Mittag-Leffler Distributions Research Articles

A new family of copulas based on probability generating functions

Abstract We propose a method to obtain a new class of copulas using a probability generating function (PGF) of positive-integer valued random variable. Some existing copulas in the literature are sub-families of the proposed copulas. Various dependence measures and invariant property of the tail dependence coefficient under PGF transformation are also discussed. We propose an algorithm for generating random numbers from the PGF copula. The bivariate concavity properties, such as Schur concavity and quasi-concavity, associated with the PGF copula are studied. Two new generalized FGM copulas are introduced using PGFs of geometric and discrete Mittag-Leffler distributions. The proposed two copulas improved the Spearman’s rho of FGM copula by (−0.3333, 0.4751) and (−0.3333, 0.9573). Finally, we analyse a real dataset to illustrate the practical application of the proposed copulas.

Shock models based on renewal processes with matrix Mittag-Leffler distributed inter-arrival times

Some general shock models are considered under the assumption that shocks occur according to a renewal process with the matrix Mittag-Leffler distributed inter-arrival times. As the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions is wide and well-suited for modeling the heavy tail phenomena, these shock models can be very useful for analysis of lifetimes of systems subject to random shocks with inter-arrival times having heavier tails. Some relevant stochastic properties of the introduced models are described. Finally, two applications, namely, the optimal replacement policy and the optimal mission duration are discussed.

Single-Block Recursive Poisson–Dirichlet Fragmentations of Normalized Generalized Gamma Processes

Dong, Goldschmidt and Martin (2006) (DGM) showed that, for 0<α<1, and θ>−α, the repeated application of independent single-block fragmentation operators based on mass partitions following a two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution with parameters (α,1−α) to a mass partition having a Poisson–Dirichlet distribution with parameters (α,θ) leads to a remarkable nested family of Poisson—Dirichlet distributed mass partitions with parameters (α,θ+r) for r=0,1,2,⋯. Furthermore, these generate a Markovian sequence of α-diversities following Mittag-Leffler distributions, whose ratios lead to independent Beta-distributed variables. These Markov chains are referred to as Mittag-Leffler Markov chains and arise in the broader literature involving Pólya urn and random tree/graph growth models. Here we obtain explicit descriptions of properties of these processes when conditioned on a mixed Poisson process when it equates to an integer n, which has interpretations in a species sampling context. This is equivalent to obtaining properties of the fragmentation operations of (DGM) when applied to mass partitions formed by the normalized jumps of a generalized gamma subordinator and its generalizations. We focus primarily on the case where n=0,1.

On a Multivariate Analog of the Zolotarev Problem

A generalized multivariate problem due to V. M. Zolotarev is considered. Some related results on geometric random sums and (multivariate) geometric stable distributions are extended to a more general case of “anisotropic” random summation where sums of independent random vectors with multivariate random index having a special multivariate geometric distribution are considered. Anisotropic-geometric stable distributions are introduced. It is demonstrated that these distributions are coordinate-wise scale mixtures of elliptically contoured stable distributions with the Marshall–Olkin mixing distributions. The corresponding “anisotropic” analogs of multivariate Laplace, Linnik and Mittag–Leffler distributions are introduced. Some relations between these distributions are presented.

Fractional Poisson random sum and its associated normal variance mixture

In this work, we study the partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with the number of terms following a fractional Poisson (FP) distribution. The FP sum contains the Poisson and geometric summations as particular cases. We show that the weak limit of the FP summation, when properly normalized, is a mixture between the normal and Mittag-Leffler distributions, which we call by Normal-Mittag-Leffler (NML) law. A parameter estimation procedure for the NML distribution is developed and the associated asymptotic distribution is derived. Simulations are run to check the performance of the proposed estimators under finite samples. An empirical illustration on the daily log-returns of the Brazilian stock exchange index (IBOVESPA) shows that the NML distribution captures better the tails than some of its competitors. Related problems such as a mixed Poisson representation for the FP law and the weak convergence for the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson random sum are also addressed.

Gibbs partitions, Riemann–Liouville fractional operators, Mittag–Leffler functions, and fragmentations derived from stable subordinators

AbstractPitman (2003), and subsequently Gnedin and Pitman (2006), showed that a large class of random partitions of the integers derived from a stable subordinator of index $\alpha\in(0,1)$ have infinite Gibbs (product) structure as a characterizing feature. The most notable case are random partitions derived from the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution, $\textrm{PD}(\alpha,\theta)$, whose corresponding $\alpha$-diversity/local time have generalized Mittag–Leffler distributions, denoted by $\textrm{ML}(\alpha,\theta)$. Our aim in this work is to provide indications on the utility of the wider class of Gibbs partitions as it relates to a study of Riemann–Liouville fractional integrals and size-biased sampling, and in decompositions of special functions, and its potential use in the understanding of various constructions of more exotic processes. We provide characterizations of general laws associated with nested families of $\textrm{PD}(\alpha,\theta)$ mass partitions that are constructed from fragmentation operations described in Dong et al. (2014). These operations are known to be related in distribution to various constructions of discrete random trees/graphs in [n], and their scaling limits. A centerpiece of our work is results related to Mittag–Leffler functions, which play a key role in fractional calculus and are otherwise Laplace transforms of the $\textrm{ML}(\alpha,\theta)$ variables. Notably, this leads to an interpretation within the context of $\textrm{PD}(\alpha,\theta)$ laws conditioned on Poisson point process counts over intervals of scaled lengths of the $\alpha$-diversity.

Matrix Mittag–Leffler distributions and modeling heavy-tailed risks

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and alternatively also as the absorption time of a semi-Markov process with Mittag-Leffler distributed interarrival times. We then identify this class and its power transforms as a remarkably parsimonious and versatile family for the modeling of heavy-tailed risks, which overcomes some disadvantages of other approaches like the problem of threshold selection in extreme value theory. We illustrate this point both on simulated data as well as on a set of real-life MTPL insurance data that were modeled differently in the past.

Multivariate Scale-Mixed Stable Distributions and Related Limit Theorems

In the paper, multivariate probability distributions are considered that are representable as scale mixtures of multivariate stable distributions. Multivariate analogs of the Mittag–Leffler distribution are introduced. Some properties of these distributions are discussed. The main focus is on the representations of the corresponding random vectors as products of independent random variables and vectors. In these products, relations are traced of the distributions of the involved terms with popular probability distributions. As examples of distributions of the class of scale mixtures of multivariate stable distributions, multivariate generalized Linnik distributions and multivariate generalized Mittag–Leffler distributions are considered in detail. Their relations with multivariate ‘ordinary’ Linnik distributions, multivariate normal, stable and Laplace laws as well as with univariate Mittag–Leffler and generalized Mittag–Leffler distributions are discussed. Limit theorems are proved presenting necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the distributions of random sequences with independent random indices (including sums of a random number of random vectors and multivariate statistics constructed from samples with random sizes) to scale mixtures of multivariate elliptically contoured stable distributions. The property of scale-mixed multivariate elliptically contoured stable distributions to be both scale mixtures of a non-trivial multivariate stable distribution and a normal scale mixture is used to obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the distributions of random sums of random vectors with covariance matrices to the multivariate generalized Linnik distribution.

Truncated Mittag-Leffler distribution and superstatistics

The Mittag-Leffler stochastic process is an important tool in practical applications. In this paper, we first focus on some claims of Burr type-XII as a superstatistical stationary distribution (Sánchez, 2019). Then, we present the capabilities of the Mittag-Leffler distribution and introduce truncated Mittag-Leffler distributions. Finally, in the oil price analysis of time series real data, we show that the truncated Mittag-Leffler distribution performs better than other nominated distributions, especially the Burr distribution.

Multivariate matrix Mittag–Leffler distributions

We extend the construction principle of multivariate phase-type distributions to establish an analytically tractable class of heavy-tailed multivariate random variables whose marginal distributions are of Mittag–Leffler type with arbitrary index of regular variation. The construction can essentially be seen as allowing a scalar parameter to become matrix-valued. The class of distributions is shown to be dense among all multivariate positive random variables and hence provides a versatile candidate for the modelling of heavy-tailed, but tail-independent, risks in various fields of application.

Tsallis–Mittag-Leffler distribution and its applications in gas prices

The theory of Mittag-Leffler process is a fundamental concept in probability and stochastic process. This paper introduces the class of Tsallis–Mittag-Leffler distributions. In special case, our results include a new Tsallis q-Weibull distribution, one-parametric Mittag-Leffler distribution and some other well-known distributions. Finally, to illustrate the applicability of our distribution, a real data set on gas prices in time series data based on 100 days moving average is analyzed.

On the stochastic equation [formula omitted] and properties of Mittag–Leffler distributions

The stochastic equation Z=dV(X+Z), where V, X and Z are independent, has a wide range of applications in finance, insurance, telecommunications and time series analysis. Dufresne[8,9] solves for some specific cases of this equation by the algebraic properties of beta and gamma distributions. This paper aims to generalise Dufresne’s results to beta and Mittag–Leffler distributions and solve for new specific distributions of Z.

NEW RESULTS ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF DISCOUNTED COMPOUND POISSON SUMS

AbstractThis paper focuses on the distribution of Poisson sums of discounted claims over a finite or infinite time period. It gives two new results when claim amounts follow Mittag-Leffler distributions and two new results when claim amounts follow gamma distributions. Further, as Mittag-Leffler distribution is of heavy-tailed nature and its moments only exist for order strictly smaller than one, this distribution can be used for modelling insurance whose claim amounts are extremely large, that is, catastrophe insurance.

On the convolution of Mittag–Leffler distributions and its applications to fractional point processes

We obtain the distribution of the sum of independent Mittag–Leffler (ML) random variables which are not necessarily identically distributed. Firstly we discuss the corresponding known result for independent and identically distributed ML random variables which follows as a special case of our result. Some applications of the obtained result to fractional point processes are also discussed.

From Weakly Chaotic Dynamics to Deterministic Subdiffusion via Copula Modeling

Copula modeling consists in finding a probabilistic distribution, called copula, whereby its coupling with the marginal distributions of a set of random variables produces their joint distribution. The present work aims to use this technique to connect the statistical distributions of weakly chaotic dynamics and deterministic subdiffusion. More precisely, we decompose the jumps distribution of Geisel-Thomae map into a bivariate one and determine the marginal and copula distributions respectively by infinite ergodic theory and statistical inference techniques. We verify therefore that the characteristic tail distribution of subdiffusion is an extreme value copula coupling Mittag-Leffler distributions. We also present a method to calculate the exact copula and joint distributions in the case where weakly chaotic dynamics and deterministic subdiffusion statistical distributions are already known. Numerical simulations and consistency with the dynamical aspects of the map support our results.

On a jump-telegraph process driven by an alternating fractional Poisson process

AbstractThe basic jump-telegraph process with exponentially distributed interarrival times deserves interest in various applied fields such as financial modelling and queueing theory. Aiming to propose a more general setting, we analyse such a stochastic process when the interarrival times separating consecutive velocity changes (and jumps) have generalized Mittag-Leffler distributions, and constitute the random times of a fractional alternating Poisson process. By means of renewal theory-based issues we obtain the forward and backward transition densities of the motion in series form, and prove their uniform convergence. Specific attention is then given to the case of jumps with constant size, for which we also obtain the mean of the process. Finally, we investigate the first-passage time of the process through a constant positive boundary, providing its formal distribution and suitable lower bounds.

Log-Moment Estimators for the Generalized Linnik and Mittag-Leffler Distributions with Applications to Financial Modeling

We propose formal estimation procedures for the parameters of the generalized, heavy-tailed three-parameter Linnik gL(α, µ, δ) and Mittag-Leffler gML(α, µ, δ) distributions. The paper also aims to provide guidance about the different inference procedures for the different two-parameter Linnik and Mittag-Leffler distributions in the current literature. The estimators are derived from the moments of the log-transformed random variables and are shown to be asymptotically unbiased. The estimation algorithms are computationally efficient and the proposed procedures are tested using the daily S&P 500 and Dow Jones index data. The results show that the two-parameter Linnik and Mittag-Leffler models are not flexible enough to accurately model the current stock market data.

The discrete delta and nabla Mittag-Leffler distributions

ABSTRACTIn this paper, we extend Bernstein theorem by using basic tools of calculus on time scales, and, as a further application of it, the discrete nabla and delta Mittag-Leffler distributions are introduced here with respect to their Laplace transforms on the discrete time scale. For these discrete distributions, infinite divisibility and geometric infinite divisibility are proved along with some statistical properties. The delta and nabla Mittag-Leffler processes are defined.

On the local times of stationary processes with conditional local limit theorems

We investigate the connection between conditional local limit theorems and the local time of integer-valued stationary processes. We show that a conditional local limit theorem (at 0) implies the convergence of local times to Mittag-Leffler distributions, both in the weak topology of distributions and a.s. in the space of distributions.

Limit Distributions for Doubly Stochastically Rarefied Renewal Processes and Their Properties

A limit theorem is proved for doubly stochastically rarefied renewal processes. It is shown that under rather general conditions, as limit laws in limit theorems for mixed geometric random sums, there appear mixed exponential and mixed Laplace distributions. Some known and new properties of these distributions are reviewed. Also, some nonobvious properties of special representatives of these classes (the Weibull, Mittag-Leffler, Linnik, and other distributions) are described.