Transitions in Intention to Become Pregnant in Women Enrolled in the National Childrens Study Initial Vanguard StudyAbstract Number:1965 Dean Baker*, Joseph Stanford, Tiandong Li, Richard Hamman, Jennifer Kwan, and Ulrike Luderer Dean Baker* Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, University of California, Irvine, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Joseph Stanford Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Tiandong Li Westat, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Richard Hamman Department of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Jennifer Kwan National Children's Study, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , and Ulrike Luderer Center for Occupational and Environmental Health, University of California, Irvine, United States, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author AbstractBACKGROUND. Prospective studies of the effects of the preconception environment on children’s health necessitate recruiting women prior to conception. The National Children’s Study (NCS) is a large United States (US) birth cohort study, which provided an opportunity to assess changes in pregnancy intention in a large sample of US women and evaluate the feasibility of preconception enrollment.METHODS. The initial NCS design was a multi-stage cluster sample of 105 locations. The NCS selected seven locations to pilot test household-based enumeration and recruitment methods. Women were screened for pregnancy and, if not pregnant, for the likelihood of future pregnancy. An algorithm was used to assign low, moderate, or high probability of pregnancy (PPG) based on sexual activity and use of contraception. High PPG women were considered ‘tryers’ if they were planning to conceive. Follow-up of non-pregnant women was by periodic telephone calls. Logistic regression was used to examine initial PPG status by demographic characteristics. A proportional hazards model is being developed to model rates of PPG status transitions.RESULTS. The study screened 20,350 women who were eligible for pre-pregnancy follow-up and completed follow-up contact on 64%. The distribution of PPG status at first contact was Low (58%); Moderate (30%); High Non-Tryer (8.3%), and High Tryer (3.4%). Women initially in the high PPG groups were more likely to be age 25-30 years, married, and Black or Hispanic. Follow-up rates were higher among younger, married, White women. The crude rate of becoming pregnant as the first PPG status transition varied dramatically by initial PPG status: Low (0.2); Moderate (0.6); High Non-Tryer (1.7); and High Tryer (6.5) per 100 person-months. DISCUSSION. Focusing on women who are trying to become pregnant can be an efficient recruitment strategy to study preconception exposures. However, such a strategy may be biased because these women differ from other women.
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