Coal and gas outbursts, along with rock bursts, are common dynamic disasters in coal mining, threatening the safety and green production of coal mines. The distribution of coal seam stress is an external factor contributing to coal mine power disasters. The drainage of confined water in coal seam roof is the primary factor of coal seam stress changes. Using theoretical analysis and numerical simulations, the influence of roof confined water on coal seam stress by looking at the law of stress and stress conservation transfer in the drainage layer is investigated. Our results show that: (1) after drainage, there is an increase in the local stress within the coal seam, with a stress concentration factor of 1.35. The influence range of theoretically calculated stress is consistent with the measured results. (2) the maximum value of drainage boundary stress correlated positively with the angle of the water-rich abnormal area, with a linear fitting of R2 = 0.98. These findings hold significant theoretical and practical implications for preventing and controlling dynamic disasters during the mining of water-rich coal seams.