Over the last 2 decades major changes occurred in the ability of many U.S. manufacturing industries to compete with foreign producers, particularly those in developing countries. Differences in relative wage costs were a major factor providing developing country producers of labor-intensive manufactures like textiles, clothing, and footwear with a growing comparative advantage vis-a-vis U.S. producers. As a result, some U.S. industries experienced major structural adjustment problems that were reflected in considerable job shedding and depressed wages and profits for those employees and firms that continued in operation, persistent low-capacity utilization for established plants and equipment, and steadily increasing market penetration as measured by the share of imports in domestic consumption.' While most economists recommend the adoption of trade, financial, fiscal, and other This study utilizes factor proportions indices for assessing the probable competitive pressures developing countries will exert on U.S. manufacturing and service industries over the next decade. The results show that in many labor-intensive industries like textiles and clothing the competitive position of the U.S. has worsened and developing countries' comparative advantage increased. The data also suggest that developing countries generally have a comparative advantage in most service industries (aside from banking and finance), and U.S. net exports may not expand as a result of a global liberalization. Over 40% of current U.S. employment is now in sectors that appear vulnerable to developing country competition. * The views expressed in this article may not reflect those of the World Bank and its staff. We would like to thank Bela Balassa, Paul Meo, and Alasdair Sinclair for comments and suggestions. 1. Tuong and Yeats (1981) compute import penetration ratios for 77 U.S. manufacturing industries over 1967-76 and
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