The heterogeneity of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) presents a challenge for diagnosis and classification. This study aims to propose a multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based machine learning framework to effectively classify MCI and NCI in CSVD patients. We enrolled 165 CSVD patients, categorized into NCI (n = 81) and MCI (n = 84) groups based on neurocognitive assessments. Multimodal MRI data, including T1-weighted, resting-state functional MRI, and diffusion tensor images, were collected. Image preprocessing, feature extraction and selection were applied to obtain MRI features from three modalities. The AutoGluon platform was utilized for model development, and traditional machine learning algorithms were applied for comparison. The models were validated using a validation cohort of 83 CSVD patients, and their performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The AutoGluon model to distinguish MCI from NCI based on multimodal MRI features demonstrated high area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, balanced accuracy, and F1-score in the training cohort (0.926, 88.48%, 88.10%, 88.89%, 89.16%, 88.50%, and 88.63%, respectively) and validation cohort (0.878, 81.93%, 86.36%, 76.92%, 80.85%, 81.64%, and 83.51%, respectively). Other traditional machine learning models had AUCs of 0.755–0.831, and their prediction accuracies were significantly lower than that of AutoGluon model (P < 0.001). Our study provides a multimodal MRI-based machine learning framework, utilizing the AutoGluon platform, that outperforms traditional algorithms in classifying MCI and NCI, offering a promising tool for the early prediction of MCI in CSVD.
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