Background: To clarify whether renal α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA)-positive cell and macrophage accumulation can predict the prognosis of renal dysfunction, we evaluated them by means of multivariate analysis and compared them with other clinical predictors in patients with membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis (MPGN) type 1 with normal renal function. Methods: We enrolled 35 patients with MPGN type 1 who had normal creatinine clearance at the time of renal biopsy. These patients were divided into 2 groups based on clinical status at the last examination. Group 1 consisted of 12 patients with normal urine and 12 patients with minor urinary abnormalities at the latest observation, whereas group 2 consisted of 7 patients with persistent nephropathy and 4 patients with renal insufficiency. The first and second renal biopsy findings, including α-SMA and CD68-positive staining, were investigated for both groups. Results: Mean scores for glomerular and interstitial α-SMA staining in group 2 were significantly higher than those in group 1. At the second biopsy, mean scores for interstitial CD68-positive staining in group 2 were higher than those in group 1. Mean scores for glomerular and interstitial α-SMA at the first biopsy correlated with the chronicity index at the second biopsy in both groups. Conclusion: Our results suggest that glomerular and interstitial α-SMA expression at the first biopsy can predict the prognosis of children with MPGN type 1.