Abstract

Salt marshes providing valuable services in buffering flooding risks are regarded as cost-effective coastal defense solutions. Given that eroding marsh cliffs will threaten the sustainability of these protective functions, there is a need for mechanistic understanding of cliff formation. Based on short-term field measurements together with satellite-derived dataset and a morphodynamic model, we determined the response of marsh lateral dynamics to event-based sedimentary processes in the Yellow River Delta, China. It was found that the Eastern Marsh with a cliff of ∼1.2 m in height significantly differed from the gentle Western Marsh in accretion pattern and lateral dynamics. Attributed to an artificial flood lasting ∼20 days in 2022, the Eastern Marsh platform experienced average vertical accretion of 23.3 mm, ∼5 times higher than the Western Marsh barely impacted by fluvial sediment supply. Although the accretion pattern ensured the overall vertical adaptability, Eastern Marsh has translated from a phase of rapid expansion to lateral retreat of ∼60 m/yr since 2018, whereas Western Marsh was relatively stable in recent decade. With a validated delta-marsh model, we showed that the observed disparities were attributed to different marsh edge morphodynamic responses to river flood sediment supplies. When Spartina alterniflora initially colonized, the Eastern Marsh platform was lower and the trapping efficiency could rise by ∼3 times than the present. Integrating with ten-fold increases in sediment loads, it was estimated that the large artificial floods in 2018 could contribute to a vertical growth approximating 30 cm at Eastern Marsh. Such episodic but rapid marsh accretion played a crucial role in initiating the development of marsh cliff. Driven by positive feedbacks between platform elevations and cumulative wave thrust, a series of event-based marsh sedimentation will promote long-term marsh loss caused by lateral retreat at sediment-starved systems. This study provides insights in predicting marsh sustainability and long-term evolutions under episodic sedimentary events.

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