Glacier Mass Budget Research Articles

2000–2020年喀喇昆仑山洪扎河流域冰川高程变化数据集

Under the influence of climate warming, glaciers in High Mountain Asia (HMA) have undergone significant recession in recent decades. However, stable or even positive glacier mass budgets have been found in the Karakoram Mountains in the past decades, which is termed as “Karakoram anomaly”. The Hunza Basin, located in the western Karakoram, is a region with concentrated glacier development along the Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor. The glacier mass balance in Hunza Basin plays an important role in water resource utilization and infrastructure construction. In this study, we used the SRTM DEM (2000) and ZY3-02 stereo images (2020) to obtain the glacier height changes in the Hunza Basin by employing the method of Geodetic (GeoTIFF format with a resolution of 30 m). This study covers an area of around 7600 km2, within the spatial extent of 36°N–37°N, 74°E–76°E. The statistical analysis of the residual movement in the non-glacial region indicates an overall accuracy of about 1.1 m. The findings suggest that glaciers experienced a moderate thinning during the early 21st century, with significant spatial variations. Factors such as debris cover, crevasses, supraglacial lake, ice cliff and glacier surge have distinct influences on glacier height changes. This dataset can be used as basic data for the research on glacier mass balance in the Karakoram, as well as water resources utilization, glacier disaster warning and climate change in the Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

Influence of climate and non-climatic attributes on declining glacier mass budget and surging in Alaknanda Basin and its surroundings

Globally glaciers are rapidly shrinking, endangering the sustainability of melt water and altering the regional hydrology. Understanding long-term glacier response to climate change and the influence of non-climatic attributes like morpho-topographic factors on ice loss is of high relevance. Here we estimate the multi-temporal mass balance of 445 glaciers in the upper Alaknanda basin and neighboring transboundary glaciers using optical stereo imageries from 1973 to 2021. Our measurements indicate a mean annual area change rate of −1.14 ± 0.07 km2 a−1 and a geodetic glacier mass balance of −0.34 ± 0.08 m w.e. a−1 from 1973 to 2020, leading to an overall mass loss of 12.9 ± 1.7 Gt, that accounts for up to 0.036 ± 0.006 mm of sea level rise. Before 2000 (1973–2000), the mean regional glacier mass loss rate was −0.30 ± 0.07 m w.e. a−1, which increased to −0.43 ± 0.06 m w.e. a−1 during 2000–2020. ERA5 Land reanalysis data showed a summer and annual temperature rise of ∼0.6 °C and ∼ 0.5 °C respectively in recent time period (2015–2020) and consequent strong mass loss (−0.68 ± 0.09 m w.e. a−1). In addition to climatic influence, glacier morphometry, topographic features and uneven debris cover distribution further impacted the regional and glacier specific mass balance. Our multi-temporal observation from space also emphasized that though the glaciers in this region experienced an increasing mass loss but a strong heterogeneous glacier specific response, like surging and dynamic separation of glacier, are also evident that was not captured by the available long-term global elevation change grids. Among all the climatic and non-climatic attributes, we identified summer temperature having most significant influence over glacier mass budget in this region, with a mass balance sensitivity of −0.6 m w. e. a−1 °C−1. Hence, knowing the mean summer temperature will help to predict the mass balance for any intermediate year for this region. If such climatic trend continues, smaller glaciers are likely to disapear in coming decades. Similar studies in other parts of the world and on specific glaciers can reveal links with climate factors, reconstruct mass balance, and enhance comprehension of glacier response to climate change. Our geodetic mass balance estimates will improve the estimation of meltwater run-off component of the hydrological cycle in this part of the Himalaya, which could be used to calibrate/validate glacier mass balance models.

Glaciological and climatological drivers of heterogeneous glacier mass loss in the Tanggula Shan (Central-Eastern Tibetan Plateau), since the 1960s

AbstractDespite their extreme elevation, glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau are losing mass in response to atmospheric warming, the pattern of which purportedly reflects regional contrasts in climate. Here we examine the evolution of glaciers along ~500 km of the Tanggula Shan, Central-Eastern Tibetan Plateau. Using remotely sensed datasets, we quantified changes in glacier mass, area and surface velocity, and compared these results to time series of meteorological observations, in order to disentangle drivers of glacier mass loss since the 1960s. Glacier mass loss has increased (from −0.21 ± 0.12 m w.e. a−1 in 1960s–2000s, to −0.52 ± 0.18 m w.e. a−1 in 2000s–2015/18) in association with pervasive positive temperature anomalies (up to 1.85°C), which are pronounced at the end of the now lengthened ablation season. However, glacier mass budget perturbations do not mirror the magnitude of temperature anomalies in sub-regions, thus additional factors have heightened glacier recession. We show how proglacial lake expansion and glacier surging have compounded glacier recession over decadal/multi-decadal time periods, and exert similar influence on glacier mass budgets as temperature changes. Our results demonstrate the importance of ice loss mechanisms not often incorporated into broad-scale glacier projections, which need to be better considered to refine future glacier runoff estimates.

Climate and Surface Mass Balance at Glaciar Perito Moreno, Southern Patagonia

Abstract The mass budget of southern Patagonian glaciers is characterized by an extreme amount of surface ablation. To understand the processes controlling surface mass balance, we analyzed in situ data including meteorological variables and ablation stakes for the 25 years between 1996 and 2020 near the terminus of Glaciar Perito Moreno in southern Patagonia in South America. The mean annual temperature has increased over the study period at a rate of 0.2°C decade−1. An energy-balance model was applied to calculate a point surface mass balance, based on meteorological records. The average point surface mass balance is estimated to be −16.3 m water equivalent (w.e.) yr−1 between 1996 and 2020, decreasing at a rate in the range from −0.4 to −0.9 m w.e. yr−1 decade−1. The greatest contribution to the surface energy balance was due to the sensible heat flux, and its variation drove the surface mass balance variation. The meteorological and surface mass balance records were compared with the Southern Annular Mode and El Niño–Southern Oscillation, which change the atmospheric circulation over southern Patagonia and influence surface mass balance near the terminus of the glacier. Our long-term dataset investigates the detailed meteorological conditions and surface mass balance and their connection with the large-scale climate variability over the last 25 years, reported for the first time in Patagonia.

Spatially heterogeneous glacier elevation change in the Jankar Chhu Watershed, Lahaul Himalaya, India derived using ASTER DEMs

This study investigates elevation change (dh) and geodetic mass budget of glaciers in the Jankar Chhu Watershed (JCW), Lahaul Himalaya, India, based on the difference in ASTER DEMs during 2002–2018. Glacier-wide spatially heterogeneous dh patterns were evaluated in the context of morphological and topographical settings. During 2002–2018, glaciers show a mean annual elevation change rate (dh/dt) of −0.38 ± 0.10 m a−1, resulting in a specific mass budget of −0.32 ± 0.09 m w.e.a−1, close to the previously reported estimates in western Himalaya. Nearly stagnant thick debris-covered tongue (>10% debris cover) characterized by melt hotspots exhibits maximum dh at up-glacier instead of the terminus. Debris-free glaciers (<10% debris cover) show maximum dh near the terminus. Spatially heterogeneous dh under varying debris cover is interpreted as an insulating effect of debris thickness as validated by field measurements. We suggest that elevation change of debris-covered glaciers cannot be generalized and glacier-wide spatially detailed mapping of dh is necessary to better understand the control of different surface morphology under warming climatic conditions in the western Himalayas.

Hydrometeorological progression of the Himalayan cryosphere: The Karakoram predicament

• Formulation of AI for glaciers using snowfall, snowmelt and temperature trends. • AI-based sorting of glacier-negative (losing mass) and glacier-positive (gaining mass). • Meteorological, stable isotope and geomorphic proof for glacier-positive behaviour in Karakoram. • Investigation of glacier-positive behaviour outside of the Karakoram region. • Linking AI to Himalayan precipitation periodicity via IOD, ISM and MLW connectivity. The anomalous behaviour of the Karakoram glaciers has been a decade-long discussion. While a lot of effort has been given to understanding this phenomenon, little has been explored with respect to the factors that govern glacier accumulation rates. We performed a time-series analysis of 17 Himalayan glaciers to evaluate the Accumulation Index (AI), examine the ice accumulation/ablation balance of each glacier, and investigate the natural periodicities in regional climatic behaviour. Based on the AI, the Himalayan glaciers have been characterised as ‘glacier-positive’ and ‘glacier-negative’. Glacier-positive behaviour in the Karakoram is favoured by global meteorological and local topographical factors. Analysis of 120 years of meteorological data shows a significant positive trend in winter and annual precipitation in the northwestern Himalayas, linked to surfacial warming and the Indian Ocean Dipole, while local factors such as slope, aspect and supraglacial debris constrain summer ablation. Additionally, the Karakoram precipitation is periodic in nature, demonstrating anti-correlation with decadal-scale precipitation records from the remaining Himalayan glaciers. Both local and global factors explain the anomaly in the Karakoram or the lack of it in other Himalayan glaciers. In a potentially warming planet, glacial accumulation rates are becoming increasingly sensitive to ambient temperatures, where glacier mass budget turns sharply negative at temperatures above 263 K due to accelerated summer ablation which overcompensates wintertime accumulation. This makes the Karakoram more sensitive to global meteorology than local factors. Therefore, it is important to address whether the Karakoram anomaly is an isolated climatic event or will it succumb to global climate change like the remainder of the Himalayan glaciers.

Interactive movements of outlet glacier tongue and landfast sea ice in Lützow-Holm Bay, East Antarctica, detected by ALOS-2/PALSAR-2 imagery

The Shirase Glacier, one of the fastest-flowing outlet glaciers in East Antarctica, flows into a bay that is usually covered by landfast sea ice. Although the presence of landfast ice is considered to stabilize glacier tongue, quantitative assessments are insufficient. We investigated the spatiotemporal variations in the flow velocities of both the glacier tongue and the surrounding landfast ice using a correlation method with ALOS-2/PALSAR-2 images, before and after a landfast-ice collapse in April 2017. After the collapse, the glacier tongue flow accelerated by 8–15% (0.20–0.38 km a−1). After reestablishment of landfast ice, the flow velocity of the landfast ice in contact with the glacier terminus is 20%–90% of the flow velocity of the glacier terminus The estimates of interactive changes in the motions of both glacier ice and sea ice can be used to quantify the buttress effect, which is a key factor affecting the mass budget of Antarctic outlet glaciers.

Glacier Mass Balance Changes Over the Turgen Daban Range, Western Qilian Shan, From 1966/75 to 2020

Extensive efforts for quantifying regional glacier mass balance in the Qilian Mountains have been made using the geodetic method, but these estimations were rarely extended back to the period before 2000. This study presents glacier mass budgets in the Turgen Daban Range, over the western Qilian Mountain, from 1966/75 to 2020 by means of the digital elevation models generated by the topographic maps and ASTER images. The results show that the glacier mass decreased by −18.79 ± 12.48 m w.e. during the past 50 years. The average mass loss rate is estimated to be −0.19 ± 0.08 m w.e.a−1 for the 1966/75-2006 period and −0.45 ± 0.17 m w.e.a−1 during 2006–2020, respectively, suggesting a remarkable acceleration of glacier mass loss. This may be attributable to the significant increase in air temperature and the insignificant precipitation increase which cannot offset glacier melting caused by increased temperature. Due to the melting and shrinking of glaciers, the area of glacial lakes increases by 2.83 km2 from 1987 to 2020.

Application of "OTSU"-an image segmentation method for differentiation of snow and ice regions of glaciers and assessment of mass budget in Chandra basin, Western Himalaya using Remote Sensing and GIS techniques.

In this study, an image segmentation algorithm ("OTSU") is applied for differentiation of snow/ice regions followed by interpretation of snowlines and estimation of mass budget of glaciers in Chandra basin, Western Himalaya, India between 2014 and 2020. The observations strongly suggest that the OTSU method can be used to differentiate the snow and ice regions on a glacier accurately from any satellite image, irrespective of the sensor characteristics. Also, this method suits well to delineate the snowlines for large sample of glaciers, other than the manual interpretation and semi-automated methods. The estimates of mass budget of the glaciers are observed varying from - 1.20 ± 0.51m w.e to almost 0.64 ± 0.51m w.e, with a total loss of - 61.91 ± 6.70m w.e of ice mass at basin scale during the observation period. Based on this study, it is highly recommended the application of OTSU method for the differentiation of snow/ice zones of glaciers and snowline demarcation at a large spatial scale in the harsh weather rugged terrain of the WesternHimalaya.

Quantification of glacier mass budgets in the Karakoram region of Upper Indus Basin during the early twenty-first century

Water supply contributed by glacier and snow melt is of particular significance and play a key role for social stability in the Karakoram region of Upper Indus Basin (UIBKK). Based on the SRTM DEM, TerraSAR-X/TanDEM-X images and ZY3-02 stereo images, the spatiotemporal pattern of glacier mass budgets in the UIBKK have been estimated for the early 21st century (2000–2019) period in this study. A comparison of the total area in 2000 with that in 2019 shows that glacier area remained stable in the early 21st century, with a slight expansion of 56.3 km2 (0.4%). Glaciers in the UIBKK experienced a balanced or slight negative mass budget of −0.08 ± 0.07 m w.e. a−1 in the early 21st century. The spatial variability of mass budget in the UIBKK showed that glacier mass budgets shifted from negative to positive from West to East, respectively, along longitude. Glacier mass loss decelerated from −0.12 ± 0.16 m w.e. a−1 in 2000–2013 to −0.03 ± 0.21 m w.e. a−1 in 2013–2019. No significant differences were observed in thinning rates on debris-covered glaciers (≥19% area covered by debris) and clean-ice glaciers (<19% area covered by debris) in the early 21st century (−0.06 m a−1 vs −0.04 m a−1). The overall homogeneous mass budgets for surge and non-surge glaciers indicated that glacier surges seem not have a notable impact on glacier-wide mass budget over short time scales. The spatiotemporal variability of glacier mass budgets in the UIBKK are consistent with the tendencies of winter precipitation and summer temperature. Climate warming may play more important role in glacier changes in the UIBKK.

Revisiting the 24 year (1994-2018) record of glacier mass budget in the Suru sub-basin, western Himalaya: Overall response and controlling factors

Glacier mass balance time-series measurements have immense importance in comprehending the overall regional hydrology and meteorology of the mountain systems. Such assessments are critical in the Indus River basin (compared to the Ganga and Brahmaputra), which besides having a significant contribution from the glaciers, also exhibits considerable heterogeneity in glacier response. Thus, to quantify this variability in glacier behavior and thereby develop a comprehensive understanding of the past as well as the future evolution of the glaciers, we reconstruct the annual surface mass balance records of 75 glaciers (size >1 km2) in the Suru sub-basin, western Himalaya for the period 1994-2018. We apply a remote sensing-based equilibrium line altitude-mass balance approach, supported by geodetic mass balance estimates (for 18 major glaciers) and limited field measurements. Our findings suggest a persistent negative mass balance of the glaciers (average: -0.69 ± 0.28 m w.e.a-1, cumulative: -16.56 m w.e), varying from -0.46 ± 0.27 (1997) to -0.79 ± 0.28 (2018) m w.e.a-1 during the study period. This overall mass loss coincides with an increased temperature (Tavg increased 0.5 °C; Tmin increased 0.27 °C; Tmax increased 0.06 °C) and reduced precipitation (by 4%) in the valley during 1994-2018, which shows the sensitivity of these glaciers to climate change. Within the Suru sub-basin, smaller, cleaner and high-altitude mountain glaciers of the Ladakh range have experienced greater mass loss (cumulative: -20.88 m w.e) compared to the Greater Himalayan range (cumulative: -13.44 m w.e). We observe latitudinal variability in mass loss in the Western Himalaya, with the highest mass loss rates in the Greater Himalayan Range (>-0.9 m w.e.a-1) and lowest in the Karakoram Range (<-0.1 m w.e.a-1), suggesting a transitional response of the Suru sub-basin glaciers (-0.69 m w.e.a-1). The overall regional picture suggests synchronicity in the mass loss pattern of western Himalayan glaciers, predominantly controlled by the climatic conditions. Meanwhile, the variability in their mass loss rates is attributed to the unique glacier characteristics.

High-resolution monitoring of debris-covered glacier mass budget and flow velocity using repeated UAV photogrammetry in Iran

Iran's glaciers are commonly debris-covered. Due to climate changes, the frequency of glacial hazards such as glacial lake outbursts floods is increasing, and consequently, the mass of Iran's glaciers is decreasing. Fieldwork in high-altitude mountains is difficult, thus, the dynamics of debris–covered glaciers and their associated driving factors are poorly studied. In this study, changes in the elevation and the surface flow speed of the largest and most dynamic debris-covered glacier in Iran (Alamkouh glacier) are evaluated during 2018 to 2020 for the first time. For this purpose, images from a high-resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) are used. Additionally, the spatial distribution of glacier ice thickness is estimated based on the principles of ice-flow and glacier surface velocity data. The distribution of ice thickness is evaluated with in-situ Ground Penetration Radar (GPR) data. The acquired high-resolution images from UAV are processed into a digital elevation model (with a spatial resolution of about 15 cm) and orthoimages (with a spatial resolution of about 8 cm), and glacier ice thickness change and surface flow velocity are derived. In order to estimate glacier surface velocity, a frequency cross-correlation model was applied using the COSI-Corr module. Our results show that the mean glacier ice thinning during the study period 2018–2020 is about −0.23 ± 0.03 m yr−1 and it reaches about −5 ± 0.65 m yr−1 at the terminus and accumulation areas. The observed variations in ice thinning are best explained by the existence of debris cover (and their corresponding insulating effects), the existence of ice cliffs, and their associated supraglacial lakes. We found that ice cliffs and supraglacial lakes show mass losses that can be an order of magnitude higher than average. Moreover, the mean surface velocity of Alamkouh glacier is about 1.1 ± 0.06 m yr−1 from 2018 to 2020 with considerable spatial variation in surface velocities. The maximum surface velocity (about 4.5 ± 0.27 m yr−1) belongs to its upper regions, and lower and marginal areas are nearly stagnant. The slow movement of the glacier, along with a continuous increase in debris and ice thinning, provides a suitable condition for supraglacial pond development, which decreases glacier mass. Total volume of glacier was estimated to be ~102 × 106 m3 in 2020, corresponding to an average ice thickness of ~31.3 ± 7.5 m. Moreover, the average ice thinning rate is 0.66% yr−1 in 2018 to 2020. According to this reduction rate, it is expected that more than 51.7% of the glacier will be lost by the end of the 21st century.

High Mountain Asian glacier response to climate revealed by multi-temporal satellite observations since the 1960s

Knowledge about the long-term response of High Mountain Asian glaciers to climatic variations is paramount because of their important role in sustaining Asian river flow. Here, a satellite-based time series of glacier mass balance for seven climatically different regions across High Mountain Asia since the 1960s shows that glacier mass loss rates have persistently increased at most sites. Regional glacier mass budgets ranged from −0.40 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Central and Northern Tien Shan to −0.06 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Eastern Pamir, with considerable temporal and spatial variability. Highest rates of mass loss occurred in Central Himalaya and Northern Tien Shan after 2015 and even in regions where glaciers were previously in balance with climate, such as Eastern Pamir, mass losses prevailed in recent years. An increase in summer temperature explains the long-term trend in mass loss and now appears to drive mass loss even in regions formerly sensitive to both temperature and precipitation.

The presence and influence of glacier surging around the Geladandong ice caps, North East Tibetan Plateau

Many glaciers and ice caps on the Tibetan Plateau have retreated and lost mass in recent years in response to temperature increases, providing clear evidence of the impact of climate change on the region. There is increasing evidence that many of the glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau have also shown periodically dynamic behaviour in the form of glacier surging and some even catastrophic collapse events. In this study, we examine the prevalence of glacier surging at the Geladandong ice caps, North East Tibetan Plateau, to better understand the role of surge events in the evolution of glacier mass loss budgets. Using glacier surface elevation change data over the period 1969–2018 and glacier surface velocity data from the ITS_LIVE dataset, we find that 19 outlet glaciers of the ice caps are of surge-type. Our multi-temporal measurements of glacier mass balance show that surge-type glacier mass budgets vary depending on the portion of the surge-cycle captured by geodetic data. At the regional level, pre- and post-surge glacier mass loss variability does not bias regional mass budget estimates, but enhanced, or suppressed, mass loss estimates are likely when small groups of glaciers are examined. Our results emphasise the importance of accurate surge-type glacier inventories and the need to maximise geodetic data coverage over glacierised regions known to contain surge-type glaciers.

Region-wide glacier area and mass budgets for the Shaksgam River Basin, Karakoram Mountains, during 2000–2016

The Karakoram Mountains are well known for their widespread surge-type glaciers and slight glacier mass gains. On the one hand, glaciers are one of the sensitive indicators of climate change, their area and thickness will adjust with climate change. On the other hand, glaciers provide freshwater resources for agricultural irrigation and hydroelectric generation in the downstream areas of the Shaksgam River Basin (SRB) in Western China. The shrinkage of glaciers caused by climate change can significantly affect the security and sustainable development of regional water resources. In this study, we analyzed the changes in glacier area from 2000 to 2016 in the SRB using Landsat TM (Thematic Mapper)/ETM+ (Enhanced Mapper Plus)/OLI (Operational Land Imager) images. It is shown that the SRB contained 472 glaciers, with an area of 1840.3 km2, in 2016. The glacier area decreased by 0.14%/a since 2000, and the shrinkage of glacier in the southeast, east and south directions were the most, while the northeast, north directions were the least. Debris-covered area accounted for 8.0% of the total glacier area. We estimated elevation and mass changes using the 1 arc-second SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) DEM (Digital Elevation Model) (2000) and the resolution of 8 m HMA (High Mountain Asia) DEM (2016). An average thickness of 0.08 (±0.03) m/a, or a slight mass increase of 0.06 (±0.02) m w.e./a has been obtained since 2000. We found thinning was significantly lesser on the clean ice than the debris-covered ice. In addition, the elevation of glacier surface is spatially heterogeneous, showing that the accumulation of mass is dominant in high altitude regions, and the main mass loss is in low altitude regions, excluding the surge-type glacier. For surge-type glaciers, the mass may transfer from the reservoir to the receiving area rapidly when surges, then resulting in an advance of glacier terminus. The main surge mechanism is still unclear, it is worth noting that the surge did not increase the glacier mass in this study.

Glacier mass loss in the Alaknanda basin, Garhwal Himalaya on a decadal scale

The Himalayan glaciers significantly contribute to the largest river systems like the Indus, Ganga, and the Brahmaputra. The change in glacial area and mass can affect the mountain community and people living in the Indo-Gangetic plain. The present study adopted the geodetic method to estimate the elevation change and mass budget of 61 glaciers in the Alaknanda Basin, using the satellite data of Cartosat-1 (2011, 2014, 2017) and SRTM (2000). Besides, the DEM of 1962 (SOI Toposheet) and 2000 (SRTM) is used to estimate the mass budget of Satopanth (SPG) and Bhagirath Kharak glaciers (BKG). The field debris thickness of SPG (2015-2017) is compared with the elevation change (2000-2017). Further, we have compared the mass loss of the glaciers with their volume. The results suggest the sustained mass loss of 1.85 ± 0.10 Gt out of 33.9 ± 8.8 Gt for 61 glaciers in the basin from 2000-2017. The mass loss of SPG and BKG during 2000-2017 is 0.20 ± 0.02 Gt and 0.24 ± 0.03 Gt, whereas from 1962 to 2000, is 0.083 ± 0.03 Gt and 0.091 ± 0.04 Gt, respectively. The analysis facilitates a better understanding of glacier mass changes in the Alaknanda basin on a multi-decadal scale.

Six Decades of Glacier Mass Changes around Mt. Everest Are Revealed by Historical and Contemporary Images

Summary The accurate quantification of current and past Himalayan glacier mass budgets is vital if we are to understand the evolution of the Asian water tower, which provides water to the planet’s most populous region. In this work, we generated a geodetic time series spanning six decades over 79 glaciers surrounding Mt. Everest and found consistent acceleration of glacier mass loss between the 1960s (−0.23 ± 0.12 mwe a−1) and the modern era (−0.38 ± 0.11 mwe a−1 from 2009 to 2018). Glacier mass loss has varied depending on glacier terminus type and surface characteristics, and glacier thinning is now occurring at extreme altitudes (>6,000 masl). Our time series also captures the first documented surge of a glacier in the Mt. Everest region. These multi-decadal observations of glacier mass loss form a baseline dataset against which physically based glacier evolution models could be calibrated before they are used for predicting future meltwater yield.

A doubling of glacier mass loss in the Karlik Range, easternmost Tien Shan, between the periods 1972–2000 and 2000–2015

AbstractDespite a number of studies reporting glacier extent changes and their response to climate change over the eastern Tien Shan, glacier mass-balance changes over multiple decades are still not well reconstructed. Here, glacier mass budgets on the Karlik Range, easternmost Tien Shan during the time spans of 1972–2000 and 2000–2015 are quantified using digital elevation models reconstructed from topographic maps, SRTM X-band radar data and ASTER images. The results exhibit significant glacier mass loss in the Karlik Range for the two time spans, with a mean mass loss of −0.19 ± 0.08 m w.e. a−1 for the 1972–2000 period and −0.45 ± 0.17 m w.e. a−1 for the 2000–2015 period. The doubling of mass loss over the latter period suggests an acceleration of glacier mass loss in the early 21st century. The accelerated mass loss is associated with regional warming whereas the decline in annual precipitation is not significant.

Lake water and glacier mass gains in the northwestern Tibetan Plateau observed from multi-sensor remote sensing data: Implication of an enhanced hydrological cycle

Lakes and glaciers are widely distributed in the northwestern Tibetan Plateau. A synchronized examination of lake and glacier mass variations there has not previously been conducted, which has limited the understanding of the lake water balance and the hydrologic cycle in the region. In this study, we comprehensively examine lake area and volume, and glacier mass changes using multi-sensor satellite data. We find that lake expansion in the northwestern Tibetan Plateau was more robust from 1976 to 2018 when compared to other regions of the plateau, especially for the glacier-fed and endorheic lakes. Lake volume changes show that most of the lakes had an increase in water volume, particularly in 2000–2018 with a total water storage gain of ~28.6 Gt. By using high-resolution KH-9 and TanDEM-X data, we observe that the glacier surface elevation of the western Kunlun Mountains had a slight thinning rate of −0.07 ± 0.16 m/yr in 1973–2000, but a positive rate of 0.002 ± 0.003 m/yr in 2000–2018. The heterogeneous pattern of glacier elevation changes between the north (N) and south (S) slopes are revealed, i.e. -0.02 ± 0.01 m/yr (N) against −0.12 ± 0.03 m/yr (S) in 1973–2000 and − 0.05 ± 0.02 m/yr (N) against 0.06 ± 0.02 m/yr (S) in 2000–2018. Overall, the glaciers trend to a stable state (~0.05 m/yr) in both the south slope of the western Kunlun Mountains and Aru Co regions between 2000 and 2018. Similar patterns are also found for basin-wide examinations of lake storage changes (mass gains) and glacier mass budgets (positive or close to stable). The seasonal snow cover area changes, derived from cloud-free MODIS snow cover products, present a variable and insignificant trend between 2003 and 2017. Snow depth derived from passive microwave remote-sensing data, exhibits a decreasing trend between 1979 and 2015, but the water equivalent could contribute only an insignificant amount to the observed lake changes. The lake water gains, and almost positive glacier mass balance imply that the hydrological cycle in the northwestern Tibetan Plateau has become enhanced.

Karakoram geodetic glacier mass balances between 2008 and 2016: persistence of the anomaly and influence of a large rock avalanche on Siachen Glacier

ABSTRACTKarakoram glaciers experienced balanced or slightly positive mass budgets since at least the 1970s. Here, we provide an update on the state of balance of Central and Eastern Karakoram glaciers (12 000 km2) between 2008 and 2016 by differencing DEMs derived from satellite optical images. The mass budget of Central Karakoram glaciers was slightly positive (0.12 ± 0.14 m w.e. a−1) while eastern Karakoram glaciers lost mass (−0.24 ± 0.12 m w.e. a−1). The glacier-wide mass balances of surge-type and nonsurge-type glaciers were not statistically different. Our elevation change data also depict the effect of a &gt; 100 Mm3 rock avalanche on Siachen Glacier ablation area in September 2010. It covered a 4 km2 area with a thick debris layer that unexpectedly, led to locally enhanced glacier mass loss during the following years. Enhanced melt opened a &gt; 100 m deep 2 km2 depression and contributed to 6% of the mass loss of Siachen Glacier from 2010 to 2016 (−0.39 m w.e. a−1). We hypothesize that sub- or englacial melt may be responsible for this intriguing behaviour. This study contributes to a better knowledge of the regional pattern of the Karakoram anomaly and of the influence of rock avalanches on glacier mass changes.