To identify the risk factors for central visual field progression in moderate to advanced glaucoma. We included patients with moderate to advanced primary glaucoma who had undergone at least five reliable Humphrey visual field (HVF) 10-2 tests with follow-up of at least 2 years. Regression slopes for each threshold location on the 10-2 plot were calculated. A test location with a regression slope worsening more than -1 dB/year with P < 0.01 was labeled as a progressing point on point-wise linear regression (PLR) analysis. We compared point-wise progression with progression on the 10-2 mean deviation (defined as a negative MD slope P < 0.05). Ninety-six eyes of 74 patients with a median follow-up of 4 years (±1.97) were included. The median mean deviation 10-2 (MD) at inclusion was -19.01 dB (interquartile range [IQR] -13.2 to -24.14). Eighteen eyes (18.75%) had moderate glaucoma and 78 eyes (81.25%) had advanced glaucoma. The baseline median 24-2 MD in moderate glaucoma was -10.35 dB (IQR -11.35 to -9.25) and in advanced glaucoma was -24.96 dB (IQR -28.48 to -18.26). Based on 10-2 PLR, 27 eyes (28%) showed progression. On multivariate logistics regression analysis, the rate of change for 10-2 MD was a risk factor for progression based on 10-2 PLR analysis: odds ratio (OR) 0.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.006-0.323), P = 0.002, and for progression based on 10-2 MD analysis: OR 0.03 (95% CI: 0.002-0.602), P = 0.02. In addition, average MD 24-2 (OR 1.343 [95% CI: 1.006-1.793], P = 0.04) and visual field index (OR 0.787 [95% CI: 0.649-0.954], P = 0.01) were found to be risk factors based on 10-2 PLR. Rate of change for 10-2 mean deviation and baseline damage were predictors of point-wise progression.
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