Lowest Root Mean Square Error Research Articles

Validity and Reliability of Hydraulic-Analogy Bioenergetic Models in Sprint Roller Skiing.

Purpose: To develop a method for individual parameter estimation of four hydraulic-analogy bioenergetic models and to assess the validity and reliability of these models’ prediction of aerobic and anaerobic metabolic utilization during sprint roller-skiing.Methods: Eleven elite cross-country skiers performed two treadmill roller-skiing time trials on a course consisting of three flat sections interspersed by two uphill sections. Aerobic and anaerobic metabolic rate contributions, external power output, and gross efficiency were determined. Two versions each (fixed or free maximal aerobic metabolic rate) of a two-tank hydraulic-analogy bioenergetic model (2TM-fixed and 2TM-free) and a more complex three-tank model (3TM-fixed and 3TM-free) were programmed into MATLAB. The aerobic metabolic rate (MRae) and the accumulated anaerobic energy expenditure (Ean,acc) from the first time trial (STT1) together with a gray-box model in MATLAB, were used to estimate the bioenergetic model parameters. Validity was assessed by simulation of each bioenergetic model using the estimated parameters from STT1 and the total metabolic rate (MRtot) in the second time trial (STT2).Results: The validity and reliability of the parameter estimation method based on STT1 revealed valid and reliable overall results for all the four models vs. measurement data with the 2TM-free model being the most valid. Mean differences in model-vs.-measured MRae ranged between -0.005 and 0.016 kW with typical errors between 0.002 and 0.009 kW. Mean differences in Ean,acc at STT termination ranged between −4.3 and 0.5 kJ and typical errors were between 0.6 and 2.1 kJ. The root mean square error (RMSE) for 2TM-free on the instantaneous STT1 data was 0.05 kW for MRae and 0.61 kJ for Ean,acc, which was lower than the other three models (all P < 0.05). Compared to the results in STT1, the validity and reliability of each individually adapted bioenergetic model was worse during STT2 with models underpredicting MRae and overpredicting Ean,acc vs. measurement data (all P < 0.05). Moreover, the 2TM-free had the lowest RMSEs during STT2.Conclusion: The 2TM-free provided the highest validity and reliability in MRae and Ean,acc for both the parameter estimation in STT1 and the model validity and reliability evaluation in the succeeding STT2.

Prior informed regularization of recursively updated latent-variables-based models with missing observations

Many data-driven modeling techniques identify locally valid, linear representations of time-varying or nonlinear systems, and thus the model parameters must be adaptively updated as the operating conditions of the system vary, though the model identification typically does not consider prior knowledge. In this work, we propose a new regularized partial least squares (rPLS) algorithm that incorporates prior knowledge in the model identification and can handle missing data in the independent covariates. This latent variable (LV) based modeling technique consists of three steps. First, a LV-based model is developed on the historical time series data. In the second step, the missing observations in the new incomplete data sample are estimated. Finally, the future values of the outputs are predicted as a linear combination of estimated scores and loadings. The model is recursively updated as new data are obtained from the system. The performance of the proposed rPLS and rPLS with exogenous inputs (rPLSX) algorithms are evaluated by modeling variations in glucose concentration (GC) of people with Type 1 diabetes (T1D) in response to meals and physical activities for prediction windows up to one hour, or 12 sampling instances, into the future. The proposed rPLS family of GC prediction models are evaluated with both in-silico and clinical experiment data and compared with the performance of recursive time series and kernel-based models. The root mean squared error (RMSE) with simulated subjects in the multivariable T1D simulator where physical activity effects are incorporated in GC variations are 2.52 and 5.81 mg/dL for 30 and 60 mins ahead predictions (respectively) when information for all meals and physical activities are used, increasing to 2.70 and 6.54 mg/dL (respectively) when meals and activities occurred, but the information is withheld from the modeling algorithms. The RMSE is 10.45 and 14.48 mg/dL for clinical study with prediction horizons of 30 and 60 mins, respectively. The low RMSE values demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed rPLS approach compared to the conventional recursive modeling algorithms.

Calculation of Apparent Diffusion Coefficients in Prostate Cancer Using Deep Learning Algorithms: A Pilot Study.

BackgroundApparent diffusion coefficients (ADCs) obtained with diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) are highly valuable for the detection and staging of prostate cancer and for assessing the response to treatment. However, DWI suffers from significant anatomic distortions and susceptibility artifacts, resulting in reduced accuracy and reproducibility of the ADC calculations. The current methods for improving the DWI quality are heavily dependent on software, hardware, and additional scan time. Therefore, their clinical application is limited. An accelerated ADC generation method that maintains calculation accuracy and repeatability without heavy dependence on magnetic resonance imaging scanners is of great clinical value.ObjectivesWe aimed to establish and evaluate a supervised learning framework for synthesizing ADC images using generative adversarial networks.MethodsThis prospective study included 200 patients with suspected prostate cancer (training set: 150 patients; test set #1: 50 patients) and 10 healthy volunteers (test set #2) who underwent both full field-of-view (FOV) diffusion-weighted imaging (f-DWI) and zoomed-FOV DWI (z-DWI) with b-values of 50, 1,000, and 1,500 s/mm2. ADC values based on f-DWI and z-DWI (f-ADC and z-ADC) were calculated. Herein we propose an ADC synthesis method based on generative adversarial networks that uses f-DWI with a single b-value to generate synthesized ADC (s-ADC) values using z-ADC as a reference. The image quality of the s-ADC sets was evaluated using the peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), root mean squared error (RMSE), structural similarity (SSIM), and feature similarity (FSIM). The distortions of each ADC set were evaluated using the T2-weighted image reference. The calculation reproducibility of the different ADC sets was compared using the intraclass correlation coefficient. The tumor detection and classification abilities of each ADC set were evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and a Spearman correlation coefficient.ResultsThe s-ADCb1000 had a significantly lower RMSE score and higher PSNR, SSIM, and FSIM scores than the s-ADCb50 and s-ADCb1500 (all P < 0.001). Both z-ADC and s-ADCb1000 had less distortion and better quantitative ADC value reproducibility for all the evaluated tissues, and they demonstrated better tumor detection and classification performance than f-ADC.ConclusionThe deep learning algorithm might be a feasible method for generating ADC maps, as an alternative to z-ADC maps, without depending on hardware systems and additional scan time requirements.

Machine Learning-Based Production Prediction Model and Its Application in Duvernay Formation

The production of a single gas well is influenced by many geological and completion factors. The aim of this paper is to build a production prediction model based on machine learning technique and identify the most important factor for production. Firstly, around 159 horizontal wells were collected, targeting the Duvernay Formation with detailed geological and completion records. Secondly, the key factors were selected using grey relation analysis and Pearson correlation. Then, three statistical models were built through multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), gaussian process regression (GPR). The model inputs include fluid volume, proppant amount, cluster counts, stage counts, total horizontal lateral length, gas saturation, total organic carbon content, condensate-gas ratio. The model performance was assessed by root mean squared errors (RMSE) and R-squared value. Finally, sensitivity analysis was applied based on best performance model. The analysis shows following conclusions: (1) GPR model shows the best performance with the highest R-squared value and the lowest RMSE. In the testing set, the model shows a R-squared of 0.8 with a RMSE of 280.54 × 104 m3 in the prediction of cumulative gas production within 1st 6 producing months and gives a R-squared of 0.83 with a RMSE of 1884.3 t in the prediction of cumulative oil production within 1st 6 producing months (2) Sensitivity analysis based on GPR model indicates that condensate-gas ratio, fluid volume, and total organic carbon content are the most important features to cumulative oil production within 1st 6 producing months. Fluid volume, Stages, and total organic carbon content are the most significant factors to cumulative gas production within 1st 6 producing months. The analysis progress and results developed in this study will assist companies to build prediction models and figure out which factors control well performance.

Evaluation of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, Integrated Multi‐satellite Retrievals for GPM, Climate Hazards Centre InfraRed Precipitation with Station data, and European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5 data in estimating precipitation and capturing meteorological droughts over Iran

AbstractSatellite remote‐sensing products with high spatial and temporal resolution are viable sources of precipitation information, especially for data‐sparse and remote regions. The aim of this study is to examine the performance of four precipitation products including Integrated Multi‐satellite Retrievals for GPM (GPM IMERG), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM 3B43), Climate Hazards Centre InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), and European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) in estimating precipitation and capturing meteorological droughts over Iran for the time span from 2001 to 2019. For this aim, a ground‐based gridded precipitation dataset was constructed over the country using a dense network of quality‐controlled rain gauges as a reference dataset. Different statistical metrics including the correlation coefficient (CC), the bias, the relative bias, and the root mean square error (RMSE) were applied to evaluate the performance of the products. The results suggest that GPM IMERG and TRMM 3B43 outperform CHIRPS and ERA5 in capturing the spatial distribution of precipitation and meteorological drought events across the country. The estimates of precipitation from the four products are seasonally influenced, with the least accurate precipitation estimates during summer season over the southern shores of the Caspian Sea. The GPM IMERG and TRMM 3B43, with higher CC and lower RMSE, show better performance in detecting drought events at both short and long time scales while the CHIRPS demonstrates the least accuracy. Spatially, all of the products show the best performance in identifying drought events over western and southwestern regions.

A Comparison of Multiple Imputation Methods for Recovering Missing Data in Hydrological Studies

Missing data is a common problem in hydrological studies; therefore, data reconstruction is critical, especially when it is crucial to employ all available resources, even incomplete records. Furthermore, missing data could have an impact on statistical analysis results, and the amount of variability in the data would not be fittingly anticipated. As a result, this study compared the performance of three imputation methods in predicting recurrence in streamflow datasets: robust random regression imputation (RRRI), k-nearest neighbours (k-NN), and classification and regression tree (CART). Furthermore, entire historical daily streamflow data from 2012 to 2014 (as training dataset) were utilised to assess and validate the effectiveness of the imputation methods in addressing missing streamflow data. Following that, all three methods coupled with multiple linear regression (MLR), were used to restore streamflow rates in Malaysia's Langat River Basin from 1978 to 2016. The estimation techniques effectiveness was evaluated using metrics inclusive of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (CE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The results confirmed that RRRI coupled with MLR (RRRI-MLR) had the lowest RMSE and MAPE values, outperforming all other techniques tested for filling missing data in daily streamflow datasets. This indicates that the RRRI-MLR is the best method for dealing with missing data in streamflow datasets. Doi: 10.28991/cej-2021-03091747 Full Text: PDF

Body weight prediction using different data mining algorithms in Thalli sheep: A comparative study.

Background and Aim:The Thalli sheep are the main breed of sheep in Pakistan, and an effective method to predict their body weight (BW) using linear body measurements has not yet been determined. Therefore, this study aims to establish an algorithm with the best predictive capability, among the Chi-square automatic interaction detector (CHAID), exhaustive CHAID, artificial neural network, and classification and regression tree (CART) algorithms, in live BW prediction using selected body measurements in female Pakistani Thalli sheep.Materials and Methods:A total of 152 BW records, including nine continuous predictors (wither height, body length [BL], head length, rump length, tail length, head width, rump width, heart girth [HG], and barrel depth), were utilized. The coefficient of determination (R2), standard deviation ratio, root-mean-square error (RMSE), etc., were calculated for each algorithm.Results:The R2 (%) values ranged from 49.28 (CART) to 64.48 (CHAID). The lowest RMSE was found for CHAID (2.61), and the highest one for CART (3.12). The most significant predictors were the HG of live BW for all algorithms. The heaviest average BW (41.12 kg) was observed in the subgroup of those having a BL of >73.91 cm (Adjusted p=0.045).Conclusion:Among the algorithms, CHAID provided the most appropriate predictive capability in the prediction of live BW for female Thalli sheep. In general, the applied algorithms accurately predicted the BW of Thalli sheep, which can be very helpful in deciding on the standards, available drug doses, and required feed amount for animals.

Canopy Volume Extraction of Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju Trees Using UAV Image-Based Point Cloud Deep Learning

Automatic acquisition of the canopy volume parameters of the Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju tree is of great significance to precision management of the orchard. This research combined the point cloud deep learning algorithm with the volume calculation algorithm to segment the canopy of the Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju trees. The 3D (Three-Dimensional) point cloud model of a Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju orchard was generated using UAV tilt photogrammetry images. The segmentation effects of three deep learning models, PointNet++, MinkowskiNet and FPConv, on Shatangju trees and the ground were compared. The following three volume algorithms: convex hull by slices, voxel-based method and 3D convex hull were applied to calculate the volume of Shatangju trees. Model accuracy was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results show that the overall accuracy of the MinkowskiNet model (94.57%) is higher than the other two models, which indicates the best segmentation effect. The 3D convex hull algorithm received the highest R2 (0.8215) and the lowest RMSE (0.3186 m3) for the canopy volume calculation, which best reflects the real volume of Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju trees. The proposed method is capable of rapid and automatic acquisition for the canopy volume of Citrus reticulate Blanco cv. Shatangju trees.

A feasible framework to downscale NPP-VIIRS nighttime light imagery using multi-source spatial variables and geographically weighted regression

The cloud-free monthly composite of global nighttime light (NTL) data of the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership with the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (NPP-VIIRS) day/night band (DNB) provides indispensable indications of human activities and settlements. However, the coarse spatial resolution (15 arc sec) of NTL imagery greatly restricts its application potential. This study proposes a feasible framework to downscale NPP-VIIRS NTL using muti-source spatial variables and geographically weighted regression (GWR) method. High-resolution auxiliary variables were acquired from the Landsat 8 OLI/ TIRS and social media platforms. GWR-based downscaling procedures were consequently implemented to obtain NTL at a 100-m resolution. The downscaled NTL data were validated against Loujia1-01 imagery based on the coefficient of determination (R2) and root-mean-square error (RMSE). The results suggest that the data quality was suitably improved after downscaling, yielding higher R2 (0.604 vs. 0.568) and lower RMSE (8.828 vs. 9.870 nW/cm2/sr) values than those of the original NTL data. Finally, the NTL was extendedly applied to detect impervious surfaces, and the downscaled NTL had higher accuracy than the original NTL. Therefore, this study facilitates data quality improvement of NPP-VIIRS NTL imagery by downscaling, thus enabling more accurate applications.

Machine Learning Based Power Estimation for CMOS VLSI Circuits

ABSTRACT Nowadays, machine learning (ML) algorithms are receiving massive attention in most of the engineering application since it has capability in complex systems modeling using historical data. Estimation of power for CMOS VLSI circuit using various circuit attributes is proposed using passive machine learning-based technique. The proposed method uses supervised learning method, which provides a fast and accurate estimation of power without affecting the accuracy of the system. Power estimation using random forest algorithm is relatively new. Accurate estimation of power of CMOS VLSI circuits is estimated by using random forest model which is optimized and tuned by using multiobjective NSGA-II algorithm. It is inferred from the experimental results testing error varies from 1.4% to 6.8% and in terms of and Mean Square Error is 1.46e-06 in random forest method when compared to BPNN. Statistical estimation like coefficient of determination (R) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) are done and it is proven that random Forest is best choice for power estimation of CMOS VLSI circuits with high coefficient of determination of 0.99938, and low RMSE of 0.000116.

Incorporating water availability into autumn phenological model improved China’s terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) simulation

Ecosystem models provide an effective approach to quantify the terrestrial carbon cycle, but the lack of accurate phenological information prevents them from better simulations of the physical processes. Compared with spring phenology (i.e. the start of the growing season, SOS), the vegetation phenology in autumn (the end of the growing season, EOS) is not well-simulated and it is challenging to incorporate vegetation phenology into ecosystem models. The simulation of EOS based on temperature and photoperiod was widely accepted, such as Delpierre et al (2009 Agric. For. Meteorol. 149 938–48)’s model (DM), yet its accuracy has not been fully discussed at a regional scale. Here, we developed a regional autumn phenological model (DMS) with inputs of temperature, photoperiod, and water availability for China’s terrestrial ecosystems. The new DMS model significantly improved the representation of EOS in terms of the lower root mean square error (RMSE), higher model efficiency, and a higher percentage of significant correlation with the referenced EOS. We observed widespread delaying trends of EOS with an average rate of 0.1 d yr−1 for vegetated areas over 2001–2018. We further incorporated the improved EOS into the boreal ecosystem productivity simulator (BEPS) and found that the phenology-modified BEPS model had better performances in predicting annual gross primary productivity (GPP) with ∼28% lower RMSE than the original model when testing against GPP measurements from flux tower sites. From 2001 to 2017, the interannual GPP simulated by the modified BEPS model showed an increasing trend with a rate of 6.0 g C m−2 yr−2. In conclusion, our study proves that water availability is of great significance for modeling autumn phenology, and the incorporation of phenological dates into an ecosystem model is helpful for productivity simulation.

Predicting hatchability of layer breeders and identifying effects of animal related and environmental factors

In this study, a data driven approach was used by applying linear regression and machine learning methods to understand animal related and environmental factors affecting hatchability. Data was obtained from a parent stock and grand-parent stock hatchery, including 1,737 batches of eggs incubated in the years 2010–2018. Animal related factors taken into consideration were strain (white vs. brown strain), breeder age, and egg weight uniformity at the start of incubation, whereas environmental factors considered were length of egg storage before incubation, egg weight loss during incubation and season. Effects of these factors on hatchability were analyzed with 3 different models: a linear regression (LR) model, a random forest (RF) model and a gradient boosting machine (GBM) model. In part one of the study, hatchability was predicted and the performance of the models in terms of coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) was compared. The ensemble machine learning models (RF: R2 = 0.35, RMSE = 8.41; GBM: R2 = 0.31, RMSE = 8.67) appeared to be superior than the LR model (R2 = 0.27, RMSE = 8.92) as indicated by the higher R2 and lower RMSE. In part 2 of the study, effects of these factors on hatchability were investigated more into detail. Hatchability was affected by strain, breeder age, egg weight uniformity, length of egg storage and season, but egg weight loss didn't have a significant effect on hatchability. Additionally, four 2-way interactions (breeder age × egg weight uniformity, breeder age × length of egg storage, breeder age × strain, season × strain) were significant on hatchability. It can be concluded that hatchability of parent stock and grand-parent stock layer breeders is affected by several animal related and environmental factors, but the size of the predicted effects varies between the methods used. In this study, 3 models were used to predict hatchability and to analyze effects of animal related and environmental factors on hatchability. This opens new horizons for future studies on hatchery data by taking the advantage of applying machine learning methods, that can fit complex datasets better than LR and applying statistical analysis.

Preliminary investigation and neural network modeling of palm oil mill effluent as a potential bio-stimulating organic co-substrate in hydrocarbon degradation

The extraction processes of palm oil from palm fruit bunch for industrial and domestic applications generate the palm oil mill effluent (POME) and it is considered a huge environmental challenge. The present study investigates the application of the POME as a suitable bio-stimulating organic nutrient in hydrocarbon contaminated soil (HCCS). The wet POME (WPOME) and dried POME (DPOME) were investigated in this study. The physiochemical and microbial characteristics in the HCCS showed the inadequacies of the required organic nutrients in the HCCS while its microbial population indicated well-acclimatized microorganisms. The DPOME was able to stimulate the microbial population and caused a reduction from the initial HC concentration of 4,248mg/kg to 1,600.35mg/kg while the WPOME reduced the initial HC concentration from 4,248mg/kg to 2,600.56mg/kg. The organic nutrient levels and pH in POME need to be adjusted to be within the range for optimum HC degradation and microbial activity. Data from the first-order kinetics interpretation confirmed that the DPOME was more beneficial to the HCCS as an organic nutrient. Performance evaluation of the artificial neural network (ANN) model through the root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and correlation coefficient (R²) confirmed that the DPOME with lower RMSE, MSE, and a higher R² performed better in the HC degradation process. Finally, this study showed that the nutrient present in POME could potentially stimulate microbial growth and serve as an effective organic nutrient in HCCS degradation.

Machine learning models as an alternative to determine productivity losses caused by weeds.

Weed control can be economically viable if implemented at the necessary time to minimize interference. Empirical mathematical models have been used to determine when to start the weed control in many crops. Furthermore, empirical models have a low generalization capacity to understand different scenarios. However, computational development facilitated the implementation of supervised machine learning models, as artificial neural networks (ANNs), capable of understanding complex relationships. The objectives of our work were to evaluate the ability of ANNs to estimate yield losses in onion (model crop) due to weed interference and compare with multiple linear regression (MLR) and empirical models. MLR constructed from non-destructive and destructive methods show R2 and root mean square error (RMSE) values varying between 0.75% and 0.82%, 13.0% and 19.0%, respectively, during testing step. The ANNs has higher R2 (higher than 0.95) and lower RMSE (less than 6.95%) compared to MLR and empirical models for training and testing steps. ANNs considering only the coexistence period and system have similar performance to MLR models. However, the insertion of variables related to weed density (non-destructive ANN) or fresh matter (destructive ANN) increases the predictive capacity of the networks to values close to 99% correct. The best performing ANNs can indicate the beginning of weed control since they can accurately estimate losses due to competition. These results encourage future studies implementing ANNs based on computer vision to extract information about the weed community.

A comparative study on applicability and efficiency of machine learning algorithms for modeling gamma-ray shielding behaviors

The mass attenuation coefficient is the primary physical parameter to model narrow beam gamma-ray attenuation. A new machine learning based approach is proposed to model gamma-ray shielding behavior of composites alternative to theoretical calculations. Two fuzzy logic algorithms and a neural network algorithm were trained and tested with different mixture ratios of vanadium slag/epoxy resin/antimony in the 0.05 MeV–2 MeV energy range. Two of the algorithms showed excellent agreement with testing data after optimizing adjustable parameters, with root mean squared error (RMSE) values down to 0.0001. Those results are remarkable because mass attenuation coefficients are often presented with four significant figures. Different training data sizes were tried to determine the least number of data points required to train sufficient models. Data set size more than 1000 is seen to be required to model in above 0.05 MeV energy. Below this energy, more data points with finer energy resolution might be required. Neuro-fuzzy models were three times faster to train than neural network models, while neural network models depicted low RMSE. Fuzzy logic algorithms are overlooked in complex function approximation, yet grid partitioned fuzzy algorithms showed excellent calculation efficiency and good convergence in predicting mass attenuation coefficient.

A deep learning method for building height estimation using high-resolution multi-view imagery over urban areas: A case study of 42 Chinese cities

Knowledge of building height is critical for understanding the urban development process. High-resolution optical satellite images can provide fine spatial details within urban areas, while they have not been applied to building height estimation over multiple cities and the feasibility of mapping building height at a fine scale (< 5 m) remains understudied. Multi-view satellite images can describe vertical information of buildings, due to the inconsistent response of buildings (e.g., spectral and structural variations) to different viewing angles, but they have not been employed to deep learning-based building height estimation. In this context, we introduce high-resolution ZY-3 multi-view images to estimate building height at a spatial resolution of 2.5 m. We propose a multi-spectral, multi-view, and multi-task deep network (called M3Net) for building height estimation, where ZY-3 multi-spectral and multi-view images are fused in a multi-task learning framework. A random forest (RF) method using multi-source features is also carried out for comparison. We select 42 Chinese cities with diverse building types to test the proposed method. Results show that the M3Net obtains a lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the RF, and the inclusion of ZY-3 multi-view images can significantly lower the uncertainty of building height prediction. Comparison with two existing state-of-the-art studies further confirms the superiority of our method, especially the efficacy of the M3Net in alleviating the saturation effect of high-rise building height estimation. Compared to the vanilla single/multi-task models, the M3Net also achieves a lower RMSE. Moreover, the spatial-temporal transferability test indicates the robustness of the M3Net to imaging conditions and building styles. The test of our method on a relatively large area (covering about 14,120 km2) further validates the scalability of our method from the perspectives of both efficacy and quality. The source code will be made available at https://github.com/lauraset/BuildingHeightModel.

Mapping Soil Properties to Advance the State of Spatial Soil Information for Greater Food Security on US Tribal Lands

Knowledge, data, and understanding of soils is key for advancing agriculture and society. There is currently a critical need for sustainable soil management tools for enhanced food security on Native American Tribal Lands. Tribal Reservations have basic soil information and limited access to conservation programs provided to other U.S producers. The objective of this study was to create first ever high-resolution digital soil property maps of Quapaw Tribal Lands with limited data for sustainable soil resource management. We used a digital soil mapping (DSM) approach based on fuzzy logic to model the spatial distribution of 24 soil properties at 0–15 and 15–30 cm depths. A digital elevation model with 3 m resolution was used to derive terrain variables and a total of 28 samples were collected at 0–30 cm over the 22,880-ha reservation. Additionally, soil property maps were derived from Gridded Soil Survey Geographic Database (gSSURGO) for comparison. When comparing properties modeled by DSM to those derived from gSSURGO, DSM resulted in lower root mean squared error (RMSE) for percent clay and sand at 0–15 cm, and cation exchange capacity, percent clay, and pH at 15–30 cm. Conversely, gSSURGO-derived maps resulted in lower RMSE for cation exchange capacity, pH, and percent silt at the 0–15 cm depth, and percent sand and silt at the 15–30 cm depth. Although, some of the soil properties derived from gSSURGO had lower RMSE, spatial soil property patterns modeled by DSM were in better agreement with the topographic complexity and expected soil-landscape relationships. The proposed DSM approach developed property maps at high-resolution, which sets the baseline for production of new spatial soil information for Quapaw Tribal soils. It is expected that these maps and future versions will be useful for soil, crop, and land-use decisions at the farm and Tribal-level for increased agricultural productivity and economic development. Overall, this study provides a framework for developing DSM on Tribal Lands for improving the accuracy and detail of soil property maps (relative to off the shelf products such as SSURGO) that better represents soil-forming environments and the spatial variability of soil properties on Tribal Lands.

Estimation of core body temperature by near-infrared imaging of vein diameter change in the dorsal hand.

Core body temperature (Tcore ) is a key indicator of personal thermal comfort and serves as a monitor of thermal strain. Multi-parametric sensors are not practical for estimating core temperature because they require long data collection times and a wide variety of settings. This study introduces dorsal hand vein dynamics as a novel indicator along with heart rate (HR) and dorsal hand skin temperature (Thand ) for predicting Tcore during rest following Tcore elevation. Twelve healthy males aged 27 ± 9 years old participated in the experiment. The experimental procedure consisted of a 10-min rest followed by 60 min of passive heat stress induced by leg immersion in hot water at 42°C and a 40-min thermal relaxation period after the legs were removed from the water. A near-infrared (NIR) imaging system was configured to monitor the dorsal hand veins during the entire experimental session. The values of HR, Thand , and Tcore were continuously monitored while the ambient temperature and relative humidity (RH) were maintained in a climate chamber at 20°C and 50%, respectively. Our selected predictor parameters demonstrated similar patterns in the Tcore such that the value increased as a result of passive heat stress and decreased in the thermal relaxation phase. The experimental data were divided into two phases: thermal stress and relaxation. At the resting condition, inclusion of the hand vein diameter (VD) improved the multiple linear regression value (R2 ) about 26%. At the relaxation phase, however, training regressions R2 = 0.68 and R2 = 0.94 were observed in the regression model with and without considering VD, respectively. The test regression value of R2 = 0.88 and the root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.18°C showed good agreement with the predicted values. These findings demonstrate acceptable validity of the non-invasive Tcore estimation at the resting condition. In particular, the inclusion of VD as a predictor in the regression analysis increases the prediction accuracy with a lower RMSE value.

Ensemble Learning For Television Program Rating Prediction

Rating is one of the most frequently used metrics in the television industry to evaluate television programs or channels. This research is an attempt to develop a prediction model of television program ratings using rating data gathered from UseeTV (interned-based television service from Telkom Indonesia). The machine learning methods (Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting) were tried out utilizing a set of rating data from 20 television programs collected from January 2018 to August 2019 (train dataset) and evaluated using September 2019 rating data (test dataset). Research results show that Random Forest gives a better result than Extreme Gradient Boosting based on evaluation metrics: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). On the training dataset, prediction using Random Forest produced lower RMSE and MAE scores than Extreme Gradient Boosting in all programs, while on the testing dataset, Random Forest produced lower RMSE and MAE scores in 16 programs compared with Extreme Gradient Boosting. According to MAPE score, Random Forest produced more good quality prediction (4 programs in the training dataset, 16 programs in the testing dataset) than Extreme Gradient Boosting method (1 program in the training dataset, 12 programs in the testing dataset) both in training and testing dataset.

Predicting municipal solid waste using a coupled artificial neural network with archimedes optimisation algorithm and socioeconomic components

Solid Waste (SW) is one of the critical challenges of urban life. These SWs are considered environmental pollutants that are a threat to ecology and human health. Predicting SW generation is an essential topic for scholars to better manage SWs. This study investigates the application of optimised ANN models for predicting monthly SW generation in Iran using datasets about seven Iranian megacities. The Archimedes Optimisation Algorithm (AOA), Sine Cosine Algorithm (SCA), Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO) technique, and Genetic Algorithms (GA) were used for training the ANN model. The enhanced gamma test was used to determine the best input combination. AOA and the gamma test were used concurrently to reduce the time needed for choosing the best input combination. Gross domestic product (GDP), population, household size, and numbers of months were the best input combination set. This best input combination was then inputted into the hybrid and standalone ANN models for predicting monthly SW generation. During the final phase, the outputs of ANN-AOA, ANN-SCA, ANN-PSO, ANN-GA, and ANN models were used as inputs for an inclusive multiple model (IMM) in order to enhance model accuracy. The IMM model reduced the training phase root mean square error (RMSE) of ANN-AOA, ANN-SCA, ANN-PSO, ANN-GA, and ANN models by 55%, 59%, 68%, 72%, and 73%, respectively. Although ANN-AOA provided higher R2 and lower RMSE values than ANN-PSO, ANN-SCA, ANN-GA and ANN models, the IMM model outperformed ANN-AOA, considering that it integrates the advantages of all models used in the current study. The current study also used the fuzzy reasoning concept for modifying ANN model structures. The results indicated that such ANN models' time requirement was lower than those without fuzzy reasoning concept. The general results of the current study indicate that the ANN-AOA and the fuzzy-reasoning based Inclusive Multiple Model have a high ability for predicting different target variables.