Multiple Sclerosis Conversion Research Articles

Evaluation of mental performance and cognitive functions of children and adolescents diagnosed with radiologically isolated syndrome

BackgroundRadiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) is a condition characterized by asymptomatic, incidentally detected demyelinating plaques in the CNS in a patient without typical clinical findings of multiple sclerosis (MS). This study aimed to compare the mental status and cognitive functions of child and adolescent RIS cases with healthy controls and to investigate the relationship between psychometric test results and the demyelinating lesion characteristics. MethodsThe mental status and cognitive functions of 12 RIS cases and 12 healthy controls were compared. Semi-structured interviews, behavioral evaluations, depression and anxiety scales, neuropsychological test battery, and an intelligence test were applied for the evaluation of mental state and cognitive functions. These results were compared with the number and localization of demyelinating lesions. ResultsSustained attention, visual-motor coordination, short-term memory skills, and ability to use visual-spatial information were found worse in the RIS group. There was no correlation between mental state and cognitive functions, and the number and localization of demyelinating lesions. ConclusionOur study showed that pediatric RIS cases may have worse cognitive performance than healthy controls, but no correlation was found between the number and location of demyelinating lesions and psychiatric findings. Although it is controversial whether psychiatric disorders and cognitive disabilities have predictive value in terms of MS conversion in pediatric RIS cases, these subjects were not included in the scope of this study.

CXCL10/IgG1 Axis in Multiple Sclerosis as a Potential Predictive Biomarker of Disease Activity.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a heterogeneous disease, and its course is difficult to predict. Prediction models can be established by measuring intrathecally synthesized proteins involved in inflammation, glial activation, and CNS injury. To determine how these intrathecal proteins relate to the short-term, i.e., 12 months, disease activity in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), we measured the intrathecal synthesis of 46 inflammatory mediators and 14 CNS injury or glial activation markers in matched serum and CSF samples from 47 patients with MS (pwMS), i.e., 23 RRMS and 24 clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), undergoing diagnostic lumbar puncture. Subsequently, all pwMS were followed for ≥12 months in a retrospective follow-up study and ultimately classified into "active", i.e., developing clinical and/or radiologic disease activity, n = 18) or "nonactive", i.e., not having disease activity, n = 29. Disease activity in patients with CIS corresponded to conversion to RRMS. Thus, patients with CIS were subclassified as "converters" or "nonconverters" based on their conversion status at the end of a 12-month follow-up. Twenty-seven patients with noninflammatory neurologic diseases were included as negative controls. Data were subjected to differential expression analysis and modeling techniques to define the connectivity arrangement (network) between neuroinflammation and CNS injury relevant to short-term disease activity in RRMS. Lower age and/or higher CXCL13 levels positively distinguished active/converting vs nonactive/nonconverting patients. Network analysis significantly improved the prediction of short-term disease activity because active/converting patients featured a stronger positive connection between IgG1 and CXCL10. Accordingly, analysis of disease activity-free survival demonstrated that pwMS, both RRMS and CIS, with a lower or negative IgG1-CXCL10 correlation, have a higher probability of activity-free survival than the patients with a significant correlation (p < 0.0001, HR ≥ 2.87). Findings indicate that a significant IgG1-CXCL10 positive correlation predicts the risk of short-term disease activity in patients with RRMS and CIS. Thus, the present results can be used to develop a predictive model for MS activity and conversion to RRMS.

Serum neurofilament light chain correlations in patients with a first clinical demyelinating event in the REFLEX study: a post hoc analysis.

In REFLEX, subcutaneous interferon beta-1a (sc IFN β-1a) delayed the onset of multiple sclerosis (MS) in patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (FCDE). This post hoc analysis aimed to determine whether baseline serum neurofilament light (sNfL) chain can predict conversion to MS and whether correlations exist between baseline sNfL and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) metrics. sNfL was measured for 494 patients who received sc IFN β-1a 44 μg once weekly (qw; n = 168), three times weekly (tiw; n = 161), or placebo (n = 165) over 24 months. Median baseline sNfL (26.1 pg/mL) was used to define high/low sNfL subgroups. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox's proportional hazard model to determine factors influencing the risk of conversion to MS. Kaplan-Meier estimates calculated median time-to-conversion to MS (McDonald 2005 criteria) or clinically definite MS (CDMS; Poser criteria). Correlations between sNfL and MRI findings were assessed using Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (r). Multivariable models indicated that high baseline sNfL was associated with the likelihood of converting to MS and inversely to time-to-conversion (HR = 1.3, 95% CI: 1.03-1.64; p = 0.024). Significant additional factors affecting conversion to McDonald MS were on-study treatment (sc IFN β-1a/placebo; qw: HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.46-0.76; tiw: HR = 0.45, 95% CI: 0.34-0.59), classification of FCDE (monofocal/multifocal; HR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.55-0.85), and most baseline imaging findings (T2 and T1 gadolinium-enhancing [Gd+] lesions; HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03 and HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.11); all p ⩽ 0.001. Conversion to CDMS showed similar results. At month 24, sNfL was strongly correlated with a mean number of combined unique active (r = 0.71), new T2 (r = 0.72), and new T1 Gd+ (r = 0.60) lesions; weak correlations were observed between sNfL and clinical outcomes for all treatment groups. Higher baseline sNfL was associated with an increased risk of MS conversion, a risk that was mitigated by treatment with sc IFN β-1a tiw. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00404352. Date registered: 28 November 2006.

Markers of Epstein-Barr virus and Human Herpesvirus-6 infection and multiple sclerosis clinical progression

BackgroundInfections with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and human herpesvirus-6 (HHV-6) have been implicated in multiple sclerosis (MS) onset but little work has studied their relationships in early disease. ObjectiveEvaluate associations between markers of EBV and HHV-6 infection/reactivation and MS conversion, relapse and EDSS/MSSS amongst 205 CIS participants with EBV/HHV-6 data followed over 5 years. MethodBaseline serological and viral load measures of EBV and HHV-6 exposure/reactivation were measured and infectious mononucleosis (IM) history recorded. Conversion to MS and relapses were assessed annually, and EDSS/MSSS measured at 5-year review. Determinants of MS conversion and relapse assessed by Cox regression, and disability progression by linear regression. ResultsIM history showed a strong positive trend with higher relapse risk (aHR=1.45,95%CI=0.97–2.16) but was not associated with MS conversion (aHR=0.92,95%CI=0.57–1.48). Anti-HHV-6 IgG titre>40 also showed strong positive trends with higher relapse (aHR=1.61,95%CI=0.99–2.63) and MS conversion risks (aHR=1.48,95%CI=0.89–2.46). Anti-HHV-6 IgG titre≥640 was significantly associated with higher MSSS (0.15(95%CI=0.00,0.30) and also showed a strong positive trend with higher EDSS 0.10(95%CI=-0.02,0.21). HHV-6 DNA detection showed strong positive trends with 83%(95%CI=-6–357) and 77%(95%CI=-4–328) higher MS conversion and relapse risk. Anti-EBV-EA-D IgG titre was associated with a lower annualised disability progression by EDSS (ptrend=0.037) and also showed strong positive trend with higher MSSS (ptrend=0.053). No associations were seen for other serological or viral load markers. ConclusionOverall, our data provides evidence that higher HHV-6 IgG was associated with increased risk of MS conversion and relapse but of borderline significance, and greater annualised disability progression, while that for EBV was more limited.

Incidence of Optic Neuritis and the Associated Risk of Multiple Sclerosis for Service Members of U.S. Armed Forces.

Optic neuritis (ON), an acute inflammation of the optic nerve resulting in eye pain and temporary vision loss, is one of the leading causes of vision-related hospital bed days in the U.S. Military and may be a harbinger of multiple sclerosis (MS). We developed a case identification algorithm to estimate incidence rates of ON and the conversion rate to MS based on a retrospective assessment of medical records of service members (SMs) of the U.S. Armed Force. Electronic medical records (EMRs) from 2006 to 2018 in the Defense Medical Surveillance System were screened using the case identification algorithms for ON and MS diagnosis. The incidences rates of ON were calculated. The rates of conversion to MS was modeled using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The overall incidence rate of ON was 8.1 per 100,000 from 2006 to 2018. Females had a rate (16.9 per 100,000) three times higher than males. Most (68%) of subsequent diagnoses of MS were made within 1 year after diagnosis of ON. The overall 5-year risk of progression to MS was 15% (11%-16% for 95% CI). The risk of conversion to MS in females was significantly higher than in males. We developed an efficient tool to explore the EMR database to estimate the burden of ON in the U.S. Military and the MS conversion based on a dynamic cohort. The estimated conversion rates to MS feeds into inform retention and fitness-for-duty policy in these SMs.

Network Damage Predicts Clinical Worsening in Multiple Sclerosis: A 6.4-Year Study.

ObjectiveIn multiple sclerosis (MS), clinical impairment is likely due to both structural damage and abnormal brain function. We assessed the added value of integrating structural and functional network MRI measures to predict 6.4-year MS clinical disability deterioration.MethodsBaseline 3D T1-weighted and resting-state functional MRI scans were obtained from 233 patients with MS and 77 healthy controls. Patients underwent a neurologic evaluation at baseline and at 6.4-year median follow-up (interquartile range = 5.06–7.51 years). At follow-up, patients were classified as clinically stable/worsened according to disability changes. In relapsing-remitting (RR) MS, secondary progressive (SP) MS conversion was evaluated. Global brain volumetry was obtained. Furthermore, independent component analysis identified the main functional connectivity (FC) and gray matter (GM) network patterns.ResultsAt follow-up, 105/233 (45%) patients were clinically worsened; 26/157 (16%) patients with RRMS evolved to SPMS. The treatment-adjusted random forest model identified normalized GM and brain volumes, decreased FC between default-mode networks, increased FC of the left precentral gyrus in the sensorimotor network (SMN), and GM atrophy in the fronto-parietal network (false discovery rate [FDR]-corrected p = range 0.01–0.09) as predictors of clinical worsening (out-of-bag [OOB] accuracy = 0.74). An expected contribution of baseline disability was also present (FDR-p = 0.01). Baseline disability, normalized GM volume, and GM atrophy in the SMN (FDR-p = range 0.01–0.09) were independently associated with SPMS conversion (OOB accuracy = 0.84). At receiver operating characteristic analysis, including network MRI variables improved disability worsening (p = 0.05) and SPMS conversion (p = 0.02) prediction.ConclusionsIntegration of MRI network measures helped determining the relative contributions of global/local GM damage and functional reorganization to clinical deterioration in MS.

The Prognostic Value of White-Matter Selective Double Inversion Recovery MRI Sequence in Multiple Sclerosis: An Exploratory Study.

Using a white-matter selective double inversion recovery sequence (WM-DIR) that suppresses both grey matter (GM) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) signals, some white matter (WM) lesions appear surrounded by a dark rim. These dark rim lesions (DRLs) seem to be specific for multiple sclerosis (MS). They could be of great usefulness in clinical practice, proving to increase the MRI diagnostic criteria specificity. The aims of this study are the identification of DRLs on 1.5 T MRI, the exploration of the relationship between DRLs and disease course, the characterization of DRLs with respect to perilesional normal-appearing WM using magnetization transfer imaging, and the investigation of possible differences in the underlying tissue properties by assessing WM-DIR images obtained at 3.0 T MRI. DRLs are frequent in primary progressive MS (PPMS) patients. Amongst relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients, DRLs are associated with a high risk of the disease worsening and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) conversion after 15 years. The mean magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) of DRLs is significantly different from the lesion without the dark rim, suggesting that DRLs correspond to more destructive lesions.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Level of Phosphorylated Neurofilament Heavy Chain is Higher in Converting Clinically Isolated Syndrome and Correlates with CAMP Response Element-Binding Protein Concentration

Introduction: Prevision of conversion from clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) to multiple sclerosis (MS) is required to avoid unnecessary use of immunomodulating agents and to recognize patients with high disease activity. Our aim was to evaluate the value of phosphorylated neurofilament heavy chain (pNFH, a marker for neuroaxonal degeneration) and Cyclic adenosine monophosphate response element-binding protein (cAMP response element-binding protein [CREB], a marker for neuroregeneration) levels in the prediction of conversion from CIS to MS. Methods: Twenty-three consecutively recruited treatment-naïve CIS patients were followed for 36 months. pNFH and CREB levels were measured in the first episode cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and the serum of 12 converting (CIS-MS) and 11 nonconverting CIS patients (CIS-CIS) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Results: Baseline CSF but not serum samples of CIS-CIS patients displayed significantly lower pNFH levels compared to patients with CIS-MS. The analysis of receiver operating characteristic curve presented a high specificity for the prediction of MS conversion for the CSF pNFH cut-off level of 730.9 pg/ml. CSF pNFH levels significantly correlated with serum and CSF CREB levels. Higher baseline CSF pNFH and CREB levels were associated with more rapid progression to MS or increased disability scores. Conclusion: CSF pNFH measurement may potentially determine MS patients with unfavorable clinical progression after the first attack. pNFH and CREB appear to be increased in parallel in CSF of CIS patients with higher disease activity. These results suggest that neurofilaments are not only indicators of axonal degeneration but also partly a marker of neuronal differentiation and new axon regeneration mediated by CREB signaling pathway.

High Prudent diet factor score predicts lower relapse hazard in early multiple sclerosis

Background: Dietary patterns and their association with subsequent clinical course have not been well studied in early multiple sclerosis (MS). Objectives: To describe dietary patterns in people in 5 years following first clinical demyelination and assess associations with MS conversion and relapse. Methods: This study included baseline food frequency questionnaire dietary intake (entry to the Ausimmune Study) and 5-year follow-up; iterated principal factor analysis was applied. MS conversion and relapse risks were assessed by Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, study site, education, body mass index (BMI), smoking and omega-3 supplement use. Results: In cases with a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system (CNS) demyelination, we identified three major dietary patterns, ‘Prudent’, ‘High-Vegetable’ and ‘Mixed’, explaining 43%, 37% and 24% of diet variance in dietary intake, respectively. Fruits, vegetables, fish, wholegrains and nuts loaded highly on the Prudent pattern, starchy vegetables and legumes on the High-Vegetable pattern, and meats and alcohol on the Mixed pattern. Diet factor scores were not associated with MS conversion risk. Those with baseline Prudent scores above the median had significantly lower relapse risk (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37, 0.81) with some evidence of a plateau effect. Conclusion: Prudent diet factor score above the median was prospectively associated with lower relapse risk in the 5 years following the first clinical demyelinating event.

Inner retinal layer thinning in radiologically isolated syndrome predicts conversion to multiple sclerosis.

Individuals with radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) are at increased risk of converting to multiple sclerosis (MS). Early identification of later converters is crucial for optimal treatment decisions. The purpose of this study was to assess the predictive potential of optical coherence tomography (OCT) measures in individuals with RIS regarding conversion to MS. This prospective observational cohort study included 36 individuals with RIS and 36 healthy controls recruited from two German MS centers. All individuals received baseline OCT and clinical examination and were longitudinally followed over up to 6years. The primary outcome measure was the conversion to MS. During clinical follow-up of 46 (26-58) months (median, 25%-75% interquartile range), eight individuals with RIS converted to MS. Individuals converting to MS showed a thinning of the peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (pRNFL) and the common ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer (GCIP) at baseline and during follow-up. Individuals with a pRNFL of 99µm or lower or a GCIP of 1.99mm3 or lower were at a 7.5- and 8.0-fold risk for MS conversion, respectively, compared to individuals with higher measures. After correction for other known risk factors, Cox proportional hazards regression revealed a hazard ratio of 1.08 for conversion to MS for each 1µm decline in pRNFL. Reduction of the pRNFL might be a novel and independent risk factor for conversion to MS in individuals with RIS. OCT might be useful for risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making in individuals with RIS.

Predictive value of optical coherence tomography, multifocal visual evoked potentials, and full-field visual evoked potentials of the fellow, non-symptomatic eye for subsequent multiple sclerosis development in patients with acute optic neuritis

Background: Diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) may sometimes be ascertained at the time of optic neuritis (ON) but other times require the advent of new disease activity. Objectives: The aim of this study was to examine the predictive value of optical coherence tomography (OCT) and visual evoked potential (VEP) measurements of the non-symptomatic, fellow eye of ON patients, for conversion to MS. Methods: This is a prospective cohort study in patients with acute ON. OCT thickness measurements of peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (pRNFL) and macular ganglion cell layer–inner plexiform layer (GCLIPL), and multifocal (mf) VEP and full-field (ff) VEP, were performed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression examined the value of predictors for the conversion to MS. Results: A total of 79 unilateral, acute ON patients, with no MS diagnosis or prior demyelination, were included. Of which, 28 patients developed MS during follow-up. Inferonasal GCLIPL, mean GCLIPL, and pRNFL thickness significantly predicted MS development in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.922–0.939, p = 0.0172–0.021). MfVEP mean latency (HR = 1.052, p = 0.006) only predicted MS conversion in univariate analysis. No significant predictive value was shown for the other parameters (p > 0.2). Conclusion: While both mfVEP and OCT are useful tools in the evaluation of acute ON patients, only OCT measurements of fellow eyes may serve as an independent predictor of MS development.

Clinically isolated syndrome, oligoclonal bands and multiple sclerosis

AbstractObjectiveClinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is a first demyelinating episode targeting the central nervous system. It can later fulfill the diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis (MS) or remain as a single event with no further clinical or paraclinical evidence of disease. Given the difficulty of predicting the long‐term course of the disease at the moment of the first episode, we intended to examine clinical and laboratory features associated with MS conversion, underlining the prognostic value of oligoclonal bands (OCBs) determination.MethodsWe analyzed patients with an episode compatible with CIS (not fulfilling the 2010 McDonald criteria) as the first manifestation of MS (according to the same criteria), observed in our MS clinic (n = 82).ResultsFrom our cohort, 76.8% of patients converted to MS. OCBs were present at baseline in 68.0% of MS patients, but also in 73.7% of stable CIS patients (P = .77). After stratification of the results by treatment, there was also no statistically significant association between the presence of OCBs and conversion to MS. Additionally, positive OCBs did not predict earlier conversion to MS.ConclusionsOur study outlines the high prevalence of positive OCBs in patients with CIS, even in those who, until now, do not fulfill the 2010 diagnostic criteria for MS. This raises questions about the early assumption of MS diagnosis based on OCB status. A very hasty diagnosis could result in chronic treatment initiation and a possibly lifelong stigma in patients who might never develop new lesions or have a second attack.

Population-based Incidence of Pediatric and Adult Optic Neuritis and the Risk of Multiple Sclerosis

To determine the age- and sex-specific prevalence and incidence of demyelinating optic neuritis and the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) in pediatric and adult populations in South Korea. A nationwide, population-based, retrospective study using data from the Korean National Health Claims database from 2010 to2016. The entire South Korean population aged 65 years of age or younger (n= 44 700 564). All patients with optic neuritis from the entire Korean population were included. Patients aged 14 years of age or younger were classified as pediatric patients, and those aged 15 to 65 years were classified as adults. Each group was analyzed separately. Patients with optic neuritis had a subsequent diagnosis, including idiopathic, MS, neuromyelitis optica (NMO), and acute disseminated encephalomyelitis. Prevalence and incidence, conversion rate to MS, and treatment modalities (steroids, plasmapheresis, interferon-β, and immunosuppressants) were estimated. Prevalence and incidence of optic neuritis, and conversion rate to MS. Among 44 700 564 individuals, 531 pediatric patients (50.7% female) and 7183 adults (53.3% female) were identified as having optic neuritis. Annual incidence was 1.04 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.07) per 100 000 pediatric individuals and 3.29 (95% CI, 3.28-3.30) per 100 000 adults. Peak incidence was observed at 10 to 14 years in the pediatric population and at 30 to 34 years and 50 to 54 years in the adult population. Conversion rate to MS was 13.8% in the pediatric population and 11.4% in the adult population. Fourteen percent of all patients were treated with chronic immunosuppressants, 38% of patients with NMO underwent plasmapheresis, and 50% of patients with MS were treated with interferon-β. This is a nationwide epidemiologic study of optic neuritis in individuals of all ages in South Korea. The incidence of optic neuritis and subsequent risk of MS in the pediatric population are comparable to those reported in western countries but are lower in the adult population than in western countries. The incidence rate in adults was 3.2-fold higher than in the pediatric population, and the overall MS conversion rate in the entire Korean population was estimated to be 10.6%.

Atrophied Brain T2 Lesion Volume at MRI Is Associated with Disability Progression and Conversion to Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

Background Atrophied T2 lesion volume at MRI is an imaging measure that reflects the replacement of T2 lesions by cerebrospinal fluid spaces in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Purpose To investigate the association of atrophied T2 lesion volume and development of disability progression (DP) and conversion to secondary progressive MS (SPMS). Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 1612 participants recruited from 2006 to 2016 and followed up for 5 years with clinical and MRI examinations. Accumulation of T2 lesion volume, atrophied T2 lesion volume, percentage brain volume change (PBVC), and percentage ventricular volume change (PVVC) were measured. Disability progression and secondary progressive conversion were defined by using standardized guidelines. Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) adjusted for age and Cox regression adjusted for age and sex were used to compare study groups and explore associations between MRI and clinical outcomes. Results A total of 1314 patients with MS (1006 women; mean age, 46 years ± 11 [standard deviation]) and 124 patients with clinically isolated syndrome (100 women; mean age, 39 years ± 11) along with 147 healthy control subjects (97 women; mean age, 42 years ± 13) were evaluated. A total of 336 of 1314 (23%) patients developed DP, and in 67 of 1213 (5.5%) the disease converted from clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) or relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) to SPMS. Patients with conversion to DP had higher atrophied T2 lesion volume (+34.4 mm3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 17.2 mm3, 51.5 mm3; d = 0.27; P < .001) and PBVC (-0.21%; 95% CI: -0.36%, -0.05%; d = 0.19; P = .042) but not PVVC (0.36%; 95% CI: -0.93%, 1.65%; d = 0.04; P = .89) or T2 lesion volume change (-64.5 mm3; 95% CI: -315.2 mm3, 186.3 mm3; d = 0.03; P = .67) when compared with DP nonconverters. ANCOVA showed that atrophied T2 lesion volume was associated with conversion from CIS or RRMS to SPMS (+26.4 mm3; 95% CI: 4.2 mm3, 56.9 mm3; d = 0.23; P = .002) but not PBVC (-0.14%; 95% CI: -0.46%, 0.18%; d = 0.11; P = .66), PVVC (+0.18%; 95% CI: -2.49%, 2.72%; d = 0.01; P = .75), or T2 lesion volume change (-46.4 mm3; 95% CI: -460.8 mm3, 367.9 mm3; d = 0.03; P = .93). At Cox regression analysis, only atrophied T2 lesion volume was associated with the DP (hazard ratio, 1.23; P < .001) and conversion to SPMS (hazard ratio, 1.16; P = .008). Conclusion Atrophied brain T2 lesion volume is a robust MRI marker of MS disability progression and conversion into a secondary progressive disease course. © RSNA, 2019 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Chiang in this issue.

MRI of acute optic neuritis (ON) at the first episode: Can we predict the visual outcome and the development of multiple sclerosis (MS)?

Our aim was to assess MRI findings in the acute phase of ON and their correlation with visual acuity at presentation, visual outcome (VO) and MS development, to analyze a possible correlation between lesions number and diagnosis, and to assess correlation between orbits MRI and OCT. We retrospectively studied 37 patients, who presented to our Emergency Department with an ON first episode from January 2015 to January 2017. Patients underwent immediately a complete neuro-ophthalmological evaluation, blood test, CSF analysis. MRI of brain, orbits, cervical spine was executed within 7days from ON onset. Brain MRI was classified as: normal, non-specific, suspected demyelination, lesions with dissemination in space and time. Optic nerves findings were localized in three sites (intra-orbital, canalicular and chiasmal) and classified as: normal, STIR- alteration, altered contrast enhancement. Patients underwent neuro-ophthalmological follow-up and MRI at 6months to assess VO (complete recovery, partial recovery, deficit persistence). Another follow-up at 1year was performed to identify MS or clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). 64.8% patients received a diagnosis of MS; 35% of CIS. Lesions of the optic nerve were found in 65.8%. We observed statistically significant correlation between brain MRI pattern and diagnosis and between lesions number and diagnosis. We observed a statistically significant correlation between orbital MRI pattern and optical coherence tomography (OCT) results. MRI brain findings correlate with development of MS. MRI brain features and lesions number can predict the risk of MS conversion.

Kappa index as a biomarker for disease severity in multiple sclerosis

The importance of studying the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is included in the last McDonald criteria (2018). The study of oligoclonal IgG bands (OCGB) assay is strongly recommended in some situations in which MS diagnosis is uncertain. New biomarkers are developed during the last years. Kappa free light chains (FLC) can predict conversion to MS in patients with Clinically Isolated Syndrome (CIS).The aim of this work is to validate the clinical usefulness of the kappa index, and to establish the actual state of knowledge for kappa index as a biomarker of conversion in CIS patients by a meta-analysis. Kappa index seems more relevant than the mere concentration of kappa FLC in CSF.In the validation study, 334 patients were included; in which 100 were CIS patients. Patients were divided in two groups according kappa index cut-off of 10.62: group 1 (kappa index>10.62); group 2 (kappa index<10.62). In group 1 more patients had positive OCGB, IgG index>0.56 and fulfilled magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) criteria. In contrast, in group 2, more patients showed negative OCGB, IgG index<0.56 and did not fulfilled MRI criteria. While 67.6% of patients from group 1 converted to MS, only 12.5% of patients from group 2 converted to MS. An HR of 6.02 was obtained in the Kaplan-Meier analysis.In the meta-analysis, 8 studies were finally included. The SROC curve revealed a high diagnostic performance for the kappa index as a MS diagnostic biomarker. Despite heterogeneity found between studies, the global OR revealed a good discriminatory capacity of kappa index.In conclusion, kappa index has a great clinical sensitivity and specificity as a support in MS diagnosis. High kappa index increase the probability of CIS to MS conversion. A correct sample processing in the preanalytical stage is key to obtain right results and to allow establishing comparison between laboratories.

Reply to the editor

The importance of studying the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is included in the last McDonald criteria (2018). The study of oligoclonal IgG bands (OCGB) assay is strongly recommended in some situations in which MS diagnosis is uncertain. New biomarkers are developed during the last years. Kappa free light chains (FLC) can predict conversion to MS in patients with Clinically Isolated Syndrome (CIS).The aim of this work is to validate the clinical usefulness of the kappa index, and to establish the actual state of knowledge for kappa index as a biomarker of conversion in CIS patients by a meta-analysis. Kappa index seems more relevant than the mere concentration of kappa FLC in CSF.In the validation study, 334 patients were included; in which 100 were CIS patients. Patients were divided in two groups according kappa index cut-off of 10.62: group 1 (kappa index>10.62); group 2 (kappa index<10.62). In group 1 more patients had positive OCGB, IgG index>0.56 and fulfilled magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) criteria. In contrast, in group 2, more patients showed negative OCGB, IgG index<0.56 and did not fulfilled MRI criteria. While 67.6% of patients from group 1 converted to MS, only 12.5% of patients from group 2 converted to MS. An HR of 6.02 was obtained in the Kaplan-Meier analysis.In the meta-analysis, 8 studies were finally included. The SROC curve revealed a high diagnostic performance for the kappa index as a MS diagnostic biomarker. Despite heterogeneity found between studies, the global OR revealed a good discriminatory capacity of kappa index.In conclusion, kappa index has a great clinical sensitivity and specificity as a support in MS diagnosis. High kappa index increase the probability of CIS to MS conversion. A correct sample processing in the preanalytical stage is key to obtain right results and to allow establishing comparison between laboratories.

Validation and meta-analysis of kappa index biomarker in multiple sclerosis diagnosis.

The importance of studying the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is included in the last McDonald criteria (2018). The study of oligoclonal IgG bands (OCGB) assay is strongly recommended in some situations in which MS diagnosis is uncertain. New biomarkers are developed during the last years. Kappa free light chains (FLC) can predict conversion to MS in patients with Clinically Isolated Syndrome (CIS). The aim of this work is to validate the clinical usefulness of the kappa index, and to establish the actual state of knowledge for kappa index as a biomarker of conversion in CIS patients by a meta-analysis. Kappa index seems more relevant than the mere concentration of kappa FLC in CSF. In the validation study, 334 patients were included; in which 100 were CIS patients. Patients were divided in two groups according kappa index cut-off of 10.62: group 1 (kappa index>10.62); group 2 (kappa index<10.62). In group 1 more patients had positive OCGB, IgG index>0.56 and fulfilled magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) criteria. In contrast, in group 2, more patients showed negative OCGB, IgG index<0.56 and did not fulfilled MRI criteria. While 67.6% of patients from group 1 converted to MS, only 12.5% of patients from group 2 converted to MS. An HR of 6.02 was obtained in the Kaplan-Meier analysis. In the meta-analysis, 8 studies were finally included. The SROC curve revealed a high diagnostic performance for the kappa index as a MS diagnostic biomarker. Despite heterogeneity found between studies, the global OR revealed a good discriminatory capacity of kappa index. In conclusion, kappa index has a great clinical sensitivity and specificity as a support in MS diagnosis. High kappa index increase the probability of CIS to MS conversion. A correct sample processing in the preanalytical stage is key to obtain right results and to allow establishing comparison between laboratories.

Sun Exposure across the Life Course Significantly Modulates Early Multiple Sclerosis Clinical Course.

Low vitamin D and/or sun exposure have been associated with increased risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) onset. However, comparatively, few studies have prospectively examined associations between these factors and clinical course. To evaluate the association of sun exposure parameters and vitamin D levels with conversion to MS and relapse risk in a prospectively monitored cohort of 145 participants followed after a first demyelinating event up to 5-year review (AusLong Study). Sun exposure prior to and after onset measured by annual questionnaire; ultraviolet radiation (UVR) "load" estimated by location of residence over the life course and ambient UVR levels. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations measured at baseline, 2/3-year, and 5-year review. MS conversion and relapse assessed by neurologist assessment and medical record review. Over two-thirds (69%) of those followed to 5-year review (100/145) converted to MS, with a total of 252 relapses. Higher pre-MS onset sun exposure was associated with reduced risk of MS conversion, with internal consistency between measures and dose-response relationships. Analogous associations were also seen with risk of relapse, albeit less strong. No consistent associations were observed between postonset sun exposure and clinical course, however. Notably, those who increased their sun exposure during follow-up had significantly reduced hazards of MS conversion and relapse. Serum 25(OH)D levels and vitamin D supplementation were not associated with conversion to MS or relapse hazard. We found that preonset sun exposure was protective against subsequent conversion to MS and relapses. While consistent associations between postonset sun exposure or serum 25(OH)D level and clinical course were not evident, possibly masked by behavior change, those participants who markedly increased their sun exposure demonstrated a reduced MS conversion and relapse hazard, suggesting beneficial effects of sun exposure on clinical course.

Multi-component relaxation in clinically isolated syndrome: Lesion myelination may predict multiple sclerosis conversion.

We performed a longitudinal case-control study on patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) with the aid of quantitative whole-brain myelin imaging. The aim was (1) to parse early myelin decay and to break down its distribution pattern, and (2) to identify an imaging biomarker of the conversion into clinically definite Multiple Sclerosis (MS) based on in vivo measurable changes of myelination.Imaging and clinical data were collected immediately after the onset of first neurological symptoms and follow-up explorations were performed after 3, 6, and, 12 months. The multi-component Driven Equilibrium Single Pulse Observation of T1/T2 (mcDESPOT) was applied to obtain the volume fraction of myelin water (MWF) in different white matter (WM) regions at every time-point. This measure was subjected to further voxel-based analysis with the aid of a comparison of the normal distribution of myelination measures with an age and sex matched healthy control group. Both global and focal relative myelination content measures were retrieved.We found that (1) CIS patients at the first clinical episode suggestive of MS can be discriminated from healthy control WM conditions (p < 0.001) and therewith reproduced our earlier findings in late CIS, (2) that deficient myelination in the CIS group increased in T2 lesion depending on the presence of gadolinium enhancement (p < 0.05), and (3) that independently the CIS T2 lesion relative myelin content provided a risk estimate of the conversion to clinically definite MS (Odds Ratio 2.52).We initially hypothesized that normal appearing WM myelin loss may determine the severity of early disease and the subsequent risk of clinically definite MS development. However, in contrast we found that WM lesion myelin loss was pivotal for MS conversion. Regional myelination measures may thus play an important role in future clinical risk stratification.