Backward Multivariate Logistic Regression Research Articles

Nonhome Discharge in Patients Undergoing Pelvic Reconstructive Surgery: A National Analysis.

Discharge to home after surgery has been recognized as a determinant of long-term survival and is a common concern in the elderly population. The aim of the study was to determine the incidence and risk factors for nonhome discharge in patients undergoing major surgery for pelvic organ prolapse. We performed a retrospective cohort study using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database from 2010 to 2018. We included patients who underwent sacrocolpopexy, vaginal colpopexy, and colpocleisis. We compared perioperative characteristics in patients who were discharged home versus those who were discharged to a nonhome location. Stepwise backward multivariate logistic regression was then used to control for confounding variables and identify independent predictors of nonhome discharge. A total of 38,012 patients were included in this study, 209 of whom experienced nonhome discharge (0.5%). Independent predictors of nonhome discharge included preoperative weight loss (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-27.5), dependent health care status (aOR, 5.0; 95% CI, 2.6-9.5), abdominal hysterectomy (aOR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4-3.7), American Society of Anesthesiologists class 3 or greater (aOR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.5-2.7), age (aOR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.05-1.09), operative time (aOR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.003-1.006), laparoscopic hysterectomy (aOR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.4-1.0), and laparoscopic sacrocolpopexy (aOR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-0.8). In patients undergoing surgery for pelvic organ prolapse, nonhome discharge is associated with various indicators of frailty, including age, health care dependence, and certain comorbidities. An open surgical approach increases the risk of nonhome discharge, while a laparoscopic approach is associated with lower risk.

Fibroblast growth-factor 23 and vitamin D are associated with iron deficiency and anemia in children with chronic kidney disease.

This cross-sectional study investigates the association of fibroblast growth-factor 23 (FGF23) and other bone mineral parameters with iron status and anemia in pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD). Serum calcium, phosphorus, 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), intact parathormone, c-terminal FGF23, a-Klotho, iron (Fe), ferritin, unsaturated iron-binding capacity, and hemoglobin (Hb) were measured in 53 patients from 5 to 19years old with GFR < 60mL/min/1.73m2. Transferrin saturation (TSAT) was calculated. Absolute (ferritin ≤ 100ng/mL, TSAT ≤ 20%) and functional iron deficiency (ferritin > 100ng/mL, TSAT ≤ 20%) were observed in 32% and 7.5% of patients, respectively. In CKD stages 3-4 (36 patients), lnFGF23 and 25(OH)D were correlated with Fe (rs = - 0.418, p = 0.012 and rs = 0.467, p = 0.005) and TSAT (rs = - 0.357, p = 0.035 and rs = 0.487, p = 0.003) but not to ferritin. In this patient group, lnFGF23 and 25(OH)D were correlated with Hb z-score (rs = - 0.649, p < 0.001 and rs = 0.358, p = 0.035). No correlation was detected between lnKlotho and iron parameters. In CKD stages 3-4, in multivariate backward logistic regression analysis, including bone mineral parameters, CKD stage, patient age, and daily alphacalcidol dose as covariates, lnFGF23 and 25(OH)D were associated with low TSΑΤ (15 patients) (OR 6.348, 95% CI 1.106-36.419, and OR 0.619, 95% CI 0.429-0.894, respectively); lnFGF23 was associated with low Hb (10 patients) (OR 5.747, 95% CI 1.270-26.005); while the association between 25(OH)D and low Hb did not reach statistical significance (OR 0.818, 95% CI 0.637-1.050). In pediatric CKD stages 3-4, iron deficiency and anemia are associated with increased FGF23, independently of Klotho. Vitamin D deficiency might contribute to iron deficiency in this population. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Adverse drug events and contributing factors among pediatric cancer patients at Jimma University medical center, Southwest Ethiopia

BackgroundThe characteristics and incidence of adverse drug events (ADEs) among pediatric cancer patients in developing countries have not been well characterized. ADEs & medication errors associated with cancer chemotherapy in children need to be analyzed on their incidence and severity. The purpose of this study was hence, to assess the incidence of adverse drug events and contributing factors among pediatric cancer patients at Jimma university medical center, Jimma, Ethiopia.MethodA prospective observational method was used to study adverse drug events in pediatrics admitted to the pediatric oncology unit of Jimma University medical center between October and December 2020. The ADEs were identified using multifaceted approaches involving daily chart review, interviews of Parents/caregivers (and/or children themselves), attendance at ward rounds, and voluntary staff reports. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to assess the predictors of the identified ADEs. Those factors that showed association at p-value < 0.25 in the univariate analysis were added to the backward multivariate logistic regression model and the significant association was checked at p-value < 0.05.ResultA total of 73 (46 male and 27 female) patients were included in the study. A total of 466 ADEs were identified with an incidence of 638.36 ADEs per 100 patients, 38.35 ADEs per 100 patient days, and 2.34 ADEs per chemotherapy cycle. The most common ADEs were hematologic toxicities (anemia 55(11.8%), neutropenia 52(11.16%) & thrombocytopenia 31(6.65%)), and gastrointestinal effects (nausea 46(9.87%), vomiting 46(9.87%), anorexia 41(8.8%). Out of 466 ADEs, 150 (32.19%) were classified as common terminology criteria for adverse events (CTCAE) as Grade 1, 199 (42.70%) as Grade 2, 64(13.73%) as Grade 3, 48(10.30%) as grade 4 and 5(1.07%) as Grade 5. Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is the most common comorbidity present, 20(27.40%) followed by pneumonia, 4(5.50%). Presence of comorbidity (AOR 12.700, CI 1.978–81.549), cancer type (AOR 13.332, CI 3.288–54.059), use of 4 or more chemotherapy drugs (AOR 6.179, CI 1.894–20.165) and length of hospital stay more than 8 days (AOR 5.367, CI 1.167–24.684) were associated with the risk of developing grades 3 and 4 ADEs.ConclusionAdverse drug events were common in the pediatric oncology ward of JUMC. In particular, children with multiple chemotherapy drugs and those with the comorbid condition were at greater risk for adverse drug events.

Logistic Regression Analysis of Clinical Characteristics for Differentiation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Severity.

This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of general clinical data, blood test indexes, and ventilation function test indexes on the severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A total of 141 clinical characteristics of COPD patients admitted to our hospital were collected. A mild-to-moderate group and a severe group were classified depending on the severity of COPD, and their baseline data were compared. The predictive factors of severe COPD were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the nomogram model of severe COPD was constructed. The clinical variables, including gender, height, weight, body mass index (BMI), age, course, diabetes, hypertension, smoking history, WBC, NEUT, lymphocyte count (LY), MONO, eosinophil count (EOS), PLT, mean platelet volume (MPV), platelet distribution width (PDW), partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2), and PaCO2, were collected. There were 67 mild-to-moderate COPD patients and 74 severe COPD patients in this study cohort. Severe COPD had a higher white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEUT), monocyte count (MONO), platelet count (PLT), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and a lower partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that WBC, NEUT, MONO, PLT, and NLR were contributing factors of severe COPD, while PaCO2 was an unfavorable factor of severe COPD. Enter, forward, backward, and stepwise multivariate logistic regression analyses all showed that NEUT and PLT were independent contributing factors to severe COPD. Moreover, the nomogram model had good predictive ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve being 0.881. Good calibration and clinical utility were validated through the calibration plot and the decision curve analysis (DCA) plot, respectively. The severity of COPD was correlated with NEUT and PLT, and the nomogram model based on these factors had good predictive performance.

Prognostic model on niche development after a first caesarean section: development and internal validation

ObjectiveTo develop and internally validate a prognostic prediction model for development of a niche in the uterine scar after a first caesarean section (CS). Study designSecondary analyses on data of a randomized controlled trial, performed in 32 hospitals in the Netherlands among women undergoing a first caesarean section. We used multivariable backward logistic regression. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation. Model performance was assessed by calibration and discrimination. Internal validation using bootstrapping techniques took place. The outcome was ‘development of a niche in the uterus’, defined as an indentation of ≥ 2 mm in the myometrium. ResultsWe developed two models to predict niche development: in the total population and after elective CS. Patient related risk factors were: gestational age, twin pregnancy and smoking, and surgery related risk factors were double-layer closure and less surgical experience. Multiparity and Vicryl suture material were protective factors. The prediction model in women undergoing elective CS revealed similar results. After internal validation, Nagelkerke R2 ranged from 0.01 to 0.05 and was considered low; median area under the curve (AUC) ranged from 0.56 to 0.62, indicating failed to poor discriminative ability. ConclusionsThe model cannot be used to accurately predict the development of a niche after a first CS. However, several factors seem to influence scar healing which indicates possibilities for future prevention such as surgical experience and suture material. The search for additional risk factors that play a role in development of a niche should be continued to improve the discriminative ability.

The relationship between premature ventricular complexes and index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance

Premature ventricular complexes are common in healthy individuals' ambulatory monitoring. The index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance may predict malignant ventricular arrhythmias. This study investigated the relation between Premature ventricular complex burden and index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance in 24-h Holter monitoring. A total of 257 patients who were admitted to a cardiology outpatient clinic without structural heart disease and underwent 24-h Holter monitoring were included in the study. Demographic features, laboratory parameters, and electrocardiographic and echocardiographic values of all patients were obtained from the hospital database. Patients were categorized into the following four groups according to their premature ventricular complex burden: ≤5% premature ventricular complexes as group 1, >6 and ≤10% premature ventricular complexes as group 2, >11 and ≤20% premature ventricular complexes as group 3, and >20% premature ventricular complexes as group 4. QRS, QT, and T peak to end interval were measured by resting electrocardiography. QT interval was corrected using Bazett's formula. T peak to end interval/QT, T peak to end interval/corrected QT interval, index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance, and corrected index of cardio-electrophysiological balance ratios were calculated. There was no significant difference between groups regarding cardiovascular risk factors. In group 4, beta-blocker usage was significantly higher, and the serum magnesium levels were significantly lower than in other groups. There was no difference in QT duration or index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance values; however, corrected index of cardio-electrophysiological balance was significantly lower in the highest premature ventricular complex group (5.1, 5.1, 4.8, 4.7, p=0.005). In multivariate backward logistic regression analyses, it was found that lower corrected index of cardio-electrophysiological balance, lower serum magnesium levels, lower serum creatinine levels, larger left atrium size, and higher T peak to end interval were associated with higher premature ventricular complexes. Corrected index of cardio-electrophysiological balance is a novel and noninvasive marker that can predict premature ventricular complex burden in patients with structurally normal hearts.

A Prognostic Study for the Development of Risk Prediction Model for the Success of Vaginal Birth Following a Cesarean Surgery at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia.

An attempt at vaginal delivery by a woman who has previously had a cesarean section is known as a trial of labor after cesarean section. The most important issues are how to accurately anticipate successful vaginal birth after cesarean surgery and how to calculate the likelihood of success of vaginal birth after caesarean section that is suitable for women. Consequently, a tailored prediction of vaginal birth after caesarean section may result in a more effective counseling. To create a clinical risk score and prediction model for the success of vaginal birth following a previous caesarean section in women. A prognostic analysis was carried out at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive and Specialized Referral Hospital from 30 February 2017 to 30 March 2021. R statistical programming language version 4.0 was used for analysis once the data had been coded and entered into Epidata, version 3.02. Significant factors (P< 0.05) were kept in the backward multivariable logistic regression model, and variables with (P<0.25) from the bi-variable logistic regression analysis were also added. After a cesarean section, 67% of women were successful in giving birth vaginally. Previous successful vaginal birth after cesarean surgery, rupture of the membranes, and initiation time of ANC, the beginning of labor, parity and time since the previous delivery were remained in the final multivariable prediction model. The AUC of the model was 0.748 (95% CI: 0.714-0.781). Overall, this study demonstrated the likelihood of predicting vaginal birth utilizing the ideal confluence of parity, membrane rupture, and onset of labor, prior history of VBAC, inter-delivery gap, and ANC beginning time. Sixty-seven percent of VBACs were successful. As a result, this model may aid in identifying pregnant women who are candidates for VBAC and who have a better likelihood of success.

Factors associated with conversion to surgical release after a steroid injection in patients with a trigger finger.

The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the rate of conversion to surgical release after a steroid injection in patients with a trigger finger, and to analyze which patient- and trigger finger-related factors affect the outcome of an injection. The medical records of 500 patients (754 fingers) treated for one or more trigger fingers with a steroid injection or with surgical release, between 1 January 2016 and 1 April 2020 with a follow-up of 12 months, were analyzed. Conversion to surgical release was recorded as an unsuccessful treatment after an injection. The effect of patient- and trigger finger-related characteristics on the outcome of an injection was assessed using stepwise manual backward multivariate logistic regression analysis. Treatment with an injection was unsuccessful in 230 fingers (37.9%). Female sex (odds ratio (OR) 1.87 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21 to 2.88)), Quinnell stage IV (OR 16.01 (95% CI 1.66 to 154.0)), heavy physical work (OR 1.60 (95% CI 0.96 to 2.67)), a third steroid injection (OR 2.02 (95% CI 1.06 to 3.88)), and having carpal tunnel syndrome (OR 1.59 (95% CI 0.98 to 2.59)) were associated with a higher risk of conversion to surgical release. In contrast, an older age (OR 0.98 (95% CI 0.96 to 0.99)), smoking (OR 0.39 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.64)), and polypharmacy (OR 0.39, CI 0.12 to 1.12) were associated with a lower risk of conversion. The regression model predicted 15.6% of the variance found for the outcome of the injection treatment (R2 > 0.25). Factors associated with a worse outcome following a steroid injection were identified and should be considered when choosing the treatment of a trigger finger. In women with a trigger finger, the choice of treatment should take into account whether there are also one or more patient- or trigger-related factors that increase the risk of conversion to surgery.Cite this article: Bone Joint J2022;104-B(10):1142-1147.

Predictors of sacubitril/valsartan high dose tolerability in a real world population with HFrEF.

The angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) sacubitril/valsartan (Sac/Val) demonstrated to be superior to enalapril in reducing hospitalizations, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with ambulatory heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), in particular when it is maximally up-titrated. Unfortunately, the target dose is achieved in less than 50% of HFrEF patients, thus undermining the beneficial effects on the outcomes. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the role of Sac/Val and its titration dose on reverse cardiac remodelling and determine which echocardiographic index best predicts the up-titration success. From January 2020 to June 2021, we retrospectively identified 95 patients (65.6 [59.1-72.8] years; 15.8% females) with chronic HFrEF who were prescribed Sac/Val from the HF Clinics of 5 Italian University Hospitals and evaluated the tolerability of Sac/Val high dose (the ability of the patient to achieve and stably tolerate the maximum dose) as the primary endpoint in the cohort. We used a multivariable logistic regression analysis, with a stepwise backward selection method, to determine the independent predictors of Sac/Val maximum dose tolerability, using, as candidate predictors, only variables with a P-value < 0.1 in the univariate analyses. Candidate predictors identified for the multivariable backward logistic regression analysis were age, sex, body mass index (BMI), chronic kidney disease (CKD), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), dyslipidaemia, atrial fibrillation, systolic blood pressure (SBP), baseline tolerability of ACEi/ARBs maximum dose, left ventricle global longitudinal strain (LVgLS), LV ejection fraction (EF), tricuspid annulus plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), right ventricle (RV) fractional area change (FAC), RV global and free wall longitudinal strain (RVgLS and RV-FW-LS). After the multivariable analysis, only one categorical (ACEi/ARBs maximum dose at baseline) and three continuous (younger age, higher SBP, and higher TAPSE), resulted significantly associated with the study outcome variable with a strong discriminatory capacity (area under the curve 0.874, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.794-0.954) to predict maximum Sac/Val dose tolerability. Our study is the first to analyse the potential role of echocardiography and, in particular, of RV dysfunction, measured by TAPSE, in predicting Sac/Val maximum dose tolerability. Therefore, patients with RV dysfunction (baseline TAPSE <16mm, in our cohort) might benefit from a different strategy to titrate Sac/Val, such as starting from the lowest dose and/or waiting for a more extended period of observation before attempting with the higher doses.

Factors Associated with Adolescent and Young Adult Males with Cancer Attending Fertility Consultation: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Ontario, Canada.

Purpose: Cancer and its treatment can impair fertility in men. It is recommended that they be referred for fertility consultation before the start of treatment. This study examined factors associated with men attending a fertility consultation within 30 days of diagnosis. Methods: Males 15 to 39 years of age, diagnosed with cancer in Ontario, Canada, between 2006 and 2019, were identified from the Ontario Cancer Registry. Linked administrative data were used to obtain other clinical and sociodemographic variables. The main outcome was a fertility consultation within 30 days of diagnosis, defined using Ontario Health Insurance Plan billing codes (606 or 628). A backward selection multivariate logistic regression was performed. Results: Of 13,720 cases identified, 8.5% attended a fertility consultation within 30 days of diagnosis. A more recent year of diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] = 5.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.6-6.6), living in an urban area (OR = 1.3; 95% CI 1.0-1.8), receiving radiation therapy (OR = 1.4; 95% CI 1.2-1.6), chemotherapy (OR = 1.9; 95% CI 1.6-2.2), and reproductive organ-related cancer surgery (OR = 1.5; 95% CI 1.2-1.7) were associated with a greater likelihood of attending a consultation. Older age (OR = 0.2; 95% CI 0.1-0.2), living in a northern region (OR = 0.3; 95% CI 0.2-0.5), having a cancer with low (OR = 0.3; 95% CI 0.2-0.4) or moderate risk to fertility (OR = 0.6; 95% CI 0.5-0.7), and residing in a neighborhood with lower income (OR = 0.4; 95% CI 0.3-0.5) or residential instability quintile (OR = 0.8; 95% CI 0.6-1.0) were associated with being less likely to attend a consultation. Conclusion: Although rates of fertility consultation have increased over time, these remain low in various clinical and demographic groups. Funding for fertility preservation appears to have had an important impact on fertility consultation in young men with cancer.

173-LB: Cognitive Performance and Diabetic Retinopathy

Background: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a chronic diabetes complication. People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have two times the risk for dementia, suggesting it is a new chronic diabetes complication. Objective: Evaluate the association of DR with cognitive performance in a T2DM population. Methods: Cross-sectional study with 400 T2DM adults from whom socio-demographic, clinical, laboratory data, screening test for depression symptoms [Patient Health Questionaire-9 (PHQ-9) ], Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) , Semantic Verbal Fluency test, Trail Making test A and B, Word Memory test were collected and performed. All cognitive test scores were converted into Global Cognition z-Score [GCS (z) ]. The association between GCS (z) &amp;lt; 0 with DR was performed using backward multivariate binary logistic regression model adjusted forage ≥ 65 years, school years ≤ 6 years, DM duration ≥ 10 years, depression symptoms score &amp;gt; 9 at PHQ-9, arterial hypertension, physical activity, diabetic retinopathy, macular edema and cardiovascular disease. Results: After exclusions, the 251 eligible patients were 56.6% female, mean age 61.1 (±9.8) years, DM duration of 12.6 (±8.9) years and 7.6 (±4.2) years of school education. DR prevalence was 46.5%. Multivariate Binaric Logistic Regression Model showed an association between DR and GCS (z) &amp;lt; 0, with odds ratio (CI95%) of 2.50 (1.18-5.34) , adjusted for age, low education level, arterial hypertension and depression symptoms [OD and CI95%respectively: 5.46 (2.42-12.34) ; 12.19 (5.62-26.46) ; 2.55 (0.88-7.39) ; 3.53 (1.55-8.07) ]. Conclusion: In this T2DMpopulation, having DR increased the chance for worse cognitive performance even when adjusted for age, low education level, presence of arterial hypertension, and depression symptoms. Disclosure A. R. A. Faria: None.

Diagnostic Process in Rare Diseases: Determinants Associated with Diagnostic Delay

Many people living with rare disease (RD) report a difficult diagnostic process from the symptom onset until they obtain the definitive diagnosis. The aim of this study was thus to ascertain the diagnostic process in RDs, and explore the determinants related with having to wait for more than one year in this process (defined as “diagnostic delay”). We conducted a case–control study, using a purpose-designed form from the Spanish Rare Diseases Patient Registry for data-collection purposes. A descriptive analysis was performed and multivariate backward logistic regression models fitted. Based on data on 1216 patients living with RDs, we identified a series of determinants associated with experiencing diagnostic delay. These included: having to travel to see a specialist other than that usually consulted in the patient’s home province (OR 2.1; 95%CI 1.6–2.9); visiting more than 10 specialists (OR 2.6; 95%CI 1.7–4.0); being diagnosed in a region other than that of the patient’s residence at the date of symptom onset (OR 2.3; 95%CI 1.5–3.6); suffering from a RD of the nervous system (OR 1.4; 95%CI 1.0–1.8). In terms of time taken to see a specialist, waiting more than 6 months to be referred from the first medical visit was the period of time which most contributed to diagnostic delay (PAR 30.2%). In conclusion, this is the first paper to use a collaborative study based on a nationwide registry to address the diagnostic process of patients living with RDs. While the evidence shows that the diagnostic process experienced by these persons is complex, more studies are needed to determine the implications that this has for their lives and those of their families at a social, educational, occupational, psychological, and financial level.

Relationship of Extrinsic Risk Factors to Lower Extremity Injury in Collegiate Ballet Dancers.

Ballet dancers are thought to be at higher risk of lower extremity injury. This objective of this study was to describe the self-reported incidence, location, and factors associated with lower extremity injury in collegiate ballet dancers. Two hundred and forty-nine female ballet dancers responded to a questionnaire that addressed their injury event/location, dance behavior over the past 2 years, and overall dance history. Behaviors assessed included the following: types and number of shoes worn (pointé shoes/ballet slippers), wear time, training time (session frequency and duration), use of warm-up/cool-down, and use of a strengthening program and lower extremity accessory. Overall dance history included age of the onset of training, total years of experience, and number of dance styles. Backward multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine the extent to which variables measured were associated with injury. Ankle injury was the most prevalent injury. Years of wearing pointé shoes (adjusted odds ratio = 1.21, p = 0.01) and days/weeks in pointé shoes (adjusted odds ratio = 1.26, p = 0.04) were associated with an increased risk of injury; while additional strengthening (adjusted odds ratio = 0.39, p = 0.02) and use of lower extremity accessories during classes/rehearsals (adjusted odds ratio = 0.64, p = 0.01) were protective associations. These findings suggested that the use of pointé shoes, lower extremity accessories, and additional exercise should specifically be recorded during evaluation of injured ballet dancers; and must be considered potential factors to modify during rehabilitation.

Patient Factors Associated with High Opioid Consumption after Common Surgical Procedures Following State-Mandated Opioid Prescription Regulations.

State regulations have decreased prescribed opioids with more than 25% of patients abstaining from opioids. Despite this, 2 distinct populations of patients exist who consume "high" or "low" amounts of opioids. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with postoperative opioid use after common surgical procedures and develop an opioid risk score. Patients undergoing 35 surgical procedures from 7 surgical specialties were identified at a 620-bed tertiary care academic center and surveyed 1 week after discharge regarding opioid use and adequacy of analgesia. Electronic medical record data were used to characterize postdischarge opioids, complications, demographics, medical history, and social factors. High opioid use was defined as >75th percentile morphine milligram equivalents for each procedure. An opioid risk score was calculated from factors associated with opioid use identified by backward multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 1,185 patients were enrolled between September 2017 and February 2019. Bivariate analyses revealed patient factors associated with opioid use including earlier substance use (p < 0.001), depression (p = 0.003), anxiety (p < 0.001), asthma (p = 0.006), obesity (p = 0.03), migraine (p = 0.004), opioid use in the 7 days before surgery (p < 0.001), and 31 Clinical Classifications Software Refined classifications (p < 0.05). Significant multivariates included: insurance (p = 0.005), employment status (p = 0.005), earlier opioid use (odds ratio [OR] 2.38 [95% CI 1.21 to 4.68], p = 0.01), coronary artery disease (OR 0.38 [95% CI 0.16 to 0.86], p = 0.02), acute pulmonary embolism (OR 9.81 [95% CI 3.01 to 32.04], p < 0.001), benign breast conditions (OR 3.42 [95% CI 1.76 to 6.64], p < 0.001), opioid-related disorders (OR 6.67 [95% CI 1.87 to 23.75], p = 0.003), mental and substance use disorders (OR 3.80 [95% CI 1.47 to 9.83], p = 0.006), headache (OR 1.82 [95% CI 1.24 to 2.67], p = 0.002), and previous cesarean section (OR 5.10 [95% CI 1.33 to 19.56], p = 0.02). An opioid risk score base was developed with an area under the curve of 0.696 for the prediction of high opioid use. Preoperative patient characteristics associated with high opioid use postoperatively were identified and an opioid risk score was derived. Identification of patients with a higher need for opioids presents an opportunity for improved preoperative interventions, the use of nonopioid analgesic therapies, and alternative therapies.

Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Non-Elderly Adult Patients Emergently Admitted with Rhabdomyolysis: A 10-Year Analysis of 27,688 Patients from the National Inpatient Sample.

Rhabdomyolysis is a condition where muscle damage leads to the leakage of intracellular contents such as myoglobin and creatine kinase. These leak into systemic circulation and can cause detrimental effects. Due to the detrimental effect of rhabdomyolysis on patient mortality and potential complications, identifying factors that affect patient mortality in those with rhabdomyolysis could provide valuable insight in early management strategies and potentially benefit patient outcomes. The goal of this study was to identify independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in non-elderly adult patients who underwent emergency admission due to rhabdomyolysis. A retrospective cohort study was done by analyzing 27,688 non-elderly adult patients (18-64 years) with rhabdomyolysis who underwent emergency admission using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) during 2005-2014. Factors such as demographic information, clinical course, and comorbidities were collected to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality. Chi square and student's t-tests were utilized to evaluate various group differences on categorical and continuous variables. Backward logistic regression analyses were performed to examine factors that could affect patient mortality. A total number of 27,688 non-elderly adult patients (age 18-64 years) were included, of which, 20,137 patients were male (72.8%) with a mean (SD) age of 40.60 (13.34) years, and 7,551 patients were female (27.3%) with a mean (SD) age of 45.63 (13.20) years. Multivariable backward logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the associations between mortality and different variables in our patient sample. Out of different factors, respiratory diseases, cardiac disease, and genitourinary system disease demonstrated the most significant association with mortality, shown by odds ratios of 3.67, 3.59, and 3.08, respectively. Additionally, patient age, history of surgical procedure, bacterial infection (other than tuberculosis), and cerebrovascular diseases were also positively associated with mortality. Their respective odds ratios were 1.03, 2.14, 2.13, and 2.66. Each additional year in age leads to 3% increased odds of mortality in non-elderly adult patients who are emergently admitted with rhabdomyolysis.

Survival in rhino-orbito-cerebral mucormycosis: An international, multicenter ID-IRI study

BackgroundMucormycosis is an emerging aggressive mold infection. This study aimed to assess the outcome of hospitalized adults with rhino-orbito-cerebral mucormycosis (ROCM). The secondary objective was to identify prognostic factors in this setting. MethodsThis study was an international, retrospective, multicenter study. Patients’ data were collected from 29 referral centers in 6 countries. All qualified as “proven cases” according to the EORTC/MSGERC criteria. ResultsWe included 74 consecutive adult patients hospitalized with ROCM. Rhino-orbito-cerebral type infection was the most common presentation (n = 43; 58.1%) followed by rhino-orbital type (n = 31; 41.9%). Twenty (27%) had acquired nosocomial bacterial infections. A total of 59 (79.7%) patients (16 in combination) received appropriate antifungal treatment with high-doses of liposomal amphotericin B. Fifty-six patients (75.7%) underwent curative surgery. Thirty-five (47.3%) required intensive care unit admission (27; 36.5% under mechanical ventilation). Hospital survival was 56.8%, being reduced to 7.4% in patients with invasive mechanical ventilation. A multivariate binary backward logistic regression model identified confusion at admission (OR 11.48), overlapping hospital-acquired infection (OR 10.27), use of antifungal treatment before diagnosis (OR 10.20), no surgical debridement (OR 5.92), and the absence of prior sinusitis (OR 6.32) were independently associated with increased risk for death. ConclusionToday, ROCM still has high mortality rate. Improving source control, rational therpy, and preventing nosocomial infections may improve survival in this severe infection.

Do physical work factors and musculoskeletal complaints contribute to the intention to leave or actual dropout in student nurses? A prospective cohort study

Little is known, whether physical workload and musculoskeletal complaints (MSCs) have an impact on the intended or actual dropout of nursing students in the later years of their degree program.Studying the determinants of intention to leave and actual dropout from nursing education. We hypothesized that physical workload and MSCs are positively associated with these outcomes.A prospective cohort study among 711 third-year students at a Dutch Bachelor of Nursing degree program. Multivariable backward binary logistic regression was used to examine the association between physical work factors and MSCs, and intention to leave or actual dropout.Intention to leave was 39.9% and actual dropout 3.4%. Of the nursing students, 79% had regular MSCs. The multivariable model for intention to leave showed a significant association with male sex, working at a screen, physical activity, decision latitude, co-worker support, distress and need for recovery. The multivariable model for dropout showed a significant association with living situation (not living with parents), male sex, sick leave during academic year and decision latitude.Our research shows that the prevalence of MSCs among nursing students is surprisingly high, but is not associated with intention to leave nor with actual dropout.

Job Satisfaction Among Employees After a Merger: A Cross-Sectional Survey in the Local Health Unit of Sardinia Region, Italy.

Job satisfaction plays an important role in healthcare organization and management; it is critical for maintaining and improving staff efficiency and consequently the quality of care provided. Organizational restructuring processes, including mergers, are likely to affect job satisfaction levels, but evidence of the impact they have is surprisingly scarce. The aim of the study was to describe a methodology used to measure job satisfaction of the employees at a Local Health Unit (LHU) in Italy immediately after a merger and to assess the determinants associated with any reduction in worker satisfaction. The study was conducted among employees of the LHU of the Sardinia Region in July 2018, after a merger of eight subregional LHUs had taken place. The entire staff was enrolled, of which a total of 1,737 employees were surveyed. We used a questionnaire exploring socio-demographic and working characteristics of the employees, the various areas related to job satisfaction and interviewee opinions on the merger process. Multivariable stepwise backward logistic regression models were built to identify factors independently associated with lower job satisfaction. The results of a multivariable analysis showed that lower job satisfaction was more likely in employees with an administrative role (aOR: 2.34, 95% CI: 1.37–4.00) or a career demotion (aOR: 1.84, 95%CI: 1.11–3.03). High levels of mental stress were strongly associated with lower job satisfaction (aOR: 5.64, 95%CI: 4.16–7.64). “More equity of employee rewards” was the only example of a set of responder suggestions found to be associated with lower job satisfaction (aOR: 2.30, 95%CI: 1.51–3.47). Generally, responders showed a good level of job satisfaction—and this was also the case following the merger—but some job profile determinants were strongly associated with low employee satisfaction. The results of the study highlighted several challenging areas and critical issues relating to working conditions. Further surveys are required to confirm these results and to monitor their evolution over time.

Nomogram to Predict Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes in Breast Cancer Patients.

Background: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) play important roles in the prediction of prognosis and neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) efficacy in breast cancer (BRCA) patients, in this study, we identified clinicopathological factors related to BRCA TILs, then to construct and validate nomogram to predict high density of TILs. Methods: A total of 826 patients diagnosed with BRCA in Sun Yat-Sen University cancer center were enrolled in nomogram cohort. TILs were assessed using hematoxylin-eosin (H&E) staining by two pathologists. Complete clinical data were collected for analysis. Then the enrolled patients were split into a training set and validation set at a ratio of 8:2. and the backward multivariate binary logistic regression model was used to establish nomogram for predicting BRCA TILs, which were further evaluated and validated using the C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. Then another independent NAT cohort of 106 patients was established for verifying this nomogram in NAT efficacy prediction. Results: TILs were significantly correlated with body mass index (BMI), tumor differentiation, ER, PR, HER2 expression, Ki67, blood biochemical indicators including total bilirubin (TBIL), indirect bilirubin (IBIL), total protein (TP), Globulin (GLOB), inorganic phosphorus (IP), calcium (Ca). In which ER expression level [OR = 0.987, 95%CI (0.982–0.992), p < 0.001], IP [OR = 4.462, 95%CI (1.171∼17.289), p = 0.029], IBIL [OR = 0.906, 95%CI (0.845–0.966), p = 0.004] and TP [OR = 1.053, 95%CI (1.010–1.098, p = 0.016)] were independent predictors of TILs. Then nomogram was established, for which calibration curves (C-index = 0.759) and ROC curve (AUC = 0.759, 95%CI 0.717–0.801) in training sets, calibration curves (C-index = 0.708) and ROC curve (AUC = 0.708, 95%CI 0.617–0.800) in validation sets demonstrated great evaluation efficiency. Besides, independent NAT cohort verified this nomogram can distinguish patients with greater NAT efficacy (p = 0.041). Conclusion: The finds of clinicopathological factors associated with TILs could help clinicians to understand the tumor immunity of BRCA and improve treatment system for patients, and the established nomogram with high evaluation efficiency may be used as a complement tool for distinguishing patients with better NAT efficacy.

Abstract 10221: Premature Ventricular Contractions in Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension Undergoing Pulmonary Thromboendarterectomy Surgery

Background: Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a rare and progressive subtype of severe pulmonary hypertension. Premature ventricular contractions (PVC) are common and can be a marker of cardiomyopathy. We aimed to describe the incidence, location and predictors of PVCs in CTEPH patients undergoing Pulmonary Thromboendarterectomy surgery (PTE). Hypothesis: PVCs are common in CTEPH patients and the right ventricle would be the most common location of PVCs. Methods: We reviewed the charts of 883 consecutive patients who were referred for PTE. 12-lead ECGs were reviewed for presence of PVC. Demographics, baseline lab and imaging were extracted from chart review. Predictors of PVCs were analyzed using multivariate backward logistic regression. PVC location was identified using standard location algorithms based on the 12-lead ECG. Results: Overall, 6.5% (n=57) of patients had PVCs. Surprisingly, the majority of PVCs originated from the left ventricle (75.4%, N=43). The most common location was non-outflow tracts with LV non-outflow tract (59.3%, N=34), followed by RV non-out tract (19.3%, N=11). Within the non-outflow tract region, the majority of the PVC location appeared to be septal related (moderator band, posterior fascicle or posterior medial papillary muscle). The mitral annulus was also a common location (15.8%, N=9). In a multivariate model, heart failure (OR 2.8, p=&lt;0.01), coronary artery disease (CAD) (OR 2.8, p=&lt;0.01), sleep apnea (OR 2.2, p=0.02) and obesity (OR 1.6, p=&lt;0.01) increased the odds of having PVCs. Conclusions: PVCs are not uncommon in CTEPH patients undergoing PTE surgery. Overall, 6.5% of patients had PVCs with the majority originating in the left ventricle (75.4%). Using standard ECG criteria, the most common location was the LV non-outflow tract. Heart failure, CAD, sleep apnea and obesity increased the odds of having a PVC.