Model Of Labor Force Participation Research Articles

Job Market Prospects of Breast vs. Prostate Cancer Survivors in the US: A Double Hurdle Model of Ethnic Disparities

Labor market presence of cancer survivors has been significantly improved as medical technology revolutionized cancer-specific diagnoses and treatments. However, less understood are post-cancer variations in job market outcomes of racial and ethnic minorities in the US. Using a theoretical framework derived from family labor supply decision models and taking advantage of the rich data in the 2008–2014 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), this study employs a double-hurdle empirical model of labor force participation and hours worked to evaluate the employment decisions of Black and Hispanic cancer survivors. Hispanic and Black breast cancer survivors were less likely to be employed by 4% and 7.5%, respectively, when compared with Whites. Black prostate cancer survivors were 8% less likely to work than Whites, with nonsignificant differences between Hispanic and White prostate cancer survivors. Once employed, Black and Hispanic breast cancer survivors worked an extra 4 and 6 h than Whites, while Hispanic prostate cancer survivors worked 5 fewer weekly hours than Whites. In addition, our estimates indicate the significance of job types in labor market outcomes post-cancer. Employment of minorities in blue collar or service occupations decreased employment hours of survivors. Labor market disparities for minorities amplifies the socio-economic and familial burden of cancers. This timely work motivates informed public policy to reduce unexamined consequences of chronic conditions among minorities.

An Alternative Approach for Identifying a Hidden Immigrant Population

We propose an alternative method for identifying undocumented immigrants in public use household data. Our approach departs from the commonly used likely unauthorized (LU) method in that we do not resort to classifying individuals on the basis of their specific geographic origin. We instead consider health insurance status of different family members coupled with the Affordable Care Act insurance mandates, referring to this strategy for sorting individuals by documentation status as the Affordable Care Mandate (ACM) approach. The LU method is generally limited to identifying individuals originating from Latin America. By contrast, the ACM approach enables us to identify individuals who are apparently undocumented and originate from all regions of the world. We also compare our results to the Reconstructed Pew Algorithm (RPA). The RPA is not limited in terms of which adults it can classify, but it does involve making a larger number of judgment calls with respect to the final design of the algorithm. The ACM has its limits in that it can only be applied to individuals who have US-born children who currently reside in the household. Using the 2015–2017 March Supplements to the CPS, we test the ACM against the LU and RPA approaches by estimating simple models of labor force participation and fertility by presumed legal status. Using the alternative methods, we obtain similar, though not identical, results and argue that the ACM approach holds promise for studying the behavior of undocumented immigrants that does not resort to ethnic profiling and uses fewer judgment calls.

A Cohort-Based Analysis of Labor Force Participation for Advanced Economies

Advanced economies are in the midst of a major demographic transition, with the number of elderly rising precipitously relative to the working-age population. Yet, despite the acceleration in demographic shifts in the past decade, advanced economies experienced markedly different trajectories in overall labor force participation rates and the workforce attachment of men and women. Using a cohort-based model of labor force participation for 17 advanced economies estimated over the 1985-2016 period, we document a significant role of common patterns of participation over the life cycle and shifts in these patterns across generations for aggregate labor supply, especially in the case of women. The entry of new cohorts of women led to upward shifts in the age participation pro le, boosting aggregate participation rates. However, this process plateaued in most advanced economies, with signs of reversal in some. Using the model's results to forecast future participation trends, we project sizable declines in aggregate participation rates over the next three decades due to the aging of the population. Illustrative simulations show that implementing policies encouraging labor supply can help attenuate but may not fully offset demographic pressures.

Examining the Timing of Women's Retirement in Urban China: A Discrete Time Hazard Rate Approach.

In spite of phenomenal wage growth in recent decades, female labor force participation in urban China has experienced a notable and puzzling decline, particularly so for women aged 40 and above. Concerns about women's status motivate an inquiry into the reasons behind the sharp drop, and consideration of how this decline may bear on their welfare. This paper estimates a probit model of labor force participation and a discrete time hazard rate model of retirement and non-retirement labor force withdrawals among urban married women aged 40 to 51. The analysis uses data from a multi-province panel data set covering the interval from 1991 to 2011. The results inform policy discussions about pension system reform in the face of population aging and declining labor supply. In addition, recommendations are offered for policy measures that would increase women's labor force attachment, even as they approach their retirement horizon.

Dynamics of female labour force participation in France

ABSTRACTThis article formulates and estimates a structural intertemporal model of labour force participation. Relying on theoretical characterizations derived from an economic model of lifetime behaviour, we estimate a dynamic probit model with correlated random effects using longitudinal data to allow for a dynamic structure. The model is applied to a panel of married women drawn from the 1997–2002 French Labour Force surveys in order to represent their participation behaviour. It is estimated by maximum simulated likelihood. Our results show that women’s decisions to go out to work are characterized by significant state dependence, unobserved heterogeneity and negative serial correlation in the transitory error component. In addition, we find that the presence of young children in a woman’s household reduces her labour participation, but unequally according to their age and number. As expected, educational level has a positive impact on women’s participation. Last, a rise in the husband’s wage is found to raise female participation initially and to lower it subsequently. This empirical finding suggests that leisure may not systematically be a normal good, contrary to what is frequently assumed in the literature.

Static Model of Labour Force Participation: Survey of Married Women in Zimbabwe

The study sought to ascertain and measure the determinants of labour force participation of married women in Zimbabwe. The focus was on the activeness of married women in paid, permanent work. The study utilized and collected data from a sample of 514 married women from varying socio-economic backgrounds. A binomial logit model was implemented as the regression model to test the probability of labour market participation by the target group. The results showed that age, education attainment, work experience, geographical location, religious denomination and the amount of non-labour income earned were significant determinants of the decision to work by married women. It was noted conclusively that none of the factors above influenced LFP strongly enough to warrant the low levels of formally and permanently employed married women. It was suggested that economy-wide policies to improve general employment levels be implemented. DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n23p406

Outsourcing Household Production: Foreign Domestic Workers and Native Labor Supply in Hong Kong

We explore how the availability of affordable live-in help provided by foreign domestic workers (FDWs) in Hong Kong affected native women’s labor supply and welfare. First, we exploit differences in the FDW program between Hong Kong and Taiwan. Second, we use cross-sectional variation in the cost of a FDW to estimate a model of labor force participation and FDW hire. FDWs increased the participation of mothers with a young child (relative to older children) by 10–14 percentage points and have generated a monthly consumer surplus of US$130–US$200. By reducing child care costs through immigration, this is a market-based alternative to child care subsidies.

Identification and estimation of nonlinear dynamic panel data models with unobserved covariates

This paper considers nonparametric identification of nonlinear dynamic models for panel data with unobserved covariates. Including such unobserved covariates may control for both the individual-specific unobserved heterogeneity and the endogeneity of the explanatory variables. Without specifying the distribution of the initial condition with the unobserved variables, we show that the models are nonparametrically identified from two periods of the dependent variable Yit and three periods of the covariate Xit. The main identifying assumptions include high-level injectivity restrictions and require that the evolution of the observed covariates depends on the unobserved covariates but not on the lagged dependent variable. We also propose a sieve maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and focus on two classes of nonlinear dynamic panel data models, i.e., dynamic discrete choice models and dynamic censored models. We present the asymptotic properties of the sieve MLE and investigate the finite sample properties of these sieve-based estimators through a Monte Carlo study. An intertemporal female labor force participation model is estimated as an empirical illustration using a sample from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID).

THE EFFECTS OF THE 1978 PREGNANCY DISCRIMINATION ACT ON FEMALE LABOR SUPPLY*

This article analyzes the effects of the 1978 Pregnancy Discrimination Act (PDA) on the labor force participation rates of married women by estimating a dynamic model of labor force participation. Results show that the PDA increased the labor force participation rate of pregnant women by 8.2 percentage points, of women with a child less than one year old by 3.4 percentage points, and of women with older children by 1.5 percentage points. Counterfactual policy simulations show that the provision of unpaid leave will increase the labor force participation rate of women with older children by an additional 3.7 percentage points.

How Does Human Capital Formation Affect Labour Force Participation in Pakistan? A Primary Data Analysis

Human Capital Formation is considered as main source of labor force participation and employment and raises economic growth and development. The major purpose of the present study is to trace out the human capital related factors which determine employment in Pakistan. The study is based on purely primary source of data, which is collected by the authors by employing multistage cluster sampling techniques. Binomial Logit regression technique is used to estimate the parameters of labor force participation model. The study concludes that the completed years of education, experience, various level of education, health status of workers significantly influenced the labor force participation and employment. In addition, it is observed that some socio economic factors like house holds’ assets, spouse participation in economic activities and number of dependents also significantly affect the employment. Therefore, it is suggested that the government should provide education and health facilities without any discrimination for all. Key words: Labor force; Human Capital; Health status; Workers’ level of education; Logistic regression; Pakistan

Forecasting Labor Force Participation and Economic Resources of the Early Baby Boomers

This paper forecasts the retirement patterns and resources of the Early Baby Boomers by estimating forward-looking dynamic models of labor force participation, wealth accumulation and pension and Social Security benefit claiming for older workers using seven waves of HRS-data. The two most important innovations of our proposed approach are the use of alternative measures of pension entitlements and the associated incentives, and accounting for subjective expectations about future work. Our main findings are that the Early Baby Boomers will work longer and claim Social Security later.

A Cohort-Based Model of Labor Force Participation

The probability that an individual participates in the labor force declines precipitously beyond age 50. This feature of labor supply suggests that ongoing shifts in the age distribution of the population will put substantial downward pressure on the aggregate labor force participation rate. However, the aggregate rate is also influenced by trends within age groups. Neglecting to model both within-group influences and shifting population shares will doom any estimate of aggregate labor supply. We develop a model that identifies birth cohorts' propensities to participate, uses these propensities to derive age-specific trends in participation rates, and explicitly incorporates the influence of shifting population shares in estimating aggregate labor force participation.

A Cohort-Based Model of Labor Force Participation

The probability that an individual participates in the labor force declines precipitously beyond age 50. This feature of labor supply suggests that ongoing shifts in the age distribution of the population will put substantial downward pressure on the aggregate labor force participation rate. However, the aggregate rate is also influenced by trends within age groups. Neglecting to model both within-group influences and shifting population shares will doom any estimate of aggregate labor supply. We develop a model that identifies birth cohorts' propensities to participate, uses these propensities to derive age-specific trends in participation rates, and explicitly incorporates the influence of shifting population shares in estimating aggregate labor force participation.

Smoothed binary regression quantiles

AbstractThis paper extends results regarding smoothed median binary regression to general smoothed binary quantile regression, discusses the interpretation of the resulting estimators under alternative assumptions, and shows how they may be used to obtain semiparametric estimates of counterfactual probabilities. The estimators are applied to a model of labour force participation of married women in the USA. We find that the elasticity with respect to non‐labour income is significantly negative only for women that belong to the middle of the conditional willingness‐to‐participate (WTP) distribution. In comparing the quantile models with parametric logit and semiparametric single‐index specifications, we find that the models agree closely for women around the centre of the WTP distribution, but there are considerable disagreements as we move towards the tails of the distribution. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

How did divorced women fare in the 1990s?: Analysis of work and hourly earnings

This paper presents evidence of changes in employment and real wages in the population of divorced single women during the 1990s. Using data from the U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS) for 1989 and 1999, the paper estimates multivariate models of labor force participation and hourly wages for each year. Differences between years in employment and wages are decomposed into portions attributable to changes in measured characteristics and changes in coefficients of the models. Estimates indicate that full time employment remained virtually unchanged during the decade, and real wages increased by less than 2%. Decomposition of the regression models shows that measured characteristics in this population changed in a direction that would have lead to higher wage growth, but those changes were offset by changes in the model’s coefficients. The result is that earnings experienced only modest growth. In the labor force participation model, changes in measured characteristics worked in the direction of a modest decrease in full time employment, but again coefficient changes provided an offsetting effect.

How did divorced women fare in the 1990s?Analysis of work and hourly earnings

This paper presents evidence of changes in employment and real wages in the population of divorced single women during the 1990s. Using data from the U.S. Current Population Survey (CPS) for 1989 and 1999, the paper estimates multivariate models of labor force participation and hourly wages for each year. Differences between years in employment and wages are decomposed into portions attributable to changes in measured characteristics and changes in coefficients of the models. Estimates indicate that full time employment remained virtually unchanged during the decade, and real wages increased by less than 2%. Decomposition of the regression models shows that measured characteristics in this population changed in a direction that would have lead to higher wage growth, but those changes were offset by changes in the model’s coefficients. The result is that earnings experienced only modest growth. In the labor force participation model, changes in measured characteristics worked in the direction of a modest decrease in full time employment, but again coefficient changes provided an offsetting effect.

Une analyse de la participation des couples a la force de travail

Cet article explore les effets sur l'emploi de differentes mesures de politique publique (allocation parentale d'education, prime pour l'emploi, allegements de cotisations sociales sur les bas salaires notamment). Les simulations reposent sur un modele unitaire de participation a la force de travail pour les couples. Ce modele permet d'endogeneiser les decisions de participation des deux conjoints. L'estimation prend en compte l'inobservabilite des salaires des personnes sans emploi et la censure a gauche due au salaire minimum. Des mesures des elasticites de participation (directes et croisees) par rapport aux ressources nettes du menage et au cout du travail de chaque conjoint sont presentees.

Cross‐National Variation in the Labour Market Participation of Married Women in Australia, Canada and the United States of America

This study examines cross‐national variation in the labour force participation of married women in Australia, Canada and the USA. Initially, a basic model of labour force participation is presented using data from the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS). In addition two applications of the estimates follow: a simulation and a decomposition of the differential. The results of these applications confirm that variation in the probability of participation for married women can be explained by both country‐specific characteristics and the differences in the responses to those characteristics.

‘Trailing Wife’ or ‘Trailing Mother’? The Effect of Parental Status on the Relationship between Family Migration and the Labor-Market Participation of Married Women

Numerous studies demonstrate that married women sacrifice their own careers in order to support their husbands' careers by following them as tied migrants, largely independent of their own occupational status. Thus, it appears as if family migration is shaped by the dominant gender roles and gender identities which configure the lives of women and men in married couple families. The motivation for this paper stems from a concern that family migration research has failed to consider that the effects of family migration on the labor-market participation of married women may be contingent on parental status. This research is designed to uncover the individual and joint effects of migration and parental status on married women's labor-market participation. The approach taken in this research is to begin with a very specific type of married couple family—married couple families without children—and to trace how the birth of the first child and migration events independently and jointly determine women's labor-market participation over a 5-year time span. The data for the analysis are drawn from the 1987 through 1992 Family File of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Random effects probit models of labor-force participation and employment indicate a small, short-lived, impact of migration on the employment of married women without children—but for married women with children the negative effects of family migration on both labor force participation and employment are large and endure for many years.

Cost of living and labor force participation: Married women in urban labor markets

I present and test the hypothesis that the cost of living (COL) positively influences the labor force participation (LFP) of married women. Based on housing values and regional variables, I first predict COL for a sample of 150 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) using a smaller subsample for which geographically comparable family budget data are available for 1980. Results from estimating a logistic LFP model using census MSA data confirm my hypothesis and suggest that COL embodies locality-specific amenities rather than “pure” prices.