Meier Curves Research Articles

Exploring the long-term effects of dapagliflozin in patients with stable acute myocardial infarction and preserved ejection fraction through a propensity score matching study

Abstract Background and Aims The recent Emmy trial underscored notable improvements in cardiac structure and function among post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients treated with Empagliflozin, compared to those receiving a placebo. However, limitations such as a small sample size and a short follow-up period hindered the assessment of potential differences in actual clinical events between the groups. Consequently, our study aimed to evaluate the long-term outcomes, survival rates, rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and heart failure (HF) incidence in patients with preserved ejection fraction (EF) who experienced AMI and underwent successful percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), comparing those who received early initiation of Dapagliflozin with those who did not. Methods Data from the Taipei Medical University Research Database in Taiwan identified 7,081 inpatients who met the criteria of AMI status post successful PCI, with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) greater than 50% and absence of clinical symptoms indicative of heart failure. Exclusion criteria included individuals with a pre-existing diagnosis of heart failure before the index AMI episode and those with an LVEF below 50%, resulting in the exclusion of 357 patients from our study. The study subjects were then divided into two groups: those treated with Dapagliflozin and those not treated with Dapagliflozin, with matching for age, diabetes mellitus, and chronic kidney disease in a 1:2 ratio. Results The cohort study included of 756 patients who met the criteria of this study, among whom 252 were Dapagliflozin users and 504 were not. Over a 7-year follow-up period, Kaplan-Meier survival analyses revealed a significant reduction in cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality among Dapagliflozin users compared to non-users (p < 0.01). However, no significant differences were observed in heart failure, recurrent AMI, or stroke during the follow-up. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated the use of Dapagliflozin (hazard ratio = 0.310, 95% confidence interval = 0.188-0.510, p < 0.001) and age of diagnosis (hazard ratio = 1.063, 95% confidence interval =1.045-1.081, p < 0.001) were both independent predictors of all cause death. Conclusions In patients with stabilized AMI, the use of Dapagliflozin was associated with a decreased risk of all-cause death, especially cardiovascular mortality. However, there were no significant differences observed in the rates of heart failure, recurrent AMI, or stroke over the seven-year follow-up period.Baseline characteristicsKaplan–Meier curves of all cause death

Effect of left atrial function on cardiovascular outcome in non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy

Abstract Background This study aimed to determine whether atrial function and strains can provide the greatest or joint incremental prognostic value in patients with non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy (NDLVC) over a long follow-up period. Methods One hundred sixty-four NDLVC patients were included retrospectively. Comprehensive clinical evaluation and echocardiographic investigations were obtained, including measurements of strain derived left atrial (LA) reservoir, conduit, booster strain. All patients were followed up for adverse cardiac events (MACE) including all-cause mortality, hospitalization due to heart failure aggravation. The predictors of MACE were examined with univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis. Subsequently, nested Cox regression models were built to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of strain parameters. Patient survival was illustrated by Kaplan–Meier curves and differences were evaluated by log-rank test. Results During a median follow-up of 3.8 years, MACEs were identified in 34 (21%) patients. Cox regression models showed that the predictive value of LA conduit strain was independent from and incremental to LAVi and baseline variables. Age, E/e', RASP and LA reservoir and conduit strain were univariably associated with the outcome (all P < 0.05). LA conduit strain was a stronger predictor of outcome compared with reservoir strain. LA conduit strain, age, RASP remained associated in the multivariable model (LA conduit strain HR: 2.14 [95% CI: 1.37-3.87; P < 0.007]; age HR: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.01-1.10; P = 0.020]; and RASP HR: 1.07 [95% CI: 1.01-1.14; P = 0.021]), whereas LVEF, LAVi were not. Adding LA conduit strain to other independent predictors (age and LAVi) improved the prediction of MACEs. (p < 0.05). Also, when a Kaplan Meier graph was obtained for the occurrence of MACE based on LA conduit strain 17%, a significant difference was shown between the two groups. Conclusion LA conduit strain provided the good prognostic value and added incremental value to conventional clinical predictors for patients with NDLVC.Incremental value of LA strainKM according to LA strain 17%

Gender-specific differences in severe tricuspid regurgitation. Finding from a TR multicentre CMR registry

Abstract Background Observational studies have suggested that severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is more prevalent in women than in men, although the pathophysiological causes that justify this difference are unknown. Purpose 1) to assess clinical and imaging differences by Cardiac Magnetic Resonance (CMR) between men and women and 2) to examine the relationship between gender and all-cause mortality in a multicentre cohort of patients with at least severe TR. Methods The study-enrolled patients with at least severe TR assessed by 2D echocardiography who underwent a contemporary cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) study. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Results 318 patients with severe TR recruited from 5 tertiary care hospitals were included in this study (70 ± 11 years, 67% female, 73% NYHA I or II). Regarding the etiology, 10% were primary TR, 1% CIED-related TR, 46 % atrial secondary TR and 43% ventricular secondary TR. Women showed a non-significant tend to lower prevalence of comorbidities, lower BNP and significantly lower creatinine values (table). Regarding CMR variables, women showed smaller indexed right ventricle (RV) volumes higher RVEF and lower TR regurgitant volume (table, p<0.05 for all). Left ventricle (LV) volumes were smaller and LVEF higher in women compared to men (p<0.001). During a median follow-up of 28 months (IQR: 10-54 months), there were 61 deaths (19%) with an estimated 5-year survival of 74%. Cumulative all-cause mortality was significantly worse in men compared to women (27% vs. 15%, p<0.001, figure). Male gender was significantly associated with all-cause mortality independently of age, RV volumes, RVEF and LVEF (HR 2,2 [1.34-3,68], p =0.002). Different cut-off values of index RV volumes and EF were predictive of mortality in men and women. In men a RV-EDV >110 ml/m2 and RVEF<57%; in women a RV-EDV >90 ml/m2 and RVEF< 60% were predictive of all-cause mortality (p<0.01). Conclusion Severe TR is more prevalent in women; however, it shows lower RV remodeling, better RV function and lower rate of events compared to men. Different prognostic RV cut-off values are provided based on CMR data.Gender differencesKaplan Meier Curves

The prognostic significance of Weber and ventilatory CPET classifications in amyloidosis patients

Abstract Background Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) has emerged as an important tool for risk stratification and prognosis assessment in patients with cardiac diseases. The Weber and Ventilatory Functional Classification have been correlated with outcomes in patients with Heart Failure (HF). Weber classification is based on VO2: Weber class A, peak VO2 >20 mL/kg per minute; class B, peak VO2 16–20 mL/kg per minute; class C, peak VO2 10–16 mL/kg per minute; and class D, peak VO2 ≤10 mL/kg per minute and Ventilatory classification on VE/VCO2 slope I-IV (Figure A). Although VO2 and VE/VCO2 variables have found altered in the amyloidosis population, the applicability of this classification in a cohort of amyloidosis patients and its correlation with all-cause mortality have not been explored. Purpose To evaluate if the Weber and Ventilatory Classification of HF predicts mortality amyloidosis patients. Methods 194 with diagnosis of amyloidosis who underwent CPET from February 2010 to February 2024 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Patients with at least one CPET complete data were included in the analysis. Data on the type of amyloidosis, comorbidities, and echocardiogram were retrieved from medical records. Cohort was divided into two groups according to the Weber Classification: Weber Class A/B and Weber Class C/D. Individuals with CPET studies after heart transplant were excluded from the analysis. Statistical analyses including Fisher’s exact test, chi-square, Tukey-Kramer (TK), Cox regression model analysis, proportional hazards model for time to event, and Kaplan–Meier curves were performed. A p-value <0.05 was considered significant. Results Out of the 194 patients, 94 were classified as Weber A-B and 100 as Weber B-C. The age at stress test was similar between the groups: Weber A/B 62.9 ± 11.7 years and Weber C/D 62.3 ± 10.7 years (p=0.087). Ejection Fraction was similar between groups, 32% and 28.9% in A-B and C-D respectively (p =0.207). Higher levels of NT-proBNP were found in the Weber C/D group. The prevalence of comorbidities was balanced among the groups except chronic kidney disease, which was higher in Weber Class C/D (40%) vs (20.2%) in Weber Class A/B (Table 1). Cox analysis revealed a strong association between higher Weber class and the outcome HR 2.36 (1.18 – 4.71) p=0.014. For Higher Ventilatory Class (Group III-IV) similar results were found HR 2.95 (1.60 – 5.45) p=0.005(Table 2). Mortality was significantly higher during the follow-up in the Weber C/D group (25%) vs (10%) in the Weber A-B group p=0.007(Figure D). Conclusion Weber and ventilatory Classification based on CPET, besides predicting outcomes in patients with cardiac disease, are strong predictors of mortality in patients with amyloidosis. These findings suggest that this patient group benefits from earlier stratification to assess prognosis and the potential requirement for transplant independently from other factors.

The association between endogenous erythropoietin levels and the risk of heart failure in a Chinese community-based population

Abstract Background Patients with heart failure (HF) often have elevated endogenous erythropoietin (EPO) levels, which are associated with disease severity and prognosis. Previous studies have indicated that in the special population elevated endogenous EPO levels are associated with HF and cardiovascular death. However, whether endogenous EPO levels are associated with the risk of HF in the general population remains to be elucidated. Purpose Our study aims to investigate the association between endogenous EPO levels and the risk of HF admission in the general population. Methods We conducted a prospective cohort study on subjects from a Beijing community in China who had no history of stroke or myocardial infarction. Endogenous EPO levels were measured at baseline for all participants. The endpoint of interest was admission with HF. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyze the relationship between endogenous EPO levels and the occurrence of the endpoint. Results A total of 4870 participants were included. Among all participants, the mean (±SD) age was 56.72 ± 8.78 years, with 1802 (37.0%) being men. The median (interquartile range, IQR) EPO level was 13.19 (9.47-18.20) IU/L. During a mean 9.57-year follow-up, a total of 176 (3.6%) subjects experienced heart failure. Subjects were grouped in quintiles according to baseline endogenous EPO levels. Higher and lower endogenous EPO levels were both associated with increased risk of HF (Figure 1A). The Kaplan–Meier curves showed significant differences in cumulative hazards of heart failure among EPO quintiles (log-rank test: P＜0.05) (Figure 1B). After adjusting for covariates, including demographics, traditional risk factors for cardiovascular disease, renal function, and hemoglobin levels, and using the middle quintile (Q3) (11.72-14.94IU/L) of EPO levels as a reference, we found that the highest quintile (Q5) (>19.86 IU/L) was associated with a 159% increased risk of HF admission (HR 2.59, 95% CI 1.57-4.28, P = 0.0002). Similarly, the lowest quintile (Q1) (<8.66 IU/L) was associated with a 94% increased risk (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.11-3.41, P = 0.0210) (Table 1). Conclusion There exists a "U-shaped" relationship between endogenous EPO levels and HF admission in the general population. Both higher and lower endogenous EPO levels were associated with an increased risk of HF admission in the community population. These findings differ from previous studies, so further research may be needed to explore the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms of endogenous EPO and HF.

Effective RV ejection fraction by CMR: a new index of RV function in patients with severe TR

Abstract Background Right ventricle (RV) dysfunction represent an formal indication for intervention in patients with significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR). RV ejection fraction (RVEF) by Cardiac Magnetic Resonance (CMR) is considered the gold standard of RV function; however it is influenced by changes of preload conditions and may remain unaffected until late stages in severe TR. Effective RV ejection fraction (eRVEF) is corrected by the amount of TR and may reflect an earlier parameter of RV dysfunction. Purpose To compare the prognostic impact of both indices of RV function: RVEF and eRVEF in a multicentre cohort of patients with severe TR. Methods Patients with at least severe TR assessed by 2D echocardiography with a contemporary cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) study were included in this study. In addition to conventional parameters of biventricular volume and function, eRVEF was assessed in all patients. eRVEF was calculated according to the formula: eRVEF=net pulmonary forwardflow/RV− EDV (figure). A combined endpoint of hospital admission due to right heart failure and cardiovascular mortality was defined. Results 271 patients with severe TR recruited from 5 tertiary care hospitals were included in this study (age 71 ± 11 years, 67% female, 83% NYHA I or II). Regarding the etiology, 10% were primary TR, 1% CIED-related TR, 46 % atrial secondary TR and 43% ventricular secondary TR. After a median follow-up of 27 months (IQR: 10-53 months), 41% of the patients (n=112) experienced the combined endpoint (n=97 were admitted due to HF, n=49 died). After adjusting for age, NYHA class, comorbidities, type of TR and LVEF in multivariate Cox proportional models, both RVEF and eRVEF were independently associated with all-cause mortality and heart failure (adj HR for RVEF HR per 1%=0.96 [0.94-0.98], p<0.001 and for eRVEF per 1%=0.98 [0.96-0.99], p<0.001). A value of eRVEF of ≤37% were associated with impaired prognosis (figure). eRVEF identified higher rates of RV dysfunction compared to RVEF (49% vs 38%, p<0.001). eRVEF was superior to RVEF to predict outcomes (higher AUC 0.70 [0.63-0.76] vs 0.66 [0.59-0.73, p<0.001; Δ C-statistic 0.139 [0.040-0.237], p=0.05). Conclusion RV function is crucial for determining optimal timing for TR intervention. eRVEF is corrected by the amount of TR and identify higher rates of RV dysfunction in severe TR. eRVEF held stronger association with outcome compared to RVEF.eRVEF calculationKaplan Meier Curves

The impact of targeted bleeding source treatment on the risk of recurrent bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention among patients with a history of prior bleeding

Abstract Background Prior bleeding is one of the strongest predictors for bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Whether targeted treatment of the prior bleeding site affects the risk of bleeding after PCI is unknown to date. Methods From an all-comers population undergoing PCI between 2009-2019, patients with BARC 2-4 bleeding prior to index PCI were identified. Among those, the recurrence of BARC 2-5 bleeding at the same bleeding site, any BARC 2-5 bleeding, and mortality were compared throughout 1 year after PCI between patients with vs. without targeted treatment at the prior bleeding site. Targeted treatment was defined as medical, interventional, or surgical therapy targeted to cure the cause of bleeding. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRadj) were extracted from Cox regressions. Inverse probability weights were computed from a logistic regression with targeted treatment as dependent variable, and the following covariates: ARC-HBR variables associated with ≥4% 1-year bleeding risk in this registry (including oral anticoagulation), aspirin, potent P2Y12 inhibitor treatment, and prior bleeding site. Results Out of 18’510 patients enrolled from 2009-2019, 845 (4.6%) had a history of prior BARC 2-4 bleeding before PCI. Mean age was 71.6 years, 25% were female, and 52% presented with acute coronary syndrome. Patients with targeted treatment were significantly younger (70.3 vs. 72.5 years, p=0.005) and had more frequently malignancies (25% vs. 18%, p=0.012). 26/344 (7.6%) of patients with targeted treatment vs. 31/501 (6.2%) of patients without targeted treatment experienced recurrent BARC 2-5 bleeding at the same bleeding site (HRadj 1.35, 95% CI 0.79-2.30, p=0.268). 45/344 (13.1%) of patients with targeted treatment vs. 59/501 (11.8%) of patients without targeted treatment experienced any recurrent BARC 2-5 bleeding (HRadj 1.16, 95% CI 0.78-1.72, p=0.473). The rate of mortality was also similar between the groups (targeted treatment 13.7% vs. no targeted treatment 12.4%, HRadj 1.13, 95% CI 0.76-1.67, p=0.549). Conclusions Among patients with a bleeding history before PCI, half of the recurrent bleeding events throughout 1-year after PCI occurred at the same bleeding site, regardless of whether the bleeding source underwent targeted treatment. These findings imply that targeted treatment is not protective for recurrent bleeding events after PCI and that prior bleeding represents rather a systemic than local bleeding risk.Frequency of bleeding sitesKaplan Meier curves

The dynamics of urine sodium concentration after intra-venous furosemide in patients with acute heart failure

Abstract Background The urine sodium concentration measured at 2 hours after the administration of intravenous (IV) furosemide in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) is recommended as a marker to assess the responsiveness to IV furosemide. However, little is known regarding the dynamics of natriuresis in the very acute phase after IV furosemide and its association with prognosis in patients with AHF. Purpose The aim of this study is to investigate the dynamics of natriuresis in the very acute phase after IV furosemide and its prognostic implication in patients with AHF. Methods DIURESIS-AHF (Diuretic Resistance Measured by Sodium Excretion and Urine Output in Acute Heart Failure) is a multicenter, prospective, and observational study that evaluated the urine samples at the time of 0h, 1h, 2h, 6h, and 24h after the first administration of IV furosemide in hospitalized patients with AHF. Results After excluding 20 patients who needed additional IV furosemide within the first 6 hours, and 9 patients with missing data about 1h-spot urine sample, 84 patients with AHF (79±8 years, 55% men) were analyzed. Median N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels at admission were 4722 [interquartile: 2616-8095] pg/mL, and median first IV furosemide doses were 20 [interquartile:20-20] mg. 29 combined event of all-cause death and heart failure rehospitalization were observed during a 1-year follow-up after registration. Urine sodium concentration corrected for urine creatinine concentration peaked 1 hour and decreased at 2 hours after IV furosemide. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis indicated that 1h urine sodium concentration below 50 mEq/L was significantly associated with a high incidence of composite endpoint (Log-rank P=0.033), and this association was retained even after adjusting for age and sex (hazard ratio, 2.37 [95% CI, 1.03-5.45]; P=0.042), but 2h urine sodium below 50 mEq/L was not associated with a poor prognosis (Log-rank; P=0.630). Conclusions Urinary sodium excretion after IV furosemide administration peaked at 1 hour after IV furosemide and decreased at 2 hours in patients with AHF. The urine sodium concentration below 50 mEq/L at 1 hour, but not 2 hours, was associated with adverse events.Urine Na trajectoriesKaplan Meier curves

Clinical Outcome Patterns of Use of Radium-223 in Patients with Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Introduction: Radium-223 dichloride (radium-223) is a bone-targeting radioisotope therapy that aids in the survival of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) to bones. This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with mCRPC treated with radium-223 in a real-world setting. Methods: This was a retrospective study of patients with mCRPC treated with radium-223 between 2016 and 2020 at the London Health Sciences Centre in London, Canada. The baseline characteristics between the patients receiving 1–3 and 4–6 treatment cycles were compared using a two-sample t-test and Chi-square test. ANOVA was used to determine if there was a difference in each diagnostic variable per treatment cycle. Kaplan–Meier curves were generated to estimate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival in the patients treated with different numbers of cycles. Results: Fifty eligible patients were identified. The median age was 71 years (IQR: 66–76). Most patients (62%) received radium-223 beyond the third-line treatment. The mean number of radium-223 treatments was four. While 60% of the patients received 4–6 injections, 40% received 1–3 injections. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of the patients demonstrated a clinical benefit, with the remainder expressing either disease progression (28%) or stable disease (10%). The patients treated with 4–6 cycles had a delay to disease progression compared to those given 1–3 cycles of radium-223 (F5,35 = 10.52, p < 0.001). A higher alkaline phosphatase level prior to treatment was associated with a longer PFS (z33 = 2.362, p = 0.018). Treatment-related hospitalization for skeletal-related events was noted in 8% of the patients, and 14% required treatment discontinuation due to hematologic toxicity. Conclusions: This study confirms the safety of radium-223 in patients with mCRPC in a real-world setting. The radium-223 treatment was associated with a clinical benefit in the majority of the patients, particularly in those with higher pre-treatment serum alkaline phosphatase levels. Further studies to identify the predictive biomarkers are warranted to better guide the contemporary use of radium-223.

A comparative retrospective longitudinal study of arthritis risk and cognitive decline in older adults

Arthritis often results in unmet healthcare needs for older adults with cognitive decline, who may struggle to communicate pain or recall symptoms. However, the risk factors for arthritis in this group remain underexplored. We addressed this gap by identifying and comparing arthritis risk factors among older adults with varying cognitive statuses. Data from 334 participants with cognitive decline and 808 participants with normal cognition were analysed using the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging, tracking arthritis diagnoses over 12 years with Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression. Results showed 47.6% of older adults with cognitive decline developed arthritis, compared with 30.1% with normal cognition. Key risk factors for the cognitive decline group included depressive symptoms (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.87), living alone (HR: 1.66), infrequent social interactions (HR: 1.42), and greater dependency in daily activities (HR: 1.41). In the normal cognition group, additional chronic illnesses (HR: 1.41) and higher body mass index (HR: 1.09) were significant risk factors. Understanding these distinct risk factors is crucial for preventing and managing arthritis among at risk groups. Moreover, these findings can assist in developing comprehensive public health strategies integrating mental health and social support to improve health outcomes for older adults with cognitive decline.

Triglyceride-glucose index is associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with alcohol use disorder: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThe relationship between Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and clinical outcomes in patients with alcohol use disorder (AUD) is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between TyG index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AUD.MethodsWe used data from the multi-parameter intelligent monitoring in intensive care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The patients were equally divided into quartiles. Kaplan–Meier curves were used for survival analysis. The primary endpoint of the study was 28-day mortality, followed by 1-year mortality. We used Cox proportional hazard models to assess the relationship between TyG index and all-cause mortality at different endpoints.ResultsA total of 537 AUD patients were included. Using TyG value as a continuous variable (HR 1.460, 95% CI 1.121–1.903, p = 0.005) and categorical variable (HR 1.447–3.477 from Q2 to Q4, with Q1 as reference), elevated TyG value was significantly associated with increased 28-day mortality. TyG was positively associated with 1-year mortality in AUD patients with an HR of 1.295 (95% CI 1.011–1.659, p = 0.041).ConclusionTyG index is positively associated with different clinical outcomes of critically ill AUD patients.

Prognostic Impact of Acute and Chronic Inflammatory Interleukin Signatures in the Tumor Microenvironment of Early Breast Cancer

Interleukins play dual roles in breast cancer, acting as both promoters and inhibitors of tumorigenesis within the tumor microenvironment, shaped by their inflammatory functions. This study analyzed the subtype-specific prognostic significance of an acute inflammatory versus a chronic inflammatory interleukin signature using microarray-based gene expression analysis. Correlations between these interleukin signatures and immune cell markers (CD8, IgKC, and CD20) and immune checkpoints (PD-1) were also evaluated. This study investigated the prognostic significance of an acute inflammatory IL signature (IL-12, IL-21, and IFN-γ) and a chronic inflammatory IL signature (IL-4, IL-5, IL-10, IL-13, IL-17, and CXCL1) for metastasis-free survival (MFS) using Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analyses in a cohort of 461 patients with early breast cancer. Correlations were analyzed using the Spearman–Rho correlation coefficient. Kaplan–Meier curves revealed that the prognostic significance of the acute inflammatory IL signature was specifically pronounced in the basal-like subtype (p = 0.004, Log Rank). This signature retained independent prognostic significance in multivariate Cox regression analysis (HR 0.463, 95% CI 0.290–0.741; p = 0.001). A higher expression of the acute inflammatory IL signature was associated with longer MFS. The chronic inflammatory IL signature showed a significant prognostic effect in the whole cohort, with higher expression associated with shorter MFS (p = 0.034). Strong correlations were found between the acute inflammatory IL signature and CD8 expression (ρ = 0.391; p < 0.001) and between the chronic inflammatory IL signature and PD-1 expression (ρ = 0.627; p < 0.001). This study highlights the complex interaction between acute and chronic inflammatory interleukins in breast cancer progression and prognosis. These findings provide insight into the prognostic relevance of interleukin expression patterns in breast cancer and may inform future therapeutic strategies targeting the immune–inflammatory axis.

Pre-treatment of hyponatremia as a biomarker for poor immune prognosis in advanced or metastatic gastric cancer: A retrospective case analysis

ABSTRACT Hyponatremia, a prevalent electrolyte imbalance among tumor patients, has often been overlooked regarding its prognostic significance for immunotherapy. In this study, we delved into the prognostic ramifications of hyponatremia in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients undergoing immunotherapy. Enrolling AGC patients diagnosed between December 2014 and May 2021, we extracted pertinent data from electronic medical records, with a median follow-up of 35.8 months. Kaplan–Meier curves illuminated patients’ progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), while survival disparities were tested using the Mantel–Haenszel log rank test. COX and logistic regressions were employed to scrutinize the correlation between serum sodium levels and prognosis in 268 AGC patients, both at baseline and during treatment. Notably, patients with hyponatremia exhibited shorter PFS (4.7 vs 2.1 months, p = .001*) and OS (12.5 vs 3.9 months, p < .001*). Serum sodium emerged as an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (HR = 1.773; 95% CI 1.067–2.945; p = .001*) and OS (HR = 1.773; 95% CI 1.067–2.945; p = .003*). Subgroup analysis revealed that AGC patients with hyponatremia derived no benefit from immunotherapy in terms of PFS and OS. Strikingly, a decrease in serum sodium during immunotherapy was associated with early relapse and mortality. Based on these findings, we hypothesize that hyponatremia portends poor prognostic outcomes in AGC patients treated with immunotherapy and may serve as a valuable prognostic biomarker. However, further large-scale prospective studies are warranted to validate these observations.

Long-term prognosis and treatment modalities of hepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma: a retrospective study of 228 patients

BackgroundHepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma (EHE) is an extremely rare tumour. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term prognosis and its relationship with treatment modalities.MethodsFrom March 2014 to June 2024, a total of 234 patients with histologically confirmed hepatic EHE were treated or followed up regularly by our team. The patients’ clinical data at the time of diagnosis and initial treatment modalities were retrospectively collected. Kaplan–Meier curves were constructed to determine overall survival (OS). To explore prognostic factors and treatment outcomes, univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were developed.ResultsA total of 228 patients were ultimately included. The median age of the cohort was 41 years. For all patients, the OS of 1-, 3- and 5-year were 96.2%, 87.9% and 84.9%, respectively. For patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT), the OS of 1- and 3-year were 62.5% and 25%, respectively. No difference was found in the OS between patients who received surgical therapy and those who did not (1-year: 100% vs. 96.9%; 3-year: 90.1% vs. 91.5%; 5-year: 87.2% vs. 88.2%; P = 0.891). In the multivariable analysis, age ≥ 60 years [HR (95% CI): 4.207 (1.266–13.973), P = 0.019], the size of the largest lesion > 10 cm [HR (95% CI): 12.140 (1.419–103.872), P = 0.023] and LT [HR (95% CI): 5.502 (1.343–22.536), P = 0.018] were poor prognostic factors.ConclusionsCompared with nonsurgical therapy, surgical therapy has no advantage in terms of long-term survival. The role of LT in the management of hepatic EHE should be reevaluated. Age ≥ 60 years and the size of the largest lesion > 10 cm are poor prognostic factors.

Expression of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) in colorectal cancer and its correlation with clinicopathological characteristic among Jordanian patients

Abstract Introduction/Objective Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2/neu) is a well-established therapeutic target in breast and gastric cancers. Currently HER2 expression is being considered in other solid tumors including colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to investigate HER2 expression in CRC among Jordanians and its association with clinicopathological variables. Methods/Case Report Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue blocks of 69 CRC cases were retrieved with their clinicopathological data. Tissue microarray (TMA) were constructed and immunostained using anti-HER2/neu 4B5 monoclonal antibody (Ventana, Tucson, AZ). HER2 scoring was performed by two experienced pathologists using the HERACLES criteria (HER2 positivity: cases of (3+) in ≥10% of cells and FISH-positive equivocal cases). Fisher’s exact/Chi-square test was used to investigate the association between HER2 s and clinicopathological data such as age, gender, histological differentiation, node and metastasis (NM) stage, and tumor site. Survival analysis was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier curves. Results (if a Case Study enter NA) Any degree (score) of HER2/neu expression was seen in 43.5 % of the cases. In 25 (36.2%), 4 (5.8%) and 1 (1.5%) the HER2 score was 1+, 2+ and 3+ respectively. The rest of the cases, 39 (56.5%) were scored as 0. Two of the four cases with a score (2+) required ISH testing to confirm amplification which was not performed. No significant association was found between HER2/neu expression and clinicopathological parameters or with survival. However, survival analysis showed that combined 2+/ 3+ group tend to have worse overall (OS) and event -free survival than the (0/1+) group. Conclusion The prevalence of HER2 overexpression in CRC is low among Jordanian patients, with only 1.5% of the study sample exhibiting definite HER2 overexpression. This rate is lower than the 3-5% rate reported in general, however the small sample size and lack of FISH confirmation might have contributed to this low rate. There was a trend towards worse OS and EFS in HER2 positive cases

Stronger association of intact angiotensinogen with mortality than lactate or renin in critical illness: post-hoc analysis from the VICTAS trial

Sepsis and septic shock remain global healthcare problems associated with high mortality rates despite best therapy efforts. Circulating biomarkers may identify those patients at risk for poor outcomes, however, current biomarkers, most prominently lactate, are non-specific and have an inconsistent impact on prognosis and/or disease management. Activation of the renin-angiotensin- system (RAS) is an early event in sepsis patients and elevated levels of circulating renin are more predictive of worse outcomes than lactate. The precursor protein Angiotensinogen is another key component of the circulating RAS; it is the only known substrate for renin and the ultimate source of the vasopressor Angiotensin II (Ang II). We postulate that lower Angiotensinogen concentrations may reflect a dysfunctional RAS characterized by high renin concentrations but attenuated Ang II generation, which is disproportionate to the high renin response and may compromise adequate support of blood pressure and tissue perfusion in septic patients. The current study compared the association between serum Angiotensinogen with mortality to that of lactate and renin in the VICTAS cohort of sepsis patients at baseline (day 0) by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan–Meier curve analyses. Serum concentration of Angiotensinogen was more strongly associated with 30-day mortality than either the serum concentrations of renin or lactate in sepsis patients. Moreover, the clinical assessment of Angiotensinogen may have distinct advantages over the typical measures of renin. The assessment of intact Angiotensinogen may potentially facilitate more precise therapeutic approaches (including exogenous angiotensin II) to restore a dysfunctional RAS and improve patient outcomes. Additional prospective validation studies are clearly required for this biomarker in the future.

Scoring and validation of a simple model for predicting diabetic retinopathy in patients with type 2 diabetes based on a meta-analysis approach of 21 cohorts

Aim To develop and validate a model for predicting diabetic retinopathy (DR) in patients with type 2 diabetes. Methods All risk factors with statistical significance in the DR prediction model were scored by their weights. Model performance was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Kaplan–Meier curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis. The prediction model was externally validated using a validation cohort from a Chinese hospital. Results In this meta-analysis, 21 cohorts involving 184,737 patients with type 2 diabetes were examined. Sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus (DM) duration, albuminuria, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic blood pressure (SBP) and TG were identified to be statistically significant. Thus, they were all included in the model and scored according to their weights (maximum score: 35.0). The model was validated using an external cohort with median follow-up time of 32 months. At a critical value of 16.0, the AUC value, sensitivity and specificity of the validation cohort are 0.772 ((95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.740–0.803), p < .01), 0.715 and 0.775, respectively. The calibration curve lied close to the ideal diagonal line. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model had notably higher net benefits. The external validation results proved the reliability of the risk prediction model. Conclusions The simple DR prediction model developed has good overall calibration and discrimination performance. It can be used as a simple tool to detect patients at high risk of DR.

Impact of a New Preoperative Stratification Based on Cardiac Structural Compromise in Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis Undergoing Valve Replacement Surgery

Introduction and objectives: Aortic valve replacement surgery (SAVR) remains a recommended indication, though its pre-surgical stratification is an ongoing challenge. Despite the widespread use of scores like the STS and EuroSCORE II, they have a number of limitations, while often neglecting structural parameters like left ventricular hypertrophy or left atrium volume. This study aimed to evaluate whether a new adaptation of the Généreux classification in the preoperative risk stratification of severe aortic stenosis (AS) is associated with the primary outcome, and to compare it with the original classification versus the traditional scores in short- and long-term follow-up. Methods: We conducted a retrospective, single-center study involving patients with confirmed severe AS who underwent SAVR. The new stratification categorized patients into three stages. Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with mortality, with survival analysis performed using Kaplan–Meier curves. A p-value &lt; 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total of 508 patients were included. Stage 3 patients had a lower median age (67 years). The median EuroSCORE II and STS scores were 2.75 and 2.62%, respectively (p ≤ 0.001). Over a median follow-up of 81 months, 56 deaths occurred (11%). Kaplan–Meier curve analysis revealed significant differences in all-cause mortality among the three groups (HR 4.073, log-rank p ≤ 0.001). Multivariable analysis identified the three preoperative stages (HR 3.22, [95% CI 1.44–7.20], p = 0.004) and mean transaortic gradient (HR 0.96, [95% CI 0.92–0.99], p = 0.021) as independent variables of mortality. The original Généreux scale AUC was higher (AUC: 0.760, 95% CI: 0.692–0.829) compared to the modified Généreux scale (AUC: 0.758, 95% CI: 0.687–0.829). However, no statistical differences were found between the different scales. Conclusions: Preoperative three-stage classification and low transaortic gradient are factors associated with increased all-cause mortality in patients undergoing SAVR. The proposed staging system performed better in the mortality analysis than EuroSCORE II and STS and was similar to the original classification.

A Machine Learning-Based Clustering Using Radiomics of F-18 Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography for the Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Background: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IHCC) is highly aggressive primary hepatic malignancy with an increasing incidence. Objective: This study aimed to develop machine learning-based radiomic clustering using F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) for predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in IHCC. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed pretreatment F-18 FDG PET/CT scans of 60 IHCC patients who underwent surgery without neoadjuvant treatment between January 2008 and July 2020. Radiomic features such as first order, shape, and gray level were extracted from the scans of 52 patients and analyzed using unsupervised hierarchical clustering. Results: Of the 60 patients, 36 experienced recurrence and 31 died during follow-up. Eight patients with a negative FDG uptake were classified as Group 0. The unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis divided the total cohort into three clusters (Group 1: n = 27; Group 2: n = 23; Group 3: n = 2). The Kaplan–Meier curves showed significant differences in RFS and OS among the clusters (p &lt; 0.0001). Multivariate analyses showed that the PET radiomics grouping was an independent prognostic factor for RFS (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.03, p = 0.001) and OS (HR = 2.39, p = 0.030). Oxidative phosphorylation was significantly activated in Group 1, and the KRAS, P53, and WNT β-catenin pathways were enriched in Group 2. Conclusions: This study demonstrated that machine learning-based PET radiomics clustering can preoperatively predict prognosis and provide valuable information complementing the genomic profiling of IHCC.

Temporal trends in pediatric cancer mortality: rare cancers lag behind more common cancers

Temporal trends demonstrate improved survival for many types of common pediatric cancer. Studies have not examined improvement in very rare pediatric cancers or compared these improvements to more common cancers. In this cohort study of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry, we examined patients from 1975 to 2016 who were 0–19 years of age at the time of diagnosis. Cancers were grouped by decade of diagnosis and 3 cancer frequency groups: Common, Intermediate, and Rare. Trends in mortality across decades and by cancer frequency were compared using Kaplan–Meier curves and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. A total of 50,222 patients were available for analysis, with the top 10 cancers grouped as Common (67%), 13 cancers grouped with Intermediate (24%), and 37 cancers as Rare (9%). Rare cancers had higher rates of children who were older and Black. 5-year survival increased from 63% to 86% across all cancers from the 1970s to the 2010s. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality decreased from the reference point of 1 in the 1970s to 0.27 (95% CI: 0.25-0.30) in the 2010s in Common cancers, while the HR only dropped to 0.60 (0.49–0.73) over that same period for rare cancers. Pediatric oncology patients have experienced dramatic improvement in mortality since the 1970s, with mortality falling by nearly 75% in common cancers. Unfortunately, rare pediatric cancers continue to lag behind more common and therefore better studied cancers, highlighting the need for a renewed focus on research efforts for children with these rare diseases.