Mode Choice Behavior Research Articles

Investigating work commuters mode choice behavior in Dalian city during pandemic: a hybrid choice model approach

ABSTRACT This study examined commuters' mode choice behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on the impact of both tangibles and intangibles factors. To do so, the authors developed a Hybrid Choice Model (HCM) which investigated the effects of sociodemographic characteristics, travel attributes, and intangible factors such as satisfaction, safety, and discomfort, on travel behavior. The model was tested using Stated Preference data collected from commuters in Dalian City (China) via wenjuanxing, an online survey platform. The results indicate that individual characteristics played a significant role in shaping people's perceptions and mode choice behavior was influenced by sociodemographic factors, travel characteristics, and the aforementioned intangible factors. More specifically, individuals, who perceived a higher level of safety, measured in terms of worries about robbery, accidents, and pandemic concerns, were less likely to choose cars. People with a stronger perception of discomfort favored metro over bus. Private car users reported higher satisfaction. The findings will be useful to policymakers for establishing more resilient transport solutions.

Travel mode choice behavior analysis using multinomial logit models towards creating sustainable college campus: a case study of the University of Toledo, Ohio

By employing descriptive statistics and multinomial logistic regression models, the paper investigates factors that affect the travel mode choice behavior of a college community for both commuting to the campus from their residences and commuting on campus from one facility to another. Results show that car ownership, travel distance, age, gender, academic status, income, perception of safety, number of weekly trips, and weather conditions affect people’s mode choice decisions significantly. The study finds that increasing travel distance, age, and being a staff member positively impact car mode choice, faculty members are more likely to bike and walk compared to undergraduate students, and unlike the authors’ predictions, the higher-income people are more likely to walk on campus. Results also reveal that car users change travel modes more often than active transport mode users based on semesters and that although women are less likely to bike to the campus, they are more likely to walk and bike on campus. If the number of trips increases, people prefer cars to walk, bike, and ride a bus to commute to the campus while they prefer walking to driving a car on campus. The study contributes to help create pollution-free and healthy urban college campuses that, on larger scales, will further contribute to developing sustainable cities to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals as described by the United Nations, particularly goal number 11, “to make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable,” and thereby contribute to improving urban living conditions.

A dynamic discrete choice modelling approach for forward-looking travel mode choices

In this paper, we present a systematic approach based on dynamic discrete choice models (DDCM) to investigate individuals’ forward-looking mode choice behaviours in daily travel tours with multiple destinations. We propose a novel network transformation model that encompasses the entire decision space of all feasible mode combinations for every observed trip/tour in the dataset. By applying the well-established Recursive Logit model structure commonly used in path choice modelling, we address the tour mode choice problem effectively and quantify forward looking considerations in the mode choice process. The proposed model captures the complex considerations individuals take into account when making mode choices. The network transformation incorporates downstream mode limitations into the preceding mode choice options, enabling us to model individuals’ forward-looking behaviour and gain insights into how considerations of future trips such as a shopping in the evening, or school pick-up trip influence previous mode choice decisions earlier in the day. Uncovering and quantifying these hidden forward-looking factors can help modellers better explain the private car usage usually observed for the entire sequences of daily trips, even in presence of competitive alternative modes. The proposed network transformation also enables us to measure the effect of the requirement/preference to return private vehicles (car, motorcycle, and bicycle) home on mode choices in home-bound trips, and subsequently, on the entire daily mode choice decisions. To validate the proposed model, we utilise the VISTA household travel survey data from the Melbourne Metropolitan area in Australia. The model is compared against baseline models, demonstrating its statistical advantages. Additionally, intuitive illustrations using the data showcase the model’s efficacy. From transport planning and policy perspective, tour-based mode choice modelling provides a more comprehensive and precise understanding of travel behaviour by considering the sequence of trips made by an individual. This can help capture the interactions and dependencies between different trips, which trip-based models may overlook. The proposed model is more suitable for analysing the effects of policy interventions like congestion pricing, public transport investments, or new mobility initiatives, as they can better represent the cascading effects of such policies across multiple trips.

Big-data-driven approach and scalable analysis on environmental sustainability of shared micromobility from trip to city level analysis

Shared e-scooters (SES) have recently gained popularity, but their environmental sustainability remains debatable. This study develops a data-driven and scalable method based on big data and data fusion from multiple sources to comprehensively analyze substitutions and the environmental impacts of SES from trip to city level analysis. Field trip transaction data in three major Swedish cities (Stockholm, Gothenburg, and Malmö) are leveraged for empirical analysis considering mode choice behavior. The results reveal that most SES trips (86.7% in Stockholm, 85.6% in Gothenburg, and 85.3% in Malmö) replace walking or public transport, while the proportion substituting private car and taxis is less than 12%. On average, each SES trip increases in CO2−eq emissions (34.58 g in Stockholm, 21.18 g in Gothenburg, and 24.07 g in Malmö). Only a limited percentage of SES trips (19.20% in Stockholm, 24.22% in Gothenburg, and 23.94% in Malmö) and a small percentage of urban areas with SES (8.3% in Stockholm, 7.48% in Gothenburg, and 2.02% in Malmö) demonstrate positive environmental effects from SES. The substitution and environment impacts of SES vary significantly across different trips spatially and temporally, emphasizing the importance of conducting trip-level analyses. The analysis provides quantitative insights into the sustainability of SES in Nordic contexts, offering potential support for sustainable management in a variety of urban contexts.

Exploration of Mode Choice Behavior for Regular and Short Distance Travel in a Developing Country

The study of mode choice behaviour is receiving a considerable interest in Bangladesh like in other developing countries. Hence, a questionnaire survey of 514 citizens in Chittagong city was conducted to explore mode choice behaviour for short distance and regular travel. Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) was used to assess the factors involved for various mode choices. Gender, age, profession, education, level of income, household type, vehicle ownership, and distance to a stopping spot all seem to be factors that have been found to be important for short-distance and regular travel using the MNL model according to a utility function. The major findings indicates that the majority of the people prefer the bus both for short and regular distance travel, whereas high earners choose the cars for regular travel. Journal of Engineering Science 15(1), 2024, 59-73

Public transport mode choice behavior of different-income passengers during large-scale public health incidents

Public transport ridership has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic in many countries. Investigating passengers' public transport mode choice behavior during large-scale public health incidents can uncover the major influential factors and help propose policies and strategies to reduce the pandemic transmission and recover the public transport revenue. This study develops an integrated choice and latent variables (ICLV) model by income based on structural equation model to model passengers' public transport choice behavior during the normalized stage of the pandemic. The model considers passengers' socioeconomic attributes, travel attributes, and attitude-perception attributes, and can appropriately capture passengers' psychological latent attributes. Taking Beijing China as an example, we collect some revealed preference survey data online. The modeling results show that the risk perception as a mediator variable has a significant impact on mode preference. Moreover, the convenience of public transport has the largest influence on risk perception. These findings suggest that risk perception and the convenience of public transport play a major role in passengers' mode choice behavior. In addition, the impacts of the various influential factors on the public transport mode choices are significantly different across different income groups. Further, the ICLV model can achieve better performance and is superior to the traditional Multinomial Logit model. The modeling framework can help propose targeted and instructive strategies during the normalized stage of the pandemic by uncovering the major influential factors in passengers’ public transport mode choices, which is applicable to similar pandemics in the future.

Road–Rail Intermodal Travel Mode Choice Behavior Considering Attitude Factors

Road–rail intermodal transportation (RRIT) leverages the advantages of multiple transport modes and is crucial for addressing the current issue of imbalanced development in the transportation sector. However, passengers’ behavior in choosing RRIT remains unclear, and it is necessary to optimize travel service quality through analyzing RRIT choice behavior based on user perceptions. This study designed a stated preference experiment that included both direct and multi-modal travel options. A hybrid choice model considering attitude variables was constructed, and four latent attitude variables—convenience, economy, comfort, and riskiness—were extracted to analyze their impact on intercity travel mode choice behavior under conditions of ticket booking uncertainty. The results revealed that the ticket booking success rate is a critical factor in travelers’ decision-making. Passengers tend to choose travel options with higher ticket booking success rates, even if it entails a slight increase in the ticket prices for the high-speed rail to high-speed rail transfer option. The attitude variables significantly influence intercity travel mode choice behavior, with travelers generally exhibiting a preference for risk avoidance in their travel options. Moreover, there are differences among various groups of travelers in their preferences and demands for the convenience, economy, and comfort aspects of travel options. These research findings can enhance our understanding of the key factors influencing the selection of RRIT services, thereby supporting RRIT designers and planners in improving service quality and facilitating the future growth of RRIT.

Investigating Mode Choice Behavior for the Introduction of Underground Shared Autonomous Vehicle Service: Case Study in the city of Seoul

Investigating Mode Choice Behavior for the Introduction of Underground Shared Autonomous Vehicle Service: Case Study in the city of Seoul

Activity-based and agent-based transport model of Melbourne: an open multi-modal transport simulation model for Greater Melbourne

Activity- and agent-based models for simulating transport systems have attracted significant attention in recent years. However, building these types of models at a city-wide level and including motorized (i.e. cars and public transport) and non-motorized (i.e. walk and bicycle) modes of transport is a complicated and involved task. This paper presents an open workflow for creating large-scale multi-modal agent-based transport simulation models. The workflow brings together a number of external tools, for example, an activity-based demand generation tool and a road network generation tool, and a set of tools developed for the agent-based model parameter estimation, calibration, and simulation post-processing. We used this workflow to create an activity- and agent-based model for Melbourne and compared the output of the simulation model with observations from the real world in terms of mode share, road volume, travel time, and travel distance. Through these comparisons, we showed that our model is suitable for studying mode choice and road usage behavior of travelers. The calibrated model could be used to test road network change interventions. In addition, a similar workflow can be applied for building simulation models for other cities or could be expanded to include more complicated travel behaviors.

Car Ownership, Commute Distance, and Commute Mode Choice in the Dense Megacity of a Developing Country: The Direct and Indirect Role of the Built Environment

Despite much having been published about the effects of the built environment (BE) on urban travel in the developed world, few articles have so far been published based on studies using a megacity in a developing country. The paper addresses the existing gaps in research by conducting a study in Dhaka, one of the densest urban areas globally. An integrated framework based on the structural equation model and discrete choice model is used to examine how individual commute mode choice behavior is influenced by the BE, as mediated by car ownership and commute distance. Three BE features—population density, street connectivity, and job-to-household ratio—have a direct and total positive association with non-motorized transport use. Although being close to bus stops does not directly affect people’s choice to take non-motorized transport, it does promote non-motorized travel in an indirect way by decreasing car ownership and commute distance. Population density, job-to-household ratio, proximity to the nearest central business district, and bus stop proximity all have a positive direct and total impact on transit use, although larger employment densities directly support automobile use over transit. Understanding how the BE affects commute distance, car ownership, and mode choice is a useful reference for the development of practical measures to reduce demand for automobiles.

A study on commuters’ public transportation mode choice behavior in river valley-type cities considering terrain spatial perception: evidence from Lanzhou, China

Existing research rarely examines the subjective and objective built environment of river valley-type cities in relation to travel mode choice, particularly overlooking the heterogeneity among travelers in these cities. In this paper, based on questionnaire survey data and built environment data, terrain spatial perception (TSP) is introduced to expand the theory of planned behavior (TPB), and a Structural Equation Model (SEM) is established. Factor analysis and path analysis are conducted using SPSS and AMOS to estimate latent variables. An integrated model of SEM and random parameter Logit model (RPLM), which can not only analyze the psychological perception factors of commuters in river valley-type cities but also consider the heterogeneity of psychological perception, was constructed to analyze the impact of personal attributes, objective built environment factors, and psychological latent variables on the commuting mode choice behavior of public transport users in river valley-type cities. The results indicate that the five observation indicators corresponding to the proposed terrain spatial perception latent variables can better explain the terrain spatial perception of commuters in river valley-type cities. Different from plain cities, the subjective and objective built environment of river valley-type cities notably influence the travel behavior of commuters. Moreover, the parameters of terrain spatial perception follow a normal distribution, indicating that the sensitivity of different commuters to the terrain spatial perception of river valley-type cities is heterogeneous. The results of our study can provide a reference for alleviating traffic issues in valley cities.

Consumer Preferences and Determinants of Transportation Mode Choice Behaviors in the Era of Autonomous Vehicles

Consumer Preferences and Determinants of Transportation Mode Choice Behaviors in the Era of Autonomous Vehicles

Coupling graph neural networks and travel mode choice for human mobility prediction

Travel mode serves as the link for communication among people, between people and objects, and between people and places. The human mobility is closely related to travel mode. Scientifically predicting human mobility can help alleviate traffic congestion and provide flexible travel choices. However, in current predictions, only the travel demand or human mobility is taken into account, while the influence of residents on the travel mode choice is neglected. Therefore, taking Wuhan City as an example, this paper proposes a new method for predicting human mobility by employing graph neural network techniques and travel mode choice behavior. The prediction model established in this study utilizes network analysis to measure the accessibility time and road network distance of traffic travel mode. The graph neural network method is employed to capture the dynamic temporal and spatial relationships underlying human mobility. Furthermore, the performance of the prediction model is evaluated. The results indicate that at a fine spatial scale, the new method can more accurately reveal the spatial patterns of changes in human mobility, significantly improving the accuracy of predicting human mobility.

Joint Routing and Pricing Control in Bimodal Mixed Autonomy Networks with Elastic Demand and Three-Dimensional Passenger Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram

The interaction between mixed autonomy traffic and public transport vehicles competing for limited road space is a less explored area of research. To evaluate the traffic dynamics in bimodal networks, a three-dimensional (passenger) network fundamental diagram, known as 3D-NFD (3D-pNFD), can be estimated that relates the accumulation of cars (autonomous and human-driven) and buses to the network vehicular (passenger) travel production. In this study, we propose a 3D-pNFD-based congestion pricing scheme considering three vehicle classes of buses, system-optimal (SO) seeking connected and automated vehicles (CAVs), and user-equilibrium (UE) seeking human-driven vehicles (HVs). We develop an iterative tri-level modeling framework for mode choice, pricing, and route choice in a mixed autonomy network. The lower level generates mixed equilibrium traffic flow through an integrated mixed equilibrium simulation-based dynamic traffic assignment model and a transit assignment model. The mid-level finds the optimal toll rates through a 3D-pNFD feedback-based controller. A nested logit-based mode choice model is also applied to capture travelers’ preferences toward three available modes and incorporates elastic demand. To encourage CAVs to follow the SO routing mode, they are provided with a discount on the congestion toll whereas UE-seeking HVs are subject to full price toll. Buses are also entirely exempt from the toll. We explore three scenarios with different discount rates on SO-seeking CAVs to investigate the effect of the incentive plans on the mode choice behaviors of road users in the pricing zone. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated in a large-scale network in Melbourne, Australia.

Modeling travel mode choice behavior for planned special events using CPT-based HI-MADM approach

ABSTRACT Planned special events (PSEs) can significantly increase traffic demand, posing greater challenges than daily operations. In response, host cities often invest heavily in transportation upgrades. This study proposes a model integrating cumulative prospect theory (CPT) and multiple-attribute decision-making to understand mode choice behavior of PSE attendees. This integration enables direct extraction of traveler preference information, offering a more suitable description of the decision-making process. The decision matrix considers mode and attribute heterogeneity. The reference point for CPT is derived from previous PSE trips or commutes. Furthermore, this paper assesses asymmetric nonlinear sensitivity and distorted perceptions of different attributes. Analysis of mode-choice behavior for PSE participation, using survey data from Tianjin, China, validates the approach. It better characterizes PSE choice behaviors and demonstrates varying sensitivity to gains and losses, dependent on different attributes and distances. Thus, event planners should prioritize improving travel time and convenience to increase public transport mode share.

Random Regret Minimization Approach to Commuting Mode Choice in São Paulo, Brazil

The random regret minimization (RRM) approach has been widely used in transport literature, but its application in the Global South is still marginal. In this paper we discuss individual commuting mode choice in the city of São Paulo (Brazil) from the perspective of the RRM modeling approach and its variants found in the literature. We estimated several multinomial logit models (random utility maximization [RUM], classical RRM, [Formula: see text]RRM, and hybrid formulations of RUM-RRM models) and explored regret scale and decision rule heterogeneities using latent class models with specific [Formula: see text] parameters. The results showed that the RRM approach outperformed its RUM counterpart in relation to model fit and suggested that it better captured the mode choice behavior of individuals in the analyzed context. We also found that accounting for heterogeneity in scale and decision rules improved the results of the models, and the specific [Formula: see text] parameters indicated that individuals displayed different regret behavior for travel time and travel cost attributes.

Examining Travel Mode Preference for the COVID-19 Post-Vaccination Period: Insights from Dhaka, Bangladesh

This research investigates preferences of general public towards travel modes in the COVID-19 post-vaccination times. First, a questionnaire survey is conducted in Dhaka, Bangladesh, to gather information on people's socio-demographic characteristics, travel choices before, during, and after the pandemic, and attitudes towards public transit, active transport, and personal car. Next, three ordered logit models are developed to explore how mode preferences vary across socio-demographics, travel characteristics, and risk perceptions. This research identifies factors that contribute to commuters' travel mode preference as well as factors that act as deterrents. Analysis reveals that there will be a noticeable shift from public transport to private car and active transport. To be able to walk or bike to work, people may consider relocating closer to their workplaces. Individuals who used a private car before vaccination may continue to do so after being vaccinated. Additionally, women are more likely to prefer own vehicles while people aged more than 49 years are less likely to prefer public transport. Results also suggest that use of food delivery services, ridesharing, and working from home significantly affects travel mode preference. Individuals who never used ridesharing services are more likely to prefer walking and bicycling after vaccination. The outcomes of this study are expected to assist transport policymakers in the Global South to better understand COVID-19′s long-term influence on mode choice behavior and help in developing pragmatic policies to promote sustainable travel habits.

Predicting travel mode choice with a robust neural network and Shapley additive explanations analysis

AbstractPredicting and understanding travellers’ mode choices is crucial to developing urban transportation systems and formulating traffic demand management strategies. Machine learning (ML) methods have been widely used as promising alternatives to traditional discrete choice models owing to their high prediction accuracy. However, a significant body of ML methods, especially the branch of neural networks, is constrained by overfitting and a lack of model interpretability. This study employs a neural network with feature selection for predicting travel mode choices and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis for model interpretation. A dataset collected in Chengdu, China was used for experimentation. The results reveal that the neural network achieves commendable prediction performance, with a 12% improvement over the traditional multinomial logit model. Also, feature selection using a combined result from two embedded methods can alleviate the overfitting tendency of the neural network, while establishing a more robust model against redundant or unnecessary variables. Additionally, the SHAP analysis identifies factors such as travel expenditure, age, driving experience, number of cars owned, individual monthly income, and trip purpose as significant features in our dataset. The heterogeneity of mode choice behaviour is significant among demographic groups, including different age, car ownership, and income levels.

Passenger valuation of interchanges in urban public transport

Understanding how passengers perceive public transport interchanges is important to better explain current public transport mode and route choice behaviour and to better predict future demand levels. In this study we derive how passengers value a public transport interchange in a metropolitan context entirely based on recent, large-scale, Revealed Preference data, explicitly distinguishing between different types and modes of public transport interchanges. For this purpose we estimate three discrete choice models using maximum likelihood estimation, based on over 26,000 passenger route choices observed in June 2023 in the Greater London Area. We find that each public transport interchange is on average valued equivalent to 5 min uncrowded in-vehicle time. Additionally, our model results provide quantitative evidence that cross-platform interchanges between two metro journey legs are valued 20–25 % less negatively than a regular metro interchange where a level change is required. Multimodal bus-metro interchanges and out-of-station interchanges are perceived most negatively by passengers. Passengers value bus-bus interchanges on average about 60 % more negatively than metro-metro interchanges, possibly driven by factors such as comfort, service frequency, reliability and (perceived) safety. Our study results can be used for business case and appraisal purposes, when quantifying the impact of service changes which affect the number or type of interchanges.

Determining causality in travel mode choice

This article presents one of the pioneering studies on causal modeling in travel mode choice decision-making using causal discovery algorithms. These models are a major advancement from conventional correlation-based techniques. We propose a novel methodology that combines causal discovery with structural equation modeling (SEM). This modeling approach overcomes some of the limitations of SEM by combining the strengths of both causal discovery and SEM. Causal discovery algorithms determine causal graphs from observational data and domain knowledge, and SEMs estimate direct causal effects and test the performance of causal discovery algorithms. In this study, we test four causal discovery algorithms: Peter-Clark (PC), Fast Causal Inference (FCI), Fast Greedy Equivalence Search (FGES), and Direct Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models (DirectLiNGAM). The results show that DirectLiNGAM based SEM model best captures causality in mode choice behavior. It passes several goodness-of-fit tests, including Root Mean Square Error of Approximation (RMSEA) and Goodness-of-Fit Index (GFI), and it achieves the lowest Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) value. The analyses are conducted on data collected from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey in the New York Metropolitan area.