Traffic Flow Prediction Model Research Articles

Federated Learning-Based Traffic Flow Prediction Model in Intelligent Transportation Systems

The existing Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) achieves high success. As an essential component of ITS, Traffic Flow Prediction (TFP) has attracted tremendous attention. It is a critical but challenging task to improve the robust convergence and high accuracy of TFP in real-world scenarios. This study presents an optimized Federated Learning (FL)-based ChebNet model, FedproxChebNet, to realize the highly effective and accurate TFP. By selecting the best penalty constant in the proximal term to optimize the objective function, this model can achieve fast and stable convergence. Using the ChebNet model to aggregate neighbor nodes’ characteristics, more hidden information underlying the spatio-temporal traffic data can be taken into consideration for training the global and local models. All the superiority of the FedproxChebNet model makes it outperform other FL models with the Graph Convolutional Network (GCN), Graph Attention Network (GAT) and Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN). We designed a series of experiments on various FL-based GNN model comparisons, parameter sensitivity tests, and on verifying the performance of FedproxChebNet with different heterogeneous systems with [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. Based on four real-world data sets from the cognitive network, the experimental results demonstrate that the presented FedproxChebNet provides the best convergence and the highest accuracy in TFP, and achieves the best performance in a highly heterogeneous system ([Formula: see text]). Specifically, the accuracy of FedproxChebNet is at least improved by [Formula: see text] on PeMS07 than other FL-based GNN models. This proposed FedproxChebNet model may be preferable for different scenarios in ITS such as route planning, traffic congestion control and reversible lanes.

An Artificial Neural Network Model for Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction in Two Lane Highway in Khulna Metropolitan City, Bangladesh

Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the most significant research topics in traffic engineering. It is instrumental in designing a more modern transport network to manage traffic signals and reduce congestion. Short-term traffic flow is a challenge that a third-world country like Bangladesh is all too familiar with. Like the other cities of Bangladesh, Khulna Metropolitan City is gradually becoming more aware of this situation. The Khulna-Jashore National Highway (N-7), which runs through the city and provides a linear shape, serves as the backbone of the Khulna Metropolitan City traffic flow. This study developed an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model for the short-term Traffic Flow Prediction on Two-Lane Highway in Khulna Metropolitan City, Bangladesh. Data was collected from March 1, 2021, through June 30, 2021, during 600–900 hours and 1200–1500 hours. Good-quality electronic cameras recorded the vehicles at the full designated length. The regression graphs displayed the network outputs with targets for the training, validation, and test sets. The various speed level parameters for which the fit is reasonable for all data sets, with R values of 0.98426 in each case. The various traffic volume parameters for which the fit is reasonable for all data sets, with R values of 0.96758 in each case. The model's superiority is indicated by its low mean squared error values. This study demonstrated that the neural network has a good prediction effect on specific road traffic flow, which can achieve the goal of short-term prediction and has improved practicability through testing on real traffic data. This study provides an opportunity to provide a suitable alternative for short-term traffic flow forecasting in Khulna Metropolitan City with traffic flow conditions for two-lane undivided highways.

Research on Smart City Road Network Capacity Optimization Configuration Based on Deep Learning Algorithms

At present, the urban traffic system is faced with the problems of congestion and low efficiency, and the traditional methods have certain limitations when dealing with the complex urban road network. This paper aims to explore a new method of capacity Optimization of Road Networks in a Smart City environment and proposes a method based on a Graph Neural network, named “Smart City Road optimization Graph Neural Network” (SCRO-GNN). SCRO-GNN first collects and preprocesses multi-source data, including road network data, traffic flow, accident records, environmental factors, etc. The key node and edge features, including the number of lanes at the intersection, the traffic flow of the section, and the adjacency matrix of the road network are defined to characterize the structure of the road network. Then, the graph neural network model is constructed and trained to predict the traffic flow of different sections and evaluate the road capacity by using the graph structure of the road network. This paper tests the performance of SCRO-GNN on real road networks in multiple cities. The results show that, compared with the traditional traffic flow prediction model, SCRO-GNN can significantly improve the prediction accuracy, especially when dealing with the highly complex urban road network structure. Based on these predictions, the proposed optimization strategy performed well in reducing traffic congestion and improving the efficiency of road use. The research in this paper not only demonstrates the potential of graph neural networks in smart city road network optimization, but also provides a new direction for future traffic system research. The successful implementation of the SCRO-GNN approach is expected to provide more efficient and intelligent solutions for urban traffic management and planning.

Deep spatial-temporal information fusion dynamic graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction

Abstract Predicting traffic flow is vital for advancing intelligent transportation systems, but achieving precise forecasts remains challenging. To deeply explore the complex and diverse dynamic spatio-temporal correlation of traffic data, this study proposes a multi-information fusion spatio-temporal dynamic graph convolution model for traffic flow prediction. In the model construction, firstly, a dynamic graph generation module is designed to fully capture the complex spatial correlation of the traffic network and model the changing spatio-temporal interaction; secondly, the spatial self-attention mechanism is used to dynamically focus on the spatial relationship between different nodes, and combined with the dynamic graph convolution network to extract the spatial dynamic correlation features of the road network to study deep spatiotemporal information; Finally, existing models rarely consider other traffic information related to traffic flow, and a spatiotemporal information fusion module is designed to enhance the ability of the model to perceive information, thereby improving the performance of traffic flow prediction models. Experiments are conducted on four real traffic datasets using three performance evaluation metrics and 18 baseline models. The results show that the model has higher prediction accuracy.

MODELS FOR REAL-TIME TRAFFIC FLOW MANAGEABILITY AND DECISION-MAKING IN INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

This article explores models in Intelligent Transportation Systems for real-time traffic flow manageability, focusing on decision-making processes. It covers forecasting, planning, implementing, and controlling strategies to manage traffic flow and ease congestion. Traffic flow prediction models, like dynamic route guidance and traffic flow prediction, utilize historical data and real-time inputs for proactive decision-making. Traffic flow planning models, such as dynamic route guidance index and route efficiency factor, aid in route selection and signal timing optimization. In order to streamline the boundless complexity, the authors assume that it is effective to delineate the managerial capacity paradigm of intelligent transportation systems into the two separate scenarios of “stable and known situation” and “unstable and with large uncertainty situation”. The article proposes a hypothesis to improve the decision-making process in traffic flow. The distinction between these two situations is essential for the smooth running of the business and requires a thorough understanding of the traffic flow in real time, making decisions in intelligent transport systems in order to direct the traffic. The article focuses on data-driven decisions for smoother traffic flow.

LGTCN: A Spatial–Temporal Traffic Flow Prediction Model Based on Local–Global Feature Fusion Temporal Convolutional Network

High-precision traffic flow prediction facilitates intelligent traffic control and refined management decisions. Previous research has built a variety of exquisite models with good prediction results. However, they ignore the reality that traffic flows can propagate backwards on road networks when modeling spatial relationships, as well as associations between distant nodes. In addition, more effective model components for modeling temporal relationships remain to be developed. To address the above challenges, we propose a local–global features fusion temporal convolutional network (LGTCN) for spatio-temporal traffic flow prediction, which incorporates a bidirectional graph convolutional network, probabilistic sparse self-attention, and a multichannel temporal convolutional network. To extract the bidirectional propagation relationship of traffic flow on the road network, we improve the traditional graph convolutional network so that information can be propagated in multiple directions. In addition, in spatial global dimensions, we propose probabilistic sparse self-attention to effectively perceive global data correlations and reduce the computational complexity caused by the finite perspective graph. Furthermore, we develop a multichannel temporal convolutional network. It not only retains the temporal learning capability of temporal convolutional networks, but also corresponds each channel to a node, and it realizes the interaction of node features through output interoperation. Extensive experiments on four open access benchmark traffic flow datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our model.

Application of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction based on time-series data

Application of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction based on time-series data

Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction Based on KELM Optimized By Improved Slime Mould Algorithm

Traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in improving transportation efficiency and enhancing Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). However, the temporal, spatial, and nonlinear nature of traffic flow data presents challenges for accurate short-term prediction. We propose a short-term traffic flow prediction model based on Kernel Extreme Learning Machine (KELM) optimized by the improved Slime Mould Algorithm (SMA). KELM is an improved version of Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) that incorporates kernel functions for improved generalization and stability. SMA is a meta-heuristic algorithm inspired by the behavior of slime mould in foraging, known for its strong global searching ability. For better performance, three strategies are introduced: the Good Point Set method for optimizing the initial population, the combination of Opposition Based Learning (OBL) and Differential Evolution (DE) to improve the slime mould generation mechanism, and the use of adaptive t distribution mutation to enhance convergence speed. After comparing the performance of these improved SMAs on twelve test functions, the ISMA improved by integrating three strategies as mentioned above is best. Then the ISMA is applied to search for the optimal parameters of KELM model. Finally, the optimized KELM with optimal parameters is applied to predict the short-term traffic flow on given traffic data set. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model, KELM optimized by ISMA namely ISMA-KELM, outperforms existing models such as Random Forest (RF), Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), KELM optimized by Tuna Swarm Optimization Algorithm (TSO-KELM), and KELM optimized by SMA (SMA-KELM) in terms of traffic flow prediction accuracy. The proposed model ISMA-KELM provides a promising approach for addressing the challenges of traffic flow prediction, offering improved accuracy and efficiency in real-time traffic management systems.

Research and Application of Traffic Flow Prediction in Chengdu City Based on Neural Network Algorithms

As urban traffic systems increase in complexity, accurately predicting traffic flow has become a critical task in traffic management and planning. This paper employs neural network technologies, specifically Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), to develop a traffic flow prediction model for Chengdu that incorporates spatio-temporal characteristics. Through empirical analysis, the model demonstrates high accuracy and good generalization capability, effectively predicting and analyzing traffic flow at different times and regions. Additionally, this study explores the application of the prediction model in traffic law regulation and policy formulation, providing data support and scientific basis for advancing smarter traffic systems.

A Novel Confined Attention Mechanism Driven Bi-GRU Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

A Novel Confined Attention Mechanism Driven Bi-GRU Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

Secure and Efficient Continuous Learning Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

Secure and Efficient Continuous Learning Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

A Review of Traffic Flow Prediction Models in 5G Using Machine Learning Techniques

Abstract: Wireless technology has advanced significantly since its origin and is now an essential aspect of our daily life. The advancement of wireless communication from the first generation (1G) to the fifth generation (5G) of technology has been revolutionary. An extensive summary of the development of wireless communication from 1G to 5G has been given in this paper. Cellular networks are heading towards becoming more diverse, broadband, integrated, and intelligent networks with the introduction of 5G networks. The goals of 5G wireless technology are to provide more users with more consistent user experiences, ultralow latency, vast network capacity, faster multi-Gbps peak data speeds and increased reliability. While the resources needed for computation and communication are also growing with the maturity of 5G technology .At the same time, cellular traffic has increased dramatically due to the widespread use of smart devices. Cellular traffic prediction is a crucial component of the resource management system for cellular networks but it confronts many difficulties due to strict standards for accuracy and dependability. Among the most important issues is how to enhance the predictive performance of Mobile data traffic. This review describes the need of traffic forecasting in cellular network in 5G technology. A study of different models for network analysis and traffic prediction by different researchers is presented in this paper. The distinctiveness and guidelines of earlier research for traffic prediction in 5G are examined. To determine the distinctive qualities of each method used for traffic prediction in mobile network, a thorough analysis of the most popular techniques using Machine learning for predictive analysis are discussed.

Survey of short-term traffic flow prediction based on LSTM

Short-time traffic flow prediction can not only help urban traffic management to complete the control and induce but also reduce the degree of urban congestion and improve the efficiency of urban operation. At the same time, improving the effect of short-time traffic flow prediction is one of the key points of traffic control and guidance development. Currently, there are many different models for short-term traffic flow prediction, and different prediction models have their different advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we review the current status of research on short-time traffic flow prediction based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network: first, we analyze the research method in this paper; second, we briefly review the research and application effects of common prediction methods in traffic flow prediction; finally, the optimization method based on LSTM and its application effect are summarized and analyzed from the aspect of LSTM network and its combination model. In addition, short-time traffic flow prediction still faces challenges due to the problems of the data itself and the complexity of real-world traffic flow impact factors.

A multi-factor combined traffic flow prediction model with secondary decomposition and improved entropy weight method

Traffic flow (TF) prediction is vital in traffic systems. Aiming at the effect of noise on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), an improved CEEMDAN based on amplitude-aware permutation entropy (AAPE), named ICEEMDAN, is proposed. Aiming at the parameter selection problems on variational mode decomposition (VMD), VMD improved by pelican optimization algorithm (POA) is proposed, called PVMD. Aiming at the parameter selection problems of bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) and kernel extreme learning machine (KELM), BiLSTM improved by sea-horse optimizer (SHO), named SHOBiLSTM, and KELM improved by nutcracker optimizer algorithm (NOA), named NOAKELM are proposed, respectively. Since the chaotic characteristics of TF, multi-factor combined TF prediction model with ICEEMDAN, PVMD, SHOBiLSTM, NOAKELM, improved entropy weight method is proposed. First, use ICEEMDAN to decompose TF and get intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Second, refined composite multiscale dispersion entropy (RCMDE) is used to divide IMFs into the fuzzy and detail components, fuzzy components are secondarily decomposed by PVMD, IMFs and factors are multi-factor predicted by SHOBiLSTM and NOAKELM. Finally, improved entropy weight method is proposed to weight SHOBiLSTM and NOAKELM results. TF of the UK highway proves the superiority. Experiments indicate that the proposed model is better than other nine models with RMSE, MAE, MAPE and R2 of 29.5868, 22.0431, 0.0701 and 0.9947 for TF I. The outcomes suggest this proposed model precedes nine models at 99% confidence level, providing data basis and theoretical for travel plans and traffic system.

ST-D3DDARN: Urban traffic flow prediction based on spatio-temporal decoupled 3D DenseNet with attention ResNet.

Urban traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS), which can enhance traffic efficiency and ensure public safety. However, predicting urban traffic flow faces numerous challenges, such as intricate temporal dependencies, spatial correlations, and the influence of external factors. Existing research methods cannot fully capture the complex spatio-temporal dependence of traffic flow. Inspired by video analysis in computer vision, we represent traffic flow as traffic frames and propose an end-to-end urban traffic flow prediction model named Spatio-temporal Decoupled 3D DenseNet with Attention ResNet (ST-D3DDARN). Specifically, this model extracts multi-source traffic flow features through closeness, period, trend, and external factor branches. Subsequently, it dynamically establishes global spatio-temporal correlations by integrating spatial self-attention and coordinate attention in a residual network, accurately predicting the inflow and outflow of traffic throughout the city. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the ST-D3DDARN model, experiments are carried out on two publicly available real-world datasets. The results indicate that ST-D3DDARN outperforms existing models in terms of single-step prediction, multi-step prediction, and efficiency.

Short-term traffic flow prediction based on hybrid decomposition optimization and deep extreme learning machine

Precise and robust short-term traffic flow forecasting is vital to reduce carbon emissions and alleviate traffic congestion. However, developing a traffic flow prediction model that is both precise and robust is exceedingly difficult, owing to the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of traffic flow. This study proposes a novel hybrid model (CPQDELM) in pursuit of this objective. This model attains satisfactory prediction performance by integrating the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), permutation entropy (PE), dung beetle optimization algorithm based on quantum inspiration and multistrategy improvement(QMDBO), and deep extreme learning machine (DELM). The proposed model employs CEEMDAN and PE for data decomposition and reorganization and then uses the QMDBO algorithm to optimize the DELM parameters. Experiments are conducted in this study to validate the efficacy of the QMDBO algorithm and the CPQDELM hybrid model, respectively. First, the effectiveness of the improvement strategy proposed in this study is verified by comparing the proposed QMDBO algorithm with six other algorithms through experiments on the CEC2021 test function. Secondly, using two real-world datasets, comparing the CPQDELM hybrid model and twelve baseline models. The results indicate that the model proposed in this study performs better than the current methodologies. The RMSE, MAE, and MAPE of the model proposed in this study are all decreased by 27.24 %, 25.97 %, and 33.56 %, respectively, when compared to the conventional DELM, using the S321k51 dataset of mountain scenic highway as an example.

Immediate traffic flow monitoring and management based on multimodal data in cloud computing

This study uses cloud computing platform to process multi-modal data, and constructs a traffic flow prediction model based on LSTM neural network by integrating data from multiple dimensions such as traffic flow, occupancy and speed. In the process of model construction, we fully consider the hourly characteristics and hysteresis characteristics, and carry out fine scaling and splitting of the data to improve the accuracy and generalization ability of the model. The experimental results show that our model outperforms the baseline on both the training set and the test set, which verifies its effectiveness in traffic flow prediction. By keeping our models in a cloud environment, we provide reliable tools and support for future real-time data analysis and traffic management decisions. This study provides an important reference for the development of traffic management system based on cloud computing, and also provides new ideas and methods for other fields to solve practical problems by using multi-modal data.

STBGRN: A Traffic Prediction Model Based on Spatiotemporal Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Units and Graph Convolutional Residual Networks

With the development of society and the advancement of urbanization, the development of intelligent transportation system has attracted much attention. Efficient and accurate traffic flow prediction is one of the core tasks in the research of intelligent transportation system. Most of the existing spatiotemporal traffic flow prediction models do not make full use of various periodic spatiotemporal dynamic characteristics of traffic flow, and it is difficult to effectively capture the complex spatiotemporal changes of traffic flow. To accurately predict the traffic flow of complex urban network, this paper proposes a traffic prediction model (STBGRN) based on spatiotemporal bidirectional gated cycle unit (ST-BiGRU) and graph convolution residual network (GCN-ResNet). The spatiotemporal information in traffic data is learned using the spatiotemporal bidirectional GRU coupled with the forward and backward information of the current time step, and the topology structure of the traffic network is captured by the graph convolution residual network, which is combined to complete the prediction task of the urban traffic network. In this paper, STBGRN was tested on two real data sets, SZ-taxi and Los-loop, and compared with other baseline methods, the RMSE index reached 3.857 and 5.461, and the MAE index reached 2.702 and 3.781, respectively. Accuracy index is 72.66% and 91.35%, R2\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$${R}^{2}$$\\end{document} index is 0.858 and 0.845, var index is 0.858 and 0.849. The experimental results show that STBGRN model can obtain spatiotemporal dependence from complex traffic data, and can be used in spatiotemporal traffic data processing.

A self-attention dynamic graph convolution network model for traffic flow prediction

A self-attention dynamic graph convolution network model for traffic flow prediction

Short-Term Air Traffic Flow Prediction Based on CEEMD-LSTM of Bayesian Optimization and Differential Processing

With the rapid development of China’s civil aviation, the flow of air traffic in terminal areas is also increasing. Short-term air traffic flow prediction is of great significance for the accurate implementation of air traffic flow management. To enhance the accuracy of short-term air traffic flow prediction, this paper proposes a short-term air traffic flow prediction model based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) of the Bayesian optimization algorithm and data differential processing. Initially, the model performs CEEMD on the short-term air traffic flow series. Subsequently, to improve prediction accuracy, the data differencing is employed to stabilize the time series. Finally, the smoothed sequences are, respectively, input into the LSTM network model optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm for prediction. After data reconstruction, the final short-term flow prediction result is obtained. The model proposed in this paper is verified by using the data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport. The results show that the evaluation indexes of the prediction accuracy and fitting degree of the model, RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), and R2 (Coefficient of Determination), are 0.336, 0.239, and 97.535%, respectively. Compared to other classical time-series prediction models, the prediction accuracy is greatly improved, which can provide a useful reference for short-term air traffic flow prediction.