688 Background: While surgical resection has always been the cornerstone of curative treatment for rectal cancer, preoperative chemoradiation for stage II/III rectal cancer results in up to 49% of patients with a clinical complete response. As a result, many have questioned whether surgery can be omitted for this group of patients. Currently, there is insufficient evidence on the safety and efficacy of chemoradiation-only, or non-operative management (NOM), to support the wholesale adoption of this treatment paradigm. Despite this, anecdotal evidence suggests there is a trend for increased use of NOM. Our objective was to examine trends in the use of NOM for rectal cancer over time as well as patient- and facility-level factors associated with its use. Methods: We included all incident cases of invasive, non-metastatic, rectal adenocarcinoma reported to the National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) from 1998–2010. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses to assess NOM use over time as well as patient- and facility-level predictors of NOM. Results: 146,135 patients met inclusion criteria: 5,741 had NOM and 140,394 had surgery +/- additional therapy. From 1998-2010, the use of NOM doubled from 2.4% to 5% of all cases annually. Patients who were Black (AOR=1.71, 95%CI=1.57-1.86), uninsured (AOR=2.35, 95%CI=2.08-2.65), Medicaid-enrolled (AOR=2.10, 95%CI=1.90-2.33), and those treated at low-volume facilities (AOR=1.53, 95%CI=1.42-1.64) were more likely to receive NOM than White, privately insured, and high-volume facility patients, respectively. Additionally, NOM was more common in the South (AOR=1.53, 95%CI=1.32-1.76) and Pacific (AOR=1.82, 95%CI=1.57-2.12) as compared with the Northeast. Conclusions: NOM is an innovative approach that demonstrate promise in the treatment of rectal cancer. Pursing this approach in the context of a clinical trial and with well-informed patients would be appropriate. We observed evidence of increasing NOM utilization; however, this increase is occurring more frequently in Black and uninsured/Medicaid patients, raising concern that increased NOM use may actually represent increasing disparities in rectal cancer care rather than innovation.
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