Meta-analysis Model Research Articles

Effects of exercise on depression and anxiety in postmenopausal women: a pairwise and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BackgroundExercise has been identified as a promising non-pharmacological therapy for the management of depression, but there is still controversy over which type is most effective. We aimed to compare and rank the types of exercise that improve depression in postmenopausal women by quantifying information from randomized controlled trials (RCTs).MethodsThe PubMed, Web of Science, SPORTDiscus, CNKI, The Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, EMBASE, and CINAHL Plus databases were searched to identify articles published from inception to 1 March 2024 reporting RCTs that examined the effectiveness of exercise on depression in postmenopausal women. The risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for RCTs. The quality of the evidence for each comparison was graded using the online confidence in network meta-analysis tool (CINeMA). Standardized mean differences (SMDs) were calculated using the mean and standard deviation of pre-to-post intervention changes and then pooled using a random effects model in a pairwise meta-analysis using Review Manager 5.4. Then, a frequentist network meta-analysis was conducted using a random effects model was conducted to evaluate the efficacy of different exercise types using the network package of Stata 15.ResultsThis study included 26 studies involving 2,170 participants. The pairwise meta-analysis revealed that exercise had a significant positive effect on depression in postmenopausal women (SMD = -0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.94 to -0.48; I2 = 78%). The network meta-analysis revealed that mind-body exercise (SMD = -0.97, 95% CI = -1.28 to -0.67), aerobic exercise (SMD = -0.58, 95% CI = -0.88 to -0.27) and multicomponent exercise (SMD = -0.57, 95% CI = -1.15 to -0.002) significantly reduced depression compared to the control intervention. Mind-body exercise had the highest probability of being the most effective intervention. Exercise interventions also showed positive effects on anxiety. Most studies were judged to have some concerns regarding their risk of bias, and the confidence in evidence was often very low according to CINeMA.ConclusionFor postmenopausal women, there is very low to moderate quality evidence that exercise interventions are an effective antidepressant therapy, with mind-body exercise most likely being the optimal type.Trial registrationThis meta-analysis was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42024505425).

Creativity in the West and the East: A Meta-Analysis of Cross-Cultural Differences

ABSTRACT Cross-cultural differences in individual creativity have been examined extensively, particularly between Western and Eastern cultures, but empirical evidence has been mixed. In an attempt to clarify the inconclusive picture, we meta-analytically synthesized evidence on cross-cultural differences in individual creativity between “Westerners” and “Easterners.” We analyzed 221 effect sizes from 41 studies in a three-level meta-analytic model. We found a statistically significant small-to-medium overall effect (g = 0.329, p < .001), indicating higher creativity among Western individuals. The potential effect of study-, sample-, and assessment-related moderators on West – East differences in creativity was also examined. We found that Western superiority in creativity increased with sample age, showing that cross-cultural differences in creativity were more pronounced in samples with older subjects. Furthermore, our analyses revealed that task framing moderated the effect of culture on creativity: test-like creativity tasks were associated with Western advantages, whereas game-like tasks did not show any West – East differences. The further (statistically less robust) results of this study indicated the importance of creativity-assessment-related factors for cross-cultural differences in creativity. The findings and implications of this study are discussed, particularly in relation to potential (cross-cultural assessment) bias, an issue that is very likely in the context of cross-cultural creativity.

Profitability of foliar fungicides in double crop soybean under low-disease environments

Double-crop soybean production involves planting soybean (Glycine max) directly following winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) harvest. Frogeye leaf spot (FLS), caused by Cercospora sojina, is an important late-season foliar disease affecting soybean fields in the United States. In some instances, foliar fungicides have been used in double-crop soybean production with little to no FLS present, raising questions on the profitability of these applications. This study analyzed yield data from 25 fungicide trials across five states (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee) conducted under low FLS pressure, from 2008 to 2021, on double-crop soybean. Fungicide classes evaluated in the trials included quinone outside inhibitors (QoI), demethylation inhibitors (DMI), and methyl benzimidazole carbamates (MBC) applied alone, and mixtures of chemistry classes that included DMI+succinate dehydrogenase inhibitor (SDHI), MBC+DMI, QoI+DMI, and QoI+DMI+SDHI. A network meta-analytic model estimated yield differences between fungicide-treated and nontreated plots, which ranged from -28 to 72 kg/ha among the fungicide treatments. Negative yield response values were estimated for the single fungicide classes MBC (-15.7 kg/ha) and QoI (-28.4 kg/ha). Yield difference as high as 72.8 kg/ha was estimated only for DMI+SDHI. Economic analyses indicated that, due to the lower yield responses, probabilities of breaking even were lower than 50% for all fungicide treatments, regardless of the fungicide cost or soybean sale price. Therefore, the low yield responses associated with foliar fungicides in low-disease environments linked to the higher risk of not offsetting the costs, suggest that growers should consider disease risk prior to making the fungicide application.

A New and Improved Experimental Design for the Discrete Choice Experiment Module of the EuroQol Valuation Technology Protocol

ObjectivesThe EuroQol Valuation Technology (EQ-VT) protocol, which is used to value the EQ-5D-5L instrument, comprises a composite time trade-off and a discrete choice experiment (DCE) module. Despite significant limitations, the DCE module has not been updated since its inception in 2012. This study aimed to update the EQ-VT DCE design using state-of-the-art methods. MethodsDCE data from 19 EQ-5D-5L valuation studies were summarized using a Bayesian hierarchical meta-analysis model, which created the priors for our Bayesian efficient DCE design. This design comprised 20 subdesigns, each with 12 choice tasks, and included 2 levels that overlapped to reduce the complexity of the choice tasks. The relative efficiency and robustness of the new design were established by comparing the D-errors and minimal sample size requirements for the 19 within-sample and 7 out-of-sample countries with the previous DCE design. ResultsThe updated DCE design shows large reductions in the D-error: by 20% and 22% for the 19 within-sample and 7 out-of-sample countries, respectively. Sample size requirements were also reduced, resulting in an average reduction of 45% for both the within and out-of-sample countries. ConclusionsThe updated DCE design outperforms the current EQ-VT design. Given its enhanced performance and reduced complexity, it is set to replace the existing DCE design in future EQ-5D-5L valuation studies using the EQ-VT protocol.

P-396 Comparison of luteal support protocols in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles: A network meta-analysis

Abstract Study question What is the optimal LPS in fresh cycles in agonist and antagonist cycles? Summary answer Vaginal progesterone, with the addition of SCGnRH-a results in improved clinical pregnancy and live birth events in both GnRH-agonist and antagonist ovarian stimulation protocols. What is known already Despite the proven superiority of various Luteal Phase Support protocols (LPS) over placebo in view of improved pregnancy rates in fresh cycles of IVF (in vitro fertilization) and ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection) cycles, there is ongoing controversy over specific LPS protocol selection, dosage, and duration. Study design, size, duration Network Meta-analysis. Twelve databases, namely Embase (OVID), MEDLINE (R) (OVID), GlobalHealth (Archive), GlobalHealth, Health and Psychosocial Instruments, Maternity &amp; Infant Care Database (MIDIRS), APA PsycTests, ClinicalTrials.gov, HMIC Health Management Information Consortium, CENTRAL, Web of Science, Scopus and two prospective registers, MedRxiv, Research Square were searched from inception to Aug.1st, 2023.The study was prospectively registered under the PROSPERO database. Participants/materials, setting, methods Only RCTs were included. Primary outcomes included clinical pregnancy and live birth events, while secondary outcomes included biochemical pregnancy, miscarriage, multiple pregnancy and OHSS events. Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) model was employed for outcome analysis, presenting fixed effects, odds ratios (ORs) with 95% credibility intervals (CrIs). Vaginal Progesterone (VP) was considered the reference LPS for the purposes of the NMA given its’ clinical relevance. Main results and the role of chance Seventy-six RCTs, comparing 22 interventions, and including 26536 participants were included in the present NMA.Combinatorial regimens, with subcutaneous GnRH-a (SCGnRH-a) on a vaginal progesterone base and oral oestrogen (OE) appeared to overall improve clinical pregnancy events; VP+OE+SCGnRH-a [OR 1.57 (95% CrI 1.11 to 2.22)], VP+SCGnRH-a [OR 1.28 (95% CrI 1.05 to 1.55)] as well as live pregnancy events, VP+OE+SCGnRH-a [OR 8.81 (95% CrI 2.35 to 39.1)], VP+SCGnRH-a [OR 1.76 (95% CrI 1.45 to 2.15)]. Equally, the progesterone free LPS, intramuscular human chorionic gonadotrophin, [OR 9.67 (95%CrI 2.34, 73.2)] was also found to increase live birth events, however was also associated with an increased probability of ovarian hyperstimulation, [OR 1.64 (95%CrI 0.75, 3.71)]. Of all LPS protocols, VP+SC GnRH-a was found to significantly reduce miscarriage events, OR 0.54 (95% CrI 0.37 to 0.80). Subgroup analysis according to ovarian stimulation (OS) protocol revealed that the optimal LPS across both long and short OS, taking into account increase in live birth and reduction in miscarriage as well as OHSS events, was VP+SCGnRH-a, with an OR 2.89 [95%CrI 1.08, 2.96] and OR 2.84 [95%CrI 1.35, 6.26] respectively. Limitations, reasons for caution Given the anticipated diversity of measured outcomes, a Bayesian meta-synthesis approach has been adopted to account for the expected heterogeneity and to incorporate modelling flexibility by allowing for posterior distributions interpreted as SUCRA probabilities with the later enabling crisper communication of the uncertainty in the treatment effects estimates. Wider implications of the findings Overall, NMA data suggest that combinatorial treatments, with the addition of SCGnRH-a on a VP base result in improved clinical pregnancy and live birth events in both GnRH-agonist and antagonist ovarian stimulation protocols. Trial registration number Not applicable

P-767 Preterm birth in singleton pregnancies conceived by in-vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection: a systematic review with umbrella meta-analysis

Abstract Study question What is the risk level and potential etiology of preterm birth (PTB) in singleton pregnancies from in-vitro fertilization (IVF) or intra-cytoplasmic injection (ICSI)? Summary answer Singleton pregnancies from IVF/ICSI have, on average, double the risk of PTB compared to natural conceptions, with a higher risk for iatrogenic than spontaneous PTB. What is known already IVF/ICSI pregnancies are associated with a higher PTB risk, with a predominant effect mediated by the effect of multiples and a poor understanding of underlying etiology, particularly in singletons. According to the European IVF Monitoring Consortium (EIM) for the European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology (ESHRE), about 16% of singleton conceived through IVF/ICSI were born preterm in 2019. Considering the global a shift towards single embryo transfers (ETs), it becomes crucial to precisely determine and convey the PTB risk specific to singleton pregnancies conceived through IVF/ICSI, collecting all available evidence on supposed PTB etiology. Study design, size, duration A comprehensive search in major online databases was conducted up to December 31, 2023. Eligible studies were systematic reviews with quantitative data. The primary aim was to quantify PTB risk in singletons conceived by IVF/ICSI compared to natural pregnancies. Secondary objectives included assessing very preterm birth (VPTB) risk and exploring PTB’s etiology, phenotype, and initiation. PTB and VPTB were defined by the World Health Organization as delivery before 37 or 32 weeks, respectively. Participants/materials, setting, methods Random-effects meta-analysis models were used for pooling effect measures. Estimates were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Information available on etiology, phenotype, initiation of PTB and relevant moderators was extracted and employed for subgroup analyses. The extent of overlap in the original studies was measured using the Corrected Covered Area (CCA) assessment. The quality of the included reviews was evaluated with the AMSTAR 2 tool and quality of evidence by GRADE. Main results and the role of chance Twelve meta-analyses with a total of 16,522,917 pregnancies were included. IVF/ICSI singletons showed a significantly higher risk of PTB compared to natural conception (PTB ˂37 weeks: OR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.57-1.89). The pooled risk estimate was higher for births below 32 weeks (VPTB &amp;lt;32 weeks: OR: 2.19, 95%CI: 1.82-2.64). Influential analysis reinforced the strength of this association. Subgroup analyses investigating supposed etiology revealed a comparable risk magnitude for spontaneous PTB (OR 1.79, 95% CI:1.56-2.04) and a greater risk for iatrogenic PTB (OR: 2.28, 95%CI: 1.72–3.02). PTB risk was consistent in the subgroup of conventional IVF (OR: 1.95, 95% CI: 1.76-2.15) and higher in the subgroup of fresh-only ETs (OR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.55-2.07) compared to frozen-thawed ETs (OR: 1.39, 95%CI: 1.34-1.43). CCA assessment showed minimal study overlap (13%). The quality of the evidence by GRADE assessment was judged as low to very low. Limitations, reasons for caution The methodological quality of the included reviews, as rated by AMSTAR 2, was judged as low to very low. Most included studies lacked granular data on IVF/ICSI indications and on specific PTB etiology, phenotypes, or initiation. Wider implications of the findings The risk of PTB is about double in IVF/ICSI singleton pregnancies compared to naturally conceived, with paucity of available data on PTB aetiology, phenotype, or initiation. The greater risk increase involves iatrogenic PTB from fresh ET and VPTB, likely due to placental aetiology. Trial registration number PROSPERO ID: CRD42023411418

A Review of Meta-Analyses of Correlation Coefficients on L2 Reading Comprehension

Quantitative meta-analyses have gained popularity among L2 reading researchers in recent years. Meta-analyses, especially meta-analyses that investigate the relationships among variables (e.g., meta-analyses of correlation coefficients, meta-analytic structural equation modeling), are well-suited for L2 reading research due to their componential nature. The present study reviews 14 meta-analyses on L2 reading comprehension published between 2010 and 2023, with a focus on their key study features and findings. While all of the 14 meta-analyses examined the relationship between one or more reading-related variables and L2 reading comprehension and yielded substantial convergence in their findings, their research focus and scope also varied widely, leading to some level of diversity in their scope of literature search, methods of analysis, and findings. We review our findings on the convergence and divergence of the study features across the 14 meta-analyses, summarize their key findings, and provide suggestions for future research.

Understanding the influencing factors of foreign language teachers’ work engagement: A meta-analytic structural equation model

The work engagement of foreign language teachers enhances both their performance and the quality of instruction. Recent studies have highlighted the pivotal roles of emotional intelligence, job burnout, and self-efficacy in fostering teachers' work engagement. Despite this, the complex interactions between these factors in the context of foreign language teaching remain underexplored. This study conducts a meta-analytic review to examine the connections among work engagement, emotional intelligence, burnout, and self-efficacy among foreign language educators. Utilizing a chain mediation model, it probes the mechanism through which emotional intelligence impacts work engagement, based on an analysis of 49 scholarly articles. Results from the meta-analysis robustly validate the hypothesized model. Specifically, emotional intelligence contributes to work engagement via four distinct routes: direct mediation through self-efficacy, direct mediation through job burnout, and chain mediation involving self-efficacy and job burnout. Of the evaluated factors, emotional intelligence had the most significant impact on enhancing work engagement. Implications of these findings may facilitate the training and ongoing professional development of foreign language teachers.

The indirect relationship between employee job performance and voluntary turnover: A meta-analysis

Employee turnover brings lots of negative effects on organizations. Researchers have investigated why employees quit their jobs and found job performance to be an important predictor. Previous studies have proposed potential mediators of the performance-turnover relationship from job attitudes, job alternatives, and job embeddedness perspectives. Nevertheless, they have failed to provide sufficient empirical support for these three paths and which of these three mediating mechanisms matters most. To address these questions, we used meta-analytic structural equation modeling (MASEM) to examine these three mediating mechanisms between job performance and voluntary turnover. Drawing on 299 independent samples (N = 524,740), we found that job performance had a negative impact on employee voluntary turnover through desirability of movement and turnover intention, through job embeddedness and turnover intention, and a positive impact through ease of movement and turnover intention. Among these three paths, desirability of movement had the strongest mediating effect, followed by job embeddedness and ease of movement. Theoretical and practical implications as well as future directions were discussed.

The neural network of sensory attenuation: A neuroimaging meta-analysis.

Sensory attenuation refers to the reduction in sensory intensity resulting from self-initiated actions compared to stimuli initiated externally. A classic example is scratching oneself without feeling itchy. This phenomenon extends across various sensory modalities, including visual, auditory, somatosensory, and nociceptive stimuli. The internal forward model proposes that during voluntary actions, an efferent copy of the action command is sent out to predict sensory feedback. This predicted sensory feedback is then compared with the actual sensory feedback, leading to the suppression or reduction of sensory stimuli originating from self-initiated actions. To further elucidate the neural mechanisms underlying sensory attenuation effect, we conducted an extensive meta-analysis of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) and positron emission tomography (PET) studies. Utilizing activation likelihood estimation (ALE) analysis, our results revealed significant activations in a prominent cluster encompassing the right superior temporal gyrus (rSTG), right middle temporal gyrus (rMTG), and right insula when comparing external-generated with self-generated conditions. Additionally, significant activation was observed in the right anterior cerebellum when comparing self-generated to external-generated conditions. Further analysis using meta-analytic connectivity modeling (MACM) unveiled distinct brain networks co-activated with the rMTG and right cerebellum, respectively. Based on these findings, we propose that sensory attenuation arises from the suppression of reflexive inputs elicited by self-initiated actions through the internal forward modeling of a cerebellum-centered action prediction network, enabling the "sensory conflict detection" regions to effectively discriminate between inputs resulting from self-induced actions and those originating externally.

Benefit-risk assessment of three oral Chinese patent medicines for activating blood and eliminating mass in treating primary liver cancer based on network Meta-analysis and multi-criteria decision analysis

Network Meta-analysis and multi-criteria decision analysis(MCDA) model were performed to evaluate the benefit-risk of Compound Cantharis Capsules, Huisheng Oral Solution, and Jinlong Capsules in the adjuvant treatment of primary liver cancer(PLC). The randomized controlled trial(RCT) of Compound Cantharis Capsules, Huisheng Oral Solution, and Jinlong Capsules in treating PLC were retrieved from CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, Web of Science, PubMed, and Cochrane Library. R 4.2 was employed to conduct a network Meta-analysis, on the basis of which the effect values of the three medicines were obtained by indirect comparison. MCDA was performed to establish the value tree based on the benefit-risk indexes. Hiview 3.2 was used to calculate the benefit values, risk values, and benefit-risk values of the three medicines in treating PLC, and a sensitivity analysis was carried out to evaluate the robustness of the results. Oracle Crystal Ball 11.1 was employed to optimize the evaluation results by Monte Carlo simulation. A total of 39 RCTs were included. The results showed that Compound Cantharis Capsules, Huisheng Oral Solution, and Jinlong Capsules combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE) had the benefit values of 45, 51 and 45, the risk values of 59, 47, and 41, and the benefit-risk values of 52, 49, and 43, respectively. The benefit-risk differences and [95%CI] of Compound Cantharis Capsules vs Huisheng Oral Solution, Compound Cantharis Capsules vs Jinlong Capsules, and Huisheng Oral Solution vs Jinlong Capsules were 3.00[-13.09, 21.82], 9.00[-4.39, 24.62], and 6.00[-8.84, 20.28], respectively. Based on the results of MCDA, Huisheng Oral Solution, Jinlong Capsules, and Compound Cantharis Capsules combined with TACE had the greatest benefit, the greatest risk, and the best overall benefit, respectively. Considering the efficacy and safety, the priority of the three oral Chinese patent medicines combined with TACE for treating PLC followed the trend of Compound Cantharis Capsules, Huisheng Oral Solution, and Jinlong Capsules.

Outpatient vs inpatient management of preterm prelabor rupture of membranes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

To compare neonatal, obstetrical, and maternal outcomes associated with outpatient vs inpatient management of pregnancies with preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (PPROM). A search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database and Central Register from January 1, 1990 to July 31, 2023 identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies comparing outpatient with inpatient management for pregnant persons diagnosed with PPROM before 37 weeks' gestation. No language restriction was applied. We applied a random effects model for meta-analysis. Trustworthiness was assessed using recently published guidance and Risk of bias using the RoB 2.0 tool for RCTs and ROBINS-I tool for cohort studies. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) approach was used to assess the certainty of evidence (COE). Outcomes of interest included perinatal mortality, neonatal morbidities, latency and gestational age at delivery, and maternal morbidities. RCTs and cohort studies were analyzed separately. This study was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviewsr: CRD42022295275. From 2825 records, two RCTs and 10 cohort studies involving 1876 patients were included in the review and meta-analysis. Outpatient management protocols varied but generally included brief initial hospitalization, strict eligibility criteria, and surveillance with laboratory and ultrasound investigations. Outpatient management showed lower rates of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (cohort: RR 0.63 [0.52-0.77, very low COE]), longer latency to delivery (RCT: MD 7.43 days [1.14-13.72 days, moderate COE], cohort: MD 8.78 days [2.29-15.26 days, low COE]), higher gestational age at birth (cohort: MD 7.70 days [2.02-13.38 days, low COE]), lower rates of Apgar scores <7 at 5 min of life (cohort: RR 0.66 [0.50-0.89, very low COE]), and lower rates of histological chorioamnionitis (cohort: RR 0.74 [0.62-0.89, low COE]) without increased risks of adverse neonatal, obstetrical, or maternal outcomes. Meta-analysis of data from RCTs and cohort studies with very low-to-moderate certainty of evidence indicates that further high-quality research is needed to evaluate the safety and potential benefits of outpatient management for selected PPROM cases, given the moderate-to-high risk of bias in the included studies.

Clinical Applicability of Autologous Chondrocyte Implantation for the Treatment of Osteochondral Defects: A Meta-analysis.

Osteoarthritis and other joint disorders are the leading cause of disability in the elderly and the treatment of joint lesions is challenging. Autologous chondrocyte implantation (ACI) has been reported with variable effects for the treatment of osteochondral and other joint lesions. In this study, we performed a meta-analysis of the recent literature to determine the clinical applicability of ACI for osteochondral defects. A meta-analysis was performed on the recent literature showing the effects of ACI on osteochondral defects. The PUBMED, ScienceDirect and Google Scholar databases were used to identify eligible studies from Jan 2010 to Sep 2022. Both fixed and random models of meta-analysis were applied with all reported scoring systems to quantify the effectiveness of ACI on osteochondral defects. The pool data of 965 patients as a case series after ACI from a fixed model showed a significant improvement in the osteochondral defects (odds ratio = 8.75, 95%CI = 7.127 to 10.743, p = 0.000). These results were further verified by a random model of meta-analysis. The data also showed a substantial heterogeneity among the studies used in the meta-analysis (Q-value = 160.41, I-squared = 87.53, p = 0.000). Furthermore, this meta-analysis also compared different ACI procedures with different scoring systems but the overall outcome remains the same as ACI was found to be useful for the healing of the osteochondral defects. This meta-analysis of 965 case series revealed that the ACI markedly improved the damage osteochondral defects scores but the optimal treatment is still controversial, therefore further studies are needed to validate these findings in a clinical setting.

Association of intrinsic capacity with functional decline and mortality in older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies

Together with environmental factors, intrinsic capacity (the composite of all the physical and mental capacities of an individual) has been proposed as a marker of healthy ageing. However, whether intrinsic capacity predicts major clinical outcomes is unclear. We aimed to explore the association of intrinsic capacity with functional decline and mortality in older adults. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we conducted a systematic search in MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, and Web of Science from database inception to Feb 14, 2024, of observational longitudinal studies conducted in older adults (age ≥60 years) assessing the association of intrinsic capacity with impairment in basic activities of daily living (BADL) or instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) or risk of mortality. Estimates were extracted by two reviewers (JLS-S and W-HL) and were pooled using three-level meta-analytic models. The quality of each study was independently assessed by two authors (JLS-S and PLV) using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for longitudinal studies. Heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 indicator at two levels: within-study (level 2) and between-study (level 3) variation. For associations between intrinsic capacity and IADL and BADL, we transformed data (standardised β coefficients and odds ratios [ORs]) into Pearson product moment correlation coefficients (r) using Pearson and Digby formulas to allow comparability across studies. For associations between intrinsic capacity and risk of mortality, hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were extracted from survival analyses. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023460482. We included 37 studies (206 693 participants; average age range 65·3-85·9 years) in the systematic review, of which 31 were included in the meta-analysis on the association between intrinsic capacity and outcomes; three studies (2935 participants) were included in the meta-analysis on the association between intrinsic capacity trajectories and longitudinal changes in BADL or IADL. Intrinsic capacity was inversely associated with longitudinal impairments in BADL (Pearson's r -0·12 [95% CI -0·19 to -0·04]) and IADL (-0·24 [-0·35 to -0·13]), as well as with mortality risk (hazard ratio 0·57 [95% CI 0·51 to 0·63]). An association was also found between intrinsic capacity trajectories and impairment in IADL (but not in BADL), with maintained or improved intrinsic capacity over time associated with a lower impairment in IADL (odds ratio 0·37 [95% CI 0·19 to 0·71]). There was no evidence of publication bias (Egger's test p>0·05) and there was low between-study heterogeneity (I2=18·4%), though within-study (I2=63·2%) heterogeneity was substantial. Intrinsic capacity is inversely associated with functional decline and mortality risk in older adults. These findings could support the use of intrinsic capacity as a marker of healthy ageing, although further research is needed to refine the structure and operationalisation of this construct across settings and populations. None. For the Spanish and French translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

MetaHD: A multivariate meta-analysis model for metabolomics data.

Meta-analysis methods widely-used for combining metabolomics data do not account for correlation between metabolites or missing values. Within- and between-study variability are also often overlooked. These can give results with inferior statistical properties, leading to misidentification of biomarkers. We propose a multivariate meta-analysis model for high-dimensional metabolomics data (MetaHD), which accommodates the correlation between metabolites, within- and between-study variances, and missing values. MetaHD can be used for integrating and collectively analysing individual-level metabolomics data generated from multiple studies as well as for combining summary estimates. We show that MetaHD leads to lower root mean square error compared to the existing approaches. Furthermore, we demonstrate that MetaHD, which exploits the borrowing strength between metabolites, could be particularly useful in the presence of missing data compared to univariate meta-analysis methods, which can return biased estimates in the presence of data missing at random. The MetaHD R package can be downloaded through Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN) repository. A detailed vignette with example datasets and code to prepare data and analyses are available on https://bookdown.org/a2delivera/MetaHD/. Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Identification of metabolites reproducibly associated with Parkinson’s Disease via meta-analysis and computational modelling

Many studies have reported metabolomic analysis of different bio-specimens from Parkinson’s disease (PD) patients. However, inconsistencies in reported metabolite concentration changes make it difficult to draw conclusions as to the role of metabolism in the occurrence or development of Parkinson’s disease. We reviewed the literature on metabolomic analysis of PD patients. From 74 studies that passed quality control metrics, 928 metabolites were identified with significant changes in PD patients, but only 190 were replicated with the same changes in more than one study. Of these metabolites, 60 exclusively increased, such as 3-methoxytyrosine and glycine, 54 exclusively decreased, such as pantothenic acid and caffeine, and 76 inconsistently changed in concentration in PD versus control subjects, such as ornithine and tyrosine. A genome-scale metabolic model of PD and corresponding metabolic map linking most of the replicated metabolites enabled a better understanding of the dysfunctional pathways of PD and the prediction of additional potential metabolic markers from pathways with consistent metabolite changes to target in future studies.

Effects of non-pharmacological interventions for adults with subjective cognitive decline: a network meta-analysis and component network meta-analysis

BackgroundNon-pharmacological interventions have a myriad of available intervention options and contain multiple components. Whether specific components of non-pharmacological interventions or combinations are superior to others remains unclear. The main aim of this study is to compare the effects of different combinations of non-pharmacological interventions and their specific components on health-related outcomes in adults with subjective cognitive decline.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Cochrane, CINAHL, PsycINFO, CENTRAL, Web of Science, and China’s two largest databases, CNKI and Wanfang, were searched from inception to 22nd, January 2023. Randomized controlled trials using non-pharmacological interventions and reporting health outcomes in adults with subjective cognitive decline were included. Two independent reviewers screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. Component network meta-analysis was conducted employing an additive component model for network meta-analysis. This study followed the PRISMA reporting guideline and the PRISMA checklist is presented in Additional file 2.ResultsA total of 39 trials with 2959 patients were included (range of mean ages, 58.79–77.41 years). Resistance exercise might be the optimal intervention for reducing memory complaints in adults with subjective cognitive decline; the surface under the cumulative ranking p score was 0.888, followed by balance exercise (p = 0.859), aerobic exercise (p = 0.832), and cognitive interventions (p = 0.618). Music therapy, cognitive training, transcranial direct current stimulation, mindfulness therapy, and balance exercises might be the most effective intervention components for improving global cognitive function (iSMD, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.36 to 1.29), language (iSMD, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.24 to 0.38), ability to perform activities of daily living (iSMD, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.89), physical health (iSMD, 3.29; 95% CI, 2.57 to 4.00), and anxiety relief (iSMD, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.26 to 1.16), respectively.ConclusionsThe form of physical activity performed appears to be more beneficial than cognitive interventions in reducing subjective memory complaints for adults with subjective cognitive decline, and this difference was reflected in resistance, aerobic, and balance exercises. Randomized clinical trials with high-quality and large-scale are warranted to validate the findings.Trial registrationPROSPERO registry number. CRD42022355363.

The Relation Between Perceived Mental Effort, Monitoring Judgments, and Learning Outcomes: A Meta-Analysis

Accurately monitoring one’s learning processes during self-regulated learning depends on using the right cues, one of which could be perceived mental effort. A meta-analysis by Baars et al. (2020) found a negative association between mental effort and monitoring judgments (r = -.35), suggesting that the amount of mental effort experienced during a learning task is usually negatively correlated with learners’ perception of learning. However, it is unclear how monitoring judgments and perceptions of mental effort relate to learning outcomes. To examine if perceived mental effort is a diagnostic cue for learning outcomes, and whether monitoring judgments mediate this relationship, we employed a meta-analytic structural equation model. Results indicated a negative, moderate association between perceived mental effort and monitoring judgments (β = -.19), a positive, large association between monitoring judgments and learning outcomes (β = .29), and a negative, moderate indirect association between perceived mental effort and learning outcomes (β = -.05), which was mediated by monitoring judgments. Our subgroup analysis did not reveal any significant differences across moderators potentially due to the limited number of studies included per moderator category. Findings suggest that when learners perceive higher levels of mental effort, they exhibit lower learning (confidence) judgments, which relates to lower actual learning outcomes. Thus, learners seem to use perceived mental effort as a cue to judge their learning while perceived mental effort only indirectly relates to actual learning outcomes.

Comparison of luteal support protocols in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles: a network meta-analysis

Despite the proven superiority of various luteal phase support protocols (LPS) over placebo in view of improved pregnancy rates in fresh cycles of IVF (in vitro fertilization) and ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection) cycles, there is ongoing controversy over specific LPS protocol selection, dosage, and duration. The aim of the present study was to identify the optimal LPS under six core aspects of ART success, clinical pregnancy, live birth as primary outcomes and biochemical pregnancy, miscarriage, multiple pregnancy, ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) events as secondary outcomes. Twelve databases, namely Embase (OVID), MEDLINE (R) (OVID), GlobalHealth (Archive), GlobalHealth, Health and Psychosocial Instruments, Maternity & Infant Care Database (MIDIRS), APA PsycTests, ClinicalTrials.gov, HMIC Health Management Information Consortium, CENTRAL, Web of Science, Scopus and two prospective registers, MedRxiv, Research Square were searched from inception to Aug.1st, 2023, (PROSPERO Registration: CRD42022358986). Only Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs) were included. Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) model was employed for outcome analysis, presenting fixed effects, odds ratios (ORs) with 95% credibility intervals (CrIs). Vaginal Progesterone (VP) was considered the reference LPS given its’ clinical relevance. Seventy-six RCTs, comparing 22 interventions, and including 26,536 participants were included in the present NMA. Overall CiNeMa risk of bias was deemed moderate, and network inconsistency per outcome was deemed low (Multiple pregnancy χ2: 0.11, OHSS χ2: 0.26), moderate (Clinical Pregnancy: χ2: 7.02, Live birth χ2: 10.95, Biochemical pregnancy: χ2: 6.60, Miscarriage: χ2: 11.305). Combinatorial regimens, with subcutaneous GnRH-a (SCGnRH-a) on a vaginal progesterone base and oral oestrogen (OE) appeared to overall improve clinical pregnancy events; VP + OE + SCGnRH-a [OR 1.57 (95% CrI 1.11 to 2.22)], VP + SCGnRH-a [OR 1.28 (95% CrI 1.05 to 1.55)] as well as live pregnancy events, VP + OE + SCGnRH-a [OR 8.81 (95% CrI 2.35 to 39.1)], VP + SCGnRH-a [OR 1.76 (95% CrI 1.45 to 2.15)]. Equally, the progesterone free LPS, intramuscular human chorionic gonadotrophin, [OR 9.67 (95% CrI 2.34, 73.2)] was also found to increase live birth events, however was also associated with an increased probability of ovarian hyperstimulation, [OR 1.64 (95% CrI 0.75, 3.71)]. The combination of intramuscular and vaginal progesterone was associated with higher multiple pregnancy events, [OR 7.09 (95% CrI 2.49, 31.)]. Of all LPS protocols, VP + SC GnRH-a was found to significantly reduce miscarriage events, OR 0.54 (95% CrI 0.37 to 0.80). Subgroup analysis according to ovarian stimulation (OS) protocol revealed that the optimal LPS across both long and short OS, taking into account increase in live birth and reduction in miscarriage as well as OHSS events, was VP + SCGnRH-a, with an OR 2.89 [95% CrI 1.08, 2.96] and OR 2.84 [95% CrI 1.35, 6.26] respectively. Overall, NMA data suggest that combinatorial treatments, with the addition of SCGnRH-a on a VP base result in improved clinical pregnancy and live birth events in both GnRH-agonist and antagonist ovarian stimulation protocols.

Diagnostic accuracy of the aortic dissection detection risk score alone or with D-dimer for acute aortic syndromes: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the aortic dissection detection risk score (ADD-RS) used alone or in combination with D-dimer for detecting acute aortic syndrome (AAS) in patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of AAS. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 2024. Additionally, the reference lists of included studies and other systematic reviews were thoroughly searched. All diagnostic accuracy studies that assessed the use of ADD-RS alone or with D-Dimer for diagnosing AAS compared with a reference standard test (e.g. computer tomographic angiography (CTA), ECG-gated CTA, echocardiography, magnetic resonance angiography, operation, or autopsy) were included. Two reviewers independently selected and extracted data. Risk of bias was appraised using QUADAS-2 tool. Data were synthesised using hierarchical meta-analysis models. We selected 13 studies from the 2017 citations identified, including six studies evaluating combinations of ADD-RS alongside D-dimer>500ng/L. Summary sensitivities and specificities (95% credible interval) were: ADD-RS>0 94.6% (90%, 97.5%) and 34.7% (20.7%, 51.2%), ADD-RS>1 43.4% (31.2%, 57.1%) and 89.3% (80.4%, 94.8%); ADD RS>0 or D-Dimer>500ng/L 99.8% (98.7%, 100%) and 21.8% (12.1%, 32.6%); ADD RS>1 or D-Dimer>500ng/L 98.3% (94.9%, 99.5%) and 51.4% (38.7%, 64.1%); ADD RS>1 or ADD RS = 1 with D-dimer>500ng/L 93.1% (87.1%, 96.3%) and 67.1% (54.4%, 77.7%). Combinations of ADD-RS and D-dimer can be used to select patients with suspected AAS for imaging with a range of trade-offs between sensitivity (93.1% to 99.8%) and specificity (21.8% to 67.1%).