Mortality In Mexican Patients Research Articles

269P Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in locally advanced rectal cancer and prognosis of mortality in Mexican patients

269P Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in locally advanced rectal cancer and prognosis of mortality in Mexican patients

Comparison of the meld-la model as a predictor of early mortality in Mexican patients with chronic decompensated liver disease

Comparison of the meld-la model as a predictor of early mortality in Mexican patients with chronic decompensated liver disease

Dynamic inflammatory response among routine laboratory biomarkers and their predictive ability for mortality in patients with severe COVID-19.

The severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is related to several factors, including age, sex, and comorbidities (obesity, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension). However, systemic inflammation plays a fundamental role in COVID-19 pathophysiology. Several studies have described this association employing specific biomarkers that are not routinely used in clinical practice. On the other hand, very few reports in the literature focused on the analysis of the routine laboratory biomarkers to predict the outcome of severe COVID-19 patients. We aimed to analyze the dynamic inflammatory response using routine laboratory biomarkers to predict in-hospital mortality in Mexican patients with severe COVID-19. This is a cohort study including patients with severe COVID-19. Demographic characteristics were retrieved from medical charts and biochemical parameters were measured at hospital admission and subsequently on days 3, 5, 7, 10, 14, and 21 during the hospital stay; measurements were stopped when patients were discharged from the hospital (alive or death). A total of 250 patients were included in the study, 40.8% of patients died. The analyzed routine laboratory parameters, such as serum levels of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer remained elevated in hospitalized patients who did not survive, whereas eosinophil and platelets were maintained at lower levels. In the multivariate analysis, leukocytes, and neutrophils were the best biomarkers for predicting mortality risk and were independent of age, gender, or comorbidities. Our results support the use of routine laboratory biomarkers as predictors of mortality in Mexican hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19.

The Chemokine MIG is Associated with an Increased Risk of COVID-19 Mortality in Mexican Patients.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emergent viral disease in which the host inflammatory response modulates the clinical outcome. Severe outcomes are associated with an exacerbation of inflammation in which chemokines play an important role as the attractants of immune cells to the tissues. To evaluate the relationship of the chemokines IL-8, RANTES, MIG, MCP-1, and IP-10 with COVID-19 severity and outcomes in Mexican patients. We analyzed the serum levels of IL-8, RANTES, MIG, MCP-1 and IP-10 in 148 COVID-19 hospitalized patients classified as mild (n=20), severe (n=61), and critical (n=67), as well as in healthy individuals (n=10), by flow cytometry bead array assay. Chemokine levels were higher in patients than in the healthy individuals, but only MIG, MCP-1, and IP-10 increased according to the disease severity, showing the highest levels in the critical group. MIG, MCP-1, and IP-10 levels were also higher in COVID-19 patients with comorbidities such as renal disease, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension. Moreover, elevated MIG levels seem to be related to organic failure/shock, and an increased risk of death. Our results suggest that the increased levels of MCP-1, IP-10, and especially MIG might be useful in predicting severe COVID-19 outcomes and could be promising therapeutic targets.

Association of ABO blood type with mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19

Introduction. The novel SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) has generated a global crisis. It is necessary to find prognosis factors for hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2, that help us to understand the observed difference in disease severity in patients with similar characteristics. The aim of this study was to explore the relation between ABO groups and in-hospital mortality in Mexican patients admitted with COVID-19. Study design and Methods. We performed a retrospective study with 2369 hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 confirmed infection in a tertiary referral hospital, admitted from March 27 and December 10, 2020. Results. Type A blood was associated with a lower hazard of death among COVID-19 patients compared to type O (adjusted HR=0.72, 95% IC 0.55-0.95, P-value=0.02). Conclusions We found evidence of a significant association between ABO blood type and COVID-19 in-patients’ death. The blood group A may be less likely to death during hospitalization compared with group O.

POS1242 FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATIC DISEASES AND COVID-19 IN MEXICO

Background:As of the 25th of January 2021, more than 150 thousand deaths as consequence of COVID-19 have been reported in Mexico [1]. Advanced age, male gender and comorbidities have been described as risk factors for severe disease and mortality in general population [2]. COVID-19 mortality in Mexican patients with rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs) is unknown.Objectives:To describe characteristics of Mexican patients with RMDs and COVID-19, and to analyse factors associated with mortality.Methods:The Global Rheumatology Alliance COVID-19 (GRA) physician reported registry, is an international effort to collect information on COVID19 in adult patients with RMDs. GRA is an observational registry. The first patient from Mexico was registered on April 17, 2020. All Mexican patients registered in GRA until October 30, 2020 were included in this analysis. The association of mortality with demographic and clinical variables was estimated using logistic regression analysis.Results:A total of 323 patients were registered, with a median age of 52 (IQR 41-61) years old, 166 (51.4%) patients lived in Mexico City. The most frequent RMDs were rheumatoid arthritis, 149 (46.1%) and systemic lupus erythematosus, 24 (19.8%). Over a third of patients with RMDs and COVID-19 (119 (36.8%)) were hospitalized, and 43 (13.3%) died. Table 1 shows clinical and demographic characteristics. In the univariable analysis, the absence of comorbidities was a protective factor, OR 0.3 (95% CI 0.1-0.6). Factors associated with mortality at COVID-19 diagnosis were age over 65 years old, having type 2 diabetes, chronic renal insufficiency, treatment at COVID-19 diagnosis with corticosteroids or with CD20 inhibitors. In the multivariable adjusted analysis, these factors remained independently associated with mortality. No associations with other treatments or comorbidities at COVID-19 diagnosis were found.Conclusion:Mexican patients with RMDs and COVID-19 in the GRA physician reported registry had a mortality of 13.3%. Factors associated with mortality were those described in the general population, such as older age and being on corticosteroids and CD20 inhibitors treatment at COVID-19 diagnosis.

Lactate-dehydrogenase associated with mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Mexico: a multi-centre retrospective cohort study

Introduction and ObjectivesAs of January 2021, over 88 million people have been infected with COVID-19. Almost two million people have died of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). A high SOFA score and a D-Dimer >1 µg/mL identifies patients with high risk of mortality. High lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels on admission are associated with severity and mortality. Different degrees of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and/or aspartate aminotransferase (AST) abnormalities have been reported in these patients, its association with a mortality risk remains controversial. The aim of this study was to explore the correlation between LDH and in-hospital mortality in Mexican patients admitted with COVID-19. Materials & MethodsWe performed a retrospective multi-centre cohort study with 377 hospitalized patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 in three centres in Mexico City, Mexico, who were ≥18 years old and died or were discharged between April 1 and May 31, 2020. ResultsA total of 377 patients were evaluated, 298 (79.1%) patients were discharged, and 79 (20.9%) patients died during hospitalization. Non-survivors were older, with a median age of 46.7 ± 25.7 years old, most patients were male. An ALT > 61 U/l (OR 3.45, 95% CI 1.27−9.37; p = 0.015), C-reactive protein (CRP) > 231 mg/l (OR 4.71, 95% CI 2.35−9.46; p = 0.000), LDH > 561 U/l (OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.40−6.55; p = 0.005) were associated with higher odds for in-hospital death. ConclusionsOur results indicate that higher levels of LDH, CRP, and ALT are associated with higher in-hospital mortality risk in Mexican patients admitted with COVID-19.

Risk Factors for Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: An Overview in a Mexican Population.

BackgroundCurrently, Mexico ranks third worldwide in mortality due to coronavirus disease pandemic 2019 (COVID-19) and reliable information is scarce, with the available data focused on epidemiological characteristics. This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with mortality and outcomes in hospitalized Mexican patients with COVID-19.MethodsWe prospectively assessed patients admitted to a COVID-19 reference center in southeast Mexico between March 28 and June 30, 2020. Mortality was defined as survivors or non-survivors and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the association of the clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters with mortality.ResultsWe included 200 patients with a mean age of 55 years, 69% were men and 72% had at least one chronic comorbidity. Eighty-six patients required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) with an overall mortality rate of 82.5%. Only 51% of the patients with IMV were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), with a survival rate of 27.3%, but only 7.2% for patients without ICU admissions (p=0.014). The multivariate analysis found that a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥9 (odds ratio [OR], 4.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.05–10.53) albumin <3.5 g/dL (OR, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.56–9.07), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level ≥725 U/L (OR, 5.45; 95% CI, 2.36–12.57), and IMV (OR, 64.7; 95% CI, 15.20–275.39) were independent risk factors associated with mortality.ConclusionNeutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, LDH, albumin, and IMV were independent risk factors for mortality in Mexican patients with COVID-19. Also, the availability of ICU resources is invaluable for better outcomes in critically ill patients. Our results could provide clinical information for timely decision-making in low-and-middle income countries to overcome the pandemic.

The Neutrophil-to-Monocyte Ratio and Lymphocyte-to-Neutrophil Ratio at Admission Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Mexican Patients with Severe SARS-CoV-2 Infection (Covid-19).

There is a deep need for mortality predictors that allow clinicians to quickly triage patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) into intensive care units at the time of hospital admission. Thus, we examined the efficacy of the lymphocyte-to-neutrophil ratio (LNR) and neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR) as predictors of in-hospital death at admission in patients with severe Covid-19. A total of 54 Mexican adult patients with Covid-19 that met hospitalization criteria were retrospectively enrolled, followed-up daily until hospital discharge or death, and then assigned to survival or non-survival groups. Clinical, demographic, and laboratory parameters were recorded at admission. A total of 20 patients with severe Covid-19 died, and 75% of them were men older than 62.90 ± 14.18 years on average. Type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and coronary heart disease were more prevalent in non-survivors. As compared to survivors, LNR was significantly fourfold decreased while NMR was twofold increased. LNR ≤ 0.088 predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 85.00% and a specificity of 74.19%. NMR ≥ 17.75 was a better independent risk factor for mortality with a sensitivity of 89.47% and a specificity of 80.00%. This study demonstrates for the first time that NMR and LNR are accurate predictors of in-hospital mortality at admission in patients with severe Covid-19.

Abnormal fluid distribution and low handgrip strength index as predictors of mortality in Mexican patients with chronic heart failure.

In patients with heart failure, fluid alteration and low muscle strength frequently coexist because of their reduced physical activity and sedentary behavior; however, few studies have evaluated the effects of this coexistence on the prognosis of these patients. The aim of this study was to examine the independent association between fluid alteration and the low handgrip strength (HGS) index with mortality in patients with chronic heart failure. This observational study included 546 (53.3% male) stable outpatients with heart failure. The presence of an abnormal fluid distribution was determined with a bioelectrical impedance ratio (200/5 kHz) ≥0.85. Handgrip strength (HGS) was measured with a hand dynamometer, and the HGS index was calculated by dividing the HGS (kg) by the squared height (meters). A low HGS index was defined if men had <10.1 and women <7.95 kg/m2. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The mean age of the study population was 60.75 ± 17 y, and 30% were classified with a low HGS index, 9.5% with an abnormal fluid distribution, and 29% with both. During the 36 mo of follow-up, 16.5% of the participants reached the endpoint. In men but not in women, coexistence of a low HGS index and abnormal fluid distribution were independently associated with all-cause mortality with a hazard ratio of 2.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.25-6.4; P=0.01). In men with heart failure, co-existence of a low HGS index and abnormal fluid distribution was independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Malnutrition is an independent risk factor for mortality in Mexican patients with systemic sclerosis: a cohort study.

Factors for mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc) vary in different cohorts around the world. Case-control study nested in a cohort. We included patients ≥16years of age with SSc (ACR/EULAR 2013), from 2005 to 2015. Demographic and clinical variables and causes of mortality were recorded. We calculated Crude Mortality Rate (CMR), Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR), and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed. A Cox proportional hazard (HR) regression analysis of the potential risk factors associated with mortality was also performed. A total of 220 patients with SSc were included. During follow-up, 28 deaths occurred. The sum of total time contributed by all subjects was 1074 years-person, the CMR was 12.72%, the overall SMR was 4.5, in women 3.7, and in men 4.7. The survival rate at 5 and 10years was 83 and 70%, respectively. The causes of death were definitively attributed to SSc in 21.4% of the cases, probably in 28.7%, unrelated in 35.6%, and unknown in 14.3%. The direct cause of death of the patients was infection in 25% of cases, cardiovascular disease in 14%, lung involvement in 14%, pulmonary embolism in 11%, and neoplasia in 11%. The Cox regression analysis showed that the factors associated with mortality were: male gender (HR 5.84, CI 95% 1.31-26, p=0.013), severe Medsger's score for general symptoms (HR 5.12, CI 95% 1.74-14.97, p=0.021) and severe malnutrition (HR 3.77, CI 95% 1.23-11.06, p=0.008). Infections, cardiovascular disease, and lung involvement were the leading cause of death. Male gender and severe general affection and malnutrition were associated with a poorer prognosis of SSc.

AB1074 Hospitalizations and Mortality in Mexican Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) or Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA)

BackgroundSurvival of rheumatic diseases has been improved over time.1 Prognosis and causes of death are different between races (Hispanic and African-American SLE patients have worse prognosis than others).2ObjectivesTo evaluate causes...

The Amount of Alcohol Consumption Negatively Impacts Short-Term Mortality in Mexican Patients With Alcoholic Hepatitis

Mexicans have an increased rate of alcohol abuse and alcoholic liver disease. Factors influencing the severity of alcoholic hepatitis (AH) in Mexicans are unknown. The aims of the present study were to identify the prognostic factors of short-term mortality in Mexican patients with AH and to validate the existing prognostic models. One hundred seventy-five consecutive patients with AH were recruited from four hospital centers in Mexico. Demographic, clinical, and biochemical parameters were obtained at admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used for the identification of prognostic factors. The accuracy of different models was evaluated by their area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and comparative risk analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Age, serum creatinine, serum bilirubin, leukocyte count, and alcohol consumption >120 g/day were independently associated with short-term mortality. The impact of alcohol consumption was significant among patients with severe AH (48 vs. 72% risk of death, P=0.03). The AUROC (95% confidence interval) curves for the different scores were Maddrey's discriminant function 0.79 (0.72-0.86); model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) 0.83 (0.75-0.89); Glasgow AH score 0.77 (0.70-0.84); and age-bilirubin-international normalized ratio-creatinine (ABIC) score 0.82 (0.75-0.88). The ABIC score allowed an accurate stratification into three different risk subgroups with 13%, 50%, and 81% mortality rate at 90 days (P<0.001). The amount of alcohol consumption has a negative impact on short-term mortality among Mexicans with AH. The ABIC score is useful and comparable with MELD score for the prognostic stratification of these patients.

Mortality in Mexican Patients with Chronic Pigeon Breeder's Lung Compared with Those with Usual Interstitial Pneumonia

The clinical course of chronic pigeon breeder's lung (CPBL) is unknown, especially in comparison with usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP). We studied a cohort of 125 consecutive patients with interstitial lung diseases, including 78 patients with CPBL (74 biopsied) and 47 patients with UIP in the lung biopsy. Patients with UIP were divided into 17 without bird exposure (UIP) and 30 with bird exposure (UIP + BE). All patients were treated with corticosteroids and followed for 33 +/- 23 months. The best predictors of mortality (Cox proportional hazards model) were age > 44 yr, with a relative risk (RR) of 2.5 and 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.4 to 4.7, masculine gender (RR 4.0, CI 2.1 to 7.6), x-ray honeycombing (RR 7.0, CI 3.8 to 12.7), and severity of fibrosis in the lung biopsy (RR 4.8, CI 2.3 to 9.7). Survival in CPBL 5 yr after diagnosis was 0.71 (SEM 0.08) and in UIP was 0.23 (SEM 0.08), with no statistical difference between UIP + BE and UIP. After adjusting for severity of fibrosis and honeycombing, however, the correlation of diagnosis with survival disappeared. In conclusion, mortality in CPBL is considerable, but lower than in UIP. Lung fibrosis and honeycombing seem to be a final common pathway for the ILD. Adjusting for them, the effect of diagnosis in survival is not significant.