We sought to assess differences in time of birth among spontaneous vaginal births (SVBs) versus operative (forceps- and vacuum-assisted) vaginal births (OVBs). This cross-sectional study used birth certificate data from the National Vital Statistics System from 2016 to 2021, which includes the time of birth and delivery method for recorded U.S. births. The number of SVBs and OVBs at each minute was normalized relative to the total births within each delivery group to facilitate balanced comparisons between groups. Logistic regression analysis assessed the odds of OVBs per time of day. A total of 15,412,129 subjects who underwent vaginal birth were included in this analysis, 690,905 (4.5%) of whom underwent OVBs. Compared to births at other time intervals, those between 4:30 and 7:30 p.m. were more likely to be OVBs (odds ratio [OR] = 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.14). Conversely, births between 3:00 and 6:00 a.m. were less likely to be OVBs (OR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.86-0.88). After adjusting for adjusting for maternal age, gestational age, and induction of labor, births between 4:30 and 7:30 p.m. remained more likely to be OVBs (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.08-1.10) and births between 3:00 and 6:00 a.m. remained less likely to be OVBs (aOR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.90-0.92). In this population-based study, we identified temporal differences between SVBs and OVBs with increased use of instrumentation during the late afternoon and reduced use in the early morning. These findings prompt further investigation into the indications for OVBs and root causes of these temporal variations, which are likely multifactorial and involve provider and resource availability. · This study identifies temporal differences between SVBs and OVBs.. · Compared to SVBs, operative births are more likely in the late afternoon.. · OVBs are also less likely in the early morning.. · These temporal trends suggest the influence of provider and resource availability..

Abstract 4134851: Demographic and regional disparities in cerebrovascular disease mortality among adult patients with pre-existing atherosclerosis in the United States from 1999-2020

Introduction: Atherosclerosis (ATH) is a major risk factor for cerebrovascular disease (CEVD), with persistent mortality disparities. Our study aims to identify vulnerable regions and demographics in the US adult population with pre-existing ATH at risk of CEVD. Methods: CDC Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) was used to access National Vital Statistics System data from 1999 to 2020. ATH-related CEVD was identified using CEVD as the underlying cause of death and ATH as a contributing cause of death. Results were presented as age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 population. Joinpoint regression was used to examine changes in trend and annual percentage change (APC). Results: A total of 325,408 CEVD occurred in patients with ATH from 1999 to 2020 (AAMR = 6.9, 95% CI: 6.8-7). Increased mortality rates were observed in males (AAMR = 6.3) as compared to females (AAMR = 5.1) (Figure, Panel A). AAMRs were highest in Non-Hispanic Whites [NHW] (5.7, 95% CI: 5.7 - 5.8), followed by non-Hispanic blacks [NHB] (5.5, 95% CI: 5.4 - 5.5), Hispanics (4.1, 95% CI: 4.0 - 4.1) and non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native [NH-AIAN] (3.6, 95% CI: 3.4 - 3.8). Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander [NH-API] had the lowest mortality rates (3.4, 95% CI: 3.4 - 3.5). Region-wise analysis revealed that mortality rates were highest in the West (6.4, 95% CI: 6.3-6.4) and Midwest (6.2, 95% CI: 6.1-6.2). The South reported the rate of 5.5 (95% CI: 5.5-5.6), while the Northeast had the lowest rate (4.4, 95% CI: 4.3-4.4). Mortality rates were consistently higher in rural areas (6.1, 95% CI: 6.0-6.1) compared to urban areas (5.3, 95% CI: 5.3-5.4) throughout the study period. Overall AAMR rose from 9.0 in 1999 to 10.4 in 2001, then steadily declined before increasing to 3.6 from 2016 to 2020 (APC: 0.41). After an initial decline, AAMR increased in men (APC: 1.09) from 2016 and in women (APC: 5.09) from 2018. AAMR also increased among NH-API (APC: 8.9) and NHB (APC: 8.3) from 2018 onwards, and NHW (APC: 0.1) from 2016 (Figure, Panel B). Conclusions: Our study reveals significant mortality disparities from CEVD in patients with ATH, identifying males, NHW, and residents in the West and Midwest as particularly at increased risk. Rural areas consistently show higher mortality rates than urban areas. These findings highlight the need for targeted interventions and strategic provision of healthcare resources to improve outcomes for vulnerable populations.

Trends in Short Interpregnancy Interval Births in the United States, 2016-2022.

To measure contemporary trends in the prevalence of short interpregnancy interval (IPI) births in the United States. We conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis using 2016-2022 natality data from the National Vital Statistics System. We included all singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth. We examined trends over time in short IPIs less than 18 months, as well as for specific durations within this time frame (less than 6 months, 6-11 months, and 12-17 months), using linear probability models that estimated changes in the prevalence of each IPI duration over time. We then estimated the prevalence of each short IPI duration by maternal race and ethnicity, socioeconomic characteristics (age, education, insurance payer at delivery), and geography (U.S. census region, state of residence). The study sample included 14,770,411 singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth in 2016-2022. Roughly a third (29.8%) of births had an overall IPI of less than 18 months (5.0% less than 6 months, 11.0% 6-11 months, and 13.8% 12-17 months). For IPIs less than 6 months, a slight statistical decline in prevalence was identified over the study period in unadjusted and adjusted models (adjusted annual percentage point change -0.02, 95% CI, -0.03 to -0.02). Slight statistical increases in the prevalence of IPIs of 6-11 and 12-17 months were identified in unadjusted models but were no longer significant and reversed direction in adjusted models, respectively. Long-standing inequities in the distribution of the shortest IPIs (less than 6 months) were stable compared with prior work across the indicators examined in this study. Overall, it appears the prevalence of short IPIs has remained stable between 2016 and 2022.

Disparities in wellbeing in the USA by race and ethnicity, age, sex, and location, 2008-21: an analysis using the Human Development Index.

The Human Development Index (HDI)-a composite metric encompassing a population's life expectancy, education, and income-is used widely for assessing and comparing human development and wellbeing at the country level, but does not account for within-country inequality. In this study of the USA, we aimed to adapt the HDI framework to measure the HDI at an individual level to examine disparities in the distribution of wellbeing by race and ethnicity, sex, age, and geographical location. We used individual-level data on adults aged 25 years and older from the 2008-21 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample. We extracted information on race and ethnicity, age, sex, location (Public Use Microdata Areas), educational attainment, and household income and size. We merged these data with estimated life tables by race and ethnicity, sex, age, location (county), and year, generated using Bayesian small-area estimation models applied to death certificate data from the National Vital Statistics System. For each individual in the ACS, we used these combined data to estimate years of education, household consumption, and expected lifespan; converted each of these three features into an index using a percentile score; and calculated the HDI as the geometric mean of these three indices. Finally, we grouped individuals into yearly HDI deciles. Years of education, household consumption, and expected lifespan-and thus the HDI-varied considerably among adults in the USA during the 2008-21 period. For most race and ethnicity and sex groups, the mean HDI increased gradually from 2008 to 2019, then declined in 2020 due to declines in expected lifespan, although there were systematic differences in the distribution of the HDI by race and ethnicity and sex. In the lowest HDI decile, there was over-representation (ie, >10% of the total population of a given race and ethnicity and sex group) of American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) males (50% [SE 0·2] in decile, mean annual population in decile 0·37 million [SE 0·002]), Black males (40% [<0·1], 4·67 million [0·006]), AIAN females (23% [0·1], 0·19 million [0·001]), Latino males (21% [<0·1], 3·27 million [0·006]), Black females (14% [<0·1], 1·86 million [0·004]), and Latina females (13% [<0·1], 2·07 million [0·006]). Given differences in total population size, however, White males were the largest population group in the lowest decile (27% [<0·1] of the lowest decile, 5·87 million [0·012]), followed by Black males (22% [<0·1]) and Latino males (15% [<0·1]). There were notable differences in these patterns by age group: for example, for the 25-44 years age group, the lowest HDI decile had even greater over-representation of AIAN males (66% [0·2] in decile, 0·22 million [0·001]) and Black males (46% [<0·1], 2·52 million [0·005]) than the 85 years and older age group (22% [1·1], <0·01 million [<0·001]; and 20% [0·3], 0·03 million [<0·001]). By contrast, the lowest decile had an under-representation of Asian females (2% [<0·1], 0·06 million [<0·001]) in the 25-44 years age group, but an over-representation in the 85 years and older age group (25% [0·3], 0·03 million [<0·001]). The lowest HDI decile for the 25-44 years age group was primarily male (76% [<0·1], 6·44 million [0·009]) whereas for age 85 years and older it was predominantly female (71% [0·1], 0·42 million [0·002]). In the highest HDI decile, shifts in the composition of the population by age were particularly large for White males, who made up 5% (0·1; 0·39 million [0·001]) of this decile in the 25-44 years age group, but 49% (0·2; 0·29 million [0·001]) in the 85 years and older age group. From 2012 to 2021, the proportion of the population living in the lowest HDI decile varied substantially by location, and a disproportionately high share of the population living in locations in much of the southern half of the USA, Appalachia, and Rust Belt states were in the lowest HDI decile. Substantial disparities in wellbeing exist within the USA and are heavily influenced by race and ethnicity (due to racism), sex, age, and geographical location. These disparities are not immutable, but improvement is not a given, and gains can be fleeting in the face of a crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Sustained action to ensure that everyone has meaningful access to a high-quality education, the means to earn a sufficient income, and the opportunity to live a long and healthy life is needed to reduce these disparities and should focus on the populations and locations that are worst off. State of Washington and National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities.

Food Swamps and Food Deserts Impact on Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) Mortality in US Counties

Lacking access to quality food may increase the risk of MASLD. We investigated associations between food environment factors (food deserts and food swamps) and MASLD-related mortality across the United States (US). MASLD-related deaths were obtained from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) (2016-2020) and food environment factors from Food Environment Atlas (FEA). Food deserts are areas where low-income residents have limited access to affordable and nutritious food due to a scarcity of nearby grocery stores. Food swamps are areas oversaturated with outlets offering limited healthy food options. Counties in the highest mortality quartile (4th quartile) compared to the lowest mortality quartile (1st quartile) were predominantly located in the South region (78.7% vs. 23.5%) and rural areas (76.1% vs. 26.6%). These counties also had higher rates of elderly residents (19.4% vs. 16.5%), Hispanic residents (13.1% vs. 10.5%), household crowding (2.83% vs. 2.37%), no broadband internet subscription (23.9% vs. 12.7%), no high school diploma (16.1% vs. 9.0%), poverty rates (30.2% vs. 18.5%), unemployment rates (6.4% vs. 4.7%), food deserts (8.7% vs. 5.8%) and food swamp ratio (5.69 vs. 4.28) (all p-values <.001). After adjusting for county socio-demographic and clinical factors and regions, mixed-effects linear regression models showed significant differences in mortality rates (per 100,000) between counties with the highest versus lowest quartiles of food deserts (25.65 vs. 12.75, adjusted difference = 3.66 [95% CI: 2.66-4.72]) and food swamps (27.13 vs. 20.15 per 100,000, adjusted difference = 3.57 [95% CI: 2.44-4.71]). In the United States, addressing socio-demographic and food environment disparities is paramount to reduce MASLD-related mortality.

COVID-19 and sepsis-related excess mortality in the US during the first three years: A national-wide time series study.

The COVID-19 pandemic's global impact has been devastating, causing millions of deaths. Our study investigates excess sepsis-related mortality trends over three years during the pandemic. Using CDC's National Vital Statistics System data from January 2018 to March 2023, we projected sepsis-related deaths during the pandemic using a Poisson log-linear regression model. We compared observed versus predicted deaths and analyzed temporal trends by demographics and regions. Among the 753,160 deaths documented between March 2020 and March 2023, a significant downward trend was noted in sepsis-related mortality rates from March 2022 to March 2023, coinciding with the surge of the Omicron variant. The excess mortality rates were 170.6 per million persons (95% CI: 168.2-172.6), 167.5 per million persons (95% CI: 163.6-170.9), and 73.3 per million persons (95% CI: 69.4-76.6) in the first, second, and third years, respectively. Increased sepsis-related mortality was observed across all age subgroups, with the greatest increase noted in those aged 85 years and above compared to middle- and young-aged decedents. Disparities were also observed across racial/ethnic, sex/gender subgroups, and geographic regions. This study highlights the effectiveness of current policies and prevention measures in response to the long-term circulating of SARS-CoV-2 in the community.

Racial disparities in maternal blood transfusion in the United States by mode of delivery.

Despite well-documented racial disparities in maternal health in the United States, gaps remain in characterizing the distribution of these disparities in maternal blood transfusion. To assess racial disparities in maternal blood transfusion using detailed, self-identified racial groupings in the United States overall and stratified by mode of delivery. We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of full term, live births (2016-2021) using the National Vital Statistics System's Natality Files. Regression models were constructed to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of maternal blood transfusion by self-identified maternal race in the total population, and among subgroups stratified by mode of delivery. Models were adjusted for maternal and obstetric practice factors. The study included 17,905,699 deliveries; maternal blood transfusion occurred in 3.4 per 1,000 deliveries. Compared with individuals who identified as White (3.3 per 1,000 transfusion rate), higher odds of transfusion were found among those who identified as American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN; aOR 2.36, 95% CI 2.23-2.49), Black (aOR 1.15, 95% CI 1.12-1.17), Filipino (aOR 1.33, 95% CI 1.22-1.44), Korean (aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.42), and Pacific Islander (aOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.45-1.83). The frequency of transfusion and racial disparities in transfusion varied substantially by mode of delivery. Lower rates of transfusion in Black vs White patients were observed in the spontaneous vaginal delivery (2.2 vs 2.3 per 1000; aOR 0.95, 95% CI 0.92-0.99), forceps (6.8 vs 8.9 per 1000; aOR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60-0.99), vacuum (4.2 vs 5.0 per 1000; aOR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74-0.97, and cesarean delivery with trial of labour (8.8 vs 8.9 per 1000; aOR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-1.00) groups, while a higher rate was shown among cesarean deliveries without trial of labour (6.8 vs 4.3 per 1000; aOR 1.45, 95% CI 1.40-1.51). Racial disparities in maternal blood transfusion persist after adjustment for several confounders, particularly for AIAN and Pacific Islander individuals, and vary by mode of delivery.

Association of Prepregnancy Cardiometabolic Health With Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy Among Historically Underrepresented Groups in the United States.

Prepregnancy diabetes and obesity are associated with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDPs). However, the proportion of cases of HDP in the population explained by diabetes and obesity (population attributable fraction), especially among American Indian and Alaska Native and Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander, is not well characterized. We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of data on individuals with a live singleton birth from the US National Vital Statistics System between 2016 and 2019. We used adjusted logistic regression to estimate the prevalence odds ratios of HDPs and tested interaction for race and ethnicity. We calculated the population attributable fraction for the effect of obesity and diabetes on HDPs. Among 13 201 338 birthing individuals, (mean age, 29±6 years), 7% had HDP. The prevalence of HDP was highest among American Indian and Alaska Native individuals (9.1%). Prepregnancy diabetes (prevalence odds ratio, 2.63 [95% CI, 2.59-2.67]) and obesity (prevalence odds ratio, 2.95 [95% CI, 2.93-2.97]) were associated with HDPs. Compared with non-Hispanic White individuals, the association of diabetes with HDPs was strongest among Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander (prevalence odds ratio, 3.05 [95% CI, 2.48-3.77]), and the association of obesity with HDP was strongest among Asian individuals (prevalence odds ratio, 3.44 [95% CI, 3.35-3.54]; all P for interaction <0.05). Population attributable fractions for diabetes and obesity were highest among Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander individuals (diabetes, 3.7% [95% CI, 3.3%-4.0%]; and obesity, 45% [95% CI, 41.9%-47.8%]). Prepregnancy diabetes and obesity are associated with HDP across all racial and ethnic groups. Diabetes and obesity have highest population attributable fractions among Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander individuals and should be aggressively targeted during childhood, adolescence, and young adulthood to reduce risk of HDPs.

Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Among Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander Adults Aged 35 Years or Older, 2018 to 2022.

Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander (NHPI) adults have historically been grouped with Asian adults in U.S. mortality surveillance. Starting in 2018, the 1997 race and ethnicity standards from the U.S. Office of Management and Budget were adopted by all states on death certificates, enabling national-level estimates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality for NHPI adults independent of Asian adults. To describe CVD mortality among NHPI adults. Race-stratified age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and rate ratios were calculated using final mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System for 2018 to 2022. Fifty states and the District of Columbia. Adults aged 35 years or older at the time of death. CVD deaths were identified from International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes indicating CVD (I00 to I99) as the underlying cause of death. From 2018 to 2022, 10 870 CVD deaths (72.6% from heart disease; 19.0% from cerebrovascular disease) occurred among NHPI adults. The CVD ASMR for NHPI adults (369.6 deaths per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 362.4 to 376.7]) was 1.5 times higher than for Asian adults (243.9 deaths per 100 000 persons [CI, 242.6 to 245.2]). The CVD ASMR for NHPI adults was the third highest in the country, after Black adults (558.8 deaths per 100 000 persons [CI, 557.4 to 560.3]) and White adults (423.6 deaths per 100 000 persons [CI, 423.2 to 424.1]). Potential misclassification of underlying cause of death or race group. NHPI adults have a high rate of CVD mortality, which was previously masked by aggregation of the NHPI population with the Asian population. The results of this study support the need for continued disaggregation of the NHPI population in public health research and surveillance to identify opportunities for intervention. National Institute of General Medical Sciences, National Institutes of Health.

Neonatal mortality among disaggregated Asian American and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander populations.

We compared neonatal (<28 days) mortality rates (NMRs) across disaggregated Asian American and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander (AANHPI) groups using recent, national data. We used 2015-2019 cohort-linked birth-infant death records from the National Vital Statistics System. Our sample included 61,703 neonatal deaths among 18,709,743 births across all racial and ethnic groups. We compared unadjusted NMRs across disaggregated AANHPI groups, then compared NMRs adjusting for maternal sociodemographic, maternalclinical, and neonatal risk factors. Unadjusted NMRs differed by over 3-fold amongst disaggregated AANHPI groups. Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander neonates in aggregate had the highest fully-adjusted odds of mortality (OR: 1.08 [95% CI: 0.89, 1.31]) compared to non-Hispanic White neonates. Filipino, Asian Indian, and Other Asian neonates experienced significant decreases in odds ratios after adjusting for neonatal risk factors. Aggregating AANHPI neonates masks large heterogeneity and undermines opportunities to provide targeted care to higher-risk groups.

Maternal cigarette smoking before or during pregnancy increases the risk of severe neonatal morbidity after delivery: a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThe association of maternal cigarette smoking during pregnancy with severe neonatal morbidity (SNM) is still inconclusive. We aimed to examine the associations of the timing and the intensity of maternal...

Increased Stillbirth Rates and Exposure to Environmental Risk Factors for Stillbirth in Counties with Higher Social Vulnerability: United States, 2015-2018.

Exposure to unfavorable environmental conditions during pregnancy, such as extreme heat and air pollution, has been linked to increased risk of stillbirth, defined as fetal mortality at or after 20 weeks' gestation, however no studies have examined its association with social vulnerability. We examined associations between county-level stillbirth rates, environmental risk factors for stillbirth, and social vulnerability in the United States. This ecologic study linked county-level data from three nationwide datasets on stillbirths (National Vital Statistics System), environmental conditions (North American Land Data Assimilation System and Environmental Protection Agency), and social vulnerability (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry Social Vulnerability Index). Poisson and negative binomial models were fit to the variables and produced rate ratios to estimate associations among stillbirth rates, environmental risk factors, and social vulnerability. Social vulnerability was positively associated withn stillbirth rates, annual average number of extreme heat days, and ambient concentration of particulate matter ≤ 2.5μm in diameter (PM2.5). The average number of days that ozone and PM2.5 each exceeded regulatory standards were not associated with stillbirth rates or social vulnerability. A positive association between average annual PM2.5 concentration and stillbirth rates was detected; no other significant associations between environmental risk factors and stillbirth rates were observed. We found evidence of associations between social vulnerability and stillbirth rates, and between social vulnerability and environmental risk factors for stillbirth at the county level. Further research could inform understanding of how social vulnerability impacts the relationship between environmental exposures and stillbirth risk.

Nulliparous Individuals with Class III Obesity: Adverse Outcomes with Labor versus Planned Cesarean Delivery.

Individuals with class III obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 40 kg/m2) are at increased risk of cesarean delivery (CD) and peripartum complications. We ascertained compositive neonatal and maternal adverse outcomes among individuals with class III obesity who labored versus had planned CD. This was a retrospective cohort study from 2016 to 2021 using the National Vital Statistics System database. Nulliparous individuals with class III obesity prepregnancy were included if they had singleton, nonanomalous pregnancies and delivered at 37 to 41 weeks of gestation. Individuals were excluded if they had hypertensive disorders or diabetes. The primary outcome was a composite neonatal adverse outcome (CNAO), consisting of Apgar score less than 5 at 5 minutes, assisted ventilation > 6 hours, neonatal seizure, or neonatal death. The secondary outcome was a composite maternal adverse outcome (CMAO) that included admission to the intensive care unit, maternal transfusion, uterine rupture, or unplanned hysterectomy. A sensitivity analysis using a CMAO without transfusion was performed. A multivariable Poisson regression model was performed to calculate adjusted relative risks (aRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Of 192,298 individuals who met inclusion criteria, 169,676 (88.2%) labored and 22,622 (11.8%) had a planned CD. Compared with neonates delivered by planned CD, the risk of CNAO was significantly lower in those who delivered after labor (aRR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.71-0.87). There was no significant difference in the risk of CMAO between groups (aRR: 1.11, 95% CI: 0.87-1.41). However, the risk of CMAO without transfusion was lower in individuals who labored (aRR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.40-0.83). In nulliparous individuals with class III obesity, the risk of CNAO and of CMAO without transfusion were significantly lower in individuals who labored, versus those who had a planned CD. · Labor in class III obesity: 21% fewer adverse neonatal outcomes.. · Class III obesity: 43% less maternal morbidity with labor.. · Labor in nulliparous individuals with class III obesity is safe..

Declines in Triplet and Higher-order Multiple Births in the United States, 1998-2023.

This report explores changes in the overall rate of triplet and higher-order births from 1998 to 2023 by detailed plurality, maternal race and Hispanic origin, and age. Data are from the National Vital Statistics System birth files. Triplet and higher-order birth rates (number of triplet and higher-order births per 100,000 births) from 1998 to 2023 are presented. Also presented are the number of triplet, triplet and higher-order, and quadruplet and higher-order births, and triplet and higher-order multiple birth rates by maternal race and Hispanic origin and maternal age for 1998, 2009, and 2023. From 1998 to 2023, the triplet and higher-order multiple birth rate declined 62%, from 193.5 per 100,000 total births to 73.8; the largest declines were from 2009 to 2023. The number of triplet and higher-order births declined from 7,625 to 2,653. Declines in triplet and higher-order birth rates were observed for White non-Hispanic (71%) and Hispanic (25%) mothers, while the rate for Black non-Hispanic mothers increased (25%). Triplet and higher-order birth rates declined for all age groups 20 and older from 1998 to 2023, and the largest declines were for mothers age 30 and older.

Suicide Mortality in the United States, 2002-2022.

This report provides final 2022 suicide numbers and age-adjusted rates, updating a provisional 2022 suicide report. Data were analyzed using National Vital Statistics System multiple cause-of-death mortality files for 2002 through 2022, with suicide deaths identified using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision underlying cause-of-death codes U03, X60-X84, and Y87.0. Age-adjusted death rates were calculated using the direct method and the 2000 U.S. standard population. Pairwise comparisons were conducted using the z test with an alpha level of 0.05, and trends were assessed using the Joinpoint Regression Program (5.0.2). After increasing from 2002 to 2018, the age-adjusted suicide rate declined from 2018 (14.2 deaths per 100,000 standard population) through 2020 (13.5) but then increased 5%, to 14.2 in 2022. Following a period of decline between 2018 and 2020, suicide rates generally increased between 2020 and 2022 for females ages 25 and older. For males ages 10-14 and 15-24, rates decreased between 2020 and 2022, while rates for older age groups generally increased. For females in 2022, firearm-related suicide (2.0) was the leading means of suicide, with rates generally increasing since 2007. For males in 2022, firearm-related suicide (13.5) was the leading means of suicide, with rates increasing since 2006.

County-level jail and state-level prison incarceration and cancer mortality in the United States.

This study examined the association of county-level jail and state-level prison incarceration rates and cancer mortality rates in the United States. Incarceration rates (1995-2018) were sourced from national data and categorized into quartiles. County- and state-level mortality rates (2000-2019) with invasive cancer as the underlying cause of death were obtained from the National Vital Statistics System. Compared with the first quartile (lowest incarceration rate), the second, third, and fourth quartiles (highest incarceration rate) of county-level jail incarceration rate were associated with 1.3%, 2.3%, and 3.9% higher county-level cancer mortality rates, respectively, in adjusted analyses. Compared with the first quartile, the second, third, and fourth quartiles of state-level prison incarceration rate were associated with 1.7%, 2.5%, and 3.9% higher state-level cancer mortality rates, respectively. Associations were more pronounced for liver and lung cancers. Addressing adverse effects of mass incarceration may potentially improve cancer outcomes in affected communities.

Changes in mortality due to Chronic Liver Diseases (CLD) during the COVID-19 pandemic: Data from the United States' National Vital Statistics System.

We assessed chronic liver disease (CLD)-related mortality in the U.S. using death data (2011-2021) obtained from National Vital Statistics System (NVSS). The average annual percentage change (AAPC) from the models selected by Joinpoint regression analysis over the pre-pandemic (2011-2019) and the 2019-2021 were reported because non-linear trend in death rates were observed over the 2011-2021. Liver-specific death was defined as an underlying cause of death and Chronic liver disease (CLD)-related death was defined as any cause of death. During the pre-pandemic, age-standardized HCC- and cirrhosis-specific death rates were annually increased by AAPC = +1.18% (95% confidence interval, 0.34% to 2.03%) and AAPC = +1.95% (1.56% to 2.35%). In contrast, during the 2019-2021, the AAPC in age-standardized cirrhosis-specific death rate (per 100,000) accelerated by up to AAPC +11.25% (15.23 in 2019 to 18.86 in 2021) whereas that in age-standardized HCC-specific death rate slowed to -0.39 (-1.32% to 0.54%) (3.86 in 2019 to 3.84 in 2021). Compared to HCC-specific deaths, cirrhosis-specific deaths were more likely to be non-Hispanic white (72.4% vs. 62.0%) and non-Hispanic American Indian and Alaska native (AIAN) (2.2% vs. 1.1%) and have NAFLD (45.3% vs. 12.5%) and ALD (27.6% vs. 22.0%). During the 2019-2021, the age-standardized HCV- and HBV-related death rate stabilized, whereas the age-standardized NAFLD- and ALD-related deaths rate increased to 20.16 in 2021 (AAPC = +12.13% [7.76% to 16.68%]) and to 14.95 in 2021 (AAPC = +18.30% [13.76% to 23.03%]), which were in contrast to much smaller incremental increases during the pre-pandemic (AAPC = +1.82% [1.29% to 2.35%] and AAPC = +4.54% [3.97% to 5.11%]), respectively). The most pronounced rise in the age-standardized NAFLD-related death rates during the pandemic was observed among AIAN (AAPC = +25.38%), followed by non-Hispanic White female (AAPC = +14.28%), whereas the age-standardized ALD-related death rates during the pandemic were highest among AIAN (AAPC = +40.65%), followed by non-Hispanic Black female (AAPC = +26.79%). COVID-19 pandemic had a major negative impact on cirrhosis-specific and CLD-related mortality in the U.S. with significant racial and gender disparities.

Association between state minimum wage and firearm suicides in the USA, 2000–2020

BackgroundFirearm suicides constitute a major public health issue. Policies that enhance economic security and decrease community-level poverty may be effective strategies for reducing risk of firearm suicide. This study examined...