Accurate diagnosis of plant phosphorus nutritional status is critical for optimizing agricultural practices and enhancing resource efficiency. Existing methods are limited to qualitatively assessing plant phosphorus nutritional status and cannot quantitatively estimate the plant’s phosphorus requirements. Moreover, these methods are time-consuming, making them impractical for large-scale application. In this study, we developed an advanced phosphorus absorption model (Pabs) that integrates the phosphorus nutrition index (PNI) and phosphorus use efficiency (PUE). The PUE, a critical metric for assessing phosphate fertilizer use efficiency, was quantified by comparing yields under fertilized and unfertilized conditions. Utilizing the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) model, we simulated maize (Zea mays L.) phosphorus concentration (P) and aboveground biomass (Bio) under varying phosphorus application rates. The model exhibited robust performance, achieving an R2 above 0.95 and an RMSE below 0.22. Based on the APSIM model simulations, a phosphorus dilution curve (Pc = 3.17 Bio−0.29, R2 = 0.98) was established, reflecting the dilution trends of phosphorus across growth stages. Furthermore, the use of vegetation indices (VIS) to evaluate phosphorus nutritional status also showed promising results, with inversion accuracies exceeding 0.70. To validate the model, field sampling was conducted in maize-growing regions of Changchun. Results demonstrated a correct diagnosis rate of 75%, underscoring the model’s capacity to accurately estimate phosphorus requirements on a regional scale. These findings highlight the Pabs model as a reliable tool for precision phosphorus management, offering significant potential to optimize fertilization strategies and support sustainable agricultural systems.
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