Abstract The modal parameters of long-range cruise weapon systems are typically obtained through finite element analysis and ground vibration testing. However, due to the inability to simulate the system’s time-varying characteristics under flight conditions, it is customary to conduct finite element modelling or ground vibration testing based on several representative operating scenarios. Subsequently, the flight modal frequency of the system is derived through numerical interpolation. This repetitive modelling, analysis, and ground testing process is both time-consuming and resource-intensive. This paper delves into the data-driven output-only identification approach, developing a recursive identification method solely based on the output, which incorporates a time-varying auto-regressive moving average (TARMA) model. By introducing a forgetting factor, the method effectively tracks the system’s time-varying characteristics, enabling rapid and accurate acquisition of the time-varying mode of long-range guided missiles even under unknown excitation conditions. Focusing specifically on the time-varying modal identification challenge posed by a long-range cruise missile, this study performs a frequency spectrum analysis of flight telemetry data. By comparing this analysis with ground vibration experimental data, the disparities between the in-flight and ground modes are elucidated. Leveraging the recursive identification method, the time-varying modal parameters of the flight telemetry data are successfully identified. The alignment between the identified results and the spectral analysis outcomes validates the effectiveness of the proposed online identification technique for time-varying modal parameters, thereby serving the engineering requirements for finite element model refinement and attitude control system design in long-range cruise missiles.
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