Middle Yangtze River Research Articles

Evolution mechanism of physical morphology of oxbow lake in the middle Yangtze River

Oxbow lakes, formed through river meandering cutoffs, are recognized as key components of river ecosystems, characterized by both fluvial and lacustrine features. The focus of previous research has been placed primarily on post-disconnection changes, leaving gaps in the understanding of their long-term morphological evolution. This gap is addressed through a comparative analysis of gate-controlled and naturally connected oxbow lakes over a 30-year period. In this study, Tian’ezhou Lake (gate-controlled) and Shangchewan Lake (naturally connected), located in the middle Yangtze River, are investigated. Key morphological parameters such as curvature, shoreline development index, and shrinkage rate were measured using Google Earth Engine (GEE). The influence of hydrological and meteorological factors on lake morphology was analyzed through Redundancy Analysis (RDA). Significant morphological changes were observed from 1990 to 2000. During this period, Tian’ezhou’s curvature was found to increase by 0.003/year, while Shangchewan’s curvature decreased by 0.011/year. After the construction of the Three Gorges Dam (TGD), a reduction in the rate of morphological evolution was detected, particularly between 2000 and 2010, when Tian’ezhou’s curvature decreased by 0.071/year and Shangchewan’s increased by 0.04/year. Post-2010, no significant changes in planar morphology were recorded in either lake. It was revealed by RDA that annual precipitation from 1990 to 1999 played a dominant role in influencing the morphological evolution of both lakes. From 2000 to 2020, water level fluctuations and hydrological connectivity emerged as the primary drivers. Gate control at Tian’ezhou Lake mitigated extreme water level fluctuations, contributing to a more stable environment and a slower rate of morphological evolution compared to Shangchewan. The findings underscore the importance of balanced water management strategies, integrating both natural and engineered hydrological interventions. Practical guidance is provided for ecological restoration and river management, with an emphasis on maintaining stable habitats and ensuring ecosystem resilience in response to hydrological changes.

Shifted Flood and Ecology Regimes Due To Channel Bar Greening and Increased Flow Resistance in a Large Dammed River

AbstractDamming profoundly affects downstream flow‐sediment regimes, altering channel bar dynamics and thereby affecting floods and riverine biodiversity. Here, we investigate the response of bars to upstream damming by examining patterns, mechanisms, and impacts in the Middle Yangtze River (∼1,000 km). Over a decade of post‐damming observational data reveal substantial increases in bar revegetation and Leaf Area Index. Shorter flood duration and stable bar size collectively drive bar greening. Consequently, denser vegetation has slowed flow velocity by 17% ± 2% and increased flow resistance by 21% ± 5%, offsetting the water‐level decrease from channel expansion due to scouring and even causing a slight rise in floodwater levels. Furthermore, damming has markedly altered river connectivity, thermal regimes, and solute dynamics, detrimentally affecting fish habitats and aquatic life. These findings, along with refined river stage simulation considering flow‐sediment‐vegetation interactions, facilitate sustainable reservoir operation and river management in big river systems.

Numerical modeling of graded sediment transport with limited bed material supply – A case study in the Middle Yangtze River

Suspended sediment concentration in the Middle Yangtze River (MYR) has reduced sharply below the Three Gorges Dam since 2003, and led to significant channel degradation and riverbed coarsening. However, the complex interaction between riverbed coarsening and sediment transport is essential for channel evolution processes but is poorly understood. This paper presents a one-dimensional model for simulating graded sediment transport when the bed material supply is limited. The model takes account of the effect of bed material composition (BMC) and threshold probability on graded sediment transport, and thus improve the accuracy of recovery coefficient. The modeling results of graded sediment concentrations was calibrated and then satisfactorily verified using field observations in the JingJiang Reach from 2015 to 2016. The results showed bed material composition affect the simulated fine, medium, and coarse sediment concentrations, and the improvements of normalized errors are 17.6%, 45.9%, and 330.7%, respectively. With the BMC effect considered, the recovery factor of fine and medium were far less than coarse sediment in the MYR. In addition, the recovery ratios of medium and coarse sediment concentrations along the MYR were improved by 88.6%-265.4% and 75.1%-105.9% respectively, owing to the bed material supply after the TGD operation; however, there was no significant effect on fine sediment, with a low recovery ratio of 8.3%-8.6%. Therefore, the effect of bed material composition on graded sediment transport and channel evolution needs to be considered for higher simulation accuracy in the MYR.

Beyond linear narratives: Complex copper ore exploitation strategies in Early Bronze Age China revealed by geochemical characterization of smelting remains

Despite decades of efforts to reconstruct the bronze production and metal distribution systems of the Shang period in Bronze Age China, there remains limited understanding of the ore choices and smelting practices of the Shang people. This study addresses this research gap by conducting a detailed investigation of Shang period copper ores and smelting remains uncovered at the Tongling site in the Middle Yangtze River valley. The results of lead isotope, copper isotope, trace element, and rare earth element (REE) pattern help to classify the slags from this site into two groups, associated with smelting sulphidic (Group A) and oxidic (Group B) copper ores, respectively. This finding not only serves as the first physical evidence of the use of sulphidic copper ores in Early Bronze Age China but also provides pivotal details of the copper resource exploitation strategies of the Shang people. It challenges the traditional narrative that the Shang people moved to this area solely for the high-grade supergene deposits. The parallel use of both supergene and hypogene ores at the same site complicates the notion of a linear, technological evolution from simpler to more advanced copper sources. Despite the presence of hypogene ores, the study reveals that the Shang people maintained labour-intensive smelting practices, including crushing slag to recover trapped metallic prills, to meet the demands of large-scale bronze casting. This nuanced approach to copper resource exploitation reflects a complex, context-dependent strategy rather than a technological revolution. By highlighting these intricate metallurgical choices, this research contributes to a broader rethinking of early technological development, underscoring the diversity and adaptability of ancient craft industries and their role in shaping Shang society.

Fingerprint of Plio–Quaternary detrital zircon geochronology: Implications for sediment provenances and geomorphological evolution of the Yangtze Delta

The Yangtze (Changjiang River) Delta serves as a prominent depocenter for siliciclastic sediments from the Tibetan Plateau and Yangtze Craton, providing essential data on sediment source-to-sink dynamics and geomorphological evolution of large river drainage systems. This study presents the detrital zircon geochronology of Plio–Pleistocene sediments in the Yangtze Delta, alongside the data from modern river sediments, to elucidate provenance evolution since the Pliocene. The zircon geochronology reveals a considerable shift in sediment provenance during the Pliocene–Pleistocene transition. The Pliocene sediments exhibit a straightforward and predominant zircon age spectrum characterized by a typical peak age of 100–200 Ma. This spectrum markedly differs from the modern upper–middle Yangtze River sediments but closely resembles those of local rivers in the lower Yangtze River region. This demonstrates that the Pliocene sediments originated from local mountainous rivers, indicating the paleo-Yangtze River channelization prior to the Quaternary. In contrast, the zircon age spectra of Pleistocene sediments in the present-day delta reveal several dominant age groups ranging from 11.9 ± 1 to 3643 ± 30 Ma, similar to those found in present-day upper–middle Yangtze River sediments. This implies that the Pleistocene sediments were mainly derived from the upper–middle Yangtze River, showing a diversity of source rocks with varying geological ages and origins. The presence of the upper Yangtze River provenance signal, characterized by Cenozoic (<65 Ma) zircons, in early Pleistocene strata (ca. 1.6 Ma) of the delta suggests that the paleo-Yangtze River transported Tibet-sourced sediments into the modern delta area no later than that time. These findings indicate the geomorphological evolution of the Yangtze River Delta from an intermontane basin in the Pliocene to an alluvial–fluvial plain during the Quaternary. This geomorphological and geographic evolution, along with changes in sediment source, directly reflect extensive tectonic subsidence in eastern China since the late Cenozoic.

Functional diversity dynamics of waterbird communities driven by water levels at Shengjin Lake, a small river-connected shallow lake in the middle and lower Yangtze River floodplain.

Gate-controlled activities in lakes can directly or indirectly influence the assembly of waterbird communities. Shengjin Lake, a Ramsar site, is a typical river-connected and gate-controlled shallow lake in the lower and middle Yangtze River floodplain in China, comprising three sub-lakes (upper, middle, and lower) based on topographical features. We surveyed wintering waterbirds at Shengjin Lake from October 2022 to March 2023. We divided the winter water level period into nine phases based on the characteristics of water level changes. By measuring functional diversity, we aimed to provide insights into the differences in waterbird communities among the three sub-lakes under different water level conditions. Multiple linear regression was used to analyze the relationship between habitat factors and functional diversity. We further explored the relationship between specific functional traits and habitat factors through a combination of the R-mode linked to the Q-mode and the trait-environment correlation matrix (fourth-corner analyses) to explain the mechanism underlying waterbird community assembly. When the water level fluctuated in the range of 10.43-10.74 m (Huanghai elevation), the three sub-lakes had significant habitat differences and high habitat heterogeneity, increasing functional richness and functional dispersion of the upper and lower lakes, both of which significantly differed from those of the middle lake. Habitat heterogeneity and mudflat habitats have positive effects on functional diversity. The difference in functional diversity was primarily determined based on the foraging traits and strata of waterbirds. Habitat filtering of particular traits is a major driving force underlying the assembly of waterbird communities. Overall, we suggest that the minimum water level in the wintering period at Shengjin Lake should be regulated between 10.43 and 10.74 m. These findings provide reasonable suggestions for water level regulation and a theoretical basis for conserving waterbird diversity at Shengjin Lake.

China's carbon neutrality policy facilitates halving industrial water withdrawal

Abstract China concurrently confronts acute water resource challenges and substantial carbon emissions, with its industrial sector being a significant freshwater consumer and a primary carbon emitter. China has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060, yet the exact impact of this goal on industrial water withdrawal (IWW) remains unclear. Here, we project IWW in China considering both scenarios with and without the carbon neutrality target, based on industry-specific water quota standards and projections of industrial product output. Our findings indicate a 53.76% (51.41 km³) reduction of IWW by 2060 under a carbon neutrality scenario, compared to business-as-usual, with the IWW peak advancing from 2035 to 2025. The thermal power industry holds the largest water withdrawal reduction, accounting for 75.74% (38.94 km³) of the total reduction. Additionally, both the East coastal region and the Middle Yangtze River region could reduce 62.08% (31.96 km³) of IWW under the CN scenario, with Jiangsu province emerging as a significant contributor. This study provides a reliable basis for evaluating the potential for future water withdrawal reduction within the industrial sector and suggests that achieving the carbon neutrality target could offer a promising direction for alleviating China's water scarcity challenges.

Eco-Environmental Assessment and Trend Analysis of the Yangtze River Middle Reaches Megalopolis Based on a Modified Remote Sensing Ecological Index

China’s accelerating pace of urbanization has placed severe pressure on its ecosystems. Hence, the monitoring and assessment of eco-environmental quality has significant implications for sustainable urban development. By introducing a pollution index, a modified remote sensing ecological index (MRSEI) was constructed to more comprehensively evaluate the spatiotemporal distribution of the eco-environment quality in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River where urbanization has been developing rapidly. Future trends in eco-environmental quality were analyzed using Theil–Sen trend analysis, the Mann–Kendall test, and the Hurst exponent. Environmental influencing factors were also analyzed. Our results show that: (1) The impact of pollution factors on urban agglomerations cannot be overlooked. The MRSEI model introduces a pollution indicator to better assess the eco-environmental quality of urban agglomeration areas. (2) The eco-environmental quality is high in the south and east and low in the north and west, with overall levels ranging between moderate and good. (3) The eco-environmental quality remained stable, improved, and degraded in 86.3%, 3.1%, and 10.7% of the study area, respectively. (4) The land use and land cover type are directly related to the eco-environment. Climate factors indirectly affect the eco-environment. Human activities in cities and urban peripheries lead to land use changes and industrial pollution, which significantly affect environmental quality.

Tempo-spatial Variations in Nitrogen and Phosphorus Loads in Jianli-Hankou Reach of the Middle Yangtze River During the Past 20 Years

Ammonia nitrogen （NH4+-N） and total phosphorus （TP） were the major control pollutants in the Yangtze River Basin. Based on measured data from 2003 to 2020, the temporal and spatial variations in concentrations and fluxes of NH4+-N and TP in the Jianli to Hankou （JL-HK） reach of the Middle Yangtze River were studied, and the impacts of flow-sediment factors, tributary inflows, and others on variations in NH4+-N and TP fluxes were discussed. The results showed that： ① In recent years, NH4+-N and TP concentrations in the mainstream have declined significantly, with annual NH4+-N and TP concentrations at each monitoring station in 2020 averagely decreasing by 41% and 34% compared to those in 2003, respectively. Spatially, NH4+-N and TP concentrations decreased and then increased along the mainstream. NH4+-N and TP concentrations of tributary inflows, which include the Dongting Lake and Han River, were generally lower than that of the mainstream. The multi-year average values of NH4+-N and TP concentrations were both averaged at 0.12 mg·L-1 in the mainstream and were averaged at 0.11 mg·L-1 and 0.09 mg·L-1 in the tributary inflows. ② The flux differences between the upper and lower sections net of tributary confluences showed that NH4+-N and TP fluxes were lost in the Jianli to Luoshan （JL-LS） sub-reach and increased in the Luoshan to Hankou （LS-HK） sub-reach in most years. NH4+-N and TP fluxes decreased in the JL-LS sub-reach, which was related to the lower NH4+-N and TP concentrations in lateral inflows, such as Dongting Lake, and thus lowered the NH4+-N and TP concentrations in the mainstream. The LS-HK sub-reach showed the opposite trends, and the water and sediment loads increased in this sub-reach. Across the whole JL-HK reach, TP flux as well as water and sediment loads were recharged along the reach, whereas NH4+-N flux was reduced greatly, which could be attributed to the pollution abatement conducted in the Yangtze River Basin, which mainly focused on NH4+-N. ③ The correlation analysis results showed that NH4+-N fluxes had the strongest correlation with NH4+-N concentrations but not significantly correlated with discharges and sediment transport rates, indicating that NH4+-N was mainly controlled by point source pollution in the study reach. TP fluxes had higher correlations with discharges and sediment transport rates in high flow level periods, and the correlations between TP fluxes and TP concentrations were better in low flow level periods, reflecting that point source pollution contributed more to TP in dry seasons compared to flood seasons.

Sudden change of fish functional compositions during a drought in the wet season of the middle Yangtze River, China

Climate anomalies such as drought may lead to cascading effects on river ecosystems, ultimately resulting in the change of aquatic biocenosis. Here, we investigated functional assemblies of fish communities at three sites below the Gezhouba Dam of the middle Yangtze River in China before and during a drought event from 2021 to 2022. As the drought proceeded, the richness of the fish functional groups decreased, and the abundance of demersal/invertivore species increased. These changes might indicate adaptive responses of fish communities to the reduction in water volume and shrinkage in habitat areas. The shifts in functional structure also caused fish communities to become more similar during the drought. The null model based on functional traits showed a distance effect of the fish community assembly rules. The communities close to the dam were structured more stochastically under drought stress, which may be attributed to the impact of ecological operation by cascade hydro-junctions. In contrast, the communities far away from the dam were structured by environmental filtering. Our results support the hypothesis that the natural hydrological regime is the main force driving the spatiotemporal dynamic of riverine fish assemblages, and the drought stress on fish communities may need more attention to cope with future biodiversity loss under global climate changes.

Distinct drivers of bacterial community assembly processes in riverine islands in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.

Riverine islands are widespread alluvium wetlands developed in large rivers, and bacterial communities are crucial to their ecological function, yet their assembly processes are rarely addressed. The ecosystem services provided by the middle and the lower Yangtze are primarily threatened by pollution discharge from agricultural land use, and resource overutilization (e.g., embankments), respectively. Here, we assessed bacterial community assembly processes and their drivers within riverine islands in the middle Yangtze River (MR islands) and those in the lower reach (LR islands). A significant distance-decay relationship was observed, although the turnover rate was lower than that of the terrestrial ecosystem with less connectivity. Deterministic and stochastic processes jointly shaped community patterns, and the influence of stochastic increased from 26% in MR islands to 59% for those in LR islands. Meanwhile, the bacterial community in MR islands was controlled more by inorganic nitrogen availability, whereas those in LR islands were governed by pH and EC, although those factors explained a limited fraction of variation in the bacterial community. Potential indicator taxa (affiliated with Nocardioides and Lysobacter) characterized the waterway transport pollution. Overall, our study demonstrated that bacterial community dissimilarity and the importance of dispersal limitation increased concurrently along the flow direction, while distinct local factors further determined bacterial community compositions by selecting habitat-specificity taxa and particularly metabolism function. These findings enhanced our understanding of the mechanisms driving changes in bacterial communities of riverine islands subject to increased anthropogenic impacts.IMPORTANCERivers are among the most threatened ecosystems globally and face multiple stressors related to human activity. However, linkages between microbial diversity patterns and assembly processes in rivers remain unclear, especially in riverine islands developed in large rivers. Our findings reveal that distinct factors result in divergent bacterial community compositions and functional profiles in the riverine islands in the middle Yangtze and those in the lower Yangtze, with substantial differentiation in deterministic and stochastic processes that jointly contribute to bacterial community assemblages. Additionally, keystone species may play important metabolic roles in coping with human-related disturbances. This study provides an improved understanding of relationships between microbial diversity patterns and ecosystem functions under environmental changes in large river ecosystems.

Rapid identification of back-flow in three distributaries of Jingjiang Reach, middle Yangtze River, China

Unusual back-flow events occurred in 2015 and 2017 at the near-mainstream ends of the three distributaries of the Jingjiang Reach, middle Yangtze River, China. It is presently challenging to precisely quantify back-flow discharges at river distributary ends where normal-flow discharges are measured chronically. This problem is more complicated at the ends of the three Jingjiang distributaries, each of which is more than 100 km long, and thus favors the generation of different back-flow forms. We use empirical formulae based on the Saint-Venant Equation and the Fall Index Method to quantify impacts on flow discharges at the two ends of each distributary of three key hydrodynamic variables: (1) water discharge at Zhicheng hydrological station, (2) total discharge from the four southwest tributary rivers, and (3) water levels at the two ends of the distributaries. We use the variable control approach to identify the contribution ratios of natural and human driving factors to flow discharges at the two ends of the distributaries during five historical stages. The empirical formulae provide reasonable results, with high values of correlation coefficients (R2 = 0.84 ∼ 0.98) obtained, demonstrating that the total water discharge from the four southwest tributary rivers is negligible. These formulae perform well in reproducing observed flow discharges at the two ends of the distributaries, especially the maximum discharges and cumulative volumes for normal-flow and back-flow events. Three charts are devised for different flow conditions at the two ends, from which back-flow events can be rapidly identified. Before impoundment of the Three Gorges Dam (TGD), riverbed adjustment caused by the lower Jingjiang Cutoff Projects and the Gezhou Dam contributed the most to flow discharge changes (≥50 %) at the near-mainstream ends of the distributaries. Afterwards, precipitation dominated (>60 %). In the future, back-flow events are expected only to occur at Mituosi (i.e., Taipingkou) and Nanxian hydrological stations, for which optimal reservoir operation and water resource utilization could remedy the back-flow crisis. Use of climate models and more advanced technologies such as remote sensing and GIS are recommended to enhance the reliability of predictions.

Formation condition for concave-bank deposition in the meanders of the Middle Yangtze River and its application

In what kind of meanders concave-bank deposition (CBD) can occur remains an open question. This study investigated the characteristics and major influencing factors of CBD in the meanders of the Middle Yangtze River (MYR), and proposed a formation condition for CBD. Concave-bank deposition occurred in 10 of 23 meanders in the MYR, including two types: counter point bar (CPB) and concave-bank bench (CBB). CPB occurred in both mildly-curved and sharp bends, while CBB only occurred in sharp bends. Hydrodynamic conditions and sediment supply are two major factors controlling the formation of CBD. The incoming sediment load remained in an amount of 0.68 × 108 t/y at Jianli and 0.77 × 108 t/y at Luoshan after Three Gorges Project operation, therefore, CBD development was not limited by a lack of sediment and instead is mainly dependent on the hydrodynamic conditions in the MYR. Flow separation zones were observed in the typical CBD-type bends of the MYR, which indicated that CBD was the result of flow separation or recirculation. An adverse longitudinal water surface gradient is the necessary condition for the formation of concave-bank flow separation. Therefore, a formation condition for CBD was proposed based on this assumption, which considered the combined effects of channel resistance, riverbed slope, channel widening, and curvature. CBD happens when the channel widening and curvature terms are greater than the channel resistance and longitudinal channel slope terms. The proposed condition was verified based on the data of the 23 bends in the MYR and 26 bends in 12 other rivers. The results indicated that more than 85% of the bends were correctly identified. Therefore, the proposed formation condition provided considerably high accuracy.

Pollution loads in the middle-lower Yangtze river by coupling water quality models with machine learning

Pollution control and environmental protection of the Yangtze River have received major attention in China. However, modeling the river's pollution load remains challenging due to limited monitoring and unclear spatiotemporal distribution of pollution sources. Specifically, anthropogenic activities’ contribution to the pollution have been underestimated in previous research. Here, we coupled a hydrodynamic-based water quality (HWQ) model with a machine learning (ML) model, namely attention-based Gated Recurrent Unit, to decipher the daily pollution loads (i.e., chemical oxygen demand, COD; total phosphorus, TP) and their sources in the Middle-Lower Yangtze River from 2014 to 2018. The coupled HWQ-ML model outperformed the standalone ML model with KGE values ranging 0.77–0.91 for COD and 0.47–0.64 for TP, while also reducing parameter uncertainty. When examining the relative contributions at the Middle Yangtze River Hankou cross-section, we observed that the main stream and tributaries, lateral anthropogenic discharges, and parameter uncertainty contributed 15, 66, and 19% to COD, and 58, 35, and 7% to TP, respectively. For the Lower Yangtze River Datong cross-section, the contributions were 6, 69, and 25% for COD and 41, 42, and 17% for TP. According to the attention weights of the coupled model, the primary drivers of lateral anthropogenic pollution sources, in descending order of importance, were temperature, date, and precipitation, reflecting seasonal pollution discharge, industrial effluent, and first flush effect and combined sewer overflows, respectively. This study emphasizes the synergy between physical modeling and machine learning, offering new insights into pollution load dynamics in the Yangtze River.

Provenancing copper in the middle Shang period through isotopic analysis of metallurgical remains

Archaeological investigations recently conducted at the site of Tajiasi, a Middle Shang bronze casting workshop, have led to the discovery of abundant metallurgical micro-remains from various stages of bronze production processes. Lead isotope analysis of these samples has given fresh insights into the discussion about the origin of the metal sources employed during this period. The copper melting and refining slags, characterized by 206Pb/204Pb around 18.0 and very low lead concentrations (＜4,000 ppm), provided the first reliable indicator about the geological origin of copper used in the Middle Shang period. It is suggested the Jiurui metallogenic district in the Middle Yangtze River, home to the Shang period copper smelting site of Tongling, was the copper source for the Taijiasi site. On the other hand, alloying slags and bronze objects bearing highly radiogenic lead (206Pb/204Pb > 19.0) show an elevated, but still relatively low Pb content (＜2 wt%), suggesting that the source of tin introduced Pb which was characterized by HRL. Items including alloying slags, dross, spillages and bronze objects have similar HRL characteristics to the Middle Shang bronzes from other sites. This result indicated the Taijiasi site was involved in a multi-line metal circulation during this period, and elucidated the complexity and multiplicity of supply networks for different kinds of metals in the Middle Shang period. It also highlighted the great potential of copper melting and refining slags for detecting the copper provenance.

Does Urbanization Exacerbate Asymmetrical Changes in Precipitation at Divergent Time Scales in China?

AbstractUrbanization alters the thermal and dynamic environment of the local climate system, resulting in significant impacts on precipitation in both urban and adjacent areas. Nevertheless, there remains a significant gap in our understanding of urbanization‐induced effects on asymmetrical, symmetrical, and other precipitation patterns in urban agglomerations (UAs) with divergent background climates and geographic regions at different timescales. Specifically, this asymmetrical change pattern is characterized by an increase in heavy (or light) rainfall and a decrease in light (or heavy) rainfall. Here, we assessed the effects of urbanization on precipitation patterns across 18 UAs situated in diverse background climates and geographical areas in China at different timescales. The results demonstrate that urbanization predominantly alters precipitation patterns in UAs located in the humid region. Specifically, urbanization amplified asymmetrical changes in Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, Beibu Gulf, Middle Yangtze River, and Guanzhong, but exacerbated symmetrical changes in precipitation in some regions such as Chengdu‐Chongqing. Notably, the urbanization effect demonstrates greater significance at the hourly scale, as exemplified in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Middle Yangtze River, where the urban impact is nearly twice as pronounced when compared to the daily scale. Moreover, urbanization had either no effect or has a negative impact on precipitation patterns in UAs located within continental and arid regions. This is related to the intensity of urbanization, background climate and complex topography. This finding implies that urban managers should consider the impact of urbanization on precipitation patterns in different contexts to provide scientific guidance for urban planning.

Unravelling groundwater budget in the Poyang floodplain system under intensifying seasonal lake inundation

Study regionPoyang Lake Plain at the south bank of the middle Yangtze River Study focusThe dynamics of the groundwater budget, prominently driven by the surface water-groundwater interaction, present significant challenges for water resources and the eco-environment in extensive river-lake-floodplain systems. This research utilizes a groundwater flow model through the application of the MODFLOW-NWT numerical simulator, aiming to explore the patterns of exchange between surface water and groundwater due to intensive seasonal lake inundation, and its consequential impact on the annual and seasonal groundwater storage within the vast Poyang Lake floodplain, China. New hydrological insights for the regionSimulation results indicate that the change in groundwater storage during the dry year (i.e., –24.96×107 m3/yr in 2022) has decreased by 186.35×107 m3 compared to the wet year (i.e., 161.38×107 m3/yr in 2020). The contribution of surface water infiltration is approximately 45 % of the regional groundwater budget during wet seasons, and groundwater discharge into surface waterbodies accounts for over 60 % of the groundwater budget during dry seasons. The lake infiltration during wet years is approximately 3 times that in dry years, and the flow of infiltrated lake water into plain aquifers is approximately 5 times that in dry years. The present study contributes significant knowledge regarding the impact of intensifying seasonal inundation on variations in regional groundwater budget in large lake-aquifer system.

A quantification and classification framework for water temperature variation features induced by climate change and reservoir construction and operation: Application to the middle Yangtze River

AbstractRiverine water temperature (WT) is a crucial factor affecting habitat quality and ecological effect of aquatic ecosystems. To accurately quantify and classify WT variation features caused by climate change and reservoir construction and operation, a framework was developed that integrates multivariate vine copula model for accurately reconstructing the WT process and general evaluation indicators for comprehensively characterizing of WT variation. In this framework, month‐wise R‐vine copula models were employed to depict the multivariate dependence structure between WT and related hydrometeorological factors, and the change of WT process in the fluctuation range and thermal deviation was analogized as the change of simple harmonic wave in amplitude and phase. A testing‐oriented application of this framework in Yichang section of the Yangtze River highlighted that climate change and the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) dominated or participated in the fluctuation range changing and phase deviation of different monthly WT processes, as the ratios of affected months were 1.08:1 and 1.25:1 during the construction phase, and 1:2 and 1:1.28 during the operation phase. WT process also exhibited diverse monthly variation trends during construction and operation phases of the TGR. Therefore, it is inappropriate to neglect the impact of the TGR construction phase and climate change on WT variation. The proposed framework achieved systematic quantification and attribution analysis of WT variation, thereby providing an enhanced understanding of the variation characteristics of river thermal regimes under the individual and combined effects of climate change and artificial reservoir. Considering the significant influence of WT variation on aquatic organism reproduction, the identification of the sources and categories of monthly WT variation can also serve as a foundation for future targeted thermal and hydrological regime regulation, aiming to protecting aquatic species and preventing biodiversity loss.

Assessing regional employment effects of the national emission trading scheme in China: Does Okun's law work?

Employment creation and climate change mitigation are core tasks for achieving sustainable development goals. Whether or not carbon mitigation policy facilitate employment deserves deep exploration. Through the construction of multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGE) with more scientific energy & environment block, this paper first evaluates regional employment effects of the national emission trading scheme (ETS) in China. Furthermore, we explore the Okun's law of the national ETS based on the mediating effect model. The results show that whether in carbon-intensive industries (CIIs) or non-carbon-intensive industries (NCIIs), employment effects of the national ETS are differentiated across regions. Specifically, the national ETS generally promotes CIIs' employment in Southern, Eastern, Middle Yangtze River and Southwest regions, and has negative effects on CIIs' employment in other regions. Meanwhile, the national ETS brings employment creation to NCIIs of Southern region, while there are opposite results in NCIIs of Northeast region and mixed results in NCIIs of other regions. Moreover, the Okun's law of the national ETS holds in CIIs of each region, but it not fits the data for NCIIs. Therefore, it is important for the Chinese government to consider the differentiated employment effects in different regions carefully rather than adopt one-size-fit-all solution when constructing the national carbon market.

Drainage reorganization and divide migration driven by basin subsidence: An example from the Micang Shan, outskirts of eastern Tibet and its implications for Cenozoic evolution of the Yangtze River

AbstractThe Cenozoic India‐Asia collision has elevated the Tibetan Plateau and produced large strike‐slip faults in the interior and margins of the plateau, which profoundly influenced drainage reorganization and divide migration in Asia. Recent studies have revealed that the drainage divides between the major rivers in and around the Tibetan Plateau have been migrating for tens of millions of years, due to tectonic and/or climatic disturbance or river capture events. Drainage‐divide stability analysis can provide new, independent insights into the Cenozoic evolution of the river systems. In this study, we focus on the Hanzhong Basin and the adjacent Micang Shan (Shan means Mountain(s)) at the tail of the Qingchuan strike‐slip fault in the outskirts of eastern Tibet. We investigated the stability of the Micang Shan drainage divide, which separates the Han and Jialing rivers (two major tributaries of the Yangtze River), using two methods—χ‐plot and Gilbert metrics. The results show that most segments of the Micang Shan drainage divide are either moving south or stable. We further calculated the predicted stable divide location and identified the abandoned river channels and residual planation surfaces. Based on these analyses, we suggest that (1) the migration of the Micang Shan drainage divide is driven by the tectonic subsidence of the Hanzhong Basin; and (2) the upper reaches of the Han River flowed southward to the Sichuan Basin before basin subsidence. This study supports the hypothesis that the Palaeo‐Middle Yangtze River and its tributaries primarily flowed southward. Moreover, the flow direction of the Middle Yangtze River has been, and still is, transitioning from southward to eastward. The change in river network flow direction is driven by regional block tilting towards the east, surface deformation from strike‐slip faulting, regional extension east of the Tibetan Plateau and/or increased influence from the summer monsoon.