ABSTRACTElectrospinning is an efficient process for producing polymeric and hybrid nanofibers. There is, however, a lack of understanding concerning scalability of the process and in particular the production rate optimization. The electrospinning mass transfer intensity depends predominately on solution parameters, process parameters and the design of the equipment. These parameters influence the deposition intensity of the spinning process differently, but it is not known which factors dominate. The e‐spinning deposition intensity of polyethylene oxide, polyvinyl alcohol and their mixtures was investigated using a bubble foamed polymer solution surface to promote high mass deposition. Based on the measured properties of the solutions, a mathematical criterion was developed which made it possible to predict the electrospinning intensity of a given polymer solution. The proposed formula agrees with the experimental data and confirms that spinning intensity can be predicted from pre‐determined solution parameters. Using computer modeling, the weighting coefficients of the solution parameters have been determined, showing which parameter is the most important for the process intensity. The criterion and the same weighting coefficients were applied to the analysis of published data and it was found that they can be applied not only for electrospinning from the foamed surface but also from the free surface. A physical explanation of the criterion is proposed. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J. Appl. Polym. Sci. 2015, 132, 42034.