Marsh Accretion Research Articles

Marsh topography reveals the signature of storm-surge-driven sedimentation

Salt marshes are valuable tidal landforms threatened by drowning due to increasing sea levels. Marsh accretion supported by sediment settling during repeated flooding potentially offsets the relative elevation loss. Although tidal flooding is commonly depicted as the main mechanism delivering the sediment to marshes, storm surges and waves may deeply affect tidal flow conditions and sediment reworking in shallow tidal systems, thus raising questions on the relative contribution of these processes to salt-marsh accretion. Here we show that storm surges substantially sustain the marsh sediment budget, locally contributing up to 90% of sedimentation, and critically influence depositional patterns by analyzing a 3-yr-long measurement record of sedimentation on the marshes in the Venice Lagoon (Italy). Surge-enhanced water levels promote wind-wave-driven sediment fluxes directly across the tidal flat-marsh transition, altering tidal sedimentation patterns and, thus, affecting marsh topographic elevation and morphology. By comparing sedimentation patterns and topographic profiles, we show that the signature of storm-surge sedimentation can be found in marsh topography, which we suggest therefore as an easily detectable indicator of the relative contribution of the different physical processes driving marsh vertical evolution. The comparison with other marshes worldwide, characterized by different tidal ranges and wave exposure, consistently supports the link between the salt-marsh topographic profile and the physical processes controlling marsh evolution.

Deltaic marsh accretion under episodic sediment supply controlled by river regulations and storms: Implications for coastal wetlands restoration in the Yellow River Delta

Sediment supply has long been recognized as a critical factor affecting salt marsh evolutions. Subject to fluctuating river discharges and coastal hydrodynamics, sediment supply to deltaic marshes are episodic rather than continuous. To evaluate the impacts of episodic sediment delivery under river regulations and storm events on deltaic marsh accretion, a 5-month (April 18th to September 4th, 2021) field campaign was conducted at a Spartina alterniflora marsh of the Yellow River Delta, China. Nine storm events and the Water-Sediment Regulation Scheme (WSRS) coinciding with a freshwater diversion were captured. It was found that the two phases of the WSRS differed greatly in their contribution to marsh accretion. During the Water-Regulation Phase (WRP), marsh accretion rates showed little difference with pre-WRP periods. However, the subsequent Sediment-Regulation Phase (SRP) contributed to ∼15 % of annual accretion within only 4 days, suggesting the SRP was more effective in nourishing deltaic marshes with sediment. Further analyses indicated that the higher accretion during SRP was attributed to both higher sediment concentrations and more favorable sediment pathways, influenced by delta-scale river-tide interactions. Observations also showed that storm events contributed to half of the marsh accretion during the non-WSRS period when the fluvial sediment supply was very low. During storms, wave-induced intertidal resuspension acted as the major sediment sources. Under favorable conditions (onshore wind, high water levels, high waves), tidal-averaged sediment delivery to marshes underwent as much as fifty-fold increase compared with the calm period. The observed marsh dynamics suggested that marsh sedimentations depended on not only the seaward sediment concentrations, but also the sediment transport pathways. For deltaic marsh restoration practices, we proposed that marsh-orientated schemes which align river regulations with favorable meteorological and hydrodynamic conditions, could potentially make better use of fluvial sediment for deltaic marsh nourishment.

Linking marsh sustainability to event-based sedimentary processes: Impulsive river floods initiated lateral erosion of deltaic marshes

Salt marshes providing valuable services in buffering flooding risks are regarded as cost-effective coastal defense solutions. Given that eroding marsh cliffs will threaten the sustainability of these protective functions, there is a need for mechanistic understanding of cliff formation. Based on short-term field measurements together with satellite-derived dataset and a morphodynamic model, we determined the response of marsh lateral dynamics to event-based sedimentary processes in the Yellow River Delta, China. It was found that the Eastern Marsh with a cliff of ∼1.2 m in height significantly differed from the gentle Western Marsh in accretion pattern and lateral dynamics. Attributed to an artificial flood lasting ∼20 days in 2022, the Eastern Marsh platform experienced average vertical accretion of 23.3 mm, ∼5 times higher than the Western Marsh barely impacted by fluvial sediment supply. Although the accretion pattern ensured the overall vertical adaptability, Eastern Marsh has translated from a phase of rapid expansion to lateral retreat of ∼60 m/yr since 2018, whereas Western Marsh was relatively stable in recent decade. With a validated delta-marsh model, we showed that the observed disparities were attributed to different marsh edge morphodynamic responses to river flood sediment supplies. When Spartina alterniflora initially colonized, the Eastern Marsh platform was lower and the trapping efficiency could rise by ∼3 times than the present. Integrating with ten-fold increases in sediment loads, it was estimated that the large artificial floods in 2018 could contribute to a vertical growth approximating 30 cm at Eastern Marsh. Such episodic but rapid marsh accretion played a crucial role in initiating the development of marsh cliff. Driven by positive feedbacks between platform elevations and cumulative wave thrust, a series of event-based marsh sedimentation will promote long-term marsh loss caused by lateral retreat at sediment-starved systems. This study provides insights in predicting marsh sustainability and long-term evolutions under episodic sedimentary events.

Cohort Marsh Equilibrium Model (CMEM): History, Mathematics, and Implementation

AbstractMarsh accretion models predict the resiliency of coastal wetlands and their ability to store carbon in the face of accelerating sea level rise. Most existing marsh accretion models are derived from two parent models: the Marsh Equilibrium Model, which formalizes the biophysical relationships between sea level rise, dominant macrophyte growth, and elevation change; and the Cohort Theory Model, which formalizes how carbon mass pools belowground contribute to soil volume expansion over time. While there are several existing marsh accretion models, the application of these models by a broader base of researchers and practitioners is hindered because of (a) limited descriptions of how empirically derived ecological mechanism informed the development of these models, (b) limitations in the ability to apply models to geographies with variable tidal regimes, and (c) a lack of open‐source code to apply models. Here, we provide for the first time an explicit description of a mathematical version of the Cohort Theory Model and a numerical version of a combined model: the Cohort Marsh Equilibrium Model (CMEM) with an accompanying open‐source R package, rCMEM. We show that, through this “depth‐aware” model, we can capture how tidal variation impacts broad patterns of marsh accretion and carbon sequestration across the United States. The application of this model will likely be imperative in predicting the fate and state of coastal wetlands and the ecosystem services they provide in an era of rapid environmental change.

Effects of Warming and Elevated CO2 on Stomatal Conductance and Chlorophyll Fluorescence of C3 and C4 Coastal Wetland Species

Coastal wetland communities provide valuable ecosystem services such as erosion prevention, soil accretion, and essential habitat for coastal wildlife, but are some of the most vulnerable to the threats of climate change. This work investigates the combined effects of two climate stressors, elevated temperature (ambient, + 1.7 °C, + 3.4 °C, and 5.1 °C) and elevated CO2 (eCO2), on leaf physiological traits of dominant salt marsh plant species. The research took place at the Salt Marsh Accretion Response to Temperature eXperiment (SMARTX) at the Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, which includes two plant communities: a C3 sedge community and a C4 grass community. Here we present data collected over five years on rates of stomatal conductance (gs), quantum efficiency of PSII photochemistry (Fv/Fm), and rates of electron transport (ETRmax). We found that both warming and eCO2 caused declines in all traits, but the warming effects were greater for the C3 sedge. This species showed a strong negative stomatal response to warming in 2017 and 2018 (28% and 17% reduction, respectively in + 5.1 °C). However, in later years the negative response to warming was dampened to < 7%, indicating that S. americanus was able to partially acclimate to the warming over time. In 2022, we found that sedges growing in the combined + 5.1 °C eCO2 plots exhibited more significant declines in gs, Fv/Fm, and ETRmax than in either treatment individually. These results are important for predicting future trends in growth of wetland species, which serve as a large carbon sink that may help mitigate the effects of climate change.

Impact of land-use change on salt marsh accretion

Salt marsh vertical accretion that keeps pace with relative sea-level rise (RSLR) promotes habitat resilience and a continuously growing carbon stock. Vertical accretion, however, hinges on various salt marsh biogeomorphic feedback loops that respond to changing sediment supply, storms events, accelerating RSLR, elevation, and vegetation density. During the latter half of the 20th century, a large proportion of watersheds on the lower coastal plain of North America experienced land cover change. Many salt marshes show slow rates of vertical accretion over that period suggesting degradation and destabilization attributed to reduced upstream sediment loads and changing proportions of mineral sediment to organic matter. Here, we investigated a potential dichotomy observed at many sites in coastal North America between previously published accretion rates of the subtidal bay bottoms and adjacent salt marshes that were exceeding and lagging behind RSLR since 1950 CE, respectively. In 12 small coastal watersheds that formed within tributary and coastal prism incised valleys, we coupled 210Pb-derived accumulation rates of fringing salt marshes and previously published data from adjacent tidal creek bay bottoms with geospatial analysis of watershed land cover change since 1959, inundation duration, and vegetation density. Accumulation rates were higher at marsh sites within tributary incised valleys with lower relief watersheds, smaller tidal ranges, shorter inundation times, higher vegetation densities, and where land cover changes were dominated by increased cleared forest area. Additionally, mass accumulation rates (MAR) accelerated at 8 of the 12 marsh sites after a Major Land Cover Change (MLCC). Despite this acceleration in MAR, only 2 marsh sites recorded average sediment accumulation rates (SAR) greater than RSLR after a MLCC, which suggests that most of the marsh sites are drowning or being converted to subtidal habitat. This may be misleading, however, because modern marsh platform elevations at all but one marsh site were above local mean sea level, so the marshes could be accommodation limited. This work supports the disconnect found in previous research suggesting that estuaries are accumulating sediment at sustainable rates while their fringing salt marshes are not, which illuminates the complexities associated with sedimentation regimes in small local watersheds and their fringing salt marshes.

Long-term accretion rates in UK salt marshes derived from elevation difference between natural and reclaimed marshes

The future of salt marshes depends in a large part on the balance between the future rate of marsh accretion and the future rate of sea-level rise (SLR). Current accretion rates can provide some insight into future resilience of salt marshes to SLR, but representative long-term rates across the complete salt marsh area are difficult to obtain. Here, we introduce a new method based on the elevation difference between a natural marsh and a neighbouring reclaimed marsh. The method, referred to as the ‘reclaimed salt marsh method’, was applied to 19 UK salt marshes and yielded a UK-averaged accretion rate of 4.5 mm/yr with considerable inter-site variability (0.68–7.88 mm/yr). Accretion rates were positively correlated with the mean spring tide range, with tide range explaining 37% of the inter-site variability in accretion rate. Observed accretion rates were found to be generally larger than that predicted for SLR according to RCP2.5, comparable to that predicted according to RCP4.5 and less than that predicted according to RCP8.5. However, future accretion rates are unlikely to remain the same. It is suggested that UK salt marshes in macrotidal settings are likely to be more resilient to SLR than those in micro- and meso-tidal settings. The reclaimed salt marsh method can be readily applied to other sites to obtain a global data base of marsh accretion rates.

Simulation of the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Ecosystems in Benin Using a Combined Approach of Machine Learning and the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model

Sea-level rise in Benin coastal zones leads to risks of erosion and flooding, which have significant consequences on the socio-economic life of the local population. In this paper, erosion, flood risk, and greenhouse gas sequestration resulting from sea-level rise in the coastal zone of the Benin coast were assessed with the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) using ArcGIS Pro 3.1 tools. The input features used were the Digital Elevation Map (DEM), the National Wetland Inventory (NWI) categories, and the slope of each cell. National Wetland Inventory (NWI) categories were then created using Support Vector Machines (SVMs), a supervised machine learning technique. The research simulated the effects of a 1.468 m sea-level rise in the study area from 2021 to 2090, considering wetland types, marsh accretion, wave erosion, and surface elevation changes. The largest land cover increases were observed in Estuarine Open Water and Open Ocean, expanding by approximately 106.2 hectares across different sea-level rise scenarios (RCP 8.5_Upper Limit). These gains were counterbalanced by losses of approximately 106.2 hectares in Inland Open Water, Ocean Beaches, Mangroves, Regularly Flooded Marsh, Swamp, Undeveloped, and Developed Dryland. Notably, Estuarine Open Water (97.7 hectares) and Open Ocean (8.5 hectares) experienced the most significant expansion, indicating submergence and saltwater intrusion by 2090 due to sea-level rise. The largest reductions occurred in less tidally influenced categories like Inland Open Water (−81.4 hectares), Ocean Beach (−7.9 hectares), Swamp (−5.1 hectares), Regularly Flooded Marsh (−4.6 hectares), and Undeveloped Dryland (−2.9 hectares). As the sea-level rises by 1.468 m, these categories are expected to be notably diminished, with Estuarine Open Water and Open Ocean becoming dominant. Erosion and flooding in the coastal zone are projected to have severe adverse impacts, including a gradual decline in greenhouse gas sequestration capacity. The outputs of this research will aid coastal management organizations in evaluating the consequences of sea-level rise and identifying areas with high mitigation requirements.

Storm sediment contribution to salt marsh accretion and expansion

Salt marshes are ecosystems with significant economic and environmental value. However, the accelerating rate of sea-level rise is a significant threat to these ecosystems. Storms significantly contribute to the sediment budget of salt marshes, playing a critical role in salt marsh survival to sea-level rise. There are, however, uncertainties on the extent to which storms contribute sediments to different areas of marsh platforms (e.g., outer marsh vs marsh interior) and on the sediment sources that storms draw on (e.g., offshore vs nearshore). This study uses field analyses from an eight-month field campaign in the Ribble Estuary, North-West England, to understand storms' influence on the sediment supply to different marsh areas and whether storms can deliver new material onto the salt marsh platform which would otherwise not be sourced in fair-weather conditions. Field data from sediment traps indicate that storm activity caused an increase in inorganic sediment supply to the whole salt marsh platform, especially benefitting the marsh interior. Geochemistry and particle size distribution analysis indicate that the majority of the sediment supplied to the salt marsh platform during the stormy periods was generated by an increase in erosion and resuspension of mudflat and tidal creek sediments, while only a minimal contribution was given by the sediments transported from outside the intertidal system. This suggests that, in the long term, storms will promote salt marsh vertical accretion but might simultaneously reduce the overall larger-scale sediment availability with implications for the marsh lateral retreat.

Faunal engineering stimulates landscape-scale accretion in southeastern US salt marshes

The fate of coastal ecosystems depends on their ability to keep pace with sea-level rise—yet projections of accretion widely ignore effects of engineering fauna. Here, we quantify effects of the mussel, Geukensia demissa, on southeastern US saltmarsh accretion. Multi-season and -tidal stage surveys, in combination with field experiments, reveal that deposition is 2.8-10.7-times greater on mussel aggregations than any other marsh location. Our Delft-3D-BIVALVES model further predicts that mussels drive substantial changes to both the magnitude (±<0.1 cm·yr−1) and spatial patterning of accretion at marsh domain scales. We explore the validity of model predictions with a multi-year creekshed mussel manipulation of >200,000 mussels and find that this faunal engineer drives far greater changes to relative marsh accretion rates than predicted (±>0.4 cm·yr−1). Thus, we highlight an urgent need for empirical, experimental, and modeling work to resolve the importance of faunal engineers in directly and indirectly modifying the persistence of coastal ecosystems globally.

Peat Decomposition and Erosion Contribute to Pond Deepening in a Temperate Salt Marsh

AbstractSalt marsh ponds expand and deepen over time, potentially reducing ecosystem carbon storage and resilience. The water filled volumes of ponds represent missing carbon due to prevented soil accumulation and removal by erosion and decomposition. Removal mechanisms have different implications as eroded carbon can be redistributed while decomposition results in loss. We constrained ponding effects on carbon dynamics in a New England marsh and determined whether expansion and deepening impact nearby soils by conducting geochemical characterizations of cores from three ponds and surrounding high marshes and models of wind‐driven erosion. Radioisotope profiles demonstrate that ponds are not depositional environments and that contemporaneous marsh accretion represents prevented accumulation accounting for 32%–42% of the missing carbon. Erosion accounted for 0%–38% and was bracketed using radioisotope inventories and wind‐driven resuspension models. Decomposition, calculated by difference, removes 22%–68%, and when normalized over pond lifespans, produces rates that agree with previous metabolism measurements. Pond surface soils contain new contributions from submerged primary producers and evidence of microbial alteration of underlying peat, as higher levels of detrital biomarkers and thermal stability indices, compared to the marsh. Below pond surface horizons, soil properties and organic matter composition were similar to the marsh, indicating that ponding effects are shallow. Soil bulk density, elemental content, and accretion rates were similar between marsh sites but different from ponds, suggesting that lateral effects are spatially confined. Consequently, ponds negatively impact ecosystem carbon storage but at current densities are not causing pervasive degradation of marshes in this system.

Recovery of salt marsh vegetation after ice-rafting

Sediment transport on salt marsh platforms is usually brought about through storm events and high tides. At high latitudes, ice-rafting is a secondary mechanism for sediment transport, redistributing sediment from tidal flats, channels, and ponds to marshland. In January 2018, winter storm Grayson hit the North Atlantic coast, producing a large storm surge and a significant decrease in temperature. The Great Marsh in Plum Island Sound, Massachusetts, USA, experienced an unprecedented sediment deposition due to ice-rafting, burying marsh vegetation. Plant vegetation recovery was investigated in 17 sediment patches, dominated by Spartina patens, Distichlis spicata, Juncus gerardi, and S. alterniflora. The analysis was carried out considering the number of stems and stem height for each vegetation species. D. spicata firstly occupied bare patches, while S. patens, once smothered by sediment, regrew slowly. The number of stems of S. patens inside the sediment patches recovered, on average, after 2 growing seasons. The number of J. gerardi stems was not significantly affected by ice-rafted sediment deposition. S. alterniflora dynamics were different depending on physical and edaphic conditions. At some locations, S. alterniflora did not recover after sediment deposition. The deposition of the sediment layer had a positive effect on vegetation vigor, increasing stem height and maintaining high stem density. The results suggest a beneficial effect of sediment deposition not only for marsh accretion, but also for marsh vegetation growth, both of which are fundamental for marsh restoration.

Determination and quantification of sedimentary processes in salt marshes using end‐member modelling of grain‐size data

AbstractEnd‐member modelling of bulk grain‐size distributions allows the unravelling of natural and anthropogenic depositional processes in salt marshes and quantification of their respective contribution to marsh accretion. The sedimentology of two marshes is presented: (1) a sheltered back‐barrier marsh; and (2) an exposed, reinstated foreland marsh. Sedimentological data are supplemented by an age model based on lead‐210 decay and caesium‐137, as well as geochemical data. End‐member modelling of grain‐size data shows that marsh growth in back‐barrier settings is primarily controlled by the settling of fines from suspension during marsh inundation. In addition, nearby active dunes deliver aeolian sediment (up to 77% of the total sediment accretion), potentially enhancing the capability of salt marshes to adapt to sea‐level rise. Growth of exposed marshes, by contrast, primarily results from high‐energy inundation and is attributed to two sediment‐transport processes. On the seaward edge of the marsh, sedimentation is dominated by coarser‐grained traction load, whereas further inland, settling of fine‐grained suspension load prevails. In addition, a third, coarse‐grained sediment sub‐population is interpreted to derive from anthropogenic land‐reclamation measures, that is material from drainage channels relocated onto the marsh surface. This process contributed up to 34% to the total marsh accretion and terminated synchronously with the end of land reclamation measures. Data suggest that natural sediment supply to marshes alone is sufficient to outpace contemporary sea‐level rise in the study area. This underlines the resilience potential of salt marshes in times of rising sea levels. The comparison of grain‐size sub‐populations with observed climate variability implies that even managed marshes allow for the extraction of environmental signals if natural and anthropogenic sedimentary processes are determined and their relative contribution to bulk sediment composition is quantified. Data series based solely on bulk sediments, however, seem to be of limited use because it is difficult to exclude bias of natural signals by anthropogenic measures.

An assessment of future tidal marsh resilience in the San Francisco Estuary through modeling and quantifiable metrics of sustainability

Quantitative, broadly applicable metrics of resilience are needed to effectively manage tidal marshes into the future. Here we quantified three metrics of temporal marsh resilience: time to marsh drowning, time to marsh tipping point, and the probability of a regime shift, defined as the conditional probability of a transition to an alternative super-optimal, suboptimal, or drowned state. We used organic matter content (loss on ignition, LOI) and peat age combined with the Coastal Wetland Equilibrium Model (CWEM) to track wetland development and resilience under different sea-level rise scenarios in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta (Delta) of California. A 100-year hindcast of the model showed excellent agreement (R2 = 0.96) between observed (2.86 mm/year) and predicted vertical accretion rates (2.98 mm/year) and correctly predicted a recovery in LOI (R2 = 0.76) after the California Gold Rush. Vertical accretion in the tidal freshwater marshes of the Delta is dominated by organic production. The large elevation range of the vegetation combined with high relative marsh elevation provides Delta marshes with resilience and elevation capital sufficiently great to tolerate centenary sea-level rise (CLSR) as high as 200 cm. The initial relative elevation of a marsh was a strong determinant of marsh survival time and tipping point. For a Delta marsh of average elevation, the tipping point at which vertical accretion no longer keeps up with the rate of sea-level rise is 50 years or more. Simulated, triennial additions of 6 mm of sediment via episodic atmospheric rivers increased the proportion of marshes surviving from 51% to 72% and decreased the proportion drowning from 49% to 28%. Our temporal metrics provide critical time frames for adaptively managing marshes, restoring marshes with the best chance of survival, and seizing opportunities for establishing migration corridors, which are all essential for safeguarding future habitats for sensitive species.

Storm sediment contribution to salt marsh accretion and expansion

Storm sediment contribution to salt marsh accretion and expansion

Storm sediment contribution to salt marsh accretion and expansion

Storm sediment contribution to salt marsh accretion and expansion

Quantifying the Importance of Ice-Rafted Debris to Salt Marsh Sedimentation Using High Resolution UAS Imagery

Salt marshes are vulnerable to sea-level rise, sediment deficits, and storm impacts. To remain vertically resilient, salt marshes must accrete sediment at rates greater or equal to sea-level rise. Ice-rafted debris (IRD), sediment that has been moved and deposited from ice sheets, is one of many processes that contribute to salt marsh sediment accretion in northern latitudes. On 4 January 2018, a winter storm caused major ice mobilization in the Plum Island Estuary (PIE), Massachusetts, USA, which led to large deposits of ice-rafted sediment. We aimed to quantify the volume and mass of deposited sediment, and evaluate the significance of IRD to sediment supply in Plum Island using pixel-based land-cover classification of aerial imagery collected by an Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) and a Digital Elevation Model. Field measurements of patch thickness, and the area of IRD determined from the classification were used to estimate annual sediment accretion from IRD. Results show that IRD deposits are localized in three areas, and estimates show that IRD contributes an annual sediment accretion rate of 0.57 ± 0.14 mm/y to the study site. New England salt marsh accretion rates typically vary between 2–10 mm/y, and the average PIE sediment accretion rate is 2.5–2.7 mm/y. Therefore, this event contributed on average 20% of the annual volume of material accreted by salt marshes, although locally the deposit thickness was 8–14 times the annual accretion rate. We show that pixel-based classification can be a useful tool for identifying sediment deposits from remote sensing. Additionally, we suggest that IRD has the potential to bring a significant supply of sediment to salt marshes in northern latitudes and contribute to sediment accretion. As remotely sensed aerial imagery from UASs becomes more readily available, this method can be used to efficiently identify and quantify deposited sediment.

Multi‐Decadal Simulation of Marsh Topography Under Sea Level Rise and Episodic Sediment Loads

AbstractCoastal marsh within Mediterranean climate zones is exposed to episodic watershed runoff and sediment loads that occur during storm events. Simulating future marsh accretion under sea level rise calls for attention to: (a) physical processes acting over the time scale of storm events and (b) biophysical processes acting over time scales longer than storm events. Using the upper Newport Bay in Southern California as a case study, we examine the influence of event‐scale processes on simulated change in marsh topography by comparing: (a) a biophysical model that integrates with an annual time step and neglects event‐scale processes (BP‐Annual), (b) a physical model that resolves event‐scale processes but neglects biophysical interactions (P‐Event), and (c) a biophysical model that resolves event‐scale physical processes and biophysical processes at annual and longer time scales (BP‐Event). A calibrated BP‐Event model shows that large (&gt;20‐year return period) episodic storm events are major drivers of marsh accretion, depositing up to 30 cm of sediment in one event. Greater deposition is predicted near fluvial sources and tidal channels and less on marshes further from fluvial sources and tidal channels. In contrast, the BP‐Annual model poorly resolves spatial structure in marsh accretion as a consequence of neglecting event‐scale processes. Furthermore, the P‐Event model significantly overestimates marsh accretion as a consequence of neglecting marsh surface compaction driven by annual scale biophysical processes. Differences between BP‐Event and BP‐Annual models translate up to 20 cm per century in marsh surface elevation.

An Integration of Numerical Modeling and Paleoenvironmental Analysis Reveals the Effects of Embankment Construction on Long‐Term Salt Marsh Accretion

AbstractThere are still numerous uncertainties over the influence of anthropogenic interventions on salt marsh dynamics. This study uses the Ribble Estuary as a test case and an integrated approach of numerical modeling and paleoenvironmental analysis to investigate the contribution of embankment construction to long‐term marsh accretion. Accretion rates derived using optically stimulated luminescence dating (OSL) were combined with a multi‐proxy paleoenvironmental investigation on sediment cores extracted from the salt marsh, the mobile seafloor of the central Irish Sea and the river catchment area. These analyses provided a first evolutionary perspective on the Ribble Estuary preceding any management interventions. The paleoenvironmental analyses were then compared to simulations conducted using the hydrodynamic model Delft3D to investigate the effects of embankment construction on estuarine hydrodynamics and morphodynamics of the salt marsh over the period constrained by the OSL. The numerical simulations showed that embankments were responsible for an overall intensification of the ebb currents in the system which promoted sediment export. The paleoenvironmental analyses showed that the marsh has been accreting at a rate of 4.61 to 0.86 cm yr−1 over the last ca. 190 years and that the high sedimentation rate was caused by a naturally high rate of sediment supply. The model‐data integration showed that the effects of the embankment construction on sediment transport did not compromise the long‐term resilience of the salt marsh because of the high rates of sediment supply and the river dredging which enhanced the flood dominance of the tide near the tidal flat.

Impact of Coastal Marsh Eco‐Geomorphologic Change on Saltwater Intrusion Under Future Sea Level Rise

AbstractCoastal saltwater intrusion (SWI) is one key factor that affects the hydrology, ecology, and biogeochemistry of coastal ecosystems. Future climate change, especially intensified sea level rise (SLR), is expected to trigger SWI to encroach on coastal freshwater aquifers more intensively. Numerous studies have investigated decadal/century scale SWI under SLR by assuming a static coastal landscape topography. However, coastal landscapes are highly dynamic in response to SLR, and the impact of coastal landscape evolution on SWI has received very little attention. Thus, this study used a coastal marsh landscape as an example and investigated how coastal marsh evolution affects future SWI with a physically‐based coastal hydro‐eco‐geomorphologic model, Advanced Terrestrial Simulator. Our numerical experiments showed that it is very likely that the marsh elevation increases with future SLR due to sediment deposition, and a depression zone is formed due to different marsh accretion rates between the ocean boundary and the inland. We found that marsh accretion may significantly reduce the surface saltwater inflow at the ocean boundary, and the evolved topographic depression zone may prolong the residence time of surface ponded saltwater, affecting subsurface salinity distribution differently. We also predicted that marshlands may become more sensitive to upland freshwater supply under future SLR, compared with previous predictions without marsh evolution. This study demonstrates the importance of coastal evolution to coastal freshwater‐saltwater interaction. The eco‐geomorphologic effect may not be ignored when evaluating coastal SWI under SLR at decadal or century scales.