Journal of Paramedic PracticeVol. 11, No. 12 CommentWill the winter of 2019/20 have unusually high service demand? Part 2: StrategyRodney P JonesRodney P JonesEmail for correspondence: E-mail Address: [email protected]Lecturer in Health Service Management, Coventry University; and Statistical Advisor, Healthcare Analysis & ForecastingSearch for more papers by this authorRodney P JonesPublished Online:13 Dec 2019https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.12.538AboutSectionsView articleView Full TextPDF/EPUB ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissions ShareShare onFacebookTwitterLinked InEmail View articleReferencesAustralian Government Department of Health. Australia influenza report and activity updates. 2019. https://tinyurl.com/uqaqjjk (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarCannell J, Zasloff M, Garland C, Scragg R, Giovannucci E. On the epidemiology of influenza. Virol J. 2008; 5:29. Crossref, Google ScholarOffice for National Statistics. Excess Winter Mortality in England and Wales, 2012/13 and 2011/12. 2013. https://tinyurl.com/rq9s26k (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarOffice for National Statistics. Deaths by single year of age tables - UK. 2018. https://tinyurl.com/r563lwo (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarOffice for National Statistics. Deaths registered by area of usual residence, UK. 2019a. https://tinyurl.com/jjvdtkk (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarOffice for National Statistics. Population projections including births, deaths and migration. 2019b. https://tinyurl.com/y93c8fdb (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarJones R. Year-to-year variation in deaths in English Output Areas (OA), and the interaction between a presumed infectious agent and influenza in 2015. SMU Med J. 2017; 4(2):37–69. https://tinyurl.com/yczo4pvf (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarJones R. The nearness to death effect and why NHS pressures are going to intensify. J Para Pract. 2019a; 11(1):28–30. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.1.28 Link, Google ScholarJones R. Ignorance isn't bliss: behind the unequal distribution of end-of-life demand. J Para Pract. 2019b; 11(2):77–79. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.2.77 Link, Google ScholarJones R. End-of-life demand is both highly volatile and shows unexpected trends. J Para Pract. 2019c;11(3):122–124. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.3.122 Link, Google ScholarJones R. NHS winter workload and on/off switching of deaths. J Para Pract. 2019d; 11(4):172–173. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.4.172 Link, Google ScholarJones R. A need for transparency and evidence-based discussion. J Para Pract. 2019e; 11(5):219–220. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.5.219 Link, Google ScholarJones R. Will the winter of 2019/2020 have unusually high service demand? Part 1: Lessons. Part 1. J Para Pract. 2019f; 11(11);492–494. https://doi.org/10.12968/jpar.2019.11.11.492 Link, Google ScholarJones R. Unexplained periods of higher deaths contribute to marginal changes in health care demand and health insurance costs: International perspectives. Int J Health Plan Manag. 2019g; 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1002/hpm.2917 Google ScholarSkog L, Linde A, Palmgren H et al.. Spatiotemporal characteristics of pandemic influenza. BMC Infect Dis. 2014; 14:378 Crossref, Google ScholarThistlethwaite P. Integrated health and social care in Torbay. 2011. https://tinyurl.com/vv22d9u (accessed 1 December 2019) Google ScholarWorld Health Organization. Systems thinking for health system strengthening. 2009. https://tinyurl.com/wq5ja3n (accessed 1 December 2019) Google Scholar FiguresReferencesRelatedDetails 2 December 2019Volume 11Issue 12ISSN (print): 1759-1376ISSN (online): 2041-9457 Metrics History Published online 13 December 2019 Published in print 2 December 2019 Information© MA Healthcare LimitedPDF download