Mid-upper Troposphere Research Articles

Improved Orographic Gravity Wave Drag Parameterization Accounting for the Nonhydrostatic Effect in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model: Tests for Short-Range Forecast of Northeast China Cold Vortices

Abstract The parameterization of orographic gravity wave drag (OGWD) is essential for accurate numerical weather prediction in regions of complex terrain. Current OGWD schemes assume hydrostatic OGWs but the parameterized OGWs in fine-resolution models with narrow subgrid-scale orography can be significantly affected by the nonhydrostatic effects (NHE). In our recent work, the OGWD scheme in the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) was revised by accounting for the NHE on the surface wave momentum flux of upward-propagating OGWs. Herein, the revised OGWD scheme is implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to evaluate its performance in short-range weather forecast. Two sets of 36-hr WRF simulations are conducted for nine Northeast China cold vortices (NECVs) that occurred in the warm season of 2011 using the original and revised OGWD schemes. Results show that the WRF model tends to underestimate the intensity of the NECVs, producing too high geopotential height. When accounting for the NHE in the OGWD scheme, the NECV intensity biases are significantly reduced. Analyses reveal that the NHE act to weaken the lower-tropospheric OGWD by decreasing the surface wave momentum flux, which strengthens the NECV in the lower troposphere. Consequently, the strengthened low-level cyclonic circulation increases the post-trough cold advection to the southwest of the NECV which in turn enhances the NECV in the mid-upper troposphere with reduced geopotential height. The NHE are found to increase as the model horizontal resolution increases, suggesting greater importance of the NHE in the OGWD parameterization of high-resolution numerical models.

On the local available energy budget of an idealized tropical cyclone

Exploring the links between moist processes, convection, and intensification in modeled tropical cyclones (TCs) remains an important object in the TC internal dynamics. In this study, the full life cycle of an idealized TC is diagnosed by a local moist available energy budget. In general, the diabatic term in available potential energy (APE) mainly from the microphysical processes dominates the rapid intensification (RI) of the TC, while the uplift term makes a negative and considerable contribution, implying the importance of water lifting in TC development. The budgets at different layers in the inner region are further explored. In the lower troposphere, the downward transport of the vertical pressure flux dominates the growth of the available elastic energy (AEE); the planetary boundary layer (PBL) and the microphysical processes contribute more to APE in the pre-RI and RI stage, respectively. In the mid-upper troposphere, the diabatic term mainly from the microphysical processes leads to the growth of APE; then the increased APE is converted into mechanical energy and ultimately the cyclone intensifies. The vertical pressure fluxes transport downward below 10 km and upward above 10 km, with the AEE being deposited in the lower troposphere and removed in the mid-upper troposphere. Compared to previous budget analyses, our approach emphasizes the conditional instability of the atmosphere and the corresponding result aligns more closely with the conditional instability of the second kind (CISK) mechanism. Also, the divergence of the APE flux at high levels indicates an instantaneous strengthening of the wind speed model.

Spatial–temporal variation of mid-upper troposphere methane based on twenty-year atmospheric infrared sounder observation

Spatial–temporal variation of mid-upper troposphere methane based on twenty-year atmospheric infrared sounder observation

Quantifying the dynamical and radiative processes of the drastically weak South Asian summer monsoon circulation in 2015

The South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) circulation in 2015 is the weakest since 2000s, which results in severe drought over broad regions of the Indian peninsula. The 2015 SASM is closely related to the weakened summer meridional thermal contrast between southern Eurasia (SE) and the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) at the mid–upper troposphere. Based on an updated climate feedback-response analysis method, this study conducts a quantitative attribution analysis of the thermal contrast anomalies associated with the 2015 SASM to multiple dynamical and radiative processes, particular for aerosol process. Result shows that the 2015 weak SASM is mainly attributed to the effect of water vapor (58%), followed by the effects of atmospheric dynamics (18%), clouds (15%), and aerosols (15%), respectively. These positive effects are partially offset by the negative contribution from surface dynamic process (-14%). As the most pronounced factor, the water vapor process weakens the SASM circulation via inducing SE cooling and TIO warming, which is closely linked to the decreased (increased) specific humidity over SE (TIO). Further analysis indicates that the total effect of aerosols is dominated by the changes in black carbon and sea salt. As two important components, the SE cooling and TIO warming separately account for about 51% and 49% to the 2015 SASM. The former is mainly attributed to the cooling effect of clouds, while the latter is mainly induced by the warming effect of atmospheric dynamics. Our result provides a new insight into the 2015 weak SASM from a quantitative perspective.

Black carbon emissions and its impact on the monsoon rainfall patterns over the Indian subcontinent: Insights into localized warming effects

This study investigates the impact of black carbon (BC) emissions on monsoon rainfall patterns across the Indian subcontinent. The results show that BC exerts localized warming effects, providing valuable insights into the mechanisms influencing the rainfall distribution across the Indian landmass. The study analyzes the vertical profile of mean tropospheric temperature differences between two sets of simulations: (i) with default BC emissions (WBC) and (ii) with BC emissions reduced by 99% (WoBC), conducted for JJAS, 2017, focusing on the region along the eastern coast. The analysis of the tropospheric temperature variations over the eastern coast reveals significant rainfall differences, primarily attributed to the intensification of convective rainfall. The results indicate that WoBC simulation leads to abnormal cooling in the lower troposphere and warming in the mid-upper troposphere, plausibly linked to the release of latent heat from the enhanced convective activity observed over the region. These alterations in the tropospheric temperature profile correspond remarkably well with the changes in the spatial distribution of rainfall over this area, providing valuable insights into the intricate dynamics of the climate system over this region.

Intercomparison of CH4 Products in China from GOSAT, TROPOMI, IASI, and AIRS Satellites

Methane (CH4) is an important greenhouse as well as a chemically active gas. Accurate monitoring and understanding of its spatiotemporal distribution are crucial for effective mitigation strategies. Nowadays, satellite measurements are widely used for CH4 studies. Here, we use the CH4 products from four commonly used satellites (GOSAT, TROPOMI, ARIS, and IASI) during the period from 2018 to 2020 to investigate the spatiotemporal variations of CH4 in China. In spite of the same target (CH4) for the four satellites, differences among them exist in terms of the instrument, spectrum, and retrieval algorithm. The GOSAT and TROPOMI CH4 retrievals use shortwave infrared spectra, with a better sensitivity near the surface, while the IASI and AIRS CH4 retrievals use thermal infrared spectra, showing a good sensitivity in the mid–upper troposphere but a weak sensitivity in the lower troposphere. The GOSAT and TROPOMI observe high CH4 concentrations in the east and south and low concentrations in the west and north, which is highly related to the CH4 emissions. The IASI and AIRS show a more uniform CH4 distribution over China, which reflects the variation of CH4 at a high altitude. However, a large discrepancy is observed between the IASI and AIRS despite using a similar retrieval band, e.g., significant differences in the seasonal variations of CH4 are observed between the IASI and AIRS across several regions in China. This study highlights the CH4 differences observed by the four satellites in China, and caution must be taken when using these satellite products.

Evaluation and Process-Oriented Diagnosis of the GEFSv12 Reforecasts

Abstract Three levels of process-oriented model diagnostics are applied to evaluate the Global Ensemble Forecast System version 12 (GEFSv12) reforecasts. The level-1 diagnostics are focused on model systematic errors, which reveals that precipitation onset over tropical oceans occurs too early in terms of column water vapor accumulation. Since precipitation acts to deplete water vapor, this results in prevailing negative biases of precipitable water in the tropics. It is also associated with overtransport of moisture into the mid- and upper troposphere, leading to a dry bias in the lower troposphere and a wet bias in the mid–upper troposphere. The level-2 diagnostics evaluate some major predictability sources on the extended-range time scale: the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and North American weather regimes. It is found that the GEFSv12 can skillfully forecast the MJO up to 16 days ahead in terms of the Real-time Multivariate MJO indices (bivariate correlation ≥ 0.6) and can reasonably represent the MJO propagation across the Maritime Continent. The weakened and less coherent MJO signals with increasing forecast lead times may be attributed to humidity biases over the Indo-Pacific warm pool region. It is also found that the weather regimes can be skillfully predicted up to 12 days ahead with persistence comparable to the observation. In the level-3 diagnostics, we examined some high-impact weather systems. The GEFSv12 shows reduced mean biases in tropical cyclone genesis distribution and improved performance in capturing tropical cyclone interannual variability, and midlatitude blocking climatology in the GEFSv12 also shows a better agreement with the observations than in the GEFSv10. Significance Statement The latest U.S. operational weather prediction model—Global Ensemble Forecast System version 12—is evaluated using a suite of physics-based diagnostic metrics from a climatic perspective. The foci of our study consist of three levels: 1) systematic biases in physical processes, 2) tropical and extratropical extended-range predictability sources, and 3) high-impact weather systems like hurricanes and blockings. Such process-oriented diagnostics help us link the model performance to the deficiencies of physics parameterization and thus provide useful information on future model improvement.

Spatiotemporal Variability of Global Atmospheric Methane Observed from Two Decades of Satellite Hyperspectral Infrared Sounders

Methane (CH4) is the second most significant contributor to climate change after carbon dioxide (CO2), accounting for approximately 20% of the contributions from all well-mixed greenhouse gases. Understanding the spatiotemporal distributions and the relevant long-term trends is crucial to identifying the sources, sinks, and impacts on climate. Hyperspectral thermal infrared (TIR) sounders, including the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS), and the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), have been used to measure global CH4 concentrations since 2002. This study analyzed nearly 20 years of data from AIRS and CrIS and confirmed a significant increase in CH4 concentrations in the mid-upper troposphere (around 400 hPa) from 2003 to 2020, with a total increase of approximately 85 ppb, representing a +4.8% increase in 18 years. The rate of increase was derived using global satellite TIR measurements, which are consistent with in situ measurements, indicating a steady increase starting in 2007 and becoming stronger in 2014. The study also compared CH4 concentrations derived from the AIRS and CrIS against ground-based measurements from NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory (GML) and found phase shifts in the seasonal cycles in the middle to high latitudes of the northern hemisphere, which is attributed to the influence of stratospheric CH4 that varies at different latitudes. These findings provide insights into the global budget of atmospheric composition and the understanding of satellite measurement sensitivity to CH4.

Different mechanisms for the extremely hot central-eastern China in July–August 2022 from a Eurasian large-scale circulation perspective

In July and August of 2022, unprecedented and long-lasting heatwaves attacked central and eastern China (CEC); and the most affected area was in the Yangtze River (YR) basin. The extreme heatwaves and associated drought and wildfire had significant social impacts, but the underlying mechanisms remain unknown. Observational analysis indicates that the heatwaves were regulated by anomalous anticyclone in the mid-upper troposphere over northern CEC. Specifically, the easterly anomalies at the southern flank of the anticyclone caused air isentropic sliding and transported low moist enthalpy (cold and dry) air to the YR basin, contributing to anomalous sinking motions and extreme heatwaves. In comparison, heatwaves were more serious in August than in July due to stronger upper-level anomalous anticyclone and associated easterlies. Importantly, different mechanisms were responsible for the heatwaves in the two months. In July, the relatively weaker anticyclonic anomaly over northern CEC was dominated by the forcing of diabatic heating over northwestern South Asia (NWSA), corresponding with the record-breaking rainfall in and around Pakistan. In August, a powerful anticyclonic condition for the CEC heatwaves originated from an extreme silk road pattern (SRP), superposing the effect of NWSA diabatic heating due to persistent downpour. We notice that another upstream anticyclonic node in the SRP also created heatwaves in Europe. Therefore, the CEC extreme heat was actually associated with other concurrent extremes over the Eurasian continent through large-scale atmospheric teleconnections in 2022.

The Influence of the Tibetan Plateau Monsoon on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia

As a unique climate phenomenon induced by the Tibetan Plateau (TP) heat flux, the TP monsoon is closely connected with the global climate, especially pertaining to the TP. However, the current research focuses more on the influence of the TP monsoon on the TP and eastern China, but not including Central Asia. This paper analyzed the relationship between the TP monsoon index and Central Asia summer precipitation by JRA55 reanalysis data and Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) monthly precipitation. The results showed a significant positive relationship between the TP monsoon index and summer precipitation in Central Asia. When the TP monsoon was strong, there was cold advection in the upper troposphere over Central Asia, and the resulting thermal wind caused a cyclonic circulation anomaly in the mid-upper troposphere over Central Asia. This in turn led to a cyclonic circulation anomaly to water vapor transport in the lower troposphere. The abnormal upward movement also caused more precipitation in this area, which explains the positive correlation between the TP monsoon and the precipitation in Central Asia. Based on this physical mechanism, the temperature of the mid-upper troposphere over Central Asia was closely related to the TP monsoon, and it was a key factor that affected summer precipitation changes in Central Asia.

The Zonal Wind Intraseasonal Oscillation in the Exit Region of the East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet in Winter and Its Thermodynamic Mechanism

The six-hourly ERA-interim reanalysis data were used to analyze the intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) characteristics of the zonal wind in the exit region of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet (EAJ) during the winter (November to April). The results indicate that from East Asia to the North Pacific, the zonal wind in the upper troposphere shows significant 10–40-day oscillations, propagating eastward toward the jet exit region. The strength of the intraseasonal zonal wind anomaly increases from the lower troposphere to the upper troposphere, reaching a peak between 300 and 200 hPa. The zonal wind ISO in the jet exit area is closely related to the intraseasonal inverse temperature tendency between the north and south of the jet exit in the troposphere. In the acceleration (deceleration) phase of the intraseasonal west wind, the air temperature decreases (increases) in the north of the exit and increases (decreases) in the south of the exit. The intraseasonal temperature tendency is stronger in the north of the EAJ exit than that in the south. In the north of the EAJ exit, the intraseasonal temperature tendency is decided by the temperature advection, where the whole troposphere is controlled by the north wind in the west wind acceleration phase and controlled by the south wind in the west wind deceleration phase, so the intensity of temperature advection is strong. However, adiabatic heating plays a decisive role in affecting the temperature evolution in the south of the jet exit area, and the intraseasonal meridional wind is the opposite between the mid-upper troposphere and the lower troposphere, resulting in weak temperature advection and the weak temperature tendency. Therefore, although the zonal wind ISO in the jet exit area is the result of the joint action of the ISOs in different latitudes, the influence of mid-high latitudes is particularly important.

Association between regional summer monsoon onset in South Asia and Tibetan Plateau thermal forcing

By using multiple data sources and numerical simulation results from the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) of CAM4.0 (Community Atmosphere Model, version 4), we investigated the effect of thermal forcing over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) on the onset of the summer monsoon in the Arabian Sea (AS) and India. Results indicate that the spatial distribution of diabatic heating over the TP in May is a southeastern–northwestern inverse pattern. This diabatic heating shows a robust negative relationship with the onset date of the summer monsoon over the AS and India. A positive diabatic heating seesaw pattern can enhance the ascending (descending) motion over the southeastern (northwestern) TP, corresponding to above (below) normal in- situ precipitation. Temperature budget diagnosis reveals that the adiabatic heating due to anomalous vertical motion and relevant horizontal advection of temperature in the mid-upper troposphere are responsible for the warming over the TP. Consequently, the reversal of the meridional temperature gradient from winter to summer over South Asian regions occurs earlier than the climate-mean state. Furthermore, the diabatic heating over the TP induces an enhanced and westward-extended South Asian High (SAH), which together with the easterly along the southern flank of the SAH superimpose on the low-level westerly flow over the AS and India, results in intensive upper-level divergence-pumping and upward motion. This anomalous circulation configuration in lower and upper levels further facilitates an earlier onset of the summer monsoon in AS and India. These findings are corroborated in the sensitivity runs based on CAM4.0.

Typical Circulation Patterns and Associated Mechanisms for Persistent Heavy Rainfall Events over Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley during 1981\u20132020

Persistent heavy rainfall events (PHREs) over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Valley (YHRV) during 1981–2020 are classified into three types (type-A, type-B and type-C) according to pattern correlation. The characteristics of the synoptic systems for the PHREs and their possible development mechanisms are investigated. The anomalous cyclonic disturbance over the southern part of the YHRV during type-A events is primarily maintained and intensified by the propagation of Rossby wave energy originating from the northeast Atlantic in the mid–upper troposphere and the northward propagation of Rossby wave packets from the western Pacific in the mid–lower troposphere. The zonal propagation of Rossby wave packets and the northward propagation of Rossby wave packets during type-B events are more coherent than those for type-A events, which induces eastward propagation of stronger anomaly centers of geopotential height from the northeast Atlantic Ocean to the YHRV and a meridional anomaly in geopotential height over the Asian continent. Type-C events have “two ridges and one trough” in the high latitudes of the Eurasian continent, but the anomalous intensity of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and the trough of the YHRV region are weaker than those for type-A and type-B events. The composite synoptic circulation of four PHREs in 2020 is basically consistent with that of the corresponding PHRE type. The location of the South Asian high (SAH) in three of the PHREs in 2020 moves eastward as in the composite of the three types, but the position of the WPSH of the four PHREs is clearly westward and northward. Two water vapor conveyor belts and two cold air conveyor belts are tracked during the four PHREs in 2020, but the water vapor path from the western Pacific is not seen, which may be caused by the westward extension of the WPSH.

Physical Process Contributions to the Development of a Super Explosive Cyclone Over the Gulf Stream

Contributions of different physical processes to the development of a super explosive cyclone (SEC) migrating over the Gulf Stream with the maximum deepening rate of 3.45 Bergeron were investigated using the ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The evolution of the SEC resembled the Shapiro-Keyser model. The moisture transported to the bent-back front by easterlies from Gulf Stream favored precipitation and enhanced the latent heat release. The bent-back front and warm front were dominated by the water vapor convergence in the mid-low troposphere, the cyclonic-vorticity advection in the mid-upper troposphere and the divergence in the upper troposphere. These factors favored the rapid development of the SEC, but their contributions showed significant differences during the explosive-developing stage. The diagnostic results based on the Zwack-Okossi equation suggested that the early explosive development of the SEC was mainly forced by the diabatic heating in the mid-low troposphere. From the early explosive-developing moment to maximum-deepening-rate moment, the diabatic heating, warm-air advection and cyclonic-vorticity advection were all enhanced significantly, their combination forced the most explosive development, and the diabatic heating had the biggest contribution, followed by the warm-air advection and cyclonic-vorticity advection, which is different from the previous studies of ECs over the Northwestern Atlantic. The cross section of these factors suggested that during the rapid development, the cyclonic-vorticity advection was distributed and enhanced significantly in the mid-low troposphere, the warm-air advection was strengthened significantly in the mid-low and upper troposphere, and the diabatic heating was distributed in the middle troposphere.

Remote Effects of IOD and ENSO on Motivating the Atmospheric Pattern Favorable for Snowfall Over the Tibetan Plateau in Early Winter

The interannual variation of snowfall over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in early winter (November–December) and its related atmospheric attribution are clarified. Meanwhile, the influence of tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on TP snowfall is investigated by diagnostic analyses and Community Atmosphere Model (CAM5) simulations. The leading mode of TP snowfall in early winter features a spatially uniform pattern with remarkable interannual variability. It is found that the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are main external forcing factors for TP snowfall. Positive IOD with positive ENSO and positive IOD with neutral ENSO cases both have remote impact on motivating Southern Eurasia (SEA) pattern, which can induce an anomalous cyclone around the TP. The corresponding anomalous ascending motion and cold air in the mid-upper troposphere provide the dynamical and thermal conditions for heavy snowfall. The low-level southwesterly winds are enhanced over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, bringing abundant water vapor into the TP for excessive snowfall. Furthermore, CAM5 simulation experiments forced by IOD- and ENSO-related SST anomalies are performed to verify their combined and independent effects on TP snowfall in early winter. It is confirmed that either positive IOD or El Niño has certain impacts on motivating circulation anomalies favorable for snowfall over the TP. However, IOD plays a leading role in producing the excessive snowfall-related atmospheric conditions, and there is an asymmetric influence of ENSO and IOD on the TP snowfall.

Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictability of Onset Dates of South China Sea Summer Monsoon: A Perspective of Meridional Temperature Gradient

AbstractThe onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) has traditionally been ascribed to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on an interannual timescale, but the two do not correspond in some years. The present study applies harmonic analysis on the meridional temperature gradient (MTG) in mid–upper troposphere over South China Sea (SCS) and decomposes the onset process to be a slow-varying seasonal cycle and transient subseasonal component. The ENSO-related air temperature anomaly in the southern SCS provides seasonal predictability of SCSSM onset by a stable and robust relationship between ENSO and MTG seasonal cycle. However, in the northern SCS, the MTG is regulated by an intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) of extratropical air temperature with a significant 10–30-day period. This ISO originates over the western TP, then propagates eastward and gets enhanced by anomalous diabatic heating due to spring rainfall anomaly over South China, as a result of subseasonal thermal forcing of TP. When the ISO arrives to the north of the SCS, it directly changes the tropospheric temperature to modulate the MTG. Meanwhile, the upper-level circulation associated with the ISO alters the meridional potential vorticity advection and pumping effect, followed by the anomalous low-level westerly wind and monsoon convection over the SCS. The SCSSM onset is evidently disrupted from its seasonal cycle when this ISO is more active. Since the independence of its intensity from ENSO, this extratropical ISO over TP and South China provides additional subseasonal predictability of the onset dates of the SCSSM.

Modulated Responses of East Asian Winter Climate to Anthropogenic Aerosols by Urban Cover in Eastern China

The increasing anthropogenic aerosols (AAs) over East Asia have caused significant regional climate responses, but the role of urban land-use changes which occur simultaneously, in altering these AA-induced changes, is not well understood. Here, the modulation of the AAs’ effect on the East Asian winter (November–January) climate by the urban cover in eastern China was investigated using the Community Atmosphere Model version 5.1 coupled with the Community Land Model version 4. Results show that the winter sulfate aerosol burden is higher from central eastern China to southern Japan in the case with the presence of urban cover than in the case without it, resulting from urban-induced circulation changes. Such aerosol changes markedly increase the cloud fraction and precipitation over northern China and the adjacent ocean to the east, especially convection activities around southern Japan. This leads to a cooling effect near the surface over northern China and in the mid-upper troposphere to the east due to aerosol direct and indirect effects. The resulting circulation responses act to shift the mid-tropospheric East Asian trough southward and the upper-level East Asian westerly jet-stream as well, further supporting the surface changes. These winter climate responses to the urban-modulated aerosols can largely offset or even reverse those to the AAs forcing without the urban cover in the model, especially in northern East Asia. This study highlights the need to consider the modulating role of urban land-use changes in assessing the AAs’ climatic effect over East Asia and other regions.

Climatological intraseasonal oscillation in the middle–upper troposphere and its effect on the northward migration of the East Asian westerly jet and rain belt over eastern China

AbstractUsing daily atmospheric circulation data for 1981–2010, we identify the climatological intraseasonal oscillation (CISO) in the mid–upper troposphere and reveal its critical role in anchoring the Meiyu season to the period from mid‐June to mid‐July and the rainfall episode of northeastern China to begin in late July. Wavelet analysis shows a significant 20–90‐day period in the climatological 200‐ and 500‐hPa zonal winds during boreal summer, indicating the existence of the zonal wind CISO in the mid–upper troposphere. The leading mode of zonal wind CISO features a dipole pattern along the coast of East Asia controlled by convection over the southeastern China–western North Pacific (SC–WNP). In mid‐June, suppressed convection over the SC–WNP induces the negative phase of intraseasonal Pacific–Japan pattern, leading to the strong anticyclone with a poleward tilt with height to dominate over the WNP. Consequently, more moisture are transported to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley (YRV), and the mid‐tropospheric (upper‐tropospheric) East Asian westerly jet (EAWJ) is shifted north of 32°N (36°N), which further increases the YRV rainfall through enhancing warm advection and upper‐tropospheric divergence, thus facilitating the initiation of Meiyu season. In mid‐July, active convection occupies the SC–WNP instead, with the reversed circulation pattern terminating the Meiyu season. In late July, active convection shifts from the equator to the tropical western Pacific, leading to the second mode of zonal wind CISO, which is characterized by a quasi‐barotropic Mongolian anticyclone in the mid–upper troposphere. The upper‐tropospheric EAWJ is further shifted to 45°N, displacing the induced upper‐tropospheric divergence northward, thus initiating the rainfall episode of northeastern China.

The Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet Stream in CRA-40, ERA5, and CFSR Reanalysis Data: Comparative Assessment

The Asian subtropical westerly jet (AWJ) exerts crucial influences on Eurasian continent weather and climate. This paper analyzes the advantages and limitations of CRA-40, which is China’s first generation 40-yr (1979–2018) global atmosphere and land reanalysis product, in describing the characteristics of AWJ, compared with the ECMWF Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) and NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). The results show a close agreement across the three reanalyses on the whole. (1) In terms of climatology, overall differences of 200-hPa zonal wind across the three reanalyses are within ± 0.5 m s−1 (i.e., ± 2%). Large differences with maxima of ± 2 m s−1 (± 5%) appear over the Iranian Plateau and south of the Tibetan Plateau in the mid-upper troposphere in winter. (2) For seasonal cycle, the position and intensity of the AWJ centers in the three reanalyses are highly consistent, with correlation coefficient over 0.98. But there are some discrepancies in the zonal shift of the western AWJ center during the transition season. (3) On the interannual timescale, intensity of all AWJ centers varies consistently among the three reanalyses, while larger differences appear in their meridional displacement, especially in the eastern AWJ center. (4) For long-term variations, the three reanalyses all present a significant northward movement of the westerly jet axis in winter, and a southward displacement over central Asia (40°–80°E) and a northward migration over East Asia (80°–110°E) in summer. Thus, this study has provided confidence that CRA-40 has comparable performance with ERA5 and CFSR in depicting the characteristics of AWJ.

Interdecadal Change of the Winter-Spring Tropospheric Temperature Over Asia and its Impact on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

The interdecadal change of the winter-spring tropospheric temperature over Asia and its impact on the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) onset are investigated in this study. The SCSSM onset experiences a significant advance around the mid-1990s, which is attributed to the positive interdecadal anomaly of meridional temperature gradient in the mid-upper troposphere in May over the South China Sea monsoon region. This positive interdecadal anomaly can be traced back to the previous winter and spring, mainly associated with the mid-upper tropospheric warming in the East Asian subtropics. During the interdecadal anomalous seasonal evolution of the East Asian subtropical mid-upper tropospheric temperature, advection of the warm temperature anomaly by climatological mean wind overtakes the effects of anomalous adiabatic cooling and diabatic cooling, leading to a net interdecadal seasonal warming in winter. In spring, the adiabatic heating caused by the interdecadal anomalous subsidence flow cannot offset the effects of interdecadal anomalous cold advection and diabatic cooling, resulting in a net interdecadal seasonal cooling. However, the interdecadal seasonal cooling in spring is not strong enough to offset the interdecadal seasonal warming in winter, preserving an interdecadal mid-upper tropospheric warming over the subtropical East Asia in late spring. This interdecadal warming provides a favorable condition for the interdecadal advance of the SCSSM onset. Both observational analyses and numerical experiments suggest that the interdecadal change of atmospheric thermodynamic processes in winter−spring is related to the interdecadal warming in the tropical western Pacific. The enhanced convection and condensation heating over the regions from the South China Sea to the Philippines, forced by the tropical western Pacific warming, stimulates an anomalous anticyclone in the upper troposphere and warming in the whole troposphere over the subtropical East Asia.