Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model Research Articles

Abstract PO3-18-02: RISK FACTORS FOR DEATH IN ELDERLY PATIENTS WITH BREAST CANCER TREATED IN AN ONCOLOGY REFERENCE HOSPITAL IN THE CITY OF RECIFE, BRAZIL

Abstract Background: Breast cancer (BC) is the most common type of cancer among women in the world and in Brazil as well. Age is the most important risk factor for the development of cancer. The treatment of BC in elderly women is particularly challenging, as physiological changes, functional deficits, comorbidities and the use of polypharmacy can alter the risk of toxicity. We conducted this trial to determine the risk factors for deaths in less than 180 days after admission in elderly cancer patients with BC treated at the Instituto de Medicina Integral Prof. Fernando Figueira (IMIP), Recife, Brazil, and correlate with specific aspects of this type of cancer, such as type of treatment and immunohistochemical profile. Methods: Prospective cohort, in women aged ≥ 60 years, diagnosed with BC, admitted to the IMIP Oncogeriatric Service. At admission, sociodemographic and clinical variables and 10 tests that make up the CGA (Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment) were evaluated, including Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form (MNA-SF), Polypharmacy and KPS (Karnofsky Performance Status). The follow-up period was at least six months. Descriptive, bivariate analysis using the Fisher and Chi-square tests, a survival study using the Kaplan-Meier method and univariate analysis were performed, including those with p < 0.20 in the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model controlled by Age and Tumor staging. All subjects involved in the research were informed about the objectives of the study and were only included after voluntarily agreeing to participate, signing the informed consent form. Results: The study sample consisted of 326 patients diagnosed with BC in the period from January 2015 to December 2020, all female, with a mean age of 73.46 years (SD ± 7.81). Sociodemographic, clinical and treatment characteristics are described in Table 1. Of the 326 patients, 46 (14,1%) died, and of these, 21 (45,7%) had an infection and 18 (39,1%) required hospitalization. Regarding the domains of the CGA, the characteristics of patients both in the general population and those who died are described in Table 2. After multivariate analysis by Cox regression of clinical variables related to the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) according to death, were identified as a risk factor for death: MNA-SF < 12 (HR = 2,76, IC95%, 1,49-9,48, p =0,001), KPS ≤ 50% (HR = 4,39, IC95%, 2,03-9,48,p < 0,001). Conclusions: In order to improve the efficacy and safety of the treatment of elderly women with BC and to improve their quality of life, the instruments of CGA should be performed routinely. In this population, KPS and Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Version (MNA – SF) were identified as important predictors of early death (180 days after admission). Therefore, in elderly patients with BC who are at risk for malnutrition and have low KPS, the treatment should be analyzed with caution, as well as the evaluation for concomitant early palliative care. Table 1. Sociodemographic, clinical and treatment characteristics of elderly patients treated for BC at IMIP, Recife, 2015-2020. Table 2. Characteristics of CGA (Compreensive Geriatric Assessment) of elderly patients treated for BC at IMIP, Recife, 2015-2020. Citation Format: Ana Cecilia De Vasconcelos, Candice Santos, Jurema Telles, Maria Julia Mello, Bárbara Luz. RISK FACTORS FOR DEATH IN ELDERLY PATIENTS WITH BREAST CANCER TREATED IN AN ONCOLOGY REFERENCE HOSPITAL IN THE CITY OF RECIFE, BRAZIL [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO3-18-02.

Abstract PO1-17-05: Real-world effectiveness of palbociclib plus aromatase inhibitors (AI) in metastatic breast cancer patients with cardiovascular diseases

Abstract Background Breast cancer survivors are at risk for mortality from cardiovascular diseases (CVD). CVD and their treatments can impact breast cancer treatment selection and clinical outcomes. A cyclin dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitor (CDK4/6i) combined with endocrine therapy (ET) is more effective than ET alone for hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2) metastatic breast cancer (MBC). CDK4/6i plus ET is now the standard of care in the first-line setting for HR+/HER2 MBC. However, data on the effectiveness of CDK4/6i in MBC patients with CVD are limited. We compared overall survival (OS) and real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) of palbociclib plus AI (PAL+AI) vs AI alone in HR+/HER2 MBC patients with CVD in routine US clinical practices. Methods The Flatiron Health longitudinal database contains electronic health records from >280 cancer clinics, representing >3 million actively treated cancer patients in the US. Using the Flatiron database, we conducted a retrospective analysis of 469 patients with HR+/HER2 MBC and CVD who started PAL+AI or AI as first-line therapy between February 2015 and March 2020. CVD prior to the initiation of PAL+AI or AI were identified based on their definitions within the National Cancer Institute-Comorbidity Index (NCI-CI), including myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular diseases, and cerebrovascular diseases. Patients were assessed from start of PAL+AI or AI to September 30, 2020 (data cutoff date), death, or last visit, whichever came first. OS was defined as months from start of PAL+AI or AI to death. rwPFS was defined as months from start of PAL+AI or AI to death or disease progression, evaluated based on clinical assessment or radiographic scan/tissue biopsy. Stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (sIPTW) as primary analysis was used to balance baseline demographics and clinical characteristics. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the relative effectiveness of PAL+AI vs AI alone. Results Of the 469 eligible patients, 160 (34.1%) were treated with PAL+AI and 309 (65.9%) were treated with AI alone. Compared with AI-alone patients, those treated with PAL+AI were younger and were more likely to have de novo MBC, ≥2 metastatic sites, and lung/liver involvement. After sIPTW, patient characteristics were generally balanced. After sIPTW, median OS (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 40.7 months (30.956.0) in PAL+AI patients and 26.5 months (23.337.3) in AI patients (hazard ratio [HR]=0.732, 95% CI=0.5370.997, p=0.0476). Median rwPFS (95% CI) was 20.0 months (11.7–27.5) in PAL+AI patients and 12.5 months (9.718.3) in AI patients (HR=0.679, 95% CI=0.5120.900, p=0.0070). Consistent results were observed with multivariate Cox proportional-hazards models as sensitivity analysis. See Table for baseline patient characteristics and outcome results. Conclusions First-line PAL in combination with AI is associated with prolonged OS and rwPFS in patients with HR+/HER2 MBC and CVD in a real-world setting compared with AI alone. Further studies with larger cohorts and comprehensive assessments of comorbidities are needed to provide additional evidence of outcomes and safety of CDK4/6i plus AI for MBC patients with various comorbid conditions in routine clinical practice. Citation Format: Adam Brufsky, Xianchen Liu, Benjamin Li, Lynn McRoy, Connie Chen, Doris Makari, Rachel Layman, Hope Rugo. Real-world effectiveness of palbociclib plus aromatase inhibitors (AI) in metastatic breast cancer patients with cardiovascular diseases [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-17-05.

Adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with pneumonia at age 60 or more: A prospective multi-centric hospital-based study in India.

Limited data exists regarding risk factors for adverse outcomes in older adults hospitalized with Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) in low- and middle-income countries such as India. This multisite study aimed to assess outcomes and associated risk factors among adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with pneumonia. Between December 2018 and March 2020, we enrolled ≥60-year-old adults admitted within 48 hours for CAP treatment across 16 public and private facilities in four sites. Clinical data and nasal/oropharyngeal specimens were collected by trained nurses and tested for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and other respiratory viruses (ORV) using the qPCR. Participants were evaluated regularly until discharge, as well as on the 7th and 30th days post-discharge. Outcomes included ICU admission and in-hospital or 30-day post-discharge mortality. A hierarchical framework for multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models identified risk factors (e.g., demographics, clinical features, etiologic agents) associated with critical care or death. Of 1,090 CAP patients, the median age was 69 years; 38.4% were female. Influenza viruses were detected in 12.3%, RSV in 2.2%, and ORV in 6.3% of participants. Critical care was required for 39.4%, with 9.9% in-hospital mortality and 5% 30-day post-discharge mortality. Only 41% of influenza CAP patients received antiviral treatment. Admission factors independently associated with ICU admission included respiratory rate >30/min, blood urea nitrogen>19mg/dl, altered sensorium, anemia, oxygen saturation <90%, prior cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and private hospital admission. Diabetes, anemia, low oxygen saturation at admission, ICU admission, and mechanical ventilation were associated with 30-day mortality. High ICU admission and 30-day mortality rates were observed among older adults with pneumonia, with a significant proportion linked to influenza and RSV infections. Comprehensive guidelines for CAP prevention and management in older adults are needed, especially with the co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2.

Abstract PO2-26-05: Disparities at the Convergence of Race and Ethnicity: Examining Trends and Outcomes in Young Women Diagnosed with Breast Cancer

Abstract Purpose: In breast cancer, research has shown that race/ethnicity can be associated with disease predisposition, access to care, and outcomes. There are numerous studies that combine Hispanic and Haitian women of all races into a single group may overlook opportunities to identify important characteristics within this heterogeneous group that could more accurately predict outcomes and reveal opportunities to improve care. While these groups have been studied, there is limited data about the impact race and ethnicity has on young adult populations with breast cancer. In this study, we sought to compare tumor subtype, stage at diagnosis, time to surgery (TTS), and overall survival (OS) among Hispanic and Haitian patients to patients of non-Hispanic descent. Methods: Women 18 years of age or older who had been diagnosed with stage 0-IV breast cancer and who had undergone lumpectomy or mastectomy were identified in the National Cancer Database (2015-2021). Tumor subtype and stage at diagnosis were compared by race/ethnicity. Multivariable linear regression and Cox proportional hazards modeling were used to estimate associations between race/ethnicity and adjusted TTS and OS, respectively. Results: A total of 48,150 patients were included in this study. Age ranged from 18-40. (American Indian [AI]: 79 [0.2%]; Haitian: 15,011 [31.2%]; White: 20,109 [85.48%]; Hispanic: 13,030 [27%]. Hispanic women had higher rates of triple-negative disease (23.9%) than did Haitian women (11.5%) and white women (10.9%; P &amp;lt; .001). Hispanic women had higher rates of node-positive disease (26.2%) in comparison to Haitian women (17%) and Non-Haitian/Hispanic women (10% P &amp;lt; .001). Hispanic women had worse PFS when diagnosed at Stage II and III (37 and 39 months, respectively) than Haitian women (57 and 59 months, respectively) and Non-Haitian/Hispanic women (82 and 87 months). Hispanic women had worse OS when diagnosed at Stage II and III (45 and 49 months) than Black women (70 and 75 months) and non- women (95 and 99 months). Conclusion: Hispanic women had worse PFS versus non-Hispanic and Haitian women as well as present with high-risk characteristics and nodal disease at the time of presentation. This suggests that racial differences in tumor subtype and nodal stage among Hispanic women highlight the importance of developing additional studies which can investigate the disparity in patient outcomes with young Hispanic women in breast cancer research. Citation Format: Ragisha Gopalakrishnan, Esha Gandhi, Maria Fernandez. Disparities at the Convergence of Race and Ethnicity: Examining Trends and Outcomes in Young Women Diagnosed with Breast Cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-26-05.

Polyvascular Disease is Common in Patients Undergoing Carotid Endarterectomy and Lower Extremity Bypass and is Associated With Worse Outcomes

IntroductionPolyvascular disease is strongly associated with increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, its prevalence in patients undergoing carotid and lower extremity surgical revascularization and its impact on outcomes are unknown. MethodsThe Vascular Quality Initiative was queried for carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or infrainguinal lower extremity bypass (LEB), 2013-2019. Polyvascular disease was defined as presence of atherosclerotic occlusive disease in > 1 arterial bed: carotid, coronary, and infrainguinal. Primary outcomes were: (1) composite perioperative myocardial infarction (MI) or death and (2) 5-year survival. Patient characteristics and perioperative outcomes were evaluated using chi-square test and multivariable logistic regression. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards multivariable models. ResultsPolyvascular disease was identified in 47% of CEA (39% 2 arterial beds, 7.6% 3 arterial beds; n = 93,736) and 47% of LEB (41% 2 arterial beds, 5.7% 3 arterial beds; n=25,223). For both CEA and LEB, patients with polyvascular disease had more comorbidities including hypertension, congestive heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, smoking, diabetes mellitus, and end-stage renal disease (P<0.0001). Perioperative MI/death rates increased with increasing number of vascular beds affected following CEA (0.9% 1 bed vs 1.5% 2 beds vs 2.7% 3 beds, P<0.001) and LEB (2.2% 1 bed vs 5.3% 2 beds vs 6.6% 3 beds, P<0.001). Polyvascular disease was independently associated with perioperative MI/death after CEA (OR 1.59 (95% CI 1.40-1.81), P<.0001) and LEB (OR 1.78 (95% CI 1.52-2.08), P<.0001). Five-year survival was decreased in patients with polyvascular disease after CEA (82% 3 beds vs 88% 2 beds vs 92% 1 bed, P<0.01) and LEB (72% 3 beds vs 75% 2 beds vs 84% 1 bed, P<0.01) in a dose-dependent manner, with the lowest 5 year survival observed in those with 3 arterial beds involved. Polyvascular disease was independently associated with five-year mortality following CEA (HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.24-1.40), P=0.0001) and LEB (HR 1.30 (95% CI 1.20-1.41), P=0.0001). ConclusionPolyvascular disease is common in patients undergoing CEA and LEB and is associated with higher risk of perioperative MI/death and decreased long-term survival. Following revascularization, polyvascular disease patients may be considered for more aggressive cardioprotective medications and closer follow up.

Urban-rural differences in the association between occupational physical activity and mortality in Chinese working population: evidence from a nationwide cohort study

Despite emerging studies suggesting that occupational physical activity (OPA) might be harmful to health, the available evidence is not definitive. Most of these research studies were conducted in high-income Western countries or in urbanized setting. In China, where over one-third of the population resides in rural area, the impact of OPA on health is not well understood. The goal of this study is to investigate how the association between OPA and mortality vary by urban-rural settings. Baseline data on OPA was gathered using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire from 30,650 urban and 49,674 rural working adults as part of the 2013-2014 China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance. Participants were followed for a median of 6.2 years, and death records were retrieved from the National Mortality Surveillance System until December 31, 2019. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine urban-rural differences in the association between OPA and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Subgroup analyses were performed by sex, socioeconomic status, leisure time, transportation, and non-occupational physical activity. During the study period, 1342 deaths were recorded, of which 426 were caused by CVD. In rural area, working adults engaging in occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) for ≥40h per week, compared to those without any, had an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.49-0.73) for all-cause mortality and 0.55 (95% CI: 0.37-0.83) for CVD mortality. However, no significant association was found in urban area (0.84 [0.61-1.15] for all-cause mortality, Pinteraction=0.036; and 0.94 [0.53-1.66] for CVD mortality, Pinteraction=0.098). The negative associations of occupational MVPA with mortality were more pronounced in women, non-smokers, and those with less non-occupational physical activities. Hypertension, heart rate, and diabetes were important contributors to the relationship between occupational MVPA and mortality. The findings from the current study did not support the notion that high levels of OPA would induce harm. On the contrary, in rural setting, higher levels of OPA were associated with lower mortality risks. Furthermore, the observed urban-rural differences in the association between OPA and mortality underscored the need for context-specific public health guidelines on physical activities. R&D Program of Beijing Municipal Education Commission (KM202210025026),National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFC2500201), and Young Elite Scientist Sponsorship Program by BAST (BYESS2023385).

Intensity-specific physical activity measured by accelerometer and the risk of mortality among individuals with cardiometabolic diseases: A prospective study from the UK biobank

BackgroundWhile the health benefits of physical activity for general population are well-recognized, the prospective associations of physical activity volume and intensity with mortality among cardiometabolic disease individuals remain unclear. ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to investigate the associations of accelerometer-measured intensity-specific physical activity with mortality risk among population with cardiometabolic disease. DesignProspective cohort study. SettingParticipants were recruited from the United Kingdom (UK) across 22 assessment centers from 2006 to 2010. ParticipantsA total of 9524 participants from the UK Biobank (median: 67.00 years, interquartile range: 61.00–70.00 years) were included in final study. MethodsAccelerometer-measured total volume, moderate-to-vigorous and light intensity physical activity collecting from 2013 to 2015 were quantified using a machine learning model. Multivariable restricted cubic splines and Cox proportional hazard models with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were employed to examine the associations of interests. ResultsDuring the follow-up period (median: 6.87 years; interquartile range: 6.32–7.39 years), there were 659 (6.92 %) death events with 218 (2.29 %) cardiovascular disease-related deaths and 441 (4.63 %) non-cardiovascular disease-related deaths separately. In the fully adjusted models, compared with participants in the lowest quartiles of total volume, moderate-to-vigorous and light physical activity, the adjusted HRs (95 % CIs) of all-cause mortality for those in the highest quartiles were 0.40 (0.31, 0.52), 0.48 (0.37, 0.61), and 0.56 (0.44, 0.71) while those for cardiovascular diseases-related mortality were 0.35 (0.22, 0.55), 0.52 (0.35, 0.78) and 0.59 (0.39, 0.88), and for non-cardiovascular diseases-related mortality, they were 0.42 (0.30, 0.59), 0.40 (0.29, 0.54) and 0.54 (0.40, 0.73), separately. The optimal moderate-to-vigorous-intensity physical activity level for cardiovascular diseases-related mortality reduction was found to be in the third quartile (17.75–35.33 mins/day). Furthermore, the observed inverse associations were mainly non-linear. ConclusionsPromoting physical activity, regardless of intensity, is essential for individuals with cardiometabolic disease to reduce mortality risk. For both all-cause and cardiovascular disease-related and non-cardiovascular disease-related mortality, the observed decrease in risk seems to level off at a moderate level. The current findings deriving from precise device-based physical activity data provide inference for secondary prevention of cardiometabolic disease.

Association of patient socioeconomic status with outcomes after palliative treatment for disseminated cancer.

Palliative treatment has been associated with improved quality of life and survival for a wide variety of metastatic cancers. However, it is unclear whether the benefits of palliative treatment are uniformly experienced across the US cancer population. We evaluated patterns and outcomes of palliative treatment based on socioeconomic, sociodemographic and treating facility characteristics. Patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2019 with Stage IV primary cancer of nine organ sites were analyzed in the National Cancer Database. The association between identified variables, and outcomes concerning the administration of palliative treatment were analyzed with multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models. Overall 238,995 (23.6%) of Stage IV patients received palliative treatment, which increased over time for all cancers (from 20.7% in 2008 to 25.6% in 2019). Palliative treatment utilization differed significantly by region (West less than Northeast, OR: 0.55 [0.54-0.56], p < 0.001) and insurance payer status (uninsured greater than private insurance, OR: 1.35 [1.32-1.39], p < 0.001). Black race and Hispanic ethnicity were also associated with lower rates of palliative treatment compared to White and non-Hispanics respectively (OR for Blacks: 0.91 [0.90-0.93], p < 0.001 and OR for Hispanics: 0.79 [0.77-0.81] p < 0.001). There are important differences in the utilization of palliative treatment across different populations in the United States. A better understanding of variability in palliative treatment use and outcomes may identify opportunities to improve informed decision making and optimize quality of care at the end-of-life.

Glycated Hemoglobin Variability Is Associated With Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure Irrespective of Diabetic Status.

The effect of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) variability on adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) is unclear. We aim to investigate the predictive value of HbA1c variability on the risks of all-cause death and HF rehospitalization in patients with HF irrespective of their diabetic status. Using a previously validated territory-wide clinical data registry, HbA1c variability was assessed by average successive variability (ASV) or SD of all HbA1c measurements after HF diagnosis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% CI. A total of 65 950 patients with HF were included in the study. Over a median follow-up of 6.7 (interquartile range, 4.0-10.6) years, 34 508 patients died and 52 446 required HF rehospitalization. Every unit increment of variability in HbA1c was significantly associated with higher HF rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.23]) and all-cause death (HR ASV, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.47-1.53]). Diabetes significantly modified the association between HbA1c variability and outcomes (Pinteraction<0.001). HbA1c variability in patients with HF without diabetes conferred a higher risk of rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.70-2.17] versus HR ASV, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.17-1.21]), and all-cause death (HR ASV, 3.90 [95% CI, 3.31-4.61] versus HR ASV, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.43-1.50] compared with patients with diabetes). HbA1c variability is significantly associated with greater risk of rehospitalization and all-cause death in patients with HF, irrespective of their diabetic status. These observations were more pronounced in patients with HF without diabetes.

Prognostic Value of Depressive Symptoms for Cardiovascular Events in Female Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction and Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Among those with heart failure (HF), women are more likely to develop depression than men. Few studies have focused on the outcomes of female patients with HF with depressive symptoms. A total of 506 female patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction were included in this secondary analysis from the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist) cohort, and 439 female patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction were included from the HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) cohort. Depressive symptoms were measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and Beck Depression Inventory-II. The depression class was categorized by severity, and the change in clinical depression class was defined as aggravated (1-grade increase) or improved (1-grade decrease). The prognostic value of depressive symptoms was determined by using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Female patients with improved depressive symptoms had worse depressive status at baseline and lower baseline Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores. Depression class at the 12-month visit and depression class change were the dominant prognostic factors for cardiovascular death in female patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43 [95% CI, 1.02-2.01], P=0.036; HR, 1.71 [95% CI, 1.14-2.55], P=0.009). Among the patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction, both the depression class at baseline and depression class change had significant prognostic effects on cardiovascular death (HR, 3.30 [95% CI, 1.70-6.39], P<0.001; HR, 2.21 [95% CI, 1.28-3.80], P=0.004). However, the prognostic value of depressive assessments for hospitalization in patients with HF is unclear. In female patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction, the depression class at baseline was most strongly associated with cardiovascular death, whereas in female patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction, the change in depression class exhibited a more significant prognostic trend.

Whole blood versus balanced resuscitation in massive hemorrhage: six of one or half dozen of the other?

Whole blood (WB) resuscitation is increasingly used at trauma centers. Prior studies investigating outcomes in WB versus component-only (CO) resuscitation have been limited by small cohorts, low volumes of WB resuscitation, and unbalanced CO resuscitation. This study aimed to address these limitations using data from a high-volume Level I trauma center, which adopted a WB-first resuscitation paradigm in 2018. We hypothesized that the resuscitation method, WB or balanced CO, would have no impact on patient mortality. A single-center, retrospective cohort study of adults presenting as a trauma activation from July 2016 through July 2021 was performed. Receipt of 3 or more units of WB or packed red blood cells (RBC) within the first hour of resuscitation was required for inclusion. Patients were grouped into WB versus CO resuscitation and important clinical outcomes were compared. Mortality was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank testing, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling. There were 180 patients in the WB group and 170 patients in the CO group. Of the 180 WB patients, 110 (61%) received only WB during the first 24 hours. The WB group received a median of 5.0 units (IQR 4.0-8.0) of WB and CO group received a median of 6.0 units (IQR 4.0-11.8) of RBCs during the first 24 hours of resuscitation. In the CO group, median RBC/plasma and RBC/platelet ratios approximated 1:1:1. Groups were similar in clinicopathologic characteristics including age, injury severity score, mechanism of injury, and requirement for hemorrhage control interventions (WB 55% vs CO 59%, p = 0.60). Unadjusted survival was equivalent at 24 hours (p = 0.52) and 30 days (p = 0.70) between both groups on Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank testing. On multivariable Cox regression, WB resuscitation was not independently associated with improved survival after accounting for age, ISS, mechanism of injury, and receipt of hemorrhage control procedure (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.61-1.19, p = 0.34). Balanced CO resuscitation is associated with similar mortality outcomes to that of WB based resuscitation. Level IV; Therapeutic/Care Management.

Association of the longitudinal trajectory of urinary albumin/creatinine ratio in diabetic patients with adverse cardiac event risk: a retrospective cohort study.

The baseline urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (uACR) has been proven to be significantly associated with the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). However, data on the association between the longitudinal trajectory patterns of uACR, changes in glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and the subsequent risk of MACE in patients with diabetes are sparse. This is a retrospective cohort study including 601 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM; uACR < 300 mg/g) admitted to The First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from January 2015 to December 2018. The uACR index was calculated as urinary albumin (in milligrams)/creatinine (in grams), and latent mixed modeling was used to identify the longitudinal trajectory of uACR during the exposure period (2016-2020). The deadline for follow-up was December 31, 2021. The primary outcome was the MACE [a composite outcome of cardiogenic death, hospitalization related to heart failure (HHF), non-fatal acute myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and acute renal injury/dialysis indications]. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis curve was used to compare the risk of MACE among four groups, while univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for MACE risk among different uACR or HbA1c trajectory groups. The predictive performance of the model, both before and after the inclusion of changes in the uACR and HbA1c, was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Four distinct uACR trajectories were identified, namely, the low-stable group (uACR = 5.2-38.3 mg/g, n = 112), the moderate-stable group (uACR = 40.4-78.6 mg/g, n = 229), the high-stable group (uACR = 86.1-153.7 mg/g, n = 178), and the elevated-increasing group (uACR = 54.8-289.4 mg/g, n = 82). In addition, five distinct HbA1c trajectories were also identified: the low-stable group (HbA1c = 5.5%-6.8%, n = 113), the moderate-stable group (HbA1c = 6.0%-7.9%, n = 169), the moderate-decreasing group (HbA1c = 7.4%-6.1%, n = 67), the high-stable group (HbA1c = 7.7%-8.9%, n = 158), and the elevated-increasing group (HbA1c = 8.4%-10.3%, n = 94). Compared with the low-stable uACR group, patients in the high-stable and elevated-increasing uACR groups were more likely to be older, current smokers, and have a longer DM course, higher levels of 2-h plasma glucose (PG), HbA1c, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), uACR, and left ventricular mass index (LVMI), while featuring a higher prevalence of hypertension and a lower proportion of β-receptor blocker treatment (p < 0.05). During a median follow-up of 45 months (range, 24-57 months), 118 cases (19.6%) of MACE were identified, including 10 cases (1.7%) of cardiogenic death, 31 cases (5.2%) of HHF, 35 cases (5.8%) of non-fatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 18 cases (3.0%) of non-fatal stroke, and 24 cases (4.0%) of acute renal failure/dialysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that, compared with that in the low-stable uACR group, the incidence of MACE in the high-stable (HR = 1.337, 95% CI = 1.083-1.652, p = 0.007) and elevated-increasing (HR = 1.648, 95% CI = 1.139-2.387, p = 0.009) uACR groups significantly increased. Similar results were observed for HHF, non-fatal AMI, and acute renal injury/dialysis indications (p < 0.05). The multivariate Cox proportional hazards models indicated that, after adjusting for potential confounders, the HRs for the risk of MACE were 1.145 (p = 0.132), 1.337 (p = 0.007), and 1.648 (p = 0.009) in the moderate-stable, high-stable, and elevated-increasing uACR groups, respectively. In addition, the HRs for the risk of MACE were 1.203 (p = 0.028), 0.872 (p = 0.024), 1.562 (p = 0.033), and 2.218 (p = 0.002) in the moderate-stable, moderate-decreasing, high-stable, and elevated-increasing groups, respectively. The ROC curve showed that, after adding uACR, HbA1c, or both, the AUCs were 0.773, 0.792, and 0.826, which all signified statistically significant improvements (p = 0.021, 0.035, and 0.019, respectively). A long-term elevated uACR is associated with a significantly increased risk of MACE in patients with diabetes. This study implies that regular monitoring of uACR could be helpful in identifying diabetic patients with a higher risk of MACE.

Physical Fitness and Risk of Mental Disorders in Children and Adolescents

With the rising prevalence of mental disorders among children and adolescents, identifying modifiable associations is critical. To examine the association between physical fitness and mental disorder risks. This nationwide cohort study used data from the Taiwan National Student Fitness Tests and National Health Insurance Research Databases from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2019. Participants were divided into 2 cohorts targeting anxiety and depression (1 996 633 participants) and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD; 1 920 596 participants). Participants were aged 10 to 11 years at study entry and followed up for at least 3 years, had a nearly equal gender distribution, and an average follow-up of 6 years. Data were analyzed from October 2022 to February 2024. Assessments of physical fitness included cardiorespiratory fitness (CF), muscular endurance (ME), muscular power (MP), and flexibility, measured through an 800-m run time, bent-leg curl-ups, standing broad jump, and sit-and-reach test, respectively. Kaplan-Meier method calculated the cumulative incidence of anxiety, depression, and ADHD across fitness quartiles. Additionally, multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used that included all 4 fitness components and explored sex and income as modifiers. The anxiety and depression cohort had 1 996 633 participants (1 035 411 participants were male [51.9%], and the median [IQR] age was 10.6 [10.3-11.0] years), while the ADHD cohort had 1 920 596 (975 568 participants were male [51.9%], and the median [IQR] age was 10.6 [10.3-11.0] years). Cumulative incidence of mental disorders was lower among participants in better-performing fitness quartiles, suggesting a dose-dependent association. Gender-specific analyses, controlling for confounders, revealed that improved CF, indicated by a 30-second decrease in run times, was associated with reduced risks of anxiety, depression, and ADHD in female participants, and lower risks of anxiety and ADHD in male participants (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] for ADHD risk for female participants, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.90-0.94; P < .001; for male participants, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.92-0.94; P < .001). Enhanced ME, marked by an increase of 5 curl-ups per minute, was associated with decreased risks of depression and ADHD in female participants, and lower anxiety and ADHD risks in male participants (aHR for ADHD risk for female participants, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97; P < .001; for male participants, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.97; P < .001). Improved MP, reflected by a 20-cm increase in jump distance, was associated with reduced risks of anxiety and ADHD in female participants and reduced anxiety, depression, and ADHD in male participants (aHR for ADHD risk for female participants, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91-1.00; P = .04; for male participants, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99; P = .001). This study highlights the potential protective role of cardiorespiratory fitness, muscular endurance, and muscular power in preventing the onset of mental disorders. It warrants further investigation of the effectiveness of physical fitness programs as a preventive measure for mental disorders among children and adolescents.

Smoking status and clinical outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a nationwide study

BackgroundSmoking status has been linked to the development of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the effect of smoking on the prognosis of patients with IPF is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between smoking status and all-cause mortality or hospitalisation by using national health claims data.MethodsIPF cases were defined as people who visited medical institutions between January 2002 and December 2018 with IPF and rare incurable disease exempted calculation codes from the National Health Insurance Database. Total 10,182 patients with available data on smoking status were included in this study. Ever-smoking status was assigned to individuals with a history of smoking ≥ 6 pack-years. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the association between smoking status and prognosis.ResultsIn the entire cohort, the mean age was 69.4 years, 73.9% were males, and 45.2% were ever smokers (current smokers: 14.2%; former smokers: 31.0%). Current smokers (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.709; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.643–0.782) and former smokers (HR: 0.926; 95% CI: 0.862–0.996) were independently associated with all-cause mortality compared with non-smokers. Current smokers (HR: 0.884; 95% CI: 0.827–0.945) and former smokers (HR: 0.909; 95% CI: 0.862–0.959) were also associated with a reduced risk of all-cause hospitalisation compared with non-smokers. A non-linear association between smoking amount and prognosis was found in a spline HR curve and showed increasing risk below 6 pack-years.ConclusionEver-smoking status may be associated with favourable clinical outcomes in patients with IPF.

Association of Lipoprotein(a) Levels With Myocardial Infarction in Patients With Low-Attenuation Plaque

BackgroundLipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI). However, the mechanism underlying this association has yet to be fully elucidated. ObjectivesThis multicenter study aimed to investigate whether association between Lp(a) and MI risk is reinforced by the presence of low-attenuation plaque (LAP) identified by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). MethodsIn a derivation cohort, a total of 5,607 patients with stable chest pain suspected of coronary artery disease who underwent CCTA and Lp(a) measurement were prospectively enrolled. In validation cohort, 1,122 patients were retrospectively collected during the same period. High Lp(a) was defined as Lp(a) ≥50 mg/dL. The primary endpoint was a composite of time to fatal or nonfatal MI. Associations were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 8.2 years (Q1-Q3: 7.2-9.3 years), the elevated Lp(a) levels were associated with MI risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.46-2.49; P < 0.001). There was a significant interaction between Lp(a) and LAP (Pinteraction <0.001) in relation to MI risk. When stratified by the presence or absence of LAP, Lp(a) was associated with MI in patients with LAP (aHR: 3.03; 95% CI: 1.92-4.76; P < 0.001). Mediation analysis revealed that LAP mediated 73.3% (P < 0.001) for the relationship between Lp(a) and MI. The principal findings remained unchanged in the validation cohort. ConclusionsElevated Lp(a) augmented the risk of MI during 8 years of follow-up, especially in patients with LAP identified by CCTA. The presence of LAP could reinforce the relationship between Lp(a) and future MI occurrence.

Association of the triglyceride-glucose index with early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundThe association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated.MethodsThe present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality.ResultsDuring a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38–1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17–1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476).ConclusionsA higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China.

Association of gestational diabetes with long-term risk of premature mortality, and cardiovascular outcomes and risk factors: A retrospective cohort analysis in the UK Biobank.

To investigate the association of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) with premature mortality and cardiovascular (CVD) outcomes and risk factors. Parous women recruited to the UK Biobank cohort during 2006-2010 were followed up from their first delivery until 31 October 2021. The data were linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and mortality registries. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models investigated associations of GDM with all-cause mortality, CVD, diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidaemia. The maximum total analysis time at risk and under observation was 9 694 090 person-years. Among 220 726 women, 1225 self-reported or had a recorded diagnosis of GDM. After adjusting for confounders and behavioural factors, GDM was associated with increased risk for premature mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 1.44, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.86], particularly CVD-related death (HR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.63-3.48), as well as incident total CVD (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.30-1.74), non-fatal CVD (HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.20-1.65), diabetes (HR: 14.37, 95% CI: 13.51-15.27), hypertension (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.38-1.60), and dyslipidaemia (HR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.22-1.39). The total CVD risk was greater in women with GDM who did not later develop diabetes than in those with GDM and diabetes. Women with GDM are at increased risk of premature death and have increased CV risk, emphasizing the importance of interventions to prevent GDM. If GDM develops, the diagnosis represents an opportunity for future surveillance and intervention to reduce CVD risk factors, prevent CVD and improve long-term health.

Oral frailty is associated with mortality independently of physical and psychological frailty among older adults

BackgroundAlthough oral frailty is independently associated with an increased risk of mortality, evidence for the usefulness of screening tools for oral frailty is less than that for physical frailty screening tools. We aimed to investigate the relationship between oral frailty and mortality in older adults. MethodsThis prospective cohort study included 11,374 adults aged ≥65 years, who provided valid responses to a baseline mail survey questionnaire from the Kyoto-Kameoka study. Oral frailty status was evaluated using the Oral Frailty Index-8 (range, 0 [best] to 10 [worst]). Participants were classified into four categories according to the Oral Frailty Index-8: robust (score, 0–2), oral pre-frailty (score, 3), oral frailty (score, 4–6), and oral severe frailty (score ≥ 7). Physical and psychological frailty were evaluated using the validated frailty-screening index and defined as a score of ≥3 out of a possible 5 points. Mortality data were collected from 30 July 2011 to 30 November 2016. Hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause mortality were calculated using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. ResultsDuring the 5.3-year median follow-up period (57,157 person-years), 1184 deaths were recorded. After adjusting for confounders, including physical and psychological frailty, medical history, and lifestyle, in comparison with a robust oral status, oral pre-frailty (HR, 1.29; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.02–1.63), oral frailty (HR, 1.22; 95 % CI, 1.01–1.48), and oral severe frailty (HR, 1.43; 95 % CI, 1.16–1.76) were associated with higher HRs of mortality (p for trend = 0.002). ConclusionOral frailty is associated with mortality independent of physical and psychological frailty in older adults. The Oral Frailty Index-8 may be useful for identifying individuals at high risk of mortality.

Associations of Intrapancreatic Fat Deposition With Incident Diseases of the Exocrine and Endocrine Pancreas: A UK Biobank Prospective Cohort Study.

To investigate whether increased intrapancreatic fat deposition (IPFD) heightens the risk of diseases of the exocrine and endocrine pancreas. A prospective cohort study was conducted using data from the UK Biobank. IPFD was quantified using MRI and a deep learning-based framework called nnUNet. The prevalence of fatty change of the pancreas (FP) was determined using sex- and age-specific thresholds. Associations between IPFD and pancreatic diseases were assessed with multivariate Cox-proportional hazard model adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, smoking and drinking status, central obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, liver fat content, and spleen fat content. Of the 42,599 participants included in the analysis, the prevalence of FP was 17.86%. Elevated IPFD levels were associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 quintile change 1.513, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.179-1.941), pancreatic cancer (HR per 1 quintile change 1.365, 95% CI 1.058-1.762) and diabetes mellitus (HR per 1 quintile change 1.221, 95% CI 1.132-1.318). FP was also associated with a higher risk of acute pancreatitis (HR 3.982, 95% CI 2.192-7.234), pancreatic cancer (HR 1.976, 95% CI 1.054-3.704), and diabetes mellitus (HR 1.337, 95% CI 1.122-1.593, P = 0.001). FP is a common pancreatic disorder. Fat in the pancreas is an independent risk factor for diseases of both the exocrine pancreas and endocrine pancreas.

Association between interstitial lung abnormality and mortality in patients with esophageal cancer.

To investigate the relationship between interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) and mortality in patients with esophageal cancer and the cause of mortality. This retrospective study investigated patients with esophageal cancer from January 2011 to December 2015. ILAs were visually scored on baseline CT using a 3-point scale (0 = non-ILA, 1 = indeterminate for ILA, and 2 = ILA). ILAs were classified into subcategories of non-subpleural, subpleural non-fibrotic, and subpleural fibrotic. Five-year overall survival (OS) was compared between patients with and without ILAs using the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. Subgroup analyses were performed based on cancer stage and ILA subcategories. The prevalences of treatment complications and death due to esophageal cancer and pneumonia/respiratory failure were analyzed using Fisher's exact test. A total of 478 patients with esophageal cancer (age, 66.8years ± 8.6 [standard deviation]; 64 women) were evaluated in this study. Among them, 267 patients showed no ILAs, 125 patients were indeterminate for ILAs, and 86 patients showed ILAs. ILAs were a significant factor for shorter OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-2.55, P = 0.016) in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, smoking history, clinical stage, and histology. On subgroup analysis using patients with clinical stage IVB, the presence of ILAs was a significant factor (HR = 3.78, 95% CI 1.67-8.54, P = 0.001). Subpleural fibrotic ILAs were significantly associated with shorter OS (HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.25-3.93, P = 0.006). There was no significant difference in treatment complications. Patients with ILAs showed a higher prevalence of death due to pneumonia/respiratory failure than those without ILAs (non-ILA, 2/95 [2%]; ILA, 5/39 [13%]; P = 0.022). The prevalence of death due to esophageal cancer was similar in patients with and without ILA (non-ILA, 82/95 [86%]; ILA 32/39 [82%]; P = 0.596). ILAs were significantly associated with shorter survival in patients with esophageal cancer.