Machine Learning-based Prediction Model Research Articles

Machine Learning for Early Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After First Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction: Retrospective Cohort Study.

The incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) remains high in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and early prediction models to guide their clinical management are lacking. This study aimed to develop machine learning-based early prediction models for MACEs in patients with newly diagnosed AMI who underwent PCI. A total of 1531 patients with AMI who underwent PCI from January 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled in this consecutive cohort. The data comprised demographic characteristics, clinical investigations, laboratory tests, and disease-related events. Four machine learning models-artificial neural network (ANN), k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, and random forest-were developed and compared with the logistic regression model. Our primary outcome was the model performance that predicted the MACEs, which was determined by accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and F1-score. In total, 1362 patients were successfully followed up. With a median follow-up of 25.9 months, the incidence of MACEs was 18.5% (252/1362). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ANN, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, and logistic regression models were 80.49%, 72.67%, 79.80%, 77.20%, and 71.77%, respectively. The top 5 predictors in the ANN model were left ventricular ejection fraction, the number of implanted stents, age, diabetes, and the number of vessels with coronary artery disease. The ANN model showed good MACE prediction after PCI for patients with AMI. The use of machine learning-based prediction models may improve patient management and outcomes in clinical practice.

Development and Validation of Machine Learning-Based Models for Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission and In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

This present work focused on predicting prognostic outcome of inpatients developing acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), and enhancing patient monitoring and treatment by using objective clinical indicators. The present retrospective study enrolled 322 AECOPD patients. Registry data downloaded based on COPD Pay-for-Performance Program database from January 2012 to December 2018 were used to check whether the enrolled patients were eligible. Our primary and secondary outcomes were ICU admission and in-hospital mortality, respectively. The best feature subset was chosen by recursive feature elimination. Moreover, seven machine learning (ML) models were trained for forecasting ICU admission among AECOPD patients, and the model with the most excellent performance was used. According to our findings, random forest (RF) model showed superb discrimination performance, and the values of area under curve (AUC) were 0.973 and 0.828 in training and test cohorts, separately. Additionally, according to decision curve analysis, the net benefit of RF model was higher when differentiating patients with a high risk of ICU admission at a <0.55 threshold probability. Moreover, the ML-based prediction model was also constructed to predict in-hospital mortality, and it showed excellent calibration and discrimination capacities. The ML model was highly accurate in assessing the ICU admission and in-hospital mortality risk for AECOPD cases. Maintenance of model interpretability helped effectively provide accurate and lucid risk prediction of different individuals.

A machine learning-based prediction model of pelvic lymph node metastasis in women with early-stage cervical cancer.

To develop a novel machine learning-based preoperative prediction model for pelvic lymph node metastasis (PLNM) in early-stage cervical cancer by combining the clinical findings and preoperative computerized tomography (CT) of the whole abdomen and pelvis. Patients diagnosed with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage IA2-IIA1 squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma, and adenosquamous carcinoma of the cervix who had primary radical surgery with bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy from January 1, 2003 to December 31, 2020, were included. Seven supervised machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, adaptive boosting, gradient boosting, extreme gradient boosting, and category boosting, were used to evaluate the risk of PLNM. PLNM was found in 199 (23.9%) of 832 patients included. Younger age, larger tumor size, higher stage, no prior conization, tumor appearance, adenosquamous histology, and vaginal metastasis as well as the CT findings of larger tumor size, parametrial metastasis, pelvic lymph node enlargement, and vaginal metastasis, were significantly associated with PLNM. The models' predictive performance, including accuracy (89.1%-90.6%), area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (86.9%-91.0%), sensitivity (77.4%-82.4%), specificity (92.1%-94.3%), positive predictive value (77.0%-81.7%), and negative predictive value (93.0%-94.4%), appeared satisfactory and comparable among all the algorithms. After optimizing the model's decision threshold to enhance the sensitivity to at least 95%, the 'highly sensitive' model was obtained with a 2.5%-4.4% false-negative rate of PLNM prediction. We developed prediction models for PLNM in early-stage cervical cancer with promising prediction performance in our setting. Further external validation in other populations is needed with potential clinical applications.

A machine learning-based predictive model of causality in orthopaedic medical malpractice cases in China.

To explore the feasibility and validity of machine learning models in determining causality in medical malpractice cases and to try to increase the scientificity and reliability of identification opinions. We collected 13,245 written judgments from PKULAW.COM, a public database. 963 cases were included after the initial screening. 21 medical and ten patient factors were selected as characteristic variables by summarising previous literature and cases. Random Forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) were used to establish prediction models of causality for the two data sets, respectively. Finally, the optimal model is obtained by hyperparameter tuning of the six models. We built three real data set models and three virtual data set models by three algorithms, and their confusion matrices differed. XGBoost performed best in the real data set, with a model accuracy of 66%. In the virtual data set, the performance of XGBoost and LightGBM was basically the same, and the model accuracy rate was 80%. The overall accuracy of external verification was 72.7%. The optimal model of this study is expected to predict the causality accurately.

Comparative Review on Machine Learning-Based Predictive Modeling for Mechanical Characterization

The development of machine learning (ML) methods in the field of material science has provided new possibilities for predictive modeling, especially in the field of mechanical material evaluation. The study provides an in-depth investigation of the utilization of various machine learning methods in predicting of mechanical characteristics throughout a range of different materials. A range of supervised learning models, such as regression tree models, support vector machine models, and neural networks, have been used to examine and forecast significant mechanical properties, including strength, ductility, and toughness. The models completed training as well as validation processes employing broad datasets obtained from experimental mechanical tests, covering tensile, compression, and fatigue examinations. Major focus was given to the process of choosing features and optimization in order to boost the accuracy and dependability of the predictions. This approach not only simplifies the method of material development but also improves understanding of the complex links among material composition, methods of processing, and mechanical properties. The research further examines the barriers and potential outcomes of applying machine learning (ML) in material characterization. It stresses the possibility for further improvements in predicted precision and efficiency of computing. Support vector machines, supervised artificial neural network, regression trees are most popular ML technique used in conducting predictive modelling.

Machine Learning-Based Predictive Model of Aortic Valve Replacement Modality Selection in Severe Aortic Stenosis Patients.

The current recommendation for bioprosthetic valve replacement in severe aortic stenosis (AS) is either surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). We evaluated the performance of a machine learning-based predictive model using existing periprocedural variables for valve replacement modality selection. We analyzed 415 patients in a retrospective longitudinal cohort of adult patients undergoing aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis. A total of 72 clinical variables including demographic data, patient comorbidities, and preoperative investigation characteristics were collected on each patient. We fit models using LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) and decision tree techniques. The accuracy of the prediction on confusion matrix was used to assess model performance. The most predictive independent variable for valve selection by LASSO regression was frailty score. Variables that predict SAVR consisted of low frailty score (value at or below 2) and complex coronary artery diseases (DVD/TVD). Variables that predicted TAVR consisted of high frailty score (at or greater than 6), history of coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG), calcified aorta, and chronic kidney disease (CKD). The LASSO-generated predictive model achieved 98% accuracy on valve replacement modality selection from testing data. The decision tree model consisted of fewer important parameters, namely frailty score, CKD, STS score, age, and history of PCI. The most predictive factor for valve replacement selection was frailty score. The predictive models using different statistical learning methods achieved an excellent concordance predictive accuracy rate of between 93% and 98%.

Hybrid machine learning method for classification and recommendation of vector-borne disease

&lt;p&gt;Vector-borne diseases (VBD) are a class of infectious illnesses that are transmitted to humans and animals through the bites of arthropod vectors, such as mosquitoes, ticks, and fleas. These diseases are caused by a variety of pathogens, including bacteria, viruses, and parasites, and are a significant global public health concern. Vector-borne diseases are prevalent in many parts of the world, particularly in tropical and subtropical regions, where the vectors thrive. This research has contributed by constructing a hybrid machine learning based prediction model, which helps to discover patients who are infected by vector-borne disease at an earlier stage and also helps with the categorization and diagnosis of severe vector-borne disease. The model that has been proposed is made up of units: data conversion, data preprocessing, normalization, extraction of feature, splitting of dataset, and classification and prediction unit. The fact that the suggested prediction model is capable of identifying vector-borne disease in its early phases as well as categorizing the kind of disease using the medical report of a sufferer is one of the innovative aspects of the model. The 7 distinct conventional machine learning and single hybrid machine learning (HML) are applied for classification and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) based reinforcement learning are utilized for recommendation. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the system that’s been proposed, a number of tests were carried out. A dataset consisting of 1539 different cases of a disease transmitted by vectors has been collected. The 11 common vector-borne diseases namely malaria, dengue, Japanese encephalitis, kala-azar and chikungunya were taken for experimental evaluation. The performance accuracy of the proposed prediction model has been measured at 98.76%, which assists the healthcare team in making decisions on a timely basis and ultimately helps to save the patient’s lives. The final phase system provides the recommendation for those classifiers resulting in four different classes such as normal, mild, moderate and severe respectively. The recommendation is also demonstrating future direction for cure of vector borne disease.&lt;/p&gt;

Machine learning-based prediction and generation model for creep rupture time of Nickel-based alloys

Predicting the creep rupture time of Nickel-based alloys has been one of the central topics in materials science. This work is devoted to develop a comprehensive strategy based on machine learning for data generation and prediction. Our objective is to improve significantly the accuracy and effectiveness of the rupture time prediction. The two different prediction models, residual learning combining liner regression model with nonlinear regression model, ensemble learning combining with genetic algorithm, are employed. Both of them are shown to achieve high accuracy on the training dataset and testing dataset. To overcome the limited availability of experimental data, a novel generation model is designed based on generative adversarial network. The new model is capable of generating a batch of high-quality synthetic dataset for expanding the scale of the training dataset. In particular, the best results obtained by the model for three metrics R2, RMSE, MAE are 0.9971, 0.1259, 0.0395. The proportion of the augmented synthetic dataset is also discussed. The promising results demonstrate that incorporating the appropriate proportion of synthetic dataset can significantly improve the accuracy and generalization ability of the prediction models.

Development and internal validation of diagnostic prediction models using machine-learning algorithms in dogs with hypothyroidism.

Hypothyroidism can be easily misdiagnosed in dogs, and prediction models can support clinical decision-making, avoiding unnecessary testing and treatment. The aim of this study is to develop and internally validate diagnostic prediction models for hypothyroidism in dogs by applying machine-learning algorithms. A single-institutional cross-sectional study was designed searching the electronic database of a Veterinary Teaching Hospital for dogs tested for hypothyroidism. Hypothyroidism was diagnosed based on suggestive clinical signs and thyroid function tests. Dogs were excluded if medical records were incomplete or a definitive diagnosis was lacking. Predictors identified after data processing were dermatological signs, alopecia, lethargy, hematocrit, serum concentrations of cholesterol, creatinine, total thyroxine (tT4), and thyrotropin (cTSH). Four models were created by combining clinical signs and clinicopathological variables expressed as quantitative (models 1 and 2) and qualitative variables (models 3 and 4). Models 2 and 4 included tT4 and cTSH, models 1 and 3 did not. Six different algorithms were applied to each model. Internal validation was performed using a 10-fold cross-validation. Apparent performance was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Eighty-two hypothyroid and 233 euthyroid client-owned dogs were included. The best performing algorithms were naive Bayes in model 1 (AUROC = 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.83-0.86) and in model 2 (AUROC = 0.98; 95% CI = 0.97-0.99), logistic regression in model 3 (AUROC = 0.88; 95% CI = 0.86-0.89), and random forest in model 4 (AUROC = 0.99; 95% CI = 0.98-0.99). Positive predictive value was 0.76, 0.84, 0.93, and 0.97 in model 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Negative predictive value was 0.89, 0.89, 0.99, and 0.99 in model 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Machine learning-based prediction models were accurate in predicting and quantifying the likelihood of hypothyroidism in dogs based on internal validation performed in a single-institution, but external validation is required to support the clinical applicability of these models.

PLM4Alg: Protein Language Model-Based Predictors for Allergenic Proteins and Peptides.

The rising prevalence of allergy demands efficient and accurate bioinformatic tools to expedite allergen identification and risk assessment while also reducing wet experiment expenses and time. Recently, pretrained protein language models (pLMs) have successfully predicted protein structure and function. However, to our best knowledge, they have not been used for predicting allergenic proteins/peptides. Therefore, this study aims to develop robust models for allergenic protein/peptide prediction using five pLMs of varying sizes and systematically assess their performance through fine-tuning with a convolutional neural network. The developed pLM4Alg models have achieved state-of-the-art performance with accuracy, Matthews correlation coefficient, and area under the curve scoring 93.4-95.1%, 0.869-0.902, and 0.981-0.990, respectively. Moreover, pLM4Alg is the first model capable of handling prediction tasks involving residue-missed sequences and sequences containing nonstandard amino acid residues. To facilitate easy access, a user-friendly web server (https://f6wxpfd3sh.us-east-1.awsapprunner.com) has been established. pLM4Alg is expected to become the leading machine learning-based prediction model for allergenic peptides and proteins. Its collaboration with other predictors holds great promise for accelerating allergy research.

Multidimensional Predictors of Cancer-Related Fatigue Based on the Predisposing, Precipitating, and Perpetuating (3P) Model: A Systematic Review.

Cancer-related fatigue (CRF) is a widespread symptom with high prevalence in cancer patients, seriously affecting their quality of life. In the context of precision care, constructing machine learning-based prediction models for early screening and assessment of CRF is beneficial to this situation. To further understand the predictors of CRF for model construction, we conducted a comprehensive search in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Scopus databases, combining CRF with predictor-related terms. A total of 27 papers met the inclusion criteria. We evaluated the above studies into three subgroups following the predisposing, precipitating, and perpetuating (3P) factor model. (1) Predisposing factors-baseline fatigue, demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, psychosocial traits and physical symptoms. (2) Precipitating factors-type and stage of chemotherapy, inflammatory factors, laboratory indicators and metabolic changes. (3) Perpetuating factors-a low level of physical activity and poorer nutritional status. Future research should prioritize large-scale prospective studies with emerging technologies to identify accurate predictors of CRF. The assessment and management of CRF should also focus on the above factors, especially the controllable precipitating factors, to improve the quality of life of cancer survivors.

Machine learning based prediction model for the pile bearing capacity of saline soils in cold regions

The difficulty in determining the bearing capacity of pile foundations in saline soil environments in cold regions can pose a challenge when developing a bearing capacity prediction model. To address this, the study uses data from the construction of the De Xiang Expressway project in Qinghai Province, China, and considers pile length, pile diameter, corrosion depth, and spalling thickness as influential parameters. We combine Python with ABAQUS to build a finite element model of a single pile in a salt marsh environment with random parameters and develop a database for machine learning. We use the kernel ridge regression (KRR) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) algorithms to establish load-bearing capacity prediction models for vertical and horizontal loads, respectively. The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method is employed to perform explanatory analysis on the prediction models, providing insight into influential parameter effects on prediction accuracy. The results demonstrate that the database established through the random parameter finite element method is suitable for machine learning. While the KRR model exhibits good performance in predicting vertical load-bearing capacity, the MLP model performs well in predicting horizontal load-bearing capacity. Moreover, the SHAP method effectively explains the importance of influential parameters on the prediction results and enhances the reliability of the prediction models. The vertical bearing capacity of a saline soil pile foundation is more affected by the depth of salt erosion than the thickness of spalling, while the horizontal bearing capacity is more affected by the thickness of spalling than the depth of salt erosion.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based fall-related injury risk prediction model using nationwide claims database in Korean community-dwelling older population

BackgroundFalls impact over 25% of older adults annually, making fall prevention a critical public health focus. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning-based prediction model for serious fall-related injuries (FRIs) among community-dwelling older adults, incorporating various medication factors.MethodsUtilizing annual national patient sample data, we segmented outpatient older adults without FRIs in the preceding three months into development and validation cohorts based on data from 2018 and 2019, respectively. The outcome of interest was serious FRIs, which we defined operationally as incidents necessitating an emergency department visit or hospital admission, identified by the diagnostic codes of injuries that are likely associated with falls. We developed four machine-learning models (light gradient boosting machine, Catboost, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Random forest), along with a logistic regression model as a reference.ResultsIn both cohorts, FRIs leading to hospitalization/emergency department visits occurred in approximately 2% of patients. After selecting features from initial set of 187, we retained 26, with 15 of them being medication-related. Catboost emerged as the top model, with area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.700, along with sensitivity and specificity rates around 65%. The high-risk group showed more than threefold greater risk of FRIs than the low-risk group, and model interpretations aligned with clinical intuition.ConclusionWe developed and validated an explainable machine-learning model for predicting serious FRIs in community-dwelling older adults. With prospective validation, this model could facilitate targeted fall prevention strategies in primary care or community-pharmacy settings.

Risk Prediction of Emergency Department Visits in Patients With Lung Cancer Using Machine Learning: Retrospective Observational Study.

Patients with lung cancer are among the most frequent visitors to emergency departments due to cancer-related problems, and the prognosis for those who seek emergency care is dismal. Given that patients with lung cancer frequently visit health care facilities for treatment or follow-up, the ability to predict emergency department visits based on clinical information gleaned from their routine visits would enhance hospital resource utilization and patient outcomes. This study proposed a machine learning-based prediction model to identify risk factors for emergency department visits by patients with lung cancer. This was a retrospective observational study of patients with lung cancer diagnosed at Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, a tertiary general hospital in South Korea, between January 2010 and December 2017. The primary outcome was an emergency department visit within 30 days of an outpatient visit. This study developed a machine learning-based prediction model using a common data model. In addition, the importance of features that influenced the decision-making of the model output was analyzed to identify significant clinical factors. The model with the best performance demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.73 in its ability to predict the attendance of patients with lung cancer in emergency departments. The frequency of recent visits to the emergency department and several laboratory test results that are typically collected during cancer treatment follow-up visits were revealed as influencing factors for the model output. This study developed a machine learning-based risk prediction model using a common data model and identified influencing factors for emergency department visits by patients with lung cancer. The predictive model contributes to the efficiency of resource utilization and health care service quality by facilitating the identification and early intervention of high-risk patients. This study demonstrated the possibility of collaborative research among different institutions using the common data model for precision medicine in lung cancer.

Medication patterns and dosing guidance in pediatric patients supported with intermittent hemodialysis or continuous kidney replacement therapy.

Hemodialysis is a life-saving technology used during periods of acute or chronic kidney failure to remove toxins, and maintain fluid, electrolyte and metabolic balance. While this technology plays an important role for pediatric patients with kidney dysfunction, it can alter the pharmacokinetic behavior of medications placing patients at risk for suboptimal dosing and drug toxicity. The ability to directly translate pharmacokinetic alterations into dosing recommendations has thus far been limited and dosing guidance specific to pediatric hemodialysis patients is rare. Despite differences in dialysis prescription and patient populations, intermittent (iHD) and continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) patients are often pooled together. In order to develop evidence-based dosing guidelines, it is important to first prioritize drugs for study in each modality. Here we aim to identify priority drugs in two hemodialysis modalities, through: 1) Identification of hospitalized, pediatric patients who received CKRT or intermittent hemodialysis (iHD) using a machine learning-based predictive model based on medications; 2) Identification of medication administration patterns in these patient cohorts; and 3) Identification of the most commonly prescribed drugs that lack published dosing guidance. Notable differences were found in the pattern of medications and drug dosing guidance between iHD and CKRT patients. Antibiotics, diuretics and sedatives were more common in CKRT patients. Out of the 50 most commonly administered medications in the two modalities, only 34% and 28% had dosing guidance present for iHD and CKRT, respectively. Our results add to the understanding of the differences between iHD and CKRT patient populations by identifying commonly used medications that lack dosing guidance for each hemodialysis modality, helping to pinpoint priority medications for further study. Overall, this study provides an overview of the current limitations in medication use in this at-risk population, and provides a framework for future studies by identifying commonly used medications in pediatric CKRT and iHD patients.

A collection of multiregistry data on patients at high risk of lung cancer-a Danish retrospective cohort study of nearly 40,000 patients.

Lung cancer (LC) is the leading cause of cancer related deaths, and several countries are implementing screening programs. Risk models have been introduced to refine the LC screening criteria, but the use of real-world data for this task demands a robust data infrastructure and quality. In this retrospective cohort study, we aim to address the different relevant risk factors in terms of data sources, descriptive statistics, completeness and quality. Data on comorbidity, prescription medication, smoking history, consultations, symptoms, familial predispositions, exposures, laboratory data among others were collected for all patients examined on a risk of LC over a 10-year period in the Region of Southern Denmark. Data were delivered from the regional data warehouse as well as the Danish Lung Cancer Registry. Associations between LC and non-LC groups were examined through Chi-squared test (categorical variables) and Wilcoxon signed-rank test (continuous variables that were non-parametric). These associations were investigated on both the original datasets and the subset of patients with complete data. The number of examined individuals increased over the study period and more patients were diagnosed with LC in stage I-II, from 18% in 2009 to 31% in 2018. LC patients were more likely to be older, smoker, with a registered prescription of the included medication. They also exhibited differences in laboratory analysis indicating inflammation and hyponatremia. Weight loss, fatigue and pain were more prevalent in the LC group, while hemoptysis and fever were more common among the non-LC patients. Advanced-stage LC patients experienced a higher rate of symptoms compared to those in the low stages. Within the sub-cohort with complete dataset results, most observed trends persisted, although data on comorbidities were susceptibility to change. This study provides key insights into LC risk assessment using a robust dataset of patients examined for suspected LC. A consistent positive trend in early-stage LC diagnosis was observed throughout the study period. LC patients exhibited distinct smoking behaviors, medication patterns, variations in lab results, and specific symptoms. These discoveries have the potential to enhance discrimination in machine learning-based prediction models, particularly those capable of handling complex distributions. Serving as a detailed account of real-world data collection and processing, the study establishes a foundation for future development of prediction models aimed at facilitating the early referral of LC patients.

Development and validation of machine learning based prediction model for postoperative pain risk after extraction of impacted mandibular third molars

BackgroundPredicting postoperative pain risk in patients with impacted mandibular third molar extractions is helpful in guiding clinical decision-making, enhancing perioperative pain management, and improving the patients’ medical experience. This study aims to develop a prediction model based on machine learning algorithms to identify patients at high risk of postoperative pain after tooth extraction. MethodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study. Outpatients with impacted mandibular third molars were recruited and the outcome was defined as the NRS (Numerical Rating Scale) score of peak postoperative pain within 24 h after the operation ≥7, which is considered a high risk of postoperative pain. We compared the models built using nine different machine learning algorithms and conducted internal and time-series external validations to evaluate the model's predictive performances in terms of the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-value. ResultsA total of 185 patients and 202 cases of impacted mandibular third molar data were included in this study. Five modeling variables were screened out using least absolute selection and shrinkage operator regression, including physician qualification, patient self-reported maximum pain sensitivity, OHI–S–CI, BMI, and systolic blood pressure. The overall performance of the random forest model was evaluated. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of the prediction model built using the random forest method were 0.879 (0.861–0.891), 0.857, and 0.846, respectively, for the training set and 0.724 (0.673–0.732), 0.667, and 0.600, respectively, for the time series validation set. ConclusionsThis study developed a machine learning-based postoperative pain risk prediction model for impacted mandibular third molar extraction, which is promising for providing a theoretical basis for better pain management to reduce postoperative pain after third molar extraction.

Explainable influenza forecasting scheme using DCC-based feature selection

As influenza is easily converted to another type of virus and spreads very quickly from person to person, it is more likely to develop into a pandemic. Even though vaccines are the most effective way to prevent influenza, it takes a lot of time to produce them. Due to this, there has been an imbalance in the supply and demand of influenza vaccines every year. For a smooth vaccine supply, it is necessary to accurately forecast vaccine demand at least three to six months in advance. So far, many machine learning-based predictive models have shown excellent performance. However, their use was limited due to performance deterioration due to inappropriate training data and inability to explain the results. To solve these problems, in this paper, we propose an explainable influenza forecasting model. In particular, the model selects highly related data based on the distance correlation coefficient for effective training and explains the prediction results using shapley additive explanations. We evaluated its performance through extensive experiments. We report some of the results.

Machine learning-based predictive modeling of student counseling gratification: a case study of Aligarh Muslim University

Machine learning-based predictive modeling of student counseling gratification: a case study of Aligarh Muslim University

Early prediction of ventilator-associated pneumonia with machine learning models: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance✰

BackgroundMachine learning-based prediction models can catalog, classify, and correlate large amounts of multimodal data to aid clinicians at diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic levels. Early prediction of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) may accelerate the diagnosis and guide preventive interventions. The performance of a variety of machine learning-based prediction models were analyzed among adults undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation. MethodsThis systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the Cochrane Collaboration. Machine learning-based prediction models were identified from a search of nine multi-disciplinary databases. Two authors independently selected and extracted data using predefined criteria and data extraction forms. The predictive performance, the interpretability, the technological readiness level, and the risk of bias of the included studies were evaluated. ResultsFinal analysis included 10 static prediction models using supervised learning. The pooled area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, sensitivity, and specificity for VAP were 0.88 (95 % CI 0.82–0.94, I2 98.4 %), 0.72 (95 % CI 0.45–0.98, I2 97.4 %) and 0.90 (95 % CI 0.85–0.94, I2 97.9 %), respectively. All included studies had either a high or unclear risk of bias without significant improvements in applicability. The care-related risk factors for the best performing models were the duration of mechanical ventilation, the length of ICU stay, blood transfusion, nutrition strategy, and the presence of antibiotics. ConclusionA variety of the prediction models, prediction intervals, and prediction windows were identified to facilitate timely diagnosis. In addition, care-related risk factors susceptible for preventive interventions were identified. In future, there is a need for dynamic machine learning models using time-depended predictors in conjunction with feature importance of the models to predict real-time risk of VAP and related outcomes to optimize bundled care.