The authors respond: With regard to our paper1 on the impact of paternal age on very preterm (<32 weeks’ gestation) and moderate preterm (32–36 weeks’ gestation) births, Helen Dolk2 wonders whether in our data, routinely collected from the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT), the reported parental age suffers from errors that possibly affect our results. We are happy to reply with regard to 1) data quality, 2) confounding effect of maternal age, and 3) reproducibility of our results. 1) Gross errors are routinely checked by ISTAT. Our analysis sample included only Italian babies; mothers from other countries, who may report less reliable information, were excluded. We also limited our analysis to babies, with both parents age 20+ years, and for whom complete information had been recorded. Thus, potential errors associated with maternity in single mothers or in teenagers are reduced. 2) We agree that, in case of misreported paternal age, the effect could be underestimated or, alternatively, it could be overestimated if, in couples with a large paternal–maternal age gap, older mothers are classified as young. Unfounded results could come from mothers age 30+ years, who because they underreport their own age, are registered in the age class of 20–24 years and thus inflate the effect of paternal age. Figure 1 shows that the risk of preterm births stays about the same for maternal age 20 to 24 years, increases slightly from 25 to 29 years, and increases rapidly only from 30 years onward. Although we cannot exclude maternal age underclassification, it is unlikely that this would account for more than a 5-year error in a large number of couples.FIGURE 1.: Very preterm (<32 weeks’ gestation) and moderate preterm (32–36 weeks’ gestation) births by maternal age in Italy, 1990–1998.Furthermore, most of the maternal-age effect was removed by limiting maternal age to 20–24 and 25–29 years and by adjustment for the intraclass effect of maternal age in single years.1 3) The opportunity to analyze the 1971–1979 and 1982–1989 data sets allows us to confirm our findings on the 1990–1998 data.1 We find that, for these years, as well, among mothers age 20–24 years, a wide paternal–maternal age gap increases the risk of preterm births (Table 1). The odds ratios (and associated 95% confidence intervals) estimated through logistic regression models, adjusted for education, year, and sex, confirm a stronger effect on very preterm than on moderate preterm births.TABLE 1: Association of Very Preterm (<32 Weeks’ Gestation) and Moderate Preterm (32–36 Weeks’ Gestation) Births With Paternal Age, in Mothers of 20–24 Years, in Italy, 1971–1979 and 1982–1989Adverse socioeconomic conditions in “resourceless” young mothers, with little education, and old fathers are likely responsible of the patterns. However, these findings of an effect persisting over time support a potential role of spontaneous or induced genetic mutations as well. Paola Astolfi Department of Genetics and Microbiology, A. Buzzati-Traverso, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy, [email protected] Antonio De Pasquale Laura A. Zonta
Read full abstract