A significant proportion of patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) become opioid users, but data pertaining to predictors of chronic opioid use remain sparse. We examined predictors for chronic opioid use in CD/UC. A nationwide cohort study based on Danish registries, comprising incident patients with CD/UC (≥ 18 years) from January 1, 1996-December 31, 2021. Chronic opioid use was defined as >1 prescriptions in at least two of three consecutive quarters. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted Hazard Ratios (aHRs) for predictors for chronic opioid use. Several variables and time-varying covariates (IBD surgery, IBD and psychotropic medications) were included. In 15,092 CD patients, 4,141 (27.4%) became chronic opioid users (median follow up 7.35 years, 25%-75% percentiles (IQR) 3.40-13.66 years). The three most important predictors were surgery (4.20, 95% CI 3.72-4.75), hypnotics/sedatives (2.02, 95% CI 1.81-2.25), and age > 50 years (1.92, 95% CI 1.77-2.09). In 30,416 UC patients, 6,777 (22.3%) became chronic users (median follow up 8.80 years, IQR 4.20-15.22 years). The three most important predictors were surgery (4.81, 95% CI 4.20-5.52), age > 50 years (2.62 (95% CI 2.44-2.82), and hypnotics/sedatives (2.11, 95% CI 1.95-2.29). An alarming proportion of patients became chronic opioid users. These results are helpful to risk-stratify patients to prevent chronic opioid use. Clinicians should be particularly attentive in patients who have had surgery, who use hypnotics/sedatives, and who are elderly. We need evidence regarding pain management strategies, efficacy of non-opioid analgesics, and opioid cessation strategies.
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