Ministry Of Commerce Research Articles

GREEK SHIPPING ON THE BLACK AND AZOV SEAS AT THE TURN OF THE 40s - 50s OF THE NINETEENTH CENTURY (BASED ON THE MATERIALS OF THE AUSTRIAN CONSULAR REPORTS AND THE AUSTRIAN PRESS)

The article aims to examine the participation of the Greek merchant fleet in the navigation of the Black and Azov Seas in the mid-nineteenth century on the basis of a complex of Austrian sources that has been little studied in Ukrainian historiography. The latter included published reports from Austrian consular offices in Odesa, Berdiansk, Mariupol, Trebizond, and Galați. Materials from the Austrian press of the time are also used, primarily from the Austrian Ministry of Commerce's “Austria” newspaper, which was published as a daily newspaper from 1849 to 1856 and as a weekly from 1856. During the period under review, the Greek fleet was in a leading position in shipping in the Black and Azov Seas, successfully competing with the Austrian, British and Italian fleets. The success of the Greek merchant fleet was due, among other things, to the fact that seafaring was an ancient Greek craft, and in Ottoman times they were able to maintain the continuity of experience and tradition. In addition, this was facilitated by the developed network of Greek trading houses, which were widely represented in the main area of their fleet's navigation, in the Mediterranean Sea, especially its eastern part, and in the Black and Azov Seas. Therefore, the radical political and economic changes in the Black and Azov Seas regions did not take them and the Italians by surprise, and they were the first to take advantage of the rapid development of trade and transport traffic there. And despite increased competition in the mid-nineteenth century from the Austrians and the British, the Greeks continued to hold top positions in the shipping of the Black and Azov Seas. Moreover, unlike the Sardinians, they were gradually involved in long-distance voyages beyond Gibraltar, mainly to Great Britain. At the same time, the challenges for the traditionally sailing Greek merchant fleet from the emergence of steamship lines on the Black Sea were outlined. The first indicators were the activities of some of the Greeks' main competitors, the Austrians, in the Danube ports and on the Bulgarian coast, and the British, Austrians and Turks in the Anatolian ports.

Oil and Gas Industry of India: Russian Aspect

Rather high rates of GDP growth (compared to the world average and other Asian countries) and real incomes of the population, combined with ongoing policies of industrialization and urbaniza-tion, make India one of the most attractive markets for commodities. The country needs natural resources, mainly oil and gas. Among the key areas of development of the national economy are the oil and gas producing and processing industries. Cooperation in the energy sector between Russia and India is developing steadily and progressively, important joint projects are also being implemented. The Russian Federation exports all types of raw materials, with the exception of pipeline natural gas. In 2023, oil imports from Russia, according to the Ministry of Commerce and Industry of India, amounted to 82.21 million tons (about 1.64 million barrels per day), which is 2.61 times higher than in 2022. During the same period, 9.09 million tons of Russian oil prod-ucts were delivered (+2.39 times to the level of 2022), more than 70 % of which were fuel oil. India is also among the largest importers of Russian coal and СNG. In 2023, India imported about 23.21 million tons of Russian coal (+28.8 % to the level of 2022) and 0.41 million tons of CNG (equal to the level of 2022). As you can see, Russia is interested in increasing the export of commodities to India due to the fact that the latter is an emerging economy and acts as an ex-panding market for natural fuels for the needs of households and industry. In addition, owing to the sanction restrictions imposed on Russian companies and the need to diversify supplies, in terms of foreign economy Russia takes particular interest in cooperation with Indian partners. Let’s study India’s energy policy, especially its oil and gas market, below.

Impact of De-Dollarisation Move on Indian Rupee

Since the Russia-Ukraine war, it seems to be an era ofeconomic uncertainties and tense geopolitical relations. Could India reap some benefits arising out of these tense geopolitical scenario and uncertain geo-economic conditions? Post the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, Russia and China entered into a strategic relationship which provides a window for a more multialigned India. India could really reap the benefits of this strategic relationship of Russia and China if it can utilise this as an opportunity and puts more emphasis on its economic growth and market-oriented reforms. This could be possible if India strives for driving service based exports besides extending the manufacturing sector and gaining a pivotal role on the economic front through major chunk of global trade. India can utilise this strategic alliance of Russia and China as an opportunity especially by strengthening its economic power by focussing on service based exports besides expansionary move in the manufacturing sector. India could really gain out of these opportunities since lot many events are occurring globally which are really aiding India. Recent complex notifications as being given by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, emphasised a few class of exporters and importers to execute trade transactions in the India Rupee. It is really a turning point amidst latest phenomenon of global trade promoting globalisation in almost every sphere of trade with a great hue and cry. These bilateral trade orders really made the citizens nostalgic about EXIM policy in the past before the globalisation move. But how this time these notifications deviate from the times when India used to have a closed economic system. At that time the dollar was king, imports were strictly regulated by tariffs, foreign exchange reserves were limited and above all these recent measures of foreign trade in India in Indian Rupee pose an important question whether this is a move towards de-dollarisation and if it provides a window for Indian Rupee to rise.

Comparative Analysis of FDI Inflow in Emerging Economies

This comprehensive document offers an extensive comparative analysis of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in emerging economics, with a primary focus on key emerging countries. These nations have increasing attracted foreign investor seeking new growth opportunities. The BRICS group which includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, stands out as an important subject for this comparative study. The main objective is to gain comprehensive understanding of the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow patterns is developing countries over the previous decade, emphasizing temporal trends and assessing the profound impact of FDI on their economic growth. The methodology employed in this research involves secondary data analysis utilizing information from reports by institution like the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Macro Trends and the Ministry of Commerce. The study also includes an in-depth review of research papers, thorough and a meticulous analysis of FDI inflow data spanning the last 10 years. To gauge the influence of FDI on economic growth, a rigorous regression analysis is conducted. Emerging economies have increasingly become hotbeds for foreign investment, attracting capital from across the globe. Investors seeking to diversify their portfolios have taken notice of these countries because they present a multitude of growth potential. The BRICS group is unique among these rising economies because of its size, diversity, and potential for economic growth. Over the past decade, the BRICS nations have experienced significant shifts in FDI inflows, reflecting the evolving global economic landscape. This analysis clarifies the factors driving these investments and their effects on economic growth, with a focus on comprehending the long-term trends in FDI inflows to these nations. It is imperative that investors and regulators alike comprehend these trends. In addition to providing overall FDI inflow statistics, the analysis looks at the industries and geographical areas that have drawn in a lot of foreign capital. Moreover, it examines the evolution of policies and regulations in these countries that have played a pivotal role in shaping FDI trends. The central theme of this research revolves around assessing the impact of FDI on the economic growth of the BRICS nations. In order to do this, we measure the impact of FDI on these nations' economic performance using rigorous regression analysis. This empirical analysis helps us understand how much foreign direct investment (FDI) has contributed to economic growth and whether this contribution differs across the BRICS nations. Key words – FDI, BRICS, Inflow, economic growth.

Evaluating the Impact of ICDP on India’s Coffee Production, Yield, and Exports

The coffee industry plays a pivotal role in India's agricultural sector, contributing significantly to the country's economy and livelihoods. However, the sector has faced challenges such as fluctuating yields, inconsistent production, and varying export quantities, largely due to biotic and abiotic stress factors. In response, the Ministry of Commerce and Industry launched the Integrated Coffee Development Project (ICDP) in 2014, aiming to enhance coffee production, productivity, and quality across both traditional and non-traditional growing regions in India. This research paper evaluates the impact of ICDP on coffee production, yield, and exports in India by analysing data from 2008 to 2022. The study adopts an interrupted time series analysis methodology to assess trends in the area under cultivation, production, yield, and export quantities before and after the ICDP intervention. The study period is divided into pre- and post-intervention phases to quantify the effects of the scheme. The results indicate a mixed impact of the ICDP. Traditional coffee-growing areas showed initial increases in production and yield, followed by declines, while non-traditional areas exhibited smaller but more consistent growth. Exports also experienced a temporary decline post-intervention but later rebounded, though at a slower growth rate. The analysis underscores the complexity of agricultural interventions, suggesting that while the ICDP had positive impacts in certain areas, challenges such as climate variability and pest infestations continue to affect the sector's overall growth. In conclusion, the ICDP has contributed to stabilizing and developing India’s coffee sector, but ongoing efforts are needed to address the underlying challenges hindering sustained progress.

Intensified law enforcement and firm innovation: Evidence from China's antitrust consolidation

This paper examines the significant transformation in China's antitrust regulatory framework following the consolidation of its three primary antitrust agencies the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM), the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), and the State Administration for Industry & Commerce (SAIC) into the State Administration for Market Supervision (SAMR). Utilizing data from publicly listed firms across various industries, we analyze how firms in highly concentrated industries have adapted to this consolidation, by increasing the R&D investment, patent filing, and total factor productivity (TFP). Our mechanism channel indicates that stricter enforcement actions and fines by SAMR have spurred competition and innovation, with effects that are comparably significant across both state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and private firms. The paper contributes to the literature by providing an empirical assessment of the effects of this major restructuring within China's Anti-Monopoly Law (AML) enforcement. Our findings shed light on the broader implications of regulatory consolidations on firm innovation, offering insights into the efficacy of such transformations in antitrust policy.

Service Innovation And Marketing Performance Of Eatery Firms In Port Harcourt, Rivers State

The study delved into the correlation between service innovation and marketing performance within eateries in Port Harcourt. A descriptive survey design was employed, targeting 121 eateries registered with the Rivers State Ministry of Commerce and Industry as of May 2023. With a sample size of 90 respondents determined using Krejcie and Morgan's (1970) Table, 80 completed questionnaires were used for analysis after achieving an 89% response rate. Utilizing SPSS Version 2.2.0, Spearman Rank Order Correlation was employed to test the hypotheses. The results indicated a noteworthy relationship between service innovation dimensions and various marketing performance measures among eateries in Port Harcourt. The study concluded that the relationship between service innovation and marketing performance is noteworthy, suggesting that eateries in Port Harcourt integrate new service concepts and delivery methods to enhance customer retention and repeat purchases. Furthermore, the study recommends providing effective training to employees for managing new customer relationships.

Study on the Impact of State Relations on Chinas Industrial Supply Chain Upstream from the Perspective of International Trade: A Case Study of Mineral Resources

As a major global power, Chinas overseas interests are rapidly expanding. Ensuring the security of industrial supply chains has become a critical issue. This paper adopts the perspective of international trade, utilizing the random frontier gravity model, and focuses on the top five mineral products and raw materials exported from China to India according to the 2019 export composition table of the Ministry of Commerce of the Peoples Republic of China. Based on export data of these minerals from China to India between 2008 and 2023, this paper analyzes the trends in mineral import and export, studies the correlation between bilateral trade between China and India and changes in Sino-Indian relations, and points out the potential impact of current Sino-Indian relations on Chinas upstream industrial chain. The study finds that for mineral fuels, mineral oils and their products, asphalt, zinc and its products, and steel products, Sino-Indian relations have a relatively minor impact on Chinas imports of such minerals and raw materials from India. However, for steel resources, Sino-Indian relations show a significant positive correlation with their import situation. Based on the current state of Sino-Indian relations, the study will propose relevant recommendations for the production and export of Indian steel and other mineral resources, combined with the needs of Chinas upstream industrial supply chain. This study aims to provide relevant insights and references for safeguarding Chinas strategic mineral resource security.

A Study of Factors Influencing China's Agricultural Exports to Japan

As a key focus of trade negotiations between China and Japan, trade in agricultural products has received special attention to the tariffs and preferential conditions involved. According to data provided by China Customs, China's agricultural exports to Japan fell after peaking in 2012 and fell further to 9.64 billion yuan in 2020. This paper selects the 2000-2021 china export agricultural products trade data from the Department of Foreign Trade of the Ministry of Commerce to Analyze the trade status of Japan, and finds that the scale of trade shows an expanding trend, and there are fluctuations in some years. Establish a business gravity model, study the effectiveness and potential of developing China's agricultural export trade with Japan, and analyze various factors affecting the effectiveness of agricultural export trade, and the results show that there is room for progress in China's agricultural export trade with Japan, and the scale of trade can be further expanded. Finally, it proposes to further improve the export efficiency of agricultural products, stabilize the exchange rate, improve import and export policy control and further broaden the foreign trade market, optimize the trade structure and promote the quality of agricultural products.

Analysis of perceived competitive forces influencing tree tomato value chains in Rwanda

The globalization of economies has added many new challenges to global agriculture. Agriculture not only needs to compete in foreign markets but also in domestic markets. The production and export of tree tomatoes remain extremely weak in Rwanda despite horticulture sector-specific economic policies in favour of the production and export of horticultural crops by the government of Rwanda. The goal of this study was to analyse the competitive performance of Rwanda's tree tomato value chain to shape the tree tomato industry in Rwanda for the benefit of smallholder farmers and the Rwandan Economy. One hundred twenty (120) respondents were surveyed for this study using a semi-structured questionnaire and focus group discussions. Participants were stratified into groups as traders (80), institutional consumers (12), and household consumers (28) all from Bugesera, Nyabihu, Rubavu districts and Kigali markets (Nyabugogo, Nyarugenge and Kimironko). Key enablers (International Centre for Research in Agroforestry, Rwanda Agricultural Board, National Agricultural Export Board, and Ministry of Commerce and Financial institutions) provided useful information related to the tree tomato value chain in Rwanda. The findings of this study show that factors that hamper the tree tomato value chain competitiveness in Rwanda are related to bargaining power. Overall 63% of respondents who were tree tomato suppliers and 58.43% of respondents who were tree tomato buyers agreed that the bargaining power of suppliers and buyers hamper the competitiveness of the value chain. The study found that 70% of traders and 57% of consumers and institutional consumers preferred the tree tomato. Therefore, tree tomato is highly linked to consumers, traders, and institutions than banana which is the 38th fruit highly scored. The severity of the threat to the tree tomato industry is new entrants into the tree tomato industry, the intensity of rivalry in existing key competitors, and the severity of the threat of substitutes. The strategies proposed to improve on the competitiveness of the tree tomato industry comprise of improving collaboration of tree tomato chain actors. This study found that 75.69% of the sampled key actors agree that the highest criteria to be considered are the product quality, and 64.74% of the sampled key actors settled on product quality as the least criteria. Key words: tree tomato, smallholder farmers, consumers, traders, competitiveness, value chain, Rwanda

Integrating Electric Vehicle Technology into Automotive Education Curricula in Colleges of Education in Nigeria: Challenges and Opportunities

The main purpose of the study was to integrate electric vehicle technology into Automotive Education Curricula in Colleges of Education in Nigeria with focus on the challenges and opportunities. The study which adopted a descriptive survey research design was conducted in northeast Nigeria and had three research questions. The population of the study was 395 comprising 248 lecturers in Automobile Technology Education from 8 Colleges of Education in the Northeast and 147 industry professionals whose industries are registered with the Corporate Affairs Commission as well as the Ministry of Commerce and Industries in the various states of the Northeast. The study adopted simple random sampling technique which Krejcie and Morgan (1970) sample size table and 191 respondents were selected. A structured questionnaire developed by the researcher titled: "Automobile Electric Vehicle Technology Integration Questionnaire, (AEVTIQ)" was used as instrument for data collection. The instrument was validated by three experts and a reliability index of 0.89 was obtained using Cronbach Alpha. Mean statistic was used to answer the research questions. Findings of the study revealed that the content needed for inclusion include Electric Powertrain Systems, Battery Technology and Management, Charging Infrastructure and Technology, Emerging Technologies and Trends, and Thermal Management Systems. Based on the findings, the study recommended that the NCCE should as a matter of urgency update and enrich the existing curriculum to incorporate comprehensive training on EV technology, covering key areas such as electric powertrain systems, battery management, and charging infrastructure.

Study on Venture Capital Investments and its ability to stimulate Innovation and spur Economic Growth in India

Objective: This paper examines the impact of Venture Capital Investments (VCI) on Innovation and Economic Growth in India. Venture Capital has emerged as a critical source of funding for startups, enabling them to develop innovative ideas, scale their operations, and contribute to economic growth. India, with its vibrant entrepreneurial ecosystem, has witnessed a significant increase in venture capital investments over the past decade. Research Design and Methods used: This paper gathers key information from the market, varying from various reports and relevant data published by private players like E&Y, Bain & Company, Hurun, Venture Intelligence, Indian Venture Capital Association (IVCA); besides, governmental reports of SIDBI, SEBI, Economic Surveys, MSME Annual Reports and ‘Intellectual Property India’ report published by the Controller General of Patents, Design, Trademarks and Geographical Indications, Ministry of Commerce, Government of India. This is qualitative research. For the purpose of this research, the data pertains to last ten years. Using Python language, data analysis has been done by finding Correlation and Regression Analysis. The model has been run on Jupyter Notebook for Python. Findings: There is, visible upsurge in the VC investments in the last few years, much credited to the pro-active approach of the Government in creating the right ambience and the infrastructure. The flagship programs of the Government, like, Startup Mission and Make in India have yielded positive results. Pandemic did its own damage, but, post Covid-19 pandemic, there has been a considerable upward shift in the VC investments as they venture into new terrains, seeding new technologies and nurturing Startups. AS a result of this, there has been a significant jump in the number of Unicorns. There has been a quantum jump in number of VCs that have invested in India and also the deal size is consistently on the rise. Implications and Recommendations: By studying the existing research and data available, it is observed that there is asymmetry between the literature and the industry. The venture capital industry is inward cautious and there is dearth of exact deal data because of the secrecy and privacy issue, coupled with demographic and geographical shortcoming to collect the data. The role played by IVCA and other private players is, undoubtedly, worth a praise. It is recommended that further research should alienate with industry and be more methodical. Contribution and Value Added: This study will benefit, immensely, to both researchers, intending to do further research in this area, and, also to the industry in building a nexus with academia. This research has taken one step forward in building the bridge between the two. This paper fills the gap by identifying the relationship between key variables and apply statistical tools like Correlation and Regression analysis to assess the trends and contribution of venture capital investments in terms of key variables innovation and economic growth. The outcomes of this study will offer a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental elements of venture capital investments (VCI) and their influence on both innovation and the growth of the Indian economy.

Efforts to Innovate Favouring the Absorption of Foreign Direct Investment So as to Achieve Beneficial Outcomes from Innovation

This piece of work provides new findings about the effects of interactions between efforts to innovate and foreign direct investment on the results of innovation in Spanish firms. Examples of beneficial outcomes would be patents, as well as new products and processes. In addition, consideration will be given to the innovation activities that can favour from foreign direct investment in such a way as to attain innovation objectives of this sort. The source of the information used is PITEC, the Spanish Panel for Technological Innovation, together with figures from DataInvex, which contains the official statistics on foreign investment and other trade figures, provided by the Spanish Ministry of Commerce. In this study, we use logistic regression models to explain the impacts that attempts to innovate have upon the absorption of the foreign direct investment to attain the innovation outcomes. R&D expenditures, external collaboration, and public funds for innovation favour the absorption of Foreign Direct Investment to achieve beneficial outcomes from the innovation.

New Service Concept and Investor Satisfaction of Aviation Firms in Rivers State

The aim of this study was to ascertain the extent of the relationship between new service concept and investor satisfaction of aviation firms in Rivers State. This study adopted causal research, involving cross sectional survey design and used structured copies of questionnaire. The population of this study comprised of eight (8) airlines registered with the Rivers State ministry of commerce and industry. 20 Copies of questionnaire was distributed to management staff in each of the airlines. The total number of respondents for the study was one hundred and sixty (160). The hypotheses were tested using Spearman Ranking Order Correlation with the aid of SPSS Version 21. The study unveiled a very strong relationship between new service concept and investor satisfaction. This study therefore concluded that increased investor satisfaction can be achieved if aviation firms in Rivers State provide new and innovative service concept.

From panic to banter: How do routine government releases and clarifications cause unexpected public opinion crisis—An analysis of public opinion toward a release by Chinese Ministry of Commerce encouraging the storage of necessities

AbstractThis research explored why a routine government notice caused a series of unexpected public opinion crises. We used K‐means clustering and Baidu Application Programming Interface Gateway to analyse 12,478 comments from Sina Weibo on Chinese Ministry of Commerce's release to encourage people to stock up necessities. Results show that even government's routine notice releases are regular events with relatively low objective risk, but in practice, how the government releases information and makes clarification would significantly infect public risk perception and emotion. First, ambiguous government releases magnify existing risks, especially during sensitive times, and resulting in heightened uncertainty, public risk perception and spread of negative emotions, therefore, lead to heated public discussion. Second, timely and effective clarifications can lower public risk perception as well as lead to positive emotions, although public banter may come along and generate another round of online public opinion within a short time. Our work answers why regular events would cause unexpected public opinion from the perspective of government behaviour, illustrates the dynamic interaction between government and online public opinion and can inform public policy aimed at more efficient communication with the public.

Corporate Resilience and Dynamic Capabilities of Small and Medium-scale Enterprises in Yenagoa, Bayelsa State, Nigeria

This study ascertained the relationship between corporate resilience and dynamic capabilities of small and medium-Scale enterprises in Yenagoa, Bayelsa State. The researcher adopted a cross-sectional survey design. The study population consisted all registered small and medium- scale enterprises with the Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Investment in Bayelsa State and the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC). Four hundred and sixteen (416) SMEs were selected. The sample size was determined using the Taro Yamane formula and a total of 204 participants made up the sample size. A structured questionnaire was designed to elicit data. The Spearman Rank Correlation coefficient was adopted to test the hypotheses with the aid of the SPSS version 24. The result revealed that corporate resilience had a positive and significant relationship with SMEs dynamic capabilities. The researcher concludes that corporate resilience is an important psychological quality needed by managers of SMEs to push through with emerging business challenges. Dynamic capabilities is a strategic management approach that sustains competitive advantage. Corporate resilience and firm dynamic capabilities can lead to SMEs sustained growth and effective performance. Thus, it was recommended that the management of SME’s should enhance its dynamic capabilities to sense market changes and encourage a persevering work behaviour to achieve business objectives despite overwhelming challenges in the market.

Production, Sustainability and Fish Trade Prospect of India by Using Markov Chain Analysis

The paper attempts to analyze fish production and the direction of trade. Data for the analysis was taken from a period of 10 years (2011- 2021) from the Ministry of Commerce & Industry and FAO. To examine the type and extent of increase in the fish area, production, and productivity throughout the course of the year for several countries, including China, Vietnam, the United States, Norway, and India, descriptive statistics and the sustainability index were utilized. Markov chain analysis employing linear programming was then applied to determine transition probabilities in fish trade. The fish export markets were the USA, China, Japan, Thailand, Taiwan, Kuwait, Hong Kong, and others. The fish export markets were categorized as stable markets (China, USA, Taiwan, Thailand, and Hong Kong) and unstable markets (Japan and Kuwait) based on the magnitude of transition probabilities. Though the country has a good potential for export of fish. India must therefore give rising output more consideration, supported by measures that encourage exports. In addition, initiatives must be made to develop a new market and broaden the trade area to include other significant, global markets.

Trends, Growth, Production Instability and Export Dynamics Analysis of Basmati Rice in India

The research examined the trends, growth rates, and instability in Basmati rice production and export in India from 2001 to 2021. Secondary time series data on these parameters were collected from diverse sources including the official websites of the Department of Agriculture and Farmer’s Welfare, Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence, the Agricultural and Processed Food Product Export Development Authority (APEDA) and Statistics (DGCI&S) and Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Various analytical tools such as Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for growth rate analysis, Coefficient of Variation (CV), Coppock Instability Index, Cuddy Della Valle Index, and Index Number for instability analysis, and R-square for linear, second-degree, and polynomial regression for trend analysis were employed which served as a metric for goodness of fit. The analysis revealed significant insights into the dynamics of Basmati rice production and export over the study period. Notable findings include fluctuations in growth rates, trends indicating periods of acceleration or deceleration, and instability factors impacting production and export. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the Basmati rice industry in India, informing policymakers, stakeholders,

Steering the Belt and Road’s Energy Mix: A Steering Theory Perspective on Chinese Energy Investments in Pakistan and Indonesia

This article contributes to discussions on why Chinese investments in Pakistan cover a wide variety of energy sectors, whereas capital allocation in Indonesia is concentrated in a narrow set of actors and energy sources (coal). While others have highlighted micro-, macro-, and meso-level dimensions, this research looks at the Chinese Ministry of Commerce’s (MOFCOM) communication as a further factor to steer Chinese project financing. By exposing a set of 281 MOFCOM statements to quantitative and qualitative discourse analysis, my findings reveal that MOFCOM publications offer more incentives for private participation in Pakistan than in Indonesia, as represented by the greater number of actors and projects listed, as well as the types of public policy instruments deployed. Besides theoretical contributions to steering theory, the study offers practical suggestions on how China can diversify investments to create more sustainable energy outcomes along the Belt and Road.

Rede neural de gráfico temporal espectral para previsão de preços agrícolas multivariados

ABSTRACT: Multivariate time series forecasting has an important role in many real-world domains. Especially, price prediction has always been on the focus of researchers. Yet, it is a challenging task that requires the capturing of intra-series and inter-series correlations. Most of the models in literature focus only on the correlation in temporal domain. In this paper, we have curated a new dataset from the official website of Turkish Ministry of Commerce. The dataset consists of daily prices and trade volume of vegetables and covers 1791 days between January 1, 2018 and November 26, 2022. A Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network (StemGNN) is employed on the curated dataset and the results are given in comparison to Convolutional neural networks (CNN), Long short-term memory (LSTM) and Random Forest models. GNN architecture achieved a state-of-the-art result such as mean absolute error (MAE): 1,37 and root mean squared error (RMSE): 1.94). To our knowledge, this is one of the few studies that investigates GNN for time series analysis and the first study in architecture field.