Risk Of Mortality In Older Adults Research Articles

Graded association of muscle strength with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older adults with diabetes: Prospective cohort study across 28 countries.

The worldwide prevalence of diabetes is increasing, particularly among older adults. Understanding the association between muscle strength and mortality in this population is crucial for developing targeted exercise recommendations. To assess the prospective association of muscle strength with mortality in older adults with diabetes. From the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) study, spanning 28 countries, we included 16 149 diabetic adults aged 50 years and older (mean age 68.2 [standard deviation, SD, 9.2] years). Participants fulfilled two criteria: (1) diabetes diagnosis (ever) and (2) current use of diabetes medication. Muscle strength was assessed using handgrip dynamometry (unit: kg). Using time-varying Cox regression with restricted cubic splines, we determined the prospective association of muscle strength with all-cause and cause-specific mortality, controlling for various confounders. Over a mean follow-up of 5.9 years (SD 3.8), 2754 participants died (17%). Using the median level of muscle strength as reference (30 kg), lower and higher levels were associated in a curvilinear fashion with higher and lower all-cause mortality risk, respectively. The 10th percentile of muscle strength (17 kg) showed a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.65 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.53-1.79). The 90th percentile (47 kg) of muscle strength showed a HR of 0.55 (95% CI 0.49-0.63). A somewhat similar pattern, with varying strength of associations, was seen for mortality due to cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease, severe infectious disease, digestive system disease and cancer. Muscle strength is gradually and inversely associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk in older adults with diabetes. As muscle strength is highly adaptable to resistance training at all ages, the present findings highlight the importance of improving muscle strength in older adults with diabetes.

Frailty or sarcopenia: which is a better indicator of mortality risk in older adults?

BackgroundDespite the different conditions, frailty and sarcopenia overlap regarding their common link: the assessment of walking speed and muscle strength. This study aimed to compare the frailty phenotype to the...

Mild Cognitive Impairment, Religiosity, Spirituality and all-Cause Mortality Among Chinese Older Adults in Ethnic Minority Communities.

The relationship between mild cognitive impairment (MCI), religiosity and/or spirituality (R/S), and all-cause mortality among older adults has yet to be clarified. The current study aims to examine this relationship using a longitudinal cohort from ethnic minority communities in mainland China. The Cox proportional hazards regression modeling revealed that MCI predicted an increased risk of all-cause mortality, and high R/S buffered this association. Those findings suggest that a religious-spiritual integrated community intervention program may reduce the mortality risk in older adults with MCI in ethnically disadvantaged populations.

Synergistic impact of plasma albumin and cognitive function on all-cause mortality in Chinese older adults: a prospective cohort study.

Hypoalbuminemia and cognitive impairment (CI) each independently increase the mortality risk in older adults. However, these two geriatric syndromes can occur simultaneously. In community-dwelling older adults, is the combination of hypoalbuminemia and CI linked to a higher mortality risk than either condition alone? We aimed to investigate the association between plasma albumin, cognitive function, and their synergistic effect on mortality in Chinese community-dwelling older adults. Data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (2012) included 1,858 participants aged ≥65. Baseline assessments comprised albumin levels and cognitive status. All-cause mortality was confirmed through 2014-2018 surveys. Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations, and restricted cubic splines explored albumin-mortality relationship. During a median follow-up of 48.85 months, 921 deaths. Albumin≥35 g/L vs < 35g/L [HR: 1.33 (95%CI, 1.10, 1.62)] and CI vs normal cognition [HR: 1.69 (95%CI, 1.43, 1.99)] independently predicted mortality. A dose-response relationship with mortality was observed for albumin quartiles (p < 0.001). Each SD increase in MMSE or albumin correlated with 22% and 15% lower mortality risk, respectively. Combined hypoproteinemia and CI increased the mortality risk by 155%, with a notably higher risk in males, those aged <85 years, and individuals living in rural areas. Interaction effects of albumin and CI on mortality were observed (p < 0.001). In the single CI group, older adults had a 61% increased risk of mortality in the hypoproteinaemia group compared with the albumin-normal group. Restricted cubic spline revealed a reverse J-shaped association, particularly for participants without CI. For individuals with CI, albumin levels were inversely associated with mortality risk. Hypoproteinemia and CI, individually and combined, increased all-cause mortality risk in Chinese older adults, with stronger effects observed in males, younger older adults, and those living in rural areas. These findings emphasize the importance of targeted adjustments and early nutrition programs in health prevention and clinical care for older adults.

Association of intrinsic capacity with functional decline and mortality in older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies

Together with environmental factors, intrinsic capacity (the composite of all the physical and mental capacities of an individual) has been proposed as a marker of healthy ageing. However, whether intrinsic capacity predicts major clinical outcomes is unclear. We aimed to explore the association of intrinsic capacity with functional decline and mortality in older adults. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we conducted a systematic search in MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, and Web of Science from database inception to Feb 14, 2024, of observational longitudinal studies conducted in older adults (age ≥60 years) assessing the association of intrinsic capacity with impairment in basic activities of daily living (BADL) or instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) or risk of mortality. Estimates were extracted by two reviewers (JLS-S and W-HL) and were pooled using three-level meta-analytic models. The quality of each study was independently assessed by two authors (JLS-S and PLV) using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for longitudinal studies. Heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 indicator at two levels: within-study (level 2) and between-study (level 3) variation. For associations between intrinsic capacity and IADL and BADL, we transformed data (standardised β coefficients and odds ratios [ORs]) into Pearson product moment correlation coefficients (r) using Pearson and Digby formulas to allow comparability across studies. For associations between intrinsic capacity and risk of mortality, hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were extracted from survival analyses. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023460482. We included 37 studies (206 693 participants; average age range 65·3-85·9 years) in the systematic review, of which 31 were included in the meta-analysis on the association between intrinsic capacity and outcomes; three studies (2935 participants) were included in the meta-analysis on the association between intrinsic capacity trajectories and longitudinal changes in BADL or IADL. Intrinsic capacity was inversely associated with longitudinal impairments in BADL (Pearson's r -0·12 [95% CI -0·19 to -0·04]) and IADL (-0·24 [-0·35 to -0·13]), as well as with mortality risk (hazard ratio 0·57 [95% CI 0·51 to 0·63]). An association was also found between intrinsic capacity trajectories and impairment in IADL (but not in BADL), with maintained or improved intrinsic capacity over time associated with a lower impairment in IADL (odds ratio 0·37 [95% CI 0·19 to 0·71]). There was no evidence of publication bias (Egger's test p>0·05) and there was low between-study heterogeneity (I2=18·4%), though within-study (I2=63·2%) heterogeneity was substantial. Intrinsic capacity is inversely associated with functional decline and mortality risk in older adults. These findings could support the use of intrinsic capacity as a marker of healthy ageing, although further research is needed to refine the structure and operationalisation of this construct across settings and populations. None. For the Spanish and French translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Nutrient deficiency patterns and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older adults with hypertension: a latent class analysis

BackgroundPrevious researches examining the impact of dietary nutrition on mortality risk have mainly focused on individual nutrients, however the interaction of these nutrients has not been considered. The purpose of this study was to identify of nutrient deficiencies patterns and analyze their potential impact on mortality risk in older adults with hypertension.MethodsWe included participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) study. The latent class analysis (LCA) was applied to uncover specific malnutrition profiles within the sample. Risk of the end points across the phenogroups was compared using Kaplan–Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression model. Multinomial logistic regression was used to determine the influencing factors of specific malnutrition profiles.ResultsA total of 6924 participants aged 60 years or older with hypertension from NHANES 2003–2014 was followed until December 31, 2019 with a median follow-up of 8.7 years. Various nutrients included vitamin A, vitamin B1, vitamin B12, vitamin C, vitamin D, vitamin E, vitamin K, fiber, folate, calcium, magnesium, zinc, copper, iron, and selenium, and LCA revealed 4 classes of malnutrition. Regarding all-cause mortality, “Nutrient Deprived” group showed the strongest hazard ratio (1.42 from 1.19 to 1.70) compared with “Adequate Nutrient” group, followed by “Inadequate Nutrient” group (1.29 from 1.10 to 1.50), and “Low Fiber, Magnesium, and Vit E” group (1.17 from 1.02 to 1.35). For cardiovascular mortality, “Nutrient Deprived” group showed the strongest hazard ratio (1.61 from 1.19 to 2.16) compared with “Adequate Nutrient” group, followed by “Low Fiber, Magnesium, and Vit E” group (1.51 from 1.04 to 2.20), and “Inadequate Nutrient” group (1.37 from 1.03 to 1.83).ConclusionsThe study revealed a significant association between nutrients deficiency patterns and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older adults with hypertension. The findings suggested that nutrients deficiency pattern may be an important risk factor for mortality in older adults with hypertension.

Associations of cognitive impairment and functional limitation with all-cause mortality risk in older adults: A population-based study from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Cognitive impairment and functional limitation are commonly observed in older adults. They have a complex correlation, and both are risk factors for mortality. This prospective cohort study aimed to explore the independent and joint impact of cognitive impairment and functional limitations on all-cause mortality in older adults. A total of 3,759 participants aged ≥ 60 years who had available information on mortality data, cognitive function, physical function, and covariates were enrolled. Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to assess the independent and joint impacts of cognitive impairment and functional limitation on all-cause mortality. Smoothing curve fitting was used to show the nonlinear relationship between the Digit Symbol Coding (DSC) score and all-cause mortality. An interaction between cognitive impairment and functional limitation was identified when examining their associations with all-cause mortality. Cognitive impairment and functional limitation independently correlated with all-cause mortality risk even after adjusting for covariates and performing mutual adjustments (HR for cognitive impairment: 1.34, 95% CI 1.15–1.56; HR for functional limitation: 1.50, 95% CI 1.32–1.70). When the DSC score was > 18, as the score increased, the risk of death significantly decreased (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.98–0.99). Participants with both cognitive impairment and functional limitation had the highest hazard ratio for all-cause mortality (HR 1.98, 95%CI 1.63–2.40). In summary, cognitive impairment and functional limitation independently correlated with increased all-cause mortality risk. A higher DSC score was a protective factor reducing the premature mortality risk. Older adults with cognitive impairment and functional limitation demonstrated the highest all-cause mortality risk.

Geriatric End-of-Life Screening Tool Prediction of 6-Month Mortality in Older Patients

Emergency department (ED) visits by older adults with life-limiting illnesses are a critical opportunity to establish patient care end-of-life preferences, but little is known about the optimal screening criteria for resource-constrained EDs. To externally validate the Geriatric End-of-Life Screening Tool (GEST) in an independent population and compare it with commonly used serious illness diagnostic criteria. This prognostic study assessed a cohort of patients aged 65 years and older who were treated in a tertiary care ED in Boston, Massachusetts, from 2017 to 2021. Patients arriving in cardiac arrest or who died within 1 day of ED arrival were excluded. Data analysis was performed from August 1, 2023, to March 27, 2024. GEST, a logistic regression algorithm that uses commonly available electronic health record (EHR) datapoints and was developed and validated across 9 EDs, was compared with serious illness diagnoses as documented in the EHR. Serious illnesses included stroke/transient ischemic attack, liver disease, cancer, lung disease, and age greater than 80 years, among others. The primary outcome was 6-month mortality following an ED encounter. Statistical analyses included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration analyses, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and decision curves. This external validation included 82 371 ED encounters by 40 505 unique individuals (mean [SD] age, 76.8 [8.4] years; 54.3% women, 13.8% 6-month mortality rate). GEST had an external validation area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.78-0.79) that was stable across years and demographic subgroups. Of included encounters, 53.4% had a serious illness, with a sensitivity of 77.4% (95% CI, 76.6%-78.2%) and specificity of 50.5% (95% CI, 50.1%-50.8%). Varying GEST cutoffs from 5% to 30% increased specificity (5%: 49.1% [95% CI, 48.7%-49.5%]; 30%: 92.2% [95% CI, 92.0%-92.4%]) at the cost of sensitivity (5%: 89.3% [95% CI, 88.8-89.9]; 30%: 36.2% [95% CI, 35.3-37.1]). In a decision curve analysis, GEST outperformed serious illness criteria across all tested thresholds. When comparing patients referred to intervention by GEST with serious illness criteria, GEST reclassified 45.1% of patients with serious illness as having low risk of mortality with an observed mortality rate 8.1% and 2.6% of patients without serious illness as having high mortality risk with an observed mortality rate of 34.3% for a total reclassification rate of 25.3%. The findings of this study suggest that both serious illness criteria and GEST identified older ED patients at risk for 6-month mortality, but GEST offered more useful screening characteristics. Future trials of serious illness interventions for high mortality risk in older adults may consider transitioning from diagnosis code criteria to GEST, an automatable EHR-based algorithm.

Assessing the relationship between multimorbidity, NCD configurations, frailty phenotypes, and mortality risk in older adults

BackgroundOlder adults are increasingly susceptible to prolonged illness, multiple chronic diseases, and disabilities, which can lead to the coexistence of multimorbidity and frailty. Multimorbidity may result in various noncommunicable disease (NCD) patterns or configurations that could be associated with frailty and death. Mortality risk may vary depending on the presence of specific chronic diseases configurations or frailty.MethodsThe aim was to examine the impact of NCD configurations on mortality risk among older adults with distinct frailty phenotypes. The population was analyzed from the Costa Rican Longevity and Healthy Aging Study Cohort (CRELES). A total of 2,662 adults aged 60 or older were included and followed for 5 years. Exploratory factor analysis and various clustering techniques were utilized to identify NCD configurations. The frequency of NCD accumulation was also assessed for a multimorbidity definition. Frailty phenotypes were set according to Fried et al. criteria. Kaplan‒Meier survival analyses, mortality rates, and Cox proportional hazards models were estimated.ResultsFour different types of patterns were identified: ‘Neuro-psychiatric’, ‘Metabolic’, ‘Cardiovascular’, and ‘Mixt’ configurations. These configurations showed a higher mortality risk than the mere accumulation of NCDs [Cardiovascular HR:1.65 (1.07–2.57); ‘Mixt’ HR:1.49 (1.00-2.22); ≥3 NCDs HR:1.31 (1.09–1.58)]. Frailty exhibited a high and constant mortality risk, irrespective of the presence of any NCD configuration or multimorbidity definition. However, HRs decreased and lost statistical significance when phenotypes were considered in the Cox models [frailty + ‘Cardiovascular’ HR:1.56 (1.00-2.42); frailty + ‘Mixt’:1.42 (0.95–2.11); and frailty + ≥ 3 NCDs HR:1.23 (1.02–1.49)].ConclusionsFrailty accompanying multimorbidity emerges as a more crucial indicator of mortality risk than multimorbidity alone. Therefore, studying NCD configurations is worthwhile as they may offer improved risk profiles for mortality as alternatives to straightforward counts.

Sacral Ulcer Development Risk Among Older Adult Patients in North Texas Rehabilitation Hospitals: Role of Comorbidities, Lifestyle, and Personal Factors.

Sacral ulcers are a serious mortality risk for older adults; thus, we aimed to determine sacral ulcer risk factors among older adults who were recently admitted to rehabilitation hospitals. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Texas Inpatient Discharge database (2021). The study included 1,290 rehabilitation hospital patients aged ≥60 years diagnosed with sacral ulcers. The control group comprised 37,626 rehabilitation hospital patients aged ≥60 years without sacral ulcers. Binary logistic regression was used to identify risks for sacral ulcer development adjusting for patient demographics, insurance type, and lifestyle. Comorbidities of dementia, Parkinson's disease, type 2 diabetes, and cardiac dysrhythmias were significantly associated with increased risk of sacral ulcers. Longer length of stay, Medicare, and Medicare HMO were also associated with sacral ulcers. Demographically, older age, male sex, identifying as African American, and having malnutrition all had a 50% increased prevalence of sacral ulcers. Findings indicate a need to proactively treat chronic comorbidities in vulnerable populations to reduce their possible risk for hospital-acquired infections and excess mortality from sacral ulcers. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 50(2), 32-41.].

Associations of Orthostatic Hypotension and Frailty With Dementia and Mortality in Older Adults: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

This study aimed to assess the associations of orthostatic hypotension (OH), in the presence or absence of frailty, with dementia and mortality in older adults. We conducted a 15-year population-based cohort study including 2703 baseline dementia-free individuals from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen. At baseline, OH was defined as a decline in systolic/diastolic blood pressure ≥20/10mm Hg 1 minute after standing up from a supine position. Frailty status was defined following Fried's frailty phenotype. Dementia was diagnosed following the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-fourth edition criteria. Multistate flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate associations of OH and frailty with dementia and mortality. Robust people with OH (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 2.28; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.47-3.54) and frail people without OH (HR = 1.98; 95% CI = 1.40-2.82) or with OH (HR = 2.73; 95% CI = 1.82-4.10) had a higher dementia risk than OH-free and robust people. Moreover, frail people, independently of the presence of OH, had higher mortality rate than OH-free and robust people. In individuals who developed dementia during the follow-up period, neither OH nor frailty was significantly associated with mortality. Older adults with OH, whether robust or frail, may have a higher dementia risk than those without OH. Older adults with OH, when having frailty, may have a higher mortality rate than those without OH. The concurrent assessments of OH and frailty may provide prognostic values in terms of dementia and mortality risk in older adults.

Low handgrip strength with asymmetry is associated with elevated all-cause mortality risk in older Chinese adults with abdominal obesity.

Low handgrip strength (HGS) and abdominal obesity (AO) have been reported to be linked to an increased all-cause mortality risk in older adults. However, the combined impact of AO with low HGS and/or HGS asymmetry on mortality risk remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the synergistic effects of AO and abnormal HGS on mortality risk among Chinese older adults. Baseline data of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011, along with mortality outcomes obtained in 2018 were used for the analysis. Low HGS was identified as HGS <18 kg in women or <28 kg in men, while HGS asymmetry is defined as an HGS of either hand > 10% stronger than the other. AO was characterized by a waist circumference ≥90 cm in men and ≥85 cm in women. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between AO, abnormal HGS and mortality risk. A total of 5186 subjects aged 60 years or older were enrolled, 50.6% of whom were male. The proportions of participants with only AO, only low HGS, only HGS asymmetry, low HGS with asymmetry, both AO and low HGS, both AO and asymmetric HGS, and AO with both low HGS and asymmetry were 20.0%, 6.1%, 16.6%, 8.3%, 3.2%, 13.4%, and 3.9%, respectively. Over the course of a 7-year follow-up interval, 970 of these individuals died, with 13.4%, 12.4%, 13.6%, 15.5%, 4.1%, 10.1% and 6.9% of deaths in the above groups, respectively. The adjusted logistic regression analysis model confirmed that only low HGS (OR = 1.897, 95%CI: 1.386-2.596, p<0.001), low HGS with asymmetry (OR = 1.680, 95%CI: 1.265-2.231, p<0.001), and AO combined with both low HGS and asymmetry (OR = 2.029, 95%CI: 1.381-2.981, p<0.001) were associated with a higher risk of mortality. Low HGS, with or without asymmetry, is associated with increased mortality risk in older Chinese adults without AO, and the combination of low HGS and HGS asymmetry further elevates mortality risk in those with AO.

Proton pump inhibitors associated with an increased risk of mortality in elderly: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The increased use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) in the elderly has raised concerns about potential severe adverse effects. Our systematic review investigated the mortality associated with PPI use in elderly populations. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library for relevant publications until August 2022. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-RCTs, and observational studies on the association between proton pump inhibitors and mortality in the elderly. To estimate the pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), the inverse-variance random effect model was used. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 test. Subgroup analyses were performed by follow-up period, population, and study design. A total of 4 RCTs and 36 cohort studies were included in the meta-analysis. Four RCTs showed that there was no significant association between PPIs and the risk of death. From 23 observational studies (26 cohorts), the use of proton pump inhibitors was not significantly associated with increased mortality in the elderly (RR 1.14; 95% CI, 0.90-1.45). However, when controlling for covariates from 33 observational studies (41 cohorts), proton pump inhibitors in older adults aged 50years or more were significantly associated with a 15% higher risk of mortality compared to nonusers (RR 1.15; 95% CI, 1.10-1.20). Our meta-analysis of RCTs found that PPIs did not show a significant association with increased mortality risk in older adults. However, the meta-analysis of cohort studies and long-term follow-up studies showed a higher increased risk of death with PPI use in older adults. The prescription of PPIs in patients aged 50years or older should be carefully considered.

Association between doubly labelled water-calibrated energy intake and objectively measured physical activity with mortality risk in older adults

BackgroundPhysical activity or biomarker-calibrated energy intake (EI) alone is associated with mortality in older adults; the interaction relationship between the combined use of both factors and mortality has not been examined. We evaluated the relationship between mortality and calibrated EI and step counts in older adults.MethodsThis prospective study included 4,159 adults aged ≥65 years who participated in the Kyoto-Kameoka study in Japan and wore a triaxial accelerometer between 1 April and 15 November 2013. The calibrated EI was calculated based on a previously developed equation using EI biomarkers. The step count was obtained from the accelerometer ≥ 4 days. Participants were classified into the following four groups: low EI (LEI)/low step counts (LSC) group (EI: <2,400 kcal/day in men and <1,900 kcal/day in women; steps: <5,000 /day), n = 1,352; high EI (HEI)/LSC group (EI: ≥2,400 kcal/day in men and ≥1,900 kcal/day in women; steps: <5,000 /day), n = 1,586; LEI/high step counts (HSC) group (EI: <2,400 kcal/day in men and < 1,900 kcal/day in women; steps: ≥5,000 /day), n = 471; and HEI/HSC group (EI: ≥2,400 kcal/day in men and ≥1,900 kcal/day in women; steps: ≥5,000 /day), n = 750. Mortality-related data were collected until 30 November 2016. We performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis.ResultsThe median follow-up period was 3.38 years (14,046 person-years), and 111 mortalities were recorded. After adjusting for confounders, the HEI/HSC group had the lowest all-cause mortality rate compared to other groups (LEI/LSC: reference; HEI/LSC: hazard ratio [HR]: 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.41–1.23; LEI/HSC: HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.29–1.19; and HEI/HSC: HR: 0.10, 95% CI: 0.01–0.76). No significant interaction was observed between the calibrated EI and steps with mortality. The spline model showed that 35–42 kcal/100 steps/day of EI/100 steps was associated with the lowest mortality risk.ConclusionsHR mortality risk was lowest at 35–42 kcal/100 steps/day, suggesting that very high (≥56 kcal) or low (<28 kcal) EI/100 steps are not inversely associated with mortality. Adherence to optimal EI and adequate physical activity may provide sufficient energy balance to explain the inverse association with mortality among older Japanese adults.

Combined Use of Sleep Quality and Duration Is More Closely Associated With Mortality Risk Among Older Adults: A Population-based Kyoto-Kameoka Prospective Cohort Study.

Whether sleep quality and duration assessed from multiple domains, either individually or in combination, are strongly associated with mortality risk in older adults remains unelucidated. We aimed to clarify these relationships. We enrolled 7,668 older (age ≥65 years) Japanese adults in the Kyoto-Kameoka prospective cohort study who provided valid responses to the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) in a mail-in survey. Sleep quality and duration were classified into six groups using the previously validated PSQI: short sleep duration (SSD: <360 min/day)/sleep disturbance (SD: ≥5.5 PSQI points), n = 701; SSD/non-sleep disturbance (NSD: <5.5 PSQI points), n = 100; optimal sleep duration (OSD: 360-480 min/day)/NSD, n = 1,863; OSD/SD, n = 2,113; long sleep duration (LSD: >480 min/day)/NSD, n = 1,972; LSD/SD, n = 919. Mortality data were collected from February 15, 2012, to November 30, 2016. We evaluated the relationship between all-cause mortality risk and sleep quality and duration (and their combinations) using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model that included baseline covariates. The median follow-up period was 4.75 years (34,826 person-years), with a total of 616 deaths. After adjusting for confounders, compared with other groups, SSD/SD and LSD/SD had the highest hazard ratio (HR) of mortality (SSD/SD: HR 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-2.19; SSD/NSD: HR 1.27; 95% CI, 0.47-3.48; OSD/NSD: reference; OSD/SD: HR 1.20; 95% CI, 0.91-1.59; LSD/NSD: HR 1.35; 95% CI, 1.03-1.77; LSD/SD: HR 1.83; 95% CI, 1.37-2.45). However, mortality risk was not associated with the interaction between sleep quality and duration. Older adults with sleep disturbances involving SSD and LSD have a strong positive association with mortality risk, suggesting an additive effect between sleep quality and duration.

Associations of blood pressure with cardiovascular and mortality outcomes in over 2 million older persons with or without diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 45 cohort studies

BackgroundThe impact of blood pressure on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality outcomes in older people with diabetes mellitus (DM) is not well quantified. Using a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational cohort studies, we aimed to compare the associations of blood pressure levels with cardiovascular and mortality outcomes in older people aged ≥ 65 years with or without DM. MethodsStudies were identified from MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and search of bibliographies to July 2022. Study-specific risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled. ResultsForty-five unique observational cohort studies (n = 2305,189 participants) assessing the associations of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) levels with adverse cardiovascular outcomes were included. In the general population, the pooled RRs (95% CIs) of SBP ≥ 140 vs < 140 mmHg and per 10 mmHg increase for composite CVD/MACE were 1.26 (0.96–1.64) and 1.15 (1.08–1.23), respectively. The respective estimates were 1.56 (1.04–2.34) and 1.10 (1.04–1.18) for patients with DM. SBP ≥ 130 vs < 130 mmHg was not associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes in both populations. SBP < 120 vs ≥ 120 mmHg was associated with an increased risk of all cause-mortality in the general population (n = 10 studies). DBP ≥ 90 mmHg was associated with an increased risk of some adverse cardiovascular outcomes in both populations. Interaction analyses suggested similar risk of outcomes in both populations. ConclusionsObservational evidence suggests SBP and DBP confer similar cardiovascular and mortality risk in older adults in the general population and those with DM. A blood pressure target range of > 130/80 to < 140/90 mmHg may be optimal for patients ≥ 65 years with DM, but specific targets may need to be individualised based on patients’ unique circumstances. Furthermore, findings do not support stringent blood pressure control in this population group. Definitive RCTs are needed to support these observational findings.

Workforce Participation and Mortality Risk Among Chinese Older Adults: A Nationwide Population-Based Prospective Study.

This study examines the association between workforce participation and mortality among Chinese older adults. 6,138 participants aged 60 and older from the 2011 to 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were studied and 79.5% of the sample were rural Hukou. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the associations of work status, work types, and changes in work status with all-cause mortality. Cox models with penalized splines were performed to explore the dose-response relationship for hours worked per week and mortality. 37,235.3 person-years observed 1,165 deaths (19.0%). Working reduced the mortality risk in older adults by 41% compared with those who did not work (HR: 0.59, 95% confidence interval: 0.50-0.69). This effect was consistent across subgroups. The mortality risk was lowest among self-employed older adults, followed by nonagricultural employment and then agricultural work, with adjusted HRs of (0.38, 0.21-0.70), (0.58, 0.36-0.93), and (0.61, 0.51-0.72), respectively. The mortality risk decreased with increasing hours of work per week and appeared to reach a threshold of about 45 hr of work per week. Compared with the older adults who continuously did not work, those who started and kept working had 28% (0.72, 0.53-0.97) and 48% (0.52, 0.41-0.65) lower mortality risks, respectively. When older adults transitioned from working to not working, the mortality risk would no longer be significantly different from that of older adults who were continuously not working (0.86, 0.65-1.12, p = 0.3). Workforce participation was associated with survival benefits among older adults in China.

Hydroxychloroquine use is associated with reduced mortality risk in older adults with rheumatoid arthritis.

There is little robust data about the cardiovascular safety of hydroxychloroquine in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), who often have cardiovascular comorbidities. We examined the association between use of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) in patients with RA and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). In a retrospective cohort of Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥ 65years with RA, we identified patients who initiated HCQ (users) and who did not initiate HCQ (non-users) between January 2015-June 2017. Each HCQ user was matched to 2 non-users of HCQ using propensity score derived from patient baseline characteristics. The primary outcome was the occurrence of MACE, defined as acute admissions for stroke, myocardial infarction, or heart failure. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality and the composite of MACE and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare outcomes between HCQ users to non-users. The study included 2380 RA patients with incident HCQ use and matched 4633 HCQ non-users over the study period. The mean follow-up duration was 1.67 and 1.63years in HCQ non-users and users, respectively. In multivariable models, use of HCQ was not associated with the risk of MACE (hazard ratio 1.1; 95% CI: 0.832-1.33). However, use of HCQ was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.45-0.64) and the composite of all-cause mortality and MACE (HR 0.67; 95% CI: 0.58-0.78). HCQ use was independently associated with a lower risk of mortality in older adults with RA but not with incidence of MACE events. Key Points • Using an incident user design (to avoid the biases of a prevalent user design) and a population-based approach, we examined the effect of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) on the risk of major cardiovascular events (MACE) in older patients with RA. • We did not find an association between HCQ use and incident MACE. We did, however, find a significant association with the composite outcome (MACE and all-cause mortality) driven by a significant reduction in all-cause mortality with HCQ use.

Long-Term Mortality Risk in Older Adults with Sarcopenia: An 11-Year Prospective Cohort Study Comparing AWGS 2014 and AWGS 2019 Guidelines for Enhanced Clinical Utility and Accurate Risk Prediction.

To discern the diagnostic accuracy between the updated diagnostic consensus of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) in 2019 (AWGS 2019) and the previous AWGS 2014 guidelines. A prospective population-based cohort study. The study included 731 older community-dwelling adults aged ≥ 65 years who participated in face-to-face interviews and were followed up for 11-year mortality until 31 Mar 2022. We utilized a handgrip strength dynamometer to measure participants' muscle strength, while their walking speed was determined by a timed 6-meter walk test at their usual pace. Additionally, muscle mass was measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scanning. Sarcopenia was defined as the presence of low muscle mass in combination with weakness and/or slowness both by AWGS 2014 and 2019 criteria. The present study followed 731 participants (mean age 73.4 ± 5.4 years, men predominant 52.8%) over a period of 11 years, yielding 5927 person-years and 159 deaths. Prevalence of sarcopenia defined by AWGS 2019 and 2014 criteria were 8.5% and 6.8%, respectively. Sarcopenia defined by AWGS 2019 (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.04-2.54, p=0.034) but not AWGS 2014 was significantly associated with mortality in community-living older adults after adjusting for potential confounders such as age, sex, education, drinking, disease burden and serum level of testosterone. The study also found that the AWGS 2019 criteria had a better model fitness than AWGS 2014 criteria in predicting mortality. AWGS 2019 criteria outperformed AWGS 2014 in identifying sarcopenia risk and predicting mortality. Screening for sarcopenia in older adults may improve health outcomes by identifying those at increased mortality risk.

P52 Addressing the overtreatment of basal cell carcinoma and other skin cancer in the UK

Abstract The incidence of keratinocyte cancers continues to increase in the UK, although survival is favourable compared with other cancers. This, coupled with a progressively ageing population, has resulted in an increasing number of clinical situations in which we question the benefit to the patient of treating their skin cancer. Currently, the main barrier to preventing overtreatment is the lack of a nationally accepted method for determining survival in patients with skin cancers. This study aims to identify trends in national datasets that support decision-making in basal cell carcinoma (BCC) intervention for frail patients. Frailty is multifactorial, but age is an independent predictor of physical frailty. National databases (Get Data Out—CancerData; national life tables from the UK Office for National Statistics) were accessed to identify the average life expectancy at a given age based on the mortality rates experienced between 2018 and 2022. Average life expectancy reduced in a linear fashion with increasing age. At 80 years of age, the average number of years a woman survived was 9.66 years vs. 3.6 years at 93 years of age. Crude rates for BCC in the whole population (total BCC) are lower than the crude rates in the older population (80+ years). Kaplan–Meier survival (i.e. how many patients are alive after 5 years) was 80% overall and dropped to approximately 55% for the population aged 80+ years. These data support the notion that with increasing age and subsequent frailty, life expectancy in the general population independent of comorbidities shortens. Having hard cutoffs for surgical intervention by age is a reductionist approach. Potential decision aids include frailty scores. Some frailty scores are specifically designed to estimate all-cause mortality. The OPERAM (Optimising Therapy to Prevent Avoidable Hospital Admissions in Multimorbid Older People) trial compared several of these mortality scores. The Gagné Index performed most highly with a positive predictive value of 31% and a negative predictive value of 85% (Schneider C, Aubert CE, del Giovane C et al. Comparison of 6 mortality risk scores for prediction of 1-year mortality risk in older adults with multimorbidity. JAMA Netw Open 2022; 5:e2223911). The combination of national data and predictive scoring systems may be helpful in supporting decision-making when considering surgical intervention. Modification of this approach to achieve greater predictive value may be possible in order to achieve better outcomes.