The complex and compact structure of straw represents the primary obstacle to its high-value conversion. This research integrated ball milling depolymerization, microwave hydrothermal conversion and machine learning methodology to gradually optimize and enhance the conversion potential of straw to 5-hydroxymethylfurfural (HMF). The findings indicated that the HMF yield of from straw, following ball milling depolymerization and direct microwave hydrothermal conversion, ranges between 0.10% and 0.45%. However, under acid-catalyzed microwave hydrothermal conditions, the HMF yield markedly increased to 2.35%–2.95%. It was noteworthy that AlCl3, Ca-zeolite, and Mg-zeolite increased the maximum HMF yield to 9.47%, 7.67%, and 9.04%, respectively. Based on these findings, introducing organic solvents to form a biphasic system could further increase the HMF yield to 10.63% (75% MIBK addition scenario). Finally, machine learning prediction indicated that the HMF yield could be optimized to 11.13 wt% in the biphasic system with 0.08 g AlCl3 per 0.2 g reaction material and 7.5 mL MIBK per 10 mL reaction solution and pH 1.25 under microwave hydrothermal at 190 °C for 0.75 min. The findings of this study provide a valuable reference point for the upcycling of straw and other biomass wastes, thereby facilitating the development and utilization of renewable resources.
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