Abstract 11 adult patients with moderate to advanced periodontitis were treated with oral hygiene instruction and an initial, single episode of root debridement. Before therapy, 3 independent clinicians examined all patients and identified sites that in their opinion probably would not respond to the therapy and would continue to lose attachment. On 2 occasions, 3 and 12 months later, the clinicians reexamined and reevaluated all patients and all sites. The results of therapy were also monitored by probing attachment level measurements performed every 3rd month. All 11 patients completed 24 months of follow-up, and 6 subjects were available until 36 months. Sites with probing attachment loss after 12, 24 and 36 months were identified using linear regression analysis and compared to the clinicians' prediction of probing attachment loss. The results demonstrated a limited agreement between probing attachment loss determined by linear regression and the clinicians' predictions of probing attachment loss. It appears that the traditional clinical signs and factors used to forecast and identify periodontal disease activity are only moderately associated with probing attachment loss. This suggests that attachment loss may be caused by several factors, at least following initial therapy. The progression of an inflammatory disease of microbial etiology may be only 1 of such causes. Further studies are needed to clarify the nature and cause of probing attachment loss.
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