Reduction In Mean Absolute Error Research Articles

Long-term wind power forecasting with series decomposition and spatio-temporal graph neural network

ABSTRACT The stable operation of the power grid requires accurate predictions of wind power generation and the stabilization of its fluctuations through the integration of other energy sources. An increasing number of deep learning methods are now being employed in the field. However, due to the instability of wind power data, existing methods struggle to uncover deep spatiotemporal dependencies. We propose a novel method named SD-STGNN (Series Decomposition and Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network). SD-STGNN first decomposes unstable wind power data into seasonal and trend components. For the seasonal data reflecting short-term fluctuation patterns, we employ a Gated Temporal Convolutional Network and Graph Convolutional Network to capture spatiotemporal relationships. Additionally, for trend data reflecting long-term fluctuation patterns, we introduce a Temporal-Feature Enhancement module, utilizing Multi-Layer Perceptrons to extract deep information along both temporal and feature dimensions. Extensive experiments were conducted on the SDWPF public dataset. Compared to existing state-of-the-art baseline methods, our proposed SD-STGNN model achieves a notable average reduction in Mean Absolute Error by approximately 6.26%, in Root Mean Squared Error by 7.55%, and in Mean Absolute Percentage Error by 2.65%. Additionally, there is an average improvement of about 4.74% in the coefficient of determination.

Short-term wind power forecasting based on multi-scale receptive field-mixer and conditional mixture copula

Integrating renewable wind power (WP) into the grid exacerbates variability and challenges reliability. Establishing an effective forecasting system is crucial for risk avoidance, but achieving effective, interpretable, and accurate predictions remains an obstacle due to the high volatility and uncertainty of WP. This study proposes an innovative and trustworthy wind power forecasting system combined with point and interval predictions. Specifically, the adaptive multi-scale convolutional receptive field (AMSCF) combined with gated recurrent unit (GRU) for WP point prediction is proposed to capture the spatiotemporal dependencies of WP generation. This AMSCF method uses different size receptive fields, fuses them using channel dimension concatenation, operates pooling layer and adaptive fusion through field attention, which extracts hierarchical features for WP forecasting. Then conditional mixture Copula (Con-mCopula) function integrated with multiobjective optimizer is established for WP interval prediction, which reduces the WP interval prediction accuracy error as some information neglected. The wind power cluster dataset from Germany was selected for experiments. Based on the results, for both datasets, the designed prediction system can achieve better point and interval prediction performance resulting in a reduction of mean absolute error (MAE) by approximately 40 % compared to other existing components in the market. This study deconstructs the “Black Box” in deep network for energy forecasting through interpretability analysis, which accelerates the development of AI technology in WP forecasting system and provides decision-makers with trustworthy WP forecasting assistance.

PlantSR: Super-Resolution Improves Object Detection in Plant Images.

Recent advancements in computer vision, especially deep learning models, have shown considerable promise in tasks related to plant image object detection. However, the efficiency of these deep learning models heavily relies on input image quality, with low-resolution images significantly hindering model performance. Therefore, reconstructing high-quality images through specific techniques will help extract features from plant images, thus improving model performance. In this study, we explored the value of super-resolution technology for improving object detection model performance on plant images. Firstly, we built a comprehensive dataset comprising 1030 high-resolution plant images, named the PlantSR dataset. Subsequently, we developed a super-resolution model using the PlantSR dataset and benchmarked it against several state-of-the-art models designed for general image super-resolution tasks. Our proposed model demonstrated superior performance on the PlantSR dataset, indicating its efficacy in enhancing the super-resolution of plant images. Furthermore, we explored the effect of super-resolution on two specific object detection tasks: apple counting and soybean seed counting. By incorporating super-resolution as a pre-processing step, we observed a significant reduction in mean absolute error. Specifically, with the YOLOv7 model employed for apple counting, the mean absolute error decreased from 13.085 to 5.71. Similarly, with the P2PNet-Soy model utilized for soybean seed counting, the mean absolute error decreased from 19.159 to 15.085. These findings underscore the substantial potential of super-resolution technology in improving the performance of object detection models for accurately detecting and counting specific plants from images. The source codes and associated datasets related to this study are available at Github.

Deep generative denoising networks enhance quality and accuracy of gated cardiac PET data.

Cardiac positron emission tomography (PET) can visualize and quantify the molecular and physiological pathways of cardiac function. However, cardiac and respiratory motion can introduce blurring that reduces PET image quality and quantitative accuracy. Dual cardiac- and respiratory-gated PET reconstruction can mitigate motion artifacts but increases noise as only a subset of data are used for each time frame of the cardiac cycle. The objective of this study is to create a zero-shot image denoising framework using a conditional generative adversarial networks (cGANs) for improving image quality and quantitative accuracy in non-gated and dual-gated cardiac PET images. Our study included retrospective list-mode data from 40 patients who underwent an 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) cardiac PET study. We initially trained and evaluated a 3D cGAN-known as Pix2Pix-on simulated non-gated low-count PET data paired with corresponding full-count target data, and then deployed the model on an unseen test set acquired on the same PET/CT system including both non-gated and dual-gated PET data. Quantitative analysis demonstrated that the 3D Pix2Pix network architecture achieved significantly (p value<0.05) enhanced image quality and accuracy in both non-gated and gated cardiac PET images. At 5%, 10%, and 15% preserved count statistics, the model increased peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) by 33.7%, 21.2%, and 15.5%, structural similarity index (SSIM) by 7.1%, 3.3%, and 2.2%, and reduced mean absolute error (MAE) by 61.4%, 54.3%, and 49.7%, respectively. When tested on dual-gated PET data, the model consistently reduced noise, irrespective of cardiac/respiratory motion phases, while maintaining image resolution and accuracy. Significant improvements were observed across all gates, including a 34.7% increase in PSNR, a 7.8% improvement in SSIM, and a 60.3% reduction in MAE. The findings of this study indicate that dual-gated cardiac PET images, which often have post-reconstruction artifacts potentially affecting diagnostic performance, can be effectively improved using a generative pre-trained denoising network.

More Accurately Estimating Aboveground Biomass in Tropical Forests With Complex Forest Structures and Regions of High‐Aboveground Biomass

AbstractAccurately estimating aboveground biomass (AGB) in tropical forests is vital for managing the threats posed by deforestation, degradation, and climate change. However, challenges persist in accurately estimating AGB in high AGB regions. This study aims to accurately estimate the AGB of regions with high AGB by using spatial statistical analyses based on AGB estimates made by machine‐learning fusion of multisource data. We hypothesize that incorporating dominant auxiliary factors in the analysis increases the estimation accuracy. This study focuses on tropical forests located in Longyan, Fujian Province, China, covering an area of 19,028 km2. Multisource data are used, including airborne laser scanning, the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission digital elevation model, the Landsat Operational Land Imager, and the National Forest Inventory. Based on GeogDetector's spatial covariance matrix and the spatial similarity principle, we identify key auxiliary factors (dominant tree species, canopy closure, and herbaceous cover) and investigated how auxiliary variables can improve estimation accuracy. Empirical Bayesian kriging regression prediction introduces the main auxiliary factors to refine AGB estimates. These refinements significantly enhance the accuracy of AGB estimates, particularly for high AGB, resulting in a 0.1 increase in R2, a 7.0% reduction in root mean square error, a 13.5% reduction in mean square error, and a 6.6% reduction in mean absolute error when compared with the AGB estimates obtained by using machine learning to fuse multisource data. Thus, incorporating spatial statistical analysis into the integration of multisource data and machine learning for AGB estimation can enhance the accuracy of high‐AGB estimates in intricate forest structures, resulting in precise AGB maps.

Global phase accuracy enhancement of structured light system calibration and 3D reconstruction by overcoming inevitable unsatisfactory intensity modulation

Mainstream fringe projection profilometry (FPP) faces challenges in measuring low signal-to-noise ratio intensity modulation areas, especially in shadow areas on objects and black areas on calibration plates, causing pseudo phases and obvious nonlinear calibration errors in 3D measurement. To address these issues concurrently, we proposed a cyclic phase-shifts difference (CPSD) module based on phase-shifting gratings. CPSD uses double-layer circulation difference to retain the pixels with higher light intensity eliminating the influence of ambient light and finally creates a mask removing and correcting black and shadow areas. Without further post-processing and projection operation, we achieved the global phase accuracy enhancement and obtained high-precision 3D point clouds without pseudo points. The method’s efficacy was proven through experiments on three kinds of calibration planes, achieving a significant reduction in mean absolute error (MAE) and standard deviation (STD) in plane reconstruction (up to 50.9% and 56.1% respectively). We believe that CPSD has enormous potential for wide application across various FPP-related fields. (Code and data are avaliable at: https://github.com/LiYiMingM/CPSD_shadow_and_black_area_phase_correction_in_SL3D)

STFEformer: Spatial–Temporal Fusion Embedding Transformer for Traffic Flow Prediction

In the realm of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs), traffic flow prediction is crucial for multiple applications. The primary challenge in traffic flow prediction lies in the handling and modeling of the intricate spatial–temporal correlations inherent in transport data. In recent years, many studies have focused on developing various Spatial–Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs), and researchers have also begun to explore the application of transformers to capture spatial–temporal correlations in traffic data. However, GNN-based methods mainly focus on modeling spatial correlations statically, which significantly limits their capacity to discover dynamic and long-range spatial patterns. Transformer-based methods have not sufficiently extracted the comprehensive representation of traffic data features. To explore dynamic spatial dependencies and comprehensively characterize traffic data, the Spatial–Temporal Fusion Embedding Transformer (STFEformer) is proposed for traffic flow prediction. Specifically, we propose a fusion embedding layer to capture and fuse both native information and spatial–temporal features, aiming to achieve a comprehensive representation of traffic data characteristics. Then, we introduce a spatial self-attention module designed to enhance detection of dynamic and long-range spatial correlations by focusing on interactions between similar nodes. Extensive experiments conducted on three real-world datasets demonstrate that STFEformer significantly outperforms various baseline models, notably achieving up to a 5.6% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) on the PeMS08 dataset compared to the next-best model. Furthermore, the results of ablation experiments and visualizations are employed to clarify and highlight our model’s performance. STFEformer represents a meaningful advancement in traffic flow prediction, potentially influencing future research and applications in ITSs by providing a more robust framework for managing and analyzing traffic data.

Enhancing a machine learning model for predicting agricultural drought through feature selection techniques

This study aims to determine the crucial variables for predicting agricultural drought in various climates of Iran by employing feature selection methods. To achieve this, two databases were used, one consisting of ground-based measurements and the other containing six reanalysis products for temperature (T), root zone soil moisture (SM), potential evapotranspiration (PET), and precipitation (P) variables during the 1987–2019 period. The accuracy of the global database data was assessed using statistical criteria in both single- and multi-product approaches for the aforementioned four variables. In addition, five different feature selection methods were employed to select the best single condition indices (SCIs) as input for the support vector regression (SVR) model. The superior multi-products based on time series (SMT) showed increased accuracy for P, T, PET, and SM variables, with an average 47%, 41%, 42%, and 52% reduction in mean absolute error compared to SSP. In hyperarid climate regions, PET condition index was found to have high relative importance with 40% and 36% contributions to SPEI-3 and SPEI-6, respectively. This suggests that PET plays a key role in agricultural drought in hyperarid regions because of very low precipitation. Additionally, the accuracy results of different feature selection methods show that ReliefF outperformed other feature selection methods in agricultural drought modeling. The characteristics of agricultural drought indicate the occurrence of drought in 2017 and 2018 in various climates in Iran, particularly arid and semi-arid climates, with five instances and an average duration of 12 months of drought in humid climates.

Visual deep learning with physics constraints for local scour evolution prediction at monopiles

Local scour threatens the safety of marine structures, necessitating the precise prediction of scour evolution around these structures. A visually oriented deep learning model, called Disentangled Physics-constrained Prediction (DPP), was proposed in this study to predict scour evolution at monopiles reliably. It integrates scouring physics with advanced video prediction techniques through a two-branch architecture. The Physics-constrained Recurrent Module (PRModule) branch leverages Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for temporal differentiation, ensuring accurate prediction of scouring-related physical information. Meanwhile, the Convolutional Long-Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) branch captures spatial and temporal dynamics in scouring videos, focusing on the prediction of residual features. DPP outperformed three baseline models in predicting the scour evolution at monopiles. Across three scouring scenarios, DPP achieved a 14.2% decrease in Root Mean Squared Error, a 14.7% reduction in Mean Absolute Error, and an 8.1% increase in Structural Similarity on average, compared to the best-performing baseline model. The predicted scouring frames are found to agree well with the true frames, demonstrating DPP's potential as a valuable tool to protect marine infrastructures.

Forecasting price in a new hybrid neural network model with machine learning

A key aspect of asset investment and risk management is the study of forecasting stock prices. We investigate the machine learning stock price prediction in a new hybrid neural network model and put forth a forecasting method based on machine learning, composite data preprocessing method and the proposed new neural network model. To address the challenge of predicting stock prices in the face of market complexity and noise, we use the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm and the Savitzky–Golay (SG) filter to de-noise and enhance the data, and employ a neural network with three convolutional layers and a long short-term memory (LSTM) layer that enables it to capture complex temporal patterns in the data. We propose a new hybrid neural network prediction model (CEEMDAN-S-C-LSTM) and adopt a machine learning approach to compare it with the benchmark model using CSI 300 index data. The empirical results validate the effectiveness of the frequency decomposition algorithm and the convolutional layer, and demonstrate that our proposed model outperforms the benchmark model. Compared to the best benchmark model, the CEEMDAN-S-C-LSTM model proposed in this study demonstrates a significant improvement in performance. Specifically, it shows a 45.33% reduction in mean absolute error (MAE), 43.44% reduction in root mean square error (RMSE), 45.01% reduction in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and 3.90% improvement in coefficient of determination (R2). The study also explores the effect of different numbers of convolution layers and SG filters on the hybrid model. Our research expands on the use of neural networks and machine learning, offering a novel technical approach to making investment decisions and managing risks in financial systems.

An Improved Fusion-Based Semantic Similarity Measure for Effective Collaborative Filtering Recommendations

Semantic-enhanced recommendation systems are promising approaches to overcome the sparsity and cold-start problems, which are hard to handle using the conventional collaborative filtering (CF) approaches. Further research is needed to effectively integrate ontologies into collaborative filtering recommender systems. This paper proposes an ontology-based semantic similarity measure to evaluate similarities between items and eventually generate accurate recommendations. The proposed semantic similarity measure termed fusion-based semantic similarity takes into account the semantics of ontological instances (i.e. items) inferred from a specific domain ontology, which is determined by analyzing the hierarchical relationships among the instances, as well as the features of the instances and their relationships to other instances. The new measure comprehensively captures the semantic knowledge associated with instances by exploiting all possible shared semantics between instances in a given domain ontology. Furthermore, this paper proposes a new semantic-enhanced hybrid recommendation approach as a result of combining the new semantic similarity measure with the standard item-based CF to enhance the quality of generated recommendations. In order to assess the effectiveness of our semantic-enhanced hybrid collaborative filtering method, a series of experiments were conducted to compare the performance of the proposed approach against well-established benchmark techniques. The reported experimental results consistently emphasize its superiority, demonstrating enhanced predictive abilities and a notable improvement in the quality of recommendations. More specifically, the proposed approach achieved notable 6% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) in certain cases, outperforming other benchmark techniques. Additionally, this study highlights the potential of using semantic-based similarity to enhance the performance of recommendation systems. Such enhancements address challenges within collaborative filtering, potentially leading to advancements in recommendation system design and optimization.

Transfer learning model for cash-instrument prediction adopting a Transformer derivative

Investors aiming for high market returns must accurately predict the prices of various cash instruments. However, making accurate predictions is challenging due to the complex cyclic and trending characteristic of markets, characterized by high volatility and unpredictable fluctuations. Furthermore, many studies overlook how interactions between different markets affect price movements. To address these problems, this research introduces a deep transfer-learning approach derived from the Transformer model, named the rotary-positional encoding autocorrelation Transformer (RAT). Unlike traditional methods, the RAT employs autocorrelation instead of self-attention to more effectively capture periodic features, while rotary-positional encoding preserves both the absolute and relative positioning within sequences to enhance trend understanding. Through transfer learning, the RAT model extracts deep features from a source domain and applies them to a target domain, demonstrating superior performance over LSTM, CNN-LSTM, gated recurrent units (GRUs), and Transformer models in multi-day predictions across 12 cash-instrument datasets. It achieved a substantial increase in accuracy, with a 35.83% reduction in mean squared error (MSE), a 23.95% reduction in mean absolute error (MAE), and a 32.63% increase in the coefficient of determination (R2). This study validates the RAT model’s effectiveness in predicting financial instrument prices.

A Hybrid GARCH and Deep Learning Method for Volatility Prediction

Volatility prediction plays a vital role in financial data. The time series movements of stock prices are commonly characterized as highly nonlinear and volatile. This study is aimed at enhancing the accuracy of return volatility forecasts for stock prices by investigating the prediction of their price volatility through the integration of diverse models. Thus, the study integrated four powerful methods: seasonal autoregressive (AR) integrated moving average (MA), generalized AR conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) family models, convolutional neural network (CNN), and bidirectional long short‐term memory (LSTM) network. The hybrid model was developed using the residuals generated by the seasonal AR integrated MA model as input for the generalized ARCH model. Following this, the estimated volatility obtained was utilized as an input feature for both the hybrid CNNs and bidirectional LSTM models. The model’s forecasting performance was assessed using key evaluation metrics, including mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE). Compared to other hybrid models, our new proposed hybrid model demonstrates an average reduction in MAE and RMSE of 60.35% and 60.61%, respectively. The experimental results show that the model proposed in this study has good performance and accuracy in predicting the volatility of stock prices. These findings offer valuable insights for financial data analysis and risk management strategies.

An Improved VMD–EEMD–LSTM Time Series Hybrid Prediction Model for Sea Surface Height Derived from Satellite Altimetry Data

Changes in sea level exhibit nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and multivariable characteristics, making traditional time series forecasting methods less effective in producing satisfactory results. To enhance the accuracy of sea level change predictions, this study introduced an improved variational mode decomposition and ensemble empirical mode decomposition–long short-term memory hybrid model (VMD–EEMD–LSTM). This model decomposes satellite altimetry data from near the Dutch coast using VMD, resulting in components of the intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with various frequencies, along with a residual sequence. EEMD further dissects the residual sequence obtained from VMD into second-order components. These IMFs decomposed by VMD and EEMD are utilized as features in the LSTM model for making predictions, culminating in the final forecasted results. The experimental results, obtained through a comparative analysis of six sets of Dutch coastal sea surface height data, confirm the excellent accuracy of the hybrid model proposed (root mean square error (RMSE) = 47.2 mm, mean absolute error (MAE) = 33.3 mm, coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.9). Compared to the VMD-LSTM model, the average decrease in RMSE was 58.7%, the average reduction in MAE was 60.0%, and the average increase in R2 was 49.9%. In comparison to the EEMD-LSTM model, the average decrease in RMSE was 27.0%, the average decrease in MAE was 28.0%, and the average increase in R2 was 6.5%. The VMD–EEMD–LSTM model exhibited significantly improved predictive performance. The model proposed in this study demonstrates a notable enhancement in global mean sea lever (GMSL) forecasting accuracy during testing along the Dutch coast.

Lapse rate-adjusted bias correction for CMIP6 GCM precipitation data: An application to the Monsoon Asia Region.

Bias correction (BC) of General Circulation Models (GCMs) variables is a common practice when it is being used for climate impact assessment studies at regional scales. The present study proposes a bias correction method (LR-Reg) that first adjusts the original GCM precipitation for local lapse rate corrections and later bias corrects the lapse rate-adjusted GCMs precipitation data with linear regression coefficients. We evaluated LR-Reg BC method in comparison to Linear Scaling (LS) and Quantile Mapping (QMap) BC methods, and NASA's downscaled NEX data for Monsoon Asia region. This study used Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6)-based MIROC6 GCM precipitation with historical and projected shared socio-economic pathways (SSP) scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) datasets. The BC comparison results show that the relative percentage reduction in mean absolute error (MAE) values of LR-Reg over LS-BC was up to 10-30% while this relative reduction in MAE values of LR-Reg was 30-50% over QMap-BC and 75-100% over NASA's NEX-data. The future projected precipitation over Monsoon Asia during dry season shows more decreased precipitation by up to 100% mostly in the south Asia while during wet season shows more increased precipitation by up to 50% mostly in the northeastern China and in the Himalayan belts with respect to the baseline condition (1970-2005). The results on the average precipitation per 0.25 degree increase in latitude analysis shows that the maximums of average monsoon precipitation during baseline period occur at 0 and 25 degree latitudes while the projected monsoon precipitation during both SSP scenarios occurs at 10 and 20 degree latitudes which clearly shows an inward shift in the latitude axis for the projected precipitation in the Monsoon Asia.

Unsupervised CNN-based DIC method for 2D displacement measurement

Digital image correlation (DIC) is a widely used technique for non-contact measurement of deformation. However, traditional DIC methods face challenges in balancing calculation efficiency and the quantity of seed points. Deep learning approaches, particularly supervised learning methods, have shown promise in improving DIC efficiency. However, these methods require high-quality training data, which can be time-consuming to generate ground truth annotations. To address these challenges, we propose an unsupervised convolutional neural network (CNN) based DIC method for 2D displacement measurement. Our approach leverages an encoder-decoder architecture with multi-level feature extraction, a dual-path correlation block, and an attention block to extract informative features from speckle images with varying characteristics. We utilize a speckle image warp model to transform the deformed speckle image to the predicted reference speckle image based on the predicted 2D displacement map. The unsupervised training is achieved by comparing the predicted and original reference speckle images. To optimize the network's parameters, we employ a composite loss function that takes into account both the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Pearson correlation coefficient. By using unsupervised convolutional neural network (CNN) based DIC method, we eliminate the need for extensive training data annotation, which is a time-consuming process in supervised learning DIC methods. We have conducted several experiments to demonstrate the validity and robustness of our proposed method. The results show a significant reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) compared to a method proposed by Zhao et al. This indicates that our unsupervised CNN-based DIC approach can achieve accuracy comparable to supervised CNN-based DIC methods. For implementation and evaluation, we provide PyTorch code and datasets, which will be released at the following URL :https://github.com/fead1/DICNet-corr-unsupervised-learning-.

Fusing Sequence and Structural Knowledge by Heterogeneous Models to Accurately and Interpretively Predict Drug-Target Affinity.

Drug-target affinity (DTA) prediction is crucial for understanding molecular interactions and aiding drug discovery and development. While various computational methods have been proposed for DTA prediction, their predictive accuracy remains limited, failing to delve into the structural nuances of interactions. With increasingly accurate and accessible structure prediction of targets, we developed a novel deep learning model, named S2DTA, to accurately predict DTA by fusing sequence features of drug SMILES, targets, and pockets and their corresponding graph structural features using heterogeneous models based on graph and semantic networks. Experimental findings underscored that complex feature representations imparted negligible enhancements to the model's performance. However, the integration of heterogeneous models demonstrably bolstered predictive accuracy. In comparison to three state-of-the-art methodologies, such as DeepDTA, GraphDTA, and DeepDTAF, S2DTA's performance became more evident. It exhibited a 25.2% reduction in mean absolute error (MAE) and a 20.1% decrease in root mean square error (RMSE). Additionally, S2DTA showed some improvements in other crucial metrics, including Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC), Spearman, Concordance Index (CI), and R2, with these metrics experiencing increases of 19.6%, 17.5%, 8.1%, and 49.4%, respectively. Finally, we conducted an interpretability analysis on the effectiveness of S2DTA by bidirectional self-attention mechanism. The analysis results supported that S2DTA was an effective and accurate tool for predicting DTA.

Consumption–Production Profile Categorization in Energy Communities

Energy Transition is changing the renewable energy participation in new distributed generation systems like the Local Energy Markets. Due to its inherent intermittent and variable nature, forecasting production and consumption load profiles will be more challenging and demand more complex predictive models. This paper analyzes the production, consumption load profile, and storage headroom% of the Cornwall Local Energy Market, using advanced statistical time series methods to optimize the opportunity market the storage units provide. These models also help the Energy Community storage reserves to meet contract conditions with the Distribution Network Operator. With this more accurate and detailed knowledge, all sites from this Local Energy Market will benefit more from their installation by optimizing their energy consumption, production, and storage. This better accuracy will make the Local Energy Market more fluid and safer, creating a flexible system that will guarantee the technical quality of the product for the whole community. The training of several SARIMAX, Exponential Smoothing, and Temporal Causal models improved the fitness of consumption, production, and headroom% time series. These models properly decomposed the time series in trend, seasonality, and stochastic dynamic components that help us to understand how the Local Energy Market consumes, produces, and stores energy. The model design used all power flows and battery energy storage system state-of-charge site characteristics at daily and hourly granularity levels. All model building follows an analytical methodology detailed step by step. A benchmark between these sequence models and the incumbent forecasting models utilized by the Energy Community shows a better performance measured with model error reduction. The best models present mean squared error reduction between 88.89% and 99.93%, while the mean absolute error reduction goes from 65.73% to 97.08%. These predictive models built at different prediction scales will help the Energy Communities better contribute to the Network Management and optimize their energy and power management performance. In conclusion, the expected outcome of these implementations is a cost-optimal management of the Local Energy Market and its contribution to the needed new Flexibility Electricity System Scheme, extending the adoption of renewable energies.

Ring artifacts correction for computed tomography image using unsupervised contrastive learning

Objective. Computed tomography (CT) is a widely employed imaging technology for disease detection. However, CT images often suffer from ring artifacts, which may result from hardware defects and other factors. These artifacts compromise image quality and impede diagnosis. To address this challenge, we propose a novel method based on dual contrast learning image style transformation network model (DCLGAN) that effectively eliminates ring artifacts from CT images while preserving texture details. Approach. Our method involves simulating ring artifacts on real CT data to generate the uncorrected CT (uCT) data and transforming them into strip artifacts. Subsequently, the DCLGAN synthetic network is applied in the polar coordinate system to remove the strip artifacts and generate a synthetic CT (sCT). We compare the uCT and sCT images to obtain a residual image, which is then filtered to extract the strip artifacts. An inverse polar transformation is performed to obtain the ring artifacts, which are subtracted from the original CT image to produce a corrected image. Main results. To validate the effectiveness of our approach, we tested it using real CT data, simulated data, and cone beam computed tomography images of the patient’s brain. The corrected CT images showed a reduction in mean absolute error by 12.36 Hounsfield units (HU), a decrease in root mean square error by 18.94 HU, an increase in peak signal-to-noise ratio by 3.53 decibels (dB), and an improvement in structural similarity index by 9.24%. Significance. These results demonstrate the efficacy of our method in eliminating ring artifacts and preserving image details, making it a valuable tool for CT imaging.

A hybrid deep learning framework for unsteady periodic flow field reconstruction based on frequency and residual learning

Reconstructing a complete flow field from limited sensor measurement is quite essential for state evaluation, optimization, monitoring, and control of the flow system. Unsteady periodic flow, as a widespread phenomenon in science and engineering, attracts in-depth research over decades. Deep learning has been employed in flow field reconstruction, whereas the accurate estimation for the unsteady flow field with strong nonlinearity is still difficult. To address this problem, we propose a hybrid deep learning framework that incorporates frequency and residual learning to accurately reconstruct an unsteady periodic flow field from limited sensor measurement. First, to extract the frequency features, the historical flow field data is decomposed into different modes with different frequencies named frequency modes via fast Fourier transform (FFT). Next, we construct a hybrid deep neural network framework consisting of an inverse fast Fourier transform (IFFT) block and a residual block. The IFFT block maps sensor measurements to frequency mode temporal coefficients, which are multiplied with frequency modes to recover an IFFT field. Meanwhile, the residual block adaptively generates a residual field to complement the information lost by the IFFT field. Finally, the IFFT field and residual field are combined to produce the final reconstructed flow field. We conduct numerical experiments on the unsteady periodic flow around a cylinder and transonic flow around a NACA0012 airfoil to demonstrate the feasibility and high accuracy of our proposed method. Compared to the widely used proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and shallow decoder (SD) methods, our approach achieves at least 83.9% and 72.2% reduction in mean absolute error, respectively.