Mark-recapture Data Research Articles

Extension of Pradel capture–recapture survival‐recruitment model accounting for transients

Abstract Population growth is the sum of survival and recruitment, and knowledge of these two vital rates is crucial for understanding population dynamics. Moreover, animal populations often contain varying number of transient (i.e. nonresident) individuals that do not contribute to these rates but may bias their estimates. The widely used Pradel (1996, Biometrics, 52: 703) survival‐recruitment model for capture–mark–recapture data is only able to handle resident individuals on a fixed study area across a particular study period. Yet, numerous capture–mark–recapture data sets, from a wide range of taxa, feature transient individuals. The most widespread sources of avian demographic data, based on citizen science projects, feature both transient individuals and changes in the study area over time. We present an extension of the Pradel model that accounts for the presence of transient individuals and changes in the study area. In contrast to known extensions of the Cormack–Jolly–Seber models in which transients are modelled as a proportion of newly captured individuals, our novel approach models transient individuals as a proportion of all birds captured. In addition, we present a new simple way to visualize the interlinkage of the vital rates produced by our extended Pradel model. We demonstrate utilization of the model using capture–mark–recapture data collected by a constant‐effort mist‐netting citizen science programme in the Czech Republic, presenting demographic rates of two species with different population dynamics. To demonstrate the newly achieved ability to analyse the phenomenon of transience, we show the differences in transience and its temporal trends between wet and dry habitats. Removing the limitations of the Pradel model opens up new potential for much wider range of applications. Furthermore, our novel parametrization of transients as a proportion of all birds captured facilitates biological interpretation of the transience parameter and the study of transience as a biological phenomenon. Calculating all demographic parameters in a single model also opens up a unique possibility to take into account their correlated error distributions in follow‐up analyses. Our model can be further extended in several ways and can serve as a basic building block in a wide range of demographic analyses.

Assessing fine-scale pondscape connectivity with amphibian eyes: An integrative approach using genomic and capture-mark-recapture data.

In the face of habitat loss, preserving functional connectivity is essential to maintain genetic diversity and the demographic dynamics required for the viability of biotic communities. This requires knowledge of the dispersal behaviour of target species, which can be modelled as kernels, or probability density functions of dispersal distances at increasing geographic distances. We present an integrative approach to investigate the relationships between genetic connectivity and demographic parameters in organisms with low vagility focusing on five syntopic pond-breeding amphibians. We genotyped 1056 individuals of two anuran and three urodele species (1732-3913 SNPs per species) from populations located in a landscape comprising 64 ponds to characterize fine-scale genetic structure in a comparative framework, and combined these genetic data with information obtained in a previous 2-year capture-mark-recapture (CMR) study. Specifically, we contrasted graphs reconstructed from genomic data with connectivity graphs based on dispersal kernels and demographic information obtained from CMR data from previous studies, and assessed the effects of population size, population density, geographical distances, inverse movement probabilities and the presence of habitat patches potentially functioning as stepping stones on genetic differentiation. Our results show a significant effect of local population sizes on patterns of genetic differentiation at small spatial scales. In addition, movement records and cluster-derived kernels provide robust inferences on most likely dispersal paths that are consistent with genomic inferences on genetic connectivity. The integration of genetic and CMR data holds great potential for understanding genetic connectivity at spatial scales relevant to individual organisms, with applications for the implementation of management actions at the landscape level.

Before‐after‐control‐impact field experiment shows anti‐predator netting enhances occupancy of the threatened Hungarian meadow viper (Vipera ursinii rakosiensis)

The Hungarian meadow viper is an endangered grassland‐dwelling species, which faces high predation pressure, partially due to avian species that forage in its habitat. Predation pressure by avian predators is caused not only by abundant game species (e.g. hooded crow, Corvus cornix) but also by protected and threatened species (e.g. short‐toed eagle, Cricaetus gallicus; common buzzard, Buteo buteo; roller, Coracias garrulus) in the project area (Felső‐kiskunsági turjánvidék, Hungary). Mark–recapture data of a reintroduced viper population showed a very low, 42% yearly average apparent survival rate. To establish a strong sub‐population we applied anti‐predator netting (APN) by building a 200 × 200 × 3 m (4 ha) totally closed exclusion site with a mesh net, lateral sides boosted with a 1 m high steel field fence to exclude mammals as well as birds. To test the effect of APN we monitored viper occupancy at 50 × 50 m sampling plots in a before–after/control–intervention (BACI) design, where we randomly placed quadrats 0.25 ha (50 × 50 m) to be surveyed, n = 26 at control habitats and n = 4 below the APN enclosure. We collected data across four years (2020–2023), in each year during the spring by 10 surveys replicates in each plot resulting in 1200 surveys to record viper detection/non‐detection data. We applied a multi‐season occupancy model to estimate site occupancy changes to test the effects of the BACI design. Occupancy probabilities were increasing during the four consecutive survey years in both the control and the intervention sites, however except for the initial occupancy, the occupancy probability became significantly higher at APN sites, and the APN intervention had a significant positive effect on viper occupancy, while the distance to APN showed negative effect. Predator exclusion is an effective method to minimise predation pressure and potentially has a deterministic positive demographic outcome, however, due to the high logistical and maintenance costs, this measure can be applied at only a few sites.

Interpopulation differences and temporal synchrony in rates of adult survival between two seabird colonies that differ in population size and distance to foraging grounds.

Understanding the processes that drive interpopulation differences in demography and population dynamics is central to metapopulation ecology. In colonial species, populations are limited by local resource availability. However, individuals from larger colonies will travel greater distances to overcome density-dependent competition. Consequently, these individuals may also experience greater carry-over effects and interpopulation differences in demography. To test this prediction, we use mark-recapture data collected over four decades from two breeding colonies of a seabird, the Manx shearwater (Puffinus puffinus), that exhibit strong spatial overlap throughout the annual cycle but differ in population size and maximum foraging distances. We quantify interpopulation differences and synchrony in rates of survival and assess whether local mean wind speeds act to strengthen or disrupt synchrony. In addition, we examine whether the imputed interpopulation differences in survival can generate population-level consequences. The colony where individuals travel further during the breeding season had slightly lower and more variable rates of survival, indicative of individuals experiencing greater carry-over effects. Fluctuations in survival were highly synchronous between the colonies, but neither synchronous, nor asynchronous, variation could be strongly attributed to fluctuations in local mean wind speeds. Finally, we demonstrate that the imputed interpopulation differences in rates of survival could lead to considerable differences in population growth. We hypothesise that the observed interpopulation differences in rates of adult survival reflect carry-over effects associated with foraging distances during the breeding season. More broadly, our results highlight that breeding season processes can be important for understanding interpopulation differences in the demographic rates and population dynamics of long-lived species, such as seabirds.

Lake Sturgeon population trends in the St. Clair–Detroit River system, 2001–2019

AbstractObjectiveThe Lake Sturgeon Acipenser fulvescens is listed as threatened or endangered in 15 states or provinces within the species' native range. Accordingly, investments in habitat and population restoration for this species have increased throughout the Great Lakes. To aid in the evaluation of restoration efficacy, robust population parameters are needed to inform management decisions. The St. Clair–Detroit River system (SCDRS) contains one of the largest self‐sustaining Lake Sturgeon populations in the Great Lakes; however, recent estimates of population abundance and growth parameters have not been assessed.MethodsOur study used baited setline and mark–recapture data collected between 2001 and 2019 to estimate whether the number of Lake Sturgeon captured varied annually and/or with water temperature and whether population abundance and the population growth rate (λ) varied among three subpopulations located in the SCDRS.ResultTrends in the number of Lake Sturgeon captured on setlines varied among subpopulations and by life stage. Annual trends in the number of Lake Sturgeon captured remained consistent over time in the upper St. Clair River, decreased for adults and increased for subadults in the lower St. Clair River, and increased in the Detroit River. With subpopulation abundances of 20,184 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 12,533–27,816) in the upper St. Clair River/southern Lake Huron, 6523 (95% CI = 5720–7327) in the lower St. Clair River, and 6416 (95% CI = 4065–8767) in the Detroit River, our study confirms that the SCDRS contains the largest Lake Sturgeon population with unimpeded access to the Great Lakes. The geometric mean λ for all subpopulations indicated stable populations and ranged from 1.00 to 1.16.ConclusionOur study provides an updated assessment of Lake Sturgeon population parameters that serve as a baseline to evaluate habitat restoration efforts and to inform management of the SCDRS recreational Lake Sturgeon fishery.

Linking ecosystem processes to consumer growth rates: gross primary productivity as a driver of freshwater fish somatic growth in a resource-limited river

Individual growth can exert strong control on population dynamics but is constrained by resource acquisition rates. Difficulty in accurately quantifying resource availability over large spatial extents and at high temporal frequencies often limits attempts to understand the extent to which resources limit individual growth. Daily estimates of stream metabolism, including gross primary productivity (GPP), are increasingly available but have not, to our knowledge, been linked to fish growth. Here we examine how environmental variables such as GPP, water temperature, turbidity, and high-flow releases from a dam are linked to spatiotemporal variation in the growth of flannelmouth sucker ( Catostomus latipinnis) in the Colorado River within the Grand Canyon. We fit state-space growth models to 6 years of mark–recapture data collected in four river reaches spanning 300 river kilometers. Consistent with past research in this system, we find that all four environmental variables influence growth in length of a native primary consumer fish. GPP and temperature have a positive influence on growth, while turbidity and high-flow events have a negative influence. Water temperature is the dominant driver of spatiotemporal variation in growth, while the link between high-frequency GPP and fish growth is relatively novel. Fish growth is likely to be linked to stream metabolism in other systems where overall productivity, not the quality of primary producers, limits the food webs that support fish growth.

Are Urban Populations of a Gliding Mammal Vulnerable to Decline?

Small populations are at high risk of extinction, and they are likely to need management intervention. Successful management, however, relies on sufficient long-term demographic data in order to determine whether apparent declines are natural fluctuations or the product of threatening processes. In this study, we monitored a small urban population of squirrel gliders (Petaurus norfolcensis) in Queensland, Australia, over a 16 year period. A reference population in a larger forest patch was also studied in order to investigate whether its demographic trends were similar. Using mark-recapture data to generate estimates of apparent survival and population size, we found evidence of a decline within the small population but not in the reference population over the monitoring period. We suggest that the influence of multiple factors may have led to the decline, but, ultimately, that the genetic condition of the small population may be responsible. Understanding demographic trends is an important context for management interventions of small populations, although causes of decline need to be identified for successful management. The squirrel glider provides a useful case study for small urban populations and particularly for arboreal mammals.

Recent demographic survey of the Radiated Tortoise (Astrochelys radiata) in southwest Madagascar

Abstract.—Effective management strategies for at-risk chelonian populations require sound knowledge of populationdemographics. Previous research on the Critically Endangered Radiated Tortoise, Astrochelys radiata (Shaw 1802),revealed a trend of increasing male bias in the sex ratio and a concomitant decrease in the proportion of juveniles inLavavolo, southern Madagascar. This location is one of the few remaining sites with a high concentration of this speciesand was last studied ten years ago. The aim of our study was to provide an updated snapshot of Radiated Tortoisedemographics at Lavavolo, which, when combined with previous studies, will provide insight into changes over 20years (1999–2019). Additionally, we provide the first assessment on the impact of soil types (calcareous, ferruginous,and sandy) on the distribution of individuals across the site. We used mark-recapture data to determine the sex ratio,age structure, and distribution of size classes. Overall, the study site contained mostly adults (76.87%) with only afew juveniles (23.13%). Though the proportion of juveniles is low, it has increased over the last ten years. However,the sex ratio has become increasingly skewed towards males, 1.8:1. We did not find any significant difference in sexratios between soil types, but there were significant differences in the distribution of size classes, with the smallest sizeclass 0–8 cm most prevalent in sandy soil and the juvenile size class 17–24 cm most frequent in ferruginous soil. Mostjuvenile size classes were less common than expected on the calcareous soil. In general, populations located on calcareoussoil appear to be more vulnerable, potentially due to the long-term existence of poaching activities in this habitat.

Survival rates in the world's southernmost forest bird community.

The Magellanic sub-Antarctic Forest is home to the world's southernmost avian community and is the only Southern Hemisphere analogue to Northern Hemisphere temperate forests at this latitude. This region is considered among the few remaining pristine areas of the world, and shifts in environmental conditions are predominantly driven by climate variability. Thus, understanding climate-driven demographic processes is critical for addressing conservation issues in this system under future climate change scenarios. Here, we describe annual survival patterns and their association with climate variables using a 20-year mark-recapture data set of five forest bird species in the Cape Horn Biosphere Reserve. We develop a multispecies hierarchical survival model to jointly explore age-dependent survival probabilities at the community and species levels in a group of five forest passerines. At the community level, we assess the association of migratory behavior and body size with survival, and at the species level, we investigate the influence of local and regional climatic variables on temporal variations of survival. We found a positive effect of precipitation and a negative effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on juvenile survival in the white-crested Elaenia and a consistent but uncertain negative effect of temperature on survival in juveniles and 80% of adults. We found only a weak association of climate variables with survival across species in the community and no temporal trends in survival for any of the species in either age class, highlighting apparent stability in these high austral latitude forests. Finally, our findings provide an important resource of survival probabilities, a necessary input for assessing potential impacts of global climate change in this unique region of the world.

Assessment of bias and precision among simple closed population mark-recapture estimators

Mark-recapture methods have been heavily studied and employed in fisheries and other wildlife sciences over the past century to approximate population sizes for animal species of interest. This paper focuses on the comparative statistical performance through simulation of common closed population mark-recapture estimators, including those of Lincoln-Petersen, Chapman, Chao, Schnabel, and Schumacher-Eschmeyer. A new bias-adjusted version of the Schumacher-Eschmeyer estimator is proposed and is shown to exhibit superior performance at small sample sizes in comparison to the original estimator. Simulation results indicate that Chapman’s method outperforms all other two-visit methods and that bias-adjusted versions of Schnabel and Schumacher-Eschmeyer differ slightly depending on bias or precision, but both perform well. Minimum sample sizes such that resulting estimates are approximately unbiased are proposed to advise practitioners on the most appropriate use of these estimators for simple closed population mark-recapture data.

Growth and morphology of Critically Endangered green sawfish Pristis zijsron in globally important nursery habitats

Understanding growth rates and other basic life-history information of imperilled species is essential to assessing the extent of threats to a population, but often difficult due to limited access to study subjects. Here we used mark-recapture data to estimate growth rates of juvenile Critically Endangered green sawfish (Pristis zijsron) in a globally important nursery in the eastern Indian Ocean (Western Australia). Our results suggest that growth of juvenile sawfish in this part of the central Western Australian coast is significantly slower compared to populations on the north-eastern coast of Australia. Additionally, growth rates differed between nearby areas within the nursery region, potentially due to differential productivity or anthropogenic effects. Morphological relationships between total length, rostral length, mouth gape, and clasper length are presented, which will allow for greater accuracy in estimating biological parameters in this species, while updated information on size at maturity (> 3200 mm) and size at birth (approximately 750–900 mm) will help to clarify life-history parameters for this data-poor species. Furthermore, there were distinct differences in the number of rostral teeth of green sawfish between this eastern Indian Ocean population and other populations throughout their current distribution, indicating substantial genetic differentiation in this species globally. These results will help to accurately assess growth trajectories and potential impacts of fisheries and other threats to green sawfish. Additionally, results highlight the importance of assessing population-specific growth rates in threatened species and of considering potential long-term life-history impacts of anthropogenic developments and activities.

Acoustic telemetry informs conditional capture probability of an anadromous fish

Information on movement ecology and susceptibility to fishing gears is becoming increasingly employed in the management of commercial fisheries. This study combined acoustic telemetry (n = 51 and 52) and a simple passive integrated transponder (PIT) tag (n = 1499 and 1113) mark-recapture study, across two successive years on a commercial river lamprey (Lampetra fluviatilis) fishery, to inform exploitation rates and the influence of conditional capture probability on expected catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE). The movements of acoustic-tagged lamprey were used to refine estimates of the number of PIT-marked individuals vulnerable to the fishery. In 2018, this increased the recapture rate estimation by 0.99% and reduced the estimated run size by 152,101 (21.6%; 95% CL, 148,683, 155,688) individuals, with corresponding values of 0.12% and 114,639 (25.0%; 95% CL, 112,900, 116,448) in 2019. Lamprey movements were similar between years, with the number of trap line encounters by individuals between trap lifts used to inform expected CPUE for each lift. Conditional capture probability was mainly dependent on environmental conditions (e.g., river flow) with most trap lifts in the expected CPUE range, although the impacts of behaviour on vulnerability to capture were difficult to disentangle. This study highlights how the incorporation of acoustic telemetry increased the accuracy of, validated, and complemented mark-recapture data, without which management decisions (e.g., quota size) would have been based upon over 100,000 more individuals (27.5% higher than the adjusted run size in 2018 and 33.3% higher in 2019), with potentially severe consequences for the population. These findings demonstrate the importance of understanding fish movement to improve and inform fishery management. The study also presents a framework to quantify conditional capture probability and its influence on CPUE; knowledge that is widely applicable across aquatic systems for management and sustainability of fisheries.

Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska

Aquatic habitats in the Great Plains of North America have increased risk of droughts under climate forecasts. Droughts have the potential to influence the population dynamics of pond turtles, and long-term studies are useful to assess the impact of climatic variation on turtles. We compiled twelve years of mark-recapture data for painted turtles (Chrysemys picta) captured in a pond in Keith County, Nebraska during 2005–2016 that included two periods of drought. We used a robust design analysis to investigate influences on population size, annual survival, temporary immigration, and capture probability. Estimates of the annual population size ranged from 92 (CI: 90–94) to 180 (CI: 175–186) but did not vary with drought conditions. Despite a relatively stable depth of water in our study pond, the probability of annual survival was reduced by 0.07 in females and 0.10 in males during drought years. Approximately one-fifth (temporary emigration probability: 0.19, CI = 0.16–0.23) of the population was outside the study pond at any given time. Our long-term research provides insights into the potential challenges to turtles in aquatic habitats undergoing prolonged changes in long-term climate conditions.

Abundance and demographic parameters of humpback whales from the Gulf of Maine, and stock definition relative to the Scotian Shelf

The Gulf of Maine is one of the principal summer feeding grounds for humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) in the North Atlantic, and was one focus of effort in an ocean-basin-wide study known as the Years of the North Atlantic Humpback (YoNAH) project. Data from that project and from subsequent surveys were used to assess stock boundaries, abundance and demographic parameters for Gulf of Maine humpbacks. Surveys on the Scotian Shelf in the summers of 1998 and 1999 produced the first substantial dataset of identified individual humpbacks observed in this region, which lies between the well-studied areas of the Gulf of Maine and Newfoundland. The results gave a match rate of approximately 27% (14 of 52 individuals) between the Scotian Shelf and the Gulf of Maine, with evidence that many of the matched whales were transient in the Gulf of Maine; there were no matches to any other location in the North Atlantic. These data suggest that the range of most whales from the Gulf of Maine usually does not extend as far east as the Scotian Shelf or Newfoundland. Only one whale was observed on the Scotian Shelf in both the 1998 and 1999 surveys, and another seen in 1998 had also been sighted there in 1994. This low inter-annual match rate suggests that the abundance of humpback whales on the Scotian Shelf is larger than previously recognised. Three different but overlapping estimates of abundance for the Gulf of Maine population were calculated. Mark-recapture data from 1992/93 gave an estimate of abundance of 652 (CV = 0.29); however, this estimate is likely biased because of heterogeneity in sampling and in animal distribution. Photo-id data also provided a minimum population estimate of 497 humpbacks known to be alive in 1997; this estimate is also likely to be negatively biased because of heterogeneity. Finally, line-transect surveys conducted in 1999 yielded estimates of 816 (CV = 0.45) or 902 humpback whales (CV = 0.41, including a portion of the eastern Scotian Shelf stratum); these transect-based estimates are more consistent with the number of humpbacks (1,273, including dead animals) in the current photo-id catalogue for the Gulf of Maine. Overall, the size of the Gulf of Maine population is likely to be in the high hundreds, but no more precise estimate can be calculated at this time. The growth rate for the Gulf of Maine population was estimated using an interbirth interval method using data from 1992-2000. The estimate was either 1.00 (for a calf survival rate of 0.51) or 1.04 (for a calf survival rate of 0.875). Although confidence limits are not available (because maturation parameters could not be estimated), both estimates of population growth rate are outside the 95% confidence intervals of the previous estimate of 1.065 for the period 1979-1991 (Barlow and Clapham, 1997). It is unclear whether this apparent decline is an artefact resulting from a shift in distribution or is a real phenomenon; if the latter, it may be related to known high mortality among young-of-the-year whales in the waters of the US mid-Atlantic states. However, calf survival appears to have increased since 1996, presumably accompanied by an increase in population growth.

Drought affects sex ratio and growth of painted turtles in a long-term study in Nebraska

Climate forecasts suggest the Great Plains of North America have increased risk of droughts during global warming. Environmental factors have potential to influence turtle populations in aquatic habitats through temperature-dependent sex determination and influences on food availability. Long-term studies are critical to evaluate the influence of climatic variation on turtles. We used a 12-year set of mark-recapture data collected from painted turtles (Chrysemys picta, n = 162) in a pond in Keith County, Nebraska during 2005–2016 to assess variation in sex ratio and growth dynamics. Southwest Nebraska experienced two periods of drought during our study (Palmer Hydrologic Drought Index [PHDI] range: -4.5 to 6.7). Despite a relatively stable depth of water in our study pond, the proportion of males in the second size class (carapace length 95–130 mm) decreased when the PHDI during their incubation period indicated hotter, drier conditions. Discrete, mean annual growth (G) of females >30 mm below asymptotic carapace length was greater during wetter years (Gnon-drought = 15.0, Gdrought = 11.5), and a drought coefficient (D) in our modified von Bertalanffy model reflected reduced growth of both males (D = -0.0226) and females (D = -0.0393) during drought years. Our long-term research provides context to the complexity by which turtle species may respond to changes in long-term climate conditions.

Sex-specific innate immunity and ageing in long-lived fresh water turtles (Kinosternon flavescens: Kinosternidae)

BackgroundThe progressive deregulation of the immune system with age, termed immunosenescence, has been well studied in mammalian systems, but studies of immune function in long-lived, wild, non-mammalian populations are scarce. In this study we leverage a 38-year mark-recapture study to quantify the relationships among age, sex, survival, reproductive output and the innate immune system in a long-lived reptile, yellow mud turtles (Kinosternon flavescens; Testudines; Kinosternidae).MethodsWe estimated rates of survival and age-specific mortality by sex based on mark-recapture data for 1530 adult females and 860 adult males over 38 years of captures. We analyzed bactericidal competence (BC), and two immune responses to foreign red blood cells - natural antibody-mediated haemagglutination (NAbs), and complement-mediated haemolysis ability (Lys) - in 200 adults (102 females; 98 males) that ranged from 7 to 58 years of age captured in May 2018 during their emergence from brumation, and for which reproductive output and long-term mark-recapture data were available.ResultsWe found that females are smaller and live longer than males in this population, but the rate of accelerating mortality across adulthood is the same for both sexes. In contrast, males exhibited higher innate immunity than females for all three immune variables we measured. All immune responses also varied inversely with age, indicating immunosenescence. For females that reproduced in the preceding reproductive season, egg mass (and therefore total clutch mass) increased with age,. In addition to immunosenescence of bactericidal competence, females that produced smaller clutches also had lower bactericidal competence.ConclusionsContrary to the general vertebrate pattern of lower immune responses in males than females (possibly reflecting the suppressive effects of androgens), we found higher levels of all three immune variables in males. In addition, contrary to previous work that found no evidence of immunosenescence in painted turtles or red-eared slider turtles, we found a decrease in bactericidal competence, lysis ability, and natural antibodies with age in yellow mud turtles.

Evaluation of headstarting as a conservation tool to recover Blanding's Turtles (Emydoidea blandingii) in a highly fragmented urban landscape.

Freshwater turtle populations are declining globally as a result of anthropogenic activities. Threats to turtles in urban areas are exacerbated by road mortality and subsidized predators, which can lead to catastrophic shifts in population size and structure. Headstarting is used as a conservation tool to supplement turtle populations that may otherwise face extirpation. A headstarting program began in 2012 to recover a functionally extinct population of Blanding's Turtles (Emydoidea blandingii) 26in Rouge National Urban Park (RNUP), Ontario, Canada. The original population included five adults and one juvenile turtle. From 2014 to 2020, 270 headstarted turtles were released. The population has been monitored annually since 2014 using visual-encounter surveys, radio-telemetry, and live trapping (from 2018 onwards). We used mark-recapture and radio-telemetry data to quantify abundance, survival, and sex ratio of the headstarted turtle population. Using a Jolly-Seber model, we estimated abundance to be 183 turtles (20 turtles/ha) in 2020. Estimated survival of headstarted turtles approached 89%, except for turtles released in 2019 when survival was 43% as a result of a known mass mortality event at the study site. Pre- and post-release sex ratios were not significantly different (χ2 = 1.92; p = 0.16), but shifted from 1:1.5 to 1:1 male:female post-release. Given that the headstarted turtles have not yet reached sexual maturity, it is unclear whether headstarted turtles will reach adulthood and successfully reproduce to maintain a self-sustaining population. Thus, to evaluate the success of the headstarting program, long-term monitoring is required.

Salamander Movement Propensity Resists Effects of Supraseasonal Drought

Movement can act as an effective strategy used by amphibians to avoid detrimental environmental conditions, particularly drought. However, due to the unpredictable nature of droughts, evaluating the patterns and consequences of movement has rarely been investigated. In 2007–2008, the southeastern United States experienced a supraseasonal drought that resulted in 110 yr low flow levels among the first-order streams. In this study, 61 months of mark–recapture data collected from one first-order stream were used to examine the effects of drought on the movement frequency distribution, survival, and growth rates of adult Desmognathus fuscus (Northern Dusky Salamander). We hypothesized that salamanders would demonstrate a higher propensity to move during supraseasonal drought conditions and that moving salamanders would experience higher survival and growth rates. We found that salamanders were more likely to move immediately after the drought compared to the pre-drought and drought conditions. Although movement frequency was low during the drought, survival was higher for individuals who moved during drought conditions in comparison to individuals who remained in their original capture location. Although our model did not detect a trend, salamanders experienced slightly higher growth in the post-drought conditions compared to drought and pre-drought conditions. In addition, during the post-drought, salamanders that moved had slightly higher growth rates compared to salamanders who remained in their original capture location. Our results suggest that adult salamanders were potentially displaying an adaptive movement strategy to resist drought conditions by moving away from affected (i.e., dry) areas within the study stream. In addition, movement was likely utilized to access replenished resources in other areas after the severe effects of the drought ended. Therefore, both in-stream and riparian barriers that impede movement may inhibit resilience of stream amphibians during severe droughts.

Relatedness between samples quantified and an optimal criterion for match detection approximated

Data on relatedness of individuals between or within samples can be used to address population parameters in much the same way as conventional mark-recapture data and has some advantages, but also opens up new research areas. In such studies not only decisions on the sample size have to be made but also the number of genetic markers to be worked up, or even developed, and during analysis the criteria for accepting a match chosen. The likelihood of detecting a true match must be assessed and weighed against the likelihood of including a false positive. To aid with this, formulae are presented here for the probability of the number of relatives alive over periods of time and a process to approach the optimal criterion for match detection. To apply the process programs were developed that are made available, and an example is given.

Competition overwhelms environment and genetic effects on growth rates of endangered white sturgeon from a conservation aquaculture program

Improving the status of endangered species can be challenging because the efficacy of conservation actions is often uncertain. Conservation aquaculture has been the main recovery action for endangered white sturgeon ( Acipenser transmontanus) in the Transboundary Reach of the upper Columbia River. Using long-term mark-recapture data (2002–2018), we predicted variation in growth rates due to genetic, environmental, and competition effects to evaluate the efficacy of the aquaculture program. Environmental conditions (by season and country) and competition had the greatest effects on growth. Growth, length-at-age, weight-at-age, and condition factor were higher for fish residing in reservoir habitats (US) compared to those in riverine habitat (Canada). Growth declined over the study period but growth in length for larger fish remained higher in the US as fish > 100 cm fork length in Canada were not growing. Small differences in growth among families indicate that differences in genetics among parents spawned in the hatchery had negligible effects on growth in the wild. Our estimate of substantive negative density-dependent growth in Canada is important for management of conservation aquaculture for sturgeons.