The study aims to identify differences in tibiofemoral joint morphology between responders (R group, no pain) to arthroscopic partial medial meniscectomy (APMM) versus medial postmeniscectomy syndrome patients (MPMS group, recurrent pain at 2 years postmeniscectomy) in a clinically neutrally aligned patient population. The second aim was to build a morphology-based predictive algorithm for response to treatment (RTT) in APMM. Two patient groups were identified from a large multicentre database of meniscectomy patients at 2 years of follow-up: the R group included 120 patients with a KOOS pain score > 75, and the MPMS group included 120 patients with a KOOS pain score ≤ 75. Statistical shape models (SSMs) of distal femur, proximal tibia and tibiofemoral joint were used to compare knee morphology. Finally, a predictive model was developed to predict RTT, with the SSM-derived morphologic variables as predictors. No differences were found between the R and MPMS groups for patient age, sex, height, weight or cartilage status. Knees in the MPMS group were significantly smaller, had a wider femoral notch and a smaller medial femoral condyle. A morphology-based predictive model was able to predict MPMS at 2 years follow-up with a sensitivity of 74.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 74.4%-75.4%) and a specificity of 81.0% (95% CI: 80.6%-81.5%). A smaller tibiofemoral joint, a wider intercondylar notch and smaller medial femoral condyle were observed shape variations related to medial postmeniscectomy syndrome. These promising results are a first step towards a knee morphology-based clinical decision support tool for meniscus treatment. Case-control study. Level IIIb.