Model-based condition monitoring systems are widely used for the maintenance planning of manufacturing systems. With further digitalization, these models are more dependent on data. However, most studies are limited to single product or machine working conditions. Context information, such as machine parameters, material information, or environmental parameters are often ignored, neglected, or directly fed into prediction models. In this study, we present a new method called MetaSPX that leverages the context information to adapt the weights of a prediction ensemble. Models are only trained on single multi-variate run-to-failure time series and then added to the ensemble. Spatial proximity calculations of meta-features of the context information, combined with cross-validation knowledge of the ensemble members, are the main drivers of this method. It is tested on a Turbofan data set and compared against a single support vector regression model and an averaging ensemble. The results show a 67% reduction of the average prediction error starting at only two ensemble members compared to the averaging ensemble.
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