Background and Objective: Treatment and triage decisions during influenza remain difficult due to lack of reliable severity of illness predictive score. Influenza A/H1N1 induces the expression and release of tissue-factor bearing microparticles (MP-TF), contributing to a prothrombic milieu. However, there are no studies reporting levels of circulating TF-expressing MPs during the course of human influenza. We sought to determine if MP-TF are an early predictor of mortality in critically ill patients with influenza A/H1N1.Methods: This was a prospective, multicenter, case-cohort pilot study of three academic intensive care units. We prospectively studied 15 patients with primary influenza A/H1N1 that included 7 survivors and 8 non-survivors. For comparison, 27 healthy, medication-free, age- and gender-matched control subjects were also prospectively studied. Plasma was prepared from blood drawn upon ICU admission in influenza patients. MP-TF activity, thrombin-antithrombin complexes (TATc), and D-dimers were measured as markers of activation of coagulation. Plasma cytokine levels were measured on the same blood samples. Patients were followed for the primary outcome of 28-day mortality.Results: The average admission APACHE II score of the influenza patients was 25.5±9.3, 60% of patients had shock, and the 28-day mortality rate was 53.3% (n=8/15). Compared to healthy controls, influenza patients had significantly higher plasma fibrinogen, C-reactive protein (CRP) MP-TF activity, TATc, D-dimer and a prolonged prothrombin time. However, of these procoagulant markers, only MP-TF activity predicted influenza related mortality (5.6±1.2 pg/ml in non-survivors vs. 1.8±0.8 pg/mL in survivors, p < 0.05; Table 1 and Fig. 1A). MP-TF activity, TATc levels, and D-dimer did not correlate with APACHE II score, platelet count, fibrinogen levels, CRP, or age or between patients with severe sepsis versus septic shock. Influenza non-survivors also had significantly higher plasma IL-8 levels compared with survivors (71.8±29.1 pg/ml vs. 17.3±3.7 pg/mL, p < 0.05; Figure 1B). MP-TF activity and IL-8 levels were significantly and positively correlated (r2 = 0.60, P =0.003; Figure 1C). Other cytokines, TATc, and D-dimer were not different between non-survivors and survivors.Conclusions: This study demonstrates that plasma IL-8 and MP-TF activity measured upon admission in patients with severe, primary influenza A/H1N1 infection is associated with subsequent mortality. Thus, these biomarkers may serve as very early prognostic markers for patients with influenza A/H1N1.Table 1Characteristics of the influenza patients. Laboratory values, coagulation markers, and plasma cytokines were measured within 24 hours of ICU admission.All Influenza A/H1N1 Patients(n=15)Influenza Non-Survivors(n=8)Influenza Survivors(n=7)P valueAdmission CharacteristicAge, years43.3±11.045.8±4.640.4±15.50.37Male Gender, n (%)7 (47%)3 (38%)4 (57%)0.45Weight, kg95.5±25.286.6±20.9105.7±27.40.15BMI, kg/m233.3±7.231.5±5.035.4±9.10.31Obesity (BMI³30 kg/m2)10 (67%)5 (63%)5 (71%)0.71Tobacco Use, n (%)4 (27%)3 (38%)1 (14%)0.31APACHE II Score25.5±9.327.9±9.122.9±9.40.31Mechanically Ventilated, n (%)15 (100%)8 (100%)7 (100%)--Shock, n (%)9 (60%)6 (75%)3 (43%)0.21P/F Ratio83±2884±3482±220.89Clinical OutcomesICU Length of Stay, days21.9±7.723.0±7.920.7±7.80.58Duration of Ventilation, days8.2±1.08.5±0.97.6±0.90.11Secondary Bacterial Infection, n (%)5 (33%)4 (50%)1 (14%)0.28Overt DIC, n (%)15 (100%)8 (100%)7 (100%)--Laboratory ValuesPlatelets, 103/µL213±138154±104280±1500.08White Blood Cells, K/µL7.3±4.48.5±4.95.9±3.50.28Hemoglobin, g/dL11.7±1.911.5±2.012.0±1.80.66Serum Creatinine, mg/dL1.1±0.71.14±0.741.07±0.590.84Coagulation MarkersFibrinogen, mg/dL571±240461±253700±1570.07C-reactive Protein, mg/L11.0±7.611.8±7.410.2±8.20.70PT, sec20±7.019.2±4.720.9±9.30.67aPTT, sec53.0±22.955.1±29.050.7±15.00.72MP-TF, pg/mL3.8±0.95.6±1.21.8±0.8< 0.05TATc, ng/mL11.8±2.714.3±3.59.1±4.10.35D-dimer, ng/mL2439±862568±982292±1340.11 [Display omitted] DisclosuresNo relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
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